Baron von Loathsome
Member
Pretty much every major polling aggregate is saying that Clinton has the advantage. Even 538, as crazy as Nate Silver has become over the past few weeks, still thinks a Clinton victory is more probable than a Trump.
United States Election: Nov. 8, 2016 |OT| Hate Trumps Love
- Thread starter Aaron Strife
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Pretty much every major polling aggregate is saying that Clinton has the advantage. Even 538, as crazy as Nate Silver has become over the past few weeks, still thinks a Clinton victory is more probable than a Trump.
I hope you're ready to post it regardless of the outcome.
There is almost no chance she'll win Texas.
We should have a separate map thread where everyone posts their 270 to Win map and we can see who was the most correct after the election.
Someone make one!
Someone make one!
Donald Trump?
I think there's at least a large chance he'll win Texas despite recent excitement.
That would definitely be fun. Rewards should also go to the most wrong.
It was a typo, I meant to type "she'll." You replied before I edited.
BlastProcessing
Member
Why not just roll it out now? It's not going to be of any use on the 8th.
Gordon Shumway
Banned
Go vote, folks..
friskykillface
Banned
Believe in question 4 for Massachusetts
This guy that sells weed in my class is shook lol
This guy that sells weed in my class is shook lol
Pancake Mix
Copied someone else's pancake recipe
But 2008 played out with Nebraska's second congressional district also going blue I'm saying.
I think that's pretty likely if the vote goes that way.
Yeah I'm sure but that's why I'm asking about Florida.
Mass Effect
Member
I don't think so.
Three (poor, restless) sleeps to go.
2015, I'm guessing.
My map:
I'd like to be wrong about OH and IA, though. Especially IA.
I feel like this is the correct map.
OnionPowder
Member
I went to vote in Florida and it seemed pretty dead. There was only 5 people ahead of me and i was in and out within 5 minutes.
As a minority, I'm terrified. I know the demographics aren't there but I'm terrified.
With Hillary we at least get status quo. Which still sucks for me but it's better than the alternative.
When you vote by mail do you get any confirmation or receipt that your vote got received and counted?
SirNinja
Member
My current prediction, based on current voter turnouts. (Assume the lighter-colored states end up going for that color.)
I like this idea. If I don't post any further maps, consider 323-215 my final prediction.
I like this idea. If I don't post any further maps, consider 323-215 my final prediction.
SDCowboy
Member
lol Texas?
I'm voting for both
205 will pass I think
206 may very well not but I haven't seen any polling
Tried to early vote yesterday.....4 hour long. Gave up because I had to pick up my kids.
They better not pull the same shit they pulled during the primaries.
StopMakingSense
Member
You can look it up online in nearly every county. Phone call for a couple others.
Three (poor, restless) sleeps to go.
2015, I'm guessing.
My map:
I'd like to be wrong about OH and IA, though. Especially IA.
Id put my money on this being what it looks like.
I guess I should edit my post to clarify that I'm concerned if he gets Texas AND Florida. I'm asking about the likelihood Hillary wins Florida.
Morrigan Stark
Arrogant Smirk
My prediction map:
Good luck America. Don't fuck this up plz!
Good luck America. Don't fuck this up plz!
That's Infoman's joke
Hahaha that gif isn't real is it? I love it thoughI'm nervous for you, America, best of luck.
As far as I'm concerned:
PopcornMegaphone
Banned
Gonna go vote for Hillary.
I'm in Illinois so it doesn't matter.
I'm in Illinois so it doesn't matter.
GiantEnemyGoomba
Member
Utah is McMuffin. Idk if he actually has a chance lol, I'm just predicting it for fun.
perfectchaos007
Member
I hope it's a close election so I can stay entertained all night
FunkyMunkey
Banned
Three (poor, restless) sleeps to go.
2015, I'm guessing.
My map:
I'd like to be wrong about OH and IA, though. Especially IA.
im piggy backing on this and this is my prediction as well. ill post an updated one if there's changes before the 8th but i feel this is a good one
Pancake Mix
Copied someone else's pancake recipe
I think it's too generous with North Carolina and Florida, but we'll see on Tuesday.
Hasphat'sAnts
Member
Nothing. Stops. The. Hopium. Train.
I didn't know my fear for my rights and the rights of others was entertaining. Thanks.
I like your optimism, but this is preposterous.
You are right..
Horse race narrative. Major news networks have to give those states (particularly NH) to Trump to pretend to have a competitive map. Clinton wins NH and is sitting @ 272. Trump can then run the table winning OH, IA, NC, FL, GA, NV, and AZ and still lose. Giving Trump NH also lets them wet themselves over a 269-269 tie election.
FunkyMunkey
Banned
you're a mad man
A Human Becoming
More than a Member
This is my exact map and I too hope Iowa and Ohio go blue.Three (poor, restless) sleeps to go.
2015, I'm guessing.
My map:
I'd like to be wrong about OH and IA, though. Especially IA.
Maine District 2 might go Trump, but I think his poor GOTV will keep it blue this year.
John Harker
Definitely doesn't make things up as he goes along.
So, let's say Hilary wins the election... what are the chances Citizens United actually gets over turned? And will we really, in a practical way, see a decrease in corporate spending on elections and individual donor influence?
George Washington
Member
My prediction 🇺🇸
2016 has proven to be the year where anything that can go wrong, will go wrong. I don't want to be around the day after.
Time to relocate to Canada 🇨🇦
If you've been following polls and assessing the swing states and the map with an eye on demographics, you might come to see why Hillary will win that easily.
You could also move to Florida and join the tide of PR voters there changing up the electorate this year lol
Pretty funny to see people posting NV as red considering she's already locked it up in early voting.
And for anyone paying attention, she's always been a cinch to win. He hasn't cracked her 270 firewall, even when she was at her lowest point before the first debate and needs to turn a blue leaning state like PA, which isn't happening. The Philly GOTV machine will do work.
The questions left to be answered are how the house/Senate races turn out and her overall EV/popular vote margin, which will help determine her mandate when she wins.
I'd say it'll be a mix of 08/12 maps with the loss of IA/OH but the possible gain of a place like AZ and the GOP loss of UT.
The polls have been garbage and they've missed the minority vote all along. Stop paying attention to them. She's gonna win.
And for anyone paying attention, she's always been a cinch to win. He hasn't cracked her 270 firewall, even when she was at her lowest point before the first debate and needs to turn a blue leaning state like PA, which isn't happening. The Philly GOTV machine will do work.
The questions left to be answered are how the house/Senate races turn out and her overall EV/popular vote margin, which will help determine her mandate when she wins.
I'd say it'll be a mix of 08/12 maps with the loss of IA/OH but the possible gain of a place like AZ and the GOP loss of UT.
The polls have been garbage and they've missed the minority vote all along. Stop paying attention to them. She's gonna win.
Anoregon
The flight plan I just filed with the agency list me, my men, Dr. Pavel here. But only one of you!
I don't think status quo is entirely fair/accurate. I think it's more like painfully slowb progress.
Aaron Strife
Banned
Only states I'm not optimistic about are Iowa, Arizona and Ohio
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