What the fuck
Atlantic Hurricane season 2017 |OT|
- Thread starter perfectchaos007
- Start date
What the fuck
Smiles and Cries
Member
It's going to make landfall in Mexico according to the latest NHC advisory like 5 days from now.
fluffydelusions
Member
Yep...
Velcro Fly
Member
Well hopefully that depression just stays south no matter what it becomes.
Smiles and Cries
Member
Yep...
I did not really want that one to get the name Katia
what a waste of a good name
Lionel Mandrake
Member
Starting to sound like that scene in Aronofsky's Noah.
Edit: Linked the pic, since it's disturbing to some.
Edit: Linked the pic, since it's disturbing to some.
It's triggering mine too. Its the disgusting holes in the middle of the storms. I'm itching all over!
I mean, climate change is likely headed in a disastrous direction like this.
SoundofSilence
Member
Yep. Only the Euro model was right about Sandy.
maquiladora
Member
Looks like the pressure has fallen another couple of mb in the last hour. How low can it go?
Smiles and Cries
Member
what is it now?
perfectchaos007
Member
Sorry I forgot to add "/s" at the end of my post lol. That pic was disturbing but pretty awe inspiring at the same time. I didn't mean for you to remove it though, my bad
Probably around 910 now. Sub 900 could be on over the next day. Winds probably touching 190mph.
maquiladora
Member
About 917mb. Should get it confirmed soon.
TarpitCarnivore
Member
Curious how much the cooler waters would impact the strength? Hypothetically if it ran more north east and hugged the coast where waters are 10-15 degrees cooler.
Solidsnakejej
Member
It would weaken greatly, water has to be 26+ degrees to maintain a hurricane, though it would have to go far north to get there.
Smiles and Cries
Member
fluffydelusions
Member
yes
It would signifcantly weaken the storm. It's kind of like starving a fire of oxygen. Trouble is Irma is a big storm and it would take some time to reduce drastically, let's face it a drop from cat 5 to cat 3 would still make it bloody awful for anyone in the way.
That looked scary
Ah I thought you meant since the last run through the storm with the extrapolated 916MB. IT is amazing how the models really haven't been able to keep pace with the rate of deepening though.
Insane Metal
Member
Not exactly fake, it's a video of a tornado, not a hurricane.
maquiladora
Member
917mb confirmed.
Speaking of tornados, Irma's eye wall is basically the same as an F4 tornado at the moment. A 65 mile wide F4 tornado.
maquiladora
Member
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/storm-tracker/#?tab=map&stormId=11L&stormName=IRMA
I believe it's 910mb at the end.
In case anyone is interested, I found a garage that would take my car with the busted windows, I sourced some zinc sheeting for my sliding glass doors and I found a crew of workmen who will help me put it up tomorrow, hopefully.
I believe that the forecasts of tomorrow morning, 8am will tell the tale for us. That's 36 hours out, and close enough to be damn accurate. Will this be the worst hurricane in this country's history, beating even the island-renowned and feared Hurricane Donna from 1960? Or do we get a glancing blow? The tension in finding out is unlike anything else I've experienced.
I believe that the forecasts of tomorrow morning, 8am will tell the tale for us. That's 36 hours out, and close enough to be damn accurate. Will this be the worst hurricane in this country's history, beating even the island-renowned and feared Hurricane Donna from 1960? Or do we get a glancing blow? The tension in finding out is unlike anything else I've experienced.
167 knots at surface level in the latest run. That's 192 mph, and the Atlantic record if it is confirmed.
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_NOAA2-1011A-IRMA_dropsonde9_20170905-2248.png
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_NOAA2-1011A-IRMA_dropsonde9_20170905-2248.png
nillapuddin
Member
find out next time, on dragon, ball, ZZZZZZZ
captjohnboyd
Member
So what's the deal exactly with the mb discussions? What effect does that have on hurricanes?917mb confirmed.
Lower pressure means it's easier for the hurricane to suck up warm moisture from the ocean and causes the storm to grow. Warm moisture from the ocean is effectively fuel for hurricanes.
piratepwnsninja
Member
Hurricanes (and most large scale storms on Earth) are cyclonic storm structures. Low pressure fuels them. The lower the pressure, the stronger and more organized the storm.
maquiladora
Member
Basically falling pressure (mb) indicates a strengthening hurricane.
maquiladora
Member
They kept the winds at 185.
Master Yoshi
Member
Holy shit, I feel like I'm going to get leveled by this thing.
perfectchaos007
Member
I wanna skydive into that eye.
You know I tried finding that on their site but it's such a mess. Thanks for the link.
Snkfanatic
Banned
I mean...I guess that's one way to go.
perfectchaos007
Member
Skydive, and then get airlifted out. I wonder if any extreme adrenaline sport enthusiast has tried something like that.
...and have it shot and scored in the style of the 2014 Godzilla movie skydiving scene...
Every single forecast for the past 48 hours has said it would immediately turn slightly north (or have done so by now) and yet as of 8pm it's still heading due west. What is it that all of these models have been missing for the past 48 hours? Why can't they adjust in a way that if they've had the forecast incorrect in a certain direction for so many forecasts in a row, that they start taking that into account?
If this thing misses us south I'll be very happy, but I'll be frustrated that for days and days we were told it was about to turn and come for us when literally every update said that actually no it was still moving west.
I know it's an imprecise science, I'm just tense. It just makes little sense to me that the forecasts can be wrong in the same direction so many times in a row.
If this thing misses us south I'll be very happy, but I'll be frustrated that for days and days we were told it was about to turn and come for us when literally every update said that actually no it was still moving west.
I know it's an imprecise science, I'm just tense. It just makes little sense to me that the forecasts can be wrong in the same direction so many times in a row.