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[mcfrank]

No, I'm talking about the Montana one. I've been following both. And there's been a lot of polling. Not sure what you're talking about

Please link me to multiple polls that have it within 1-2 points as you said. I don't think that is true, but would love to be wrong.

 

[Linkura]

 

[Lord Frieza]

Not really. I just read a new story today that the gap is double digits again. Dems should not get their hopes up.

http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2017/05/montanas-strange-evolving-special-election.html

Okay, I had seen this one then. I'm bracing for a loss here and in Georgia, so there was no hopes being up, I was just telling the situation. Weird how much of a jump that was I'm such a short time, but I guess GOP voters coming home per usual

 

[legacyzero]

Far Cry 5 Viral Marketing?

Spoiler

Joking.

 

[whyamihere]

This is probably Not Great because Gianforte is counting on a strong day-of voting tomorrow to overcome Quist's probable mail-in ballot lead.

 

[SocksAndShoes]

 

[whyamihere]

Not really. I just read a new story today that the gap is double digits again. Dems should not get their hopes up.

http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2017/05/montanas-strange-evolving-special-election.html

Gravis is a terrible pollster. Like, not even worth it, throw it in the trash even if you like the poll pollster.

Internals for both Dems and GOP show a very tight race.

 

[Lord Frieza]

Please link me to multiple polls that have it within 1-2 points as you said. I don't think that is true, but would love to be wrong.

I'm on mobile, but I'd have to dig out the emails I got about the campaign. Looks like I'm out of date anyway and the R guy took a massive leap in the last few days

 

[Escape Goat]

Finish him!

 

[JadedWriter]

Isn't that like an aggravated assault charge or something?

 

[Aaron Strife]

Not really. I just read a new story today that the gap is double digits again. Dems should not get their hopes up.

http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2017/05/montanas-strange-evolving-special-election.html

Gravis is a garbage pollster though.

That being said I'll still be surprised (pleasantly!) if Quist wins. Ecstatic even.

 

[Kayhan]

The DLC storyline writes itself.

 

[Sobriquet]

Wait I thought if you physically attacked the press you got a job at CNN?

Don't be silly. Gianforte doesn't work for Trump yet.

 

[Lord Frieza]

What happens if the guy presses charges tonight? Does it affect the ballot it any way?

 

[RPGCrazied]

He knows he is losing. Democrat takes our first seat tomorrow! Then onward to Georgia. Get fucked Trump.

 

[Robdraggoo]

If he presses charges that guys political career is over.

Nope he's a Republican. He'll probably get elected president.

 

[whyamihere]

Please link me to multiple polls that have it within 1-2 points as you said. I don't think that is true, but would love to be wrong.

All (public) polling is here. Per usual, ignore Gravis and Google:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monta...ional_district_special_election,_2017#Polling

But then:

https://twitter.com/EWErickson/status/864633771143942144

@EWErickson
Scoop: GOP polling over the weekend shifted against them in Montana and Georgia. National GOP starting to worry.

But Montana is a bit of a harder state to poll. If this were a few days ago, then maybe. But SO much of the Montana vote is Early Voting.

 

[nintendoman58]

He knows he is losing. Democrat takes our first seat tomorrow! Then onward to Georgia. Get fucked Trump.

The first seat was NH.

 

[mcfrank]

What happens if the guy presses charges tonight? Does it affect the ballot it any way?

Too late to change the Ballot and innocent until proven guilty, but if Gianforte gets arrested tonight, that probably wont help his turn out tomorrow.

 

[Lord Frieza]

The first seat was NH.

That was a state seat, I assume he means federal

 

[KernelPanic]

He body slammed a "fake news" reporter in his mind.

 

[RPGCrazied]

The first seat was NH.

State seat, but yeah.

This is for congress!

 

[Ashodin]

Greg Gianforte is the Republican Candidate trying to defend his seat in the upcoming special election. Ben Jacobs is a political reporter for The Guardian


https://twitter.com/Bencjacobs/status/867517225820966912


https://twitter.com/Bencjacobs/status/867519689252929540

GET EM

DRAG HIM

 

[Imperfected]

Even if he wins he can still just be taken to trial. "It's not illegal if you're the President" only works as a defense if you are, in fact, the President.

 

[CrazyDude]

The first seat was NH.

That was state legislature, this is national.

 

[Username1198]

I would t be surprised if he still won after body slamming the press he will prob be given a medal by his supporters.

Body slamming fake news. Lol

 

[TheCochese]

He body slammed a "fake news" reporter in his mind.

The nWo lives, brother!

 

[JP_]

Just a locker room brawl

 

[legacyzero]

He knows he is losing. Democrat takes our first seat tomorrow! Then onward to Georgia. Get fucked Trump.

It's not even just that. They're winning all over, even in just smaller seats
http://thehill.com/homenews/state-w...trict-that-voted-big-for#.WSWS78ibihw.twitter

 

[Sobriquet]

All (public) polling is here. Per usual, ignore Gravis and Google:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monta...ional_district_special_election,_2017#Polling

So the Libertarian is ruining everything?

 

[whyamihere]

So the Libertarian is ruining everything?

Libertarians in Montana are the reason why Democrats can win there.

 

[BoogieWoogie]

But Montana is a bit of a harder state to poll. If this were a few days ago, then maybe. But SO much of the Montana vote is Early Voting.

If so much is early voting, doesn't that clinch it for Gianforte's opposition?

 

[Aaron Strife]

So the Libertarian is ruining everything?

Libertarians usually help Democrats in Montana, actually. Jon Tester is a two-term Dem senator who's never cracked 50%.

 

[Zen_Arcade]

Can't wait to play this side quest in Far Cry 5.

 

[nintendoman58]

That was a state seat, I assume he means federal

State seat, but yeah.

This is for congress!

That was state legislature, this is national.

Ah, whoospie!

So this is a House seat?

 

[Volimar]

Chris Hayes has the story. This is definitely going to be a thing.

 

[mcfrank]

 

[Lord Frieza]

Ah, whoospie!

So this is a House seat?

Yes

 

[studyguy]

Man I follow Ben Jacobs on twitter, what the fuck is going on out there.

 

[whyamihere]

If so much is early voting, doesn't that clinch it for Gianforte's opposition?

Maybe. Depends on the headlines. It's 5:46 in Montana, so this will make the evening news. Probably the papers in the morning too (along with the CBO score).

If Quist is only up by like a point or two in the EV, it won't matter. But if he's up by more, and Republicans just say fuck it (along with the CBO), that could be huge.

 

[Imperfected]

So the Libertarian is ruining everything?

This is basically an all-purpose statement that can be used at any time, in any place north of Utah and west of Minnesota, yes.

 

[ShadowSwordmaster]

I dare him to do this.

 

[RPGCrazied]

Ah, whoospie!

So this is a House seat?

Yep. And Georgia is June 20th and the Democrat there is up by 7% in the polls!

 

[mcfrank]

Yep. Georgia is June 20th and the Democrat there is up by 7% in the polls!

In a poll

 

[whyamihere]

Yep. And Georgia is June 20th and the Democrat there is up by 7% in the polls!

In one less-than-great poll.

 

[StopMakingSense]

Hey if Gianforte wins maybe we'll have another special election when he resigns for this.

 

[Tranqueris]

GOP: "Was this supposed victim a saint though? Let's comb through their life until we can find something to demonize them with."

 

[RPGCrazied]

In a poll

In one less-than-great poll.

Don't crush my dreams please.

 

[HStallion]

I dare him to do this.

Trump would probably shoot himself in the foot, literally.

 

[whyamihere]

Don't crush my dreams please.

I think that Ossoff has a slightly-higher-than-50% chance of winning, but it'll take more than one SUSA poll to convince me he's up by 7%.