That's good. That gust at the end was terrifying.
Atlantic Hurricane season 2017 |OT|
- Thread starter perfectchaos007
- Start date
That's good. That gust at the end was terrifying.
ladyluthien
Member
Whew I was going to say. That's a frightening video. I'm sure the real Irma will be close to that as well.
Talonz posted the same video on the previously page. Everybody was replying that it was fake or I should say from something else and not Irma. It looks like a tornado to me.
fluffydelusions
Member
WeAreStarStuff
Member
This footage is insane. It's crazy to see people driving right before that gust.
Edit: apparently fake; damn internets.
Smiles and Cries
Member
I hate the intenets because I can't tell what is fake or real
but damn that is impressive
Did it just slightly diminish?
Smiles and Cries
Member
I think that is just part of the loop camera about to cut off
Light reflection.
StopMakingSense
Member
Think its the sun going down on it /being less reflective.
aspiegamer
Member
916 extrapolated.
We owe all the models an apology for their what-were-seemingly exaggerations on intensity that started several days ago.
We owe all the models an apology for their what-were-seemingly exaggerations on intensity that started several days ago.
maquiladora
Member
Recon just found 916.4mb (extrap). So it's probably around 919mb now.
Edit: Close enough!
Edit: Close enough!
MaulerX
Member
Probably real just not Irma? A tornado is probably what we're seeing here which explains the sudden gust at the end.
maquiladora
Member
The GFS doesn't have this getting below 920mb until Friday....
... damn
edit:
local weather guy here in Atlanta talking about Irma. When it comes to potential snow and such he tends to be much more likely to predict larger amounts over larger areas than the other stations. In the tweet hes showing the ocean temps Irma will be going through that will likely make it even stronger.
https://twitter.com/BradNitzWSB/status/905188921444851714
nillapuddin
Member
Now I'm getting pressure from fiancee to leave Fort Myers (family in Alabama) what do yall think?
I dont want to leave, but at the same time... Fuck.
I dont want to leave, but at the same time... Fuck.
Velcro Fly
Member
Lived in Indiana all my life and the worst tropical anything I've ever dealt with was driving up the interstate when Gustav was a tropical depression and it was just a rainstorm. So yeah should be safe here.
Fellow Floridians asking if you should evacuate, look at your county evacuation maps and flood zone maps and make an informed decision, don't ask GAF, find out.
http://www.hillsboroughcounty.org/residents/public-safety/emergency-management/find-evacuation-information
and
http://www.hillsboroughcounty.org/en/residents/property-owners-and-renters/homeowners-and-neighborhoods/find-my-flood-zone#/
for instance, I am preparing in case of a direct cat 4 hit, I will need to go.
http://www.hillsboroughcounty.org/residents/public-safety/emergency-management/find-evacuation-information
and
http://www.hillsboroughcounty.org/en/residents/property-owners-and-renters/homeowners-and-neighborhoods/find-my-flood-zone#/
for instance, I am preparing in case of a direct cat 4 hit, I will need to go.
aspiegamer
Member
New GFS is waaaaaaaaaaay right. Like almost a hundred miles right. Keeping the center 50mi+ off the east coast of Florida.
I give up.
I give up.
Yeah it should be safe. Seriously if leaving is an option, do it.
Any chance you can post it?
maquiladora
Member
Big east shift on the 18Z GFS!
aspiegamer
Member
It's still running, but I'll get it.
maquiladora
Member
Heading for landfall in the Carolinas as an incredibly intense hurricane. Florida is saved on this run. Nightmare for forecasters.....
Smiles and Cries
Member
he did not have to uses such death-like colors on his map
Heading for landfall in the Carolinas as an incredibly intense hurricane. Florida is saved on this run. Nightmare for forecasters.....
Holy shit. SC would have even less time to prepare. It hitting them again after Matthew last year would be terrible.
Nydius
Gold Member
GFS has been consistently pushing it east.
Euro has been consistently pushing it west.
NHC splitting the difference.
Nightmare for forecasters indeed.
Indiana is too boring for natural disasters.
Which has the best track record?
SoundofSilence
Member
How do you account for Mike Pence?
fluffydelusions
Member
euro afaik
BattleMonkey
Member
Believe the EURO has been most consistent?
Heading for landfall in the Carolinas as an incredibly intense hurricane. Florida is saved on this run. Nightmare for forecasters.....
Ducking ugh, I have a vacation property on Hilton head island.....
NihonTiger90
Member
I think it's a good idea. If this storm turns and goes up along the west coast of Florida, a la Charley, Fort Myers is in big trouble.
SirClinksAlot
Member
Why are the models so different? I know nothing about any of this, just curious.
Smiles and Cries
Member
AnythingBut
Member
Heading for landfall in the Carolinas as an incredibly intense hurricane. Florida is saved on this run. Nightmare for forecasters.....
Outlier maybe?
MistaBowaa
Member
Living in Orlando, closing on our house (selling) on Friday. Please sign, please sign, please sign.
maquiladora
Member
GFS is a US government model. Euro is run by an independent European group (ECMWF). NHC is part of the US government.
Could be. Will need to wait for the 0Z models.
Insane Metal
Member
Heading for landfall in the Carolinas as an incredibly intense hurricane. Florida is saved on this run. Nightmare for forecasters.....
Well, that's really bad news. Going that way will only make its intensity stay strong longer.
There is literally a known problem with the GFS. Just because Irma bombed out doesn't make the GFS pressure readings accurate.
SoundofSilence
Member
Euro model has greater credibility.
Smiles and Cries
Member
thank you
Smiles and Cries
Member
only one model has to be right
perfectchaos007
Member
We officially have a tropical depression in the Gulf of Mexico