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[Jadedx]

Santorum's all over the place

Like a chicken with his head cut off.

 

[Byakuya769]

Except as someone who's grown up in the South Evangelicals usually treat Catholicism as something totally different as well.

True, but that doesn't mean they don't understand gradiations.

 

[Dr. Malik]

oh god, holy hell

Like a chicken with his head cut off.

perfect

 

[watershed]

What was that "liberal think tank" line about? It sounded off.

 

[Paches]

I need to know who the girl in the blue is over Santorum's right shoulder. Holy shit.

She won't have sex till she is married though.

 

[Cloudy]

Newt would lose in those debates. He only seems strong in the republican debates because he is up against a bunch of weaklings.

But he would aggressively attack Obama and try to belittle him aka red meat for the base

 

[elrechazado]

Except as someone who's grown up in the South Evangelicals usually treat Catholicism as something totally different as well.

Exactly. They don't like catholics, and certainly usually don't like philanderers. They just reeeeeeally don't like mormons.

 

[newjeruse]

She won't have sex till she is married though.

Yea, right. She's a freak, no doubt.

 

[Volimar]

Isn't Newt unable to get on the Virginia ballot? Doesn't that significantly hurt his chances of winning?

Perry, Gingrich, Santorum, and Huntsman are all not on Virginia's ballot.

 

[Dan]

I think someone a few pages ago nailed it when they said evangelicals are suckers for the "redemption" angle.

Yup, redemption narratives get them all hot and bothered. Voting for Newt even lets them take a part in the story.

 

[apana]

Haha, oh man. Don't these assholes have their sandy panties in a bunch over traditional family values and the sanctity marriage? And then they go and vote en masse for a cheating double divorcee wannabe swinger? Republicans must really hate Mormons.

If Mitt doesn't get the nomination, he should spend his millions and run 3rd party just to fuck the GOP out of spite.

Conservative also like traditional masculinity. If a guy makes mistakes, no big deal to a lot of people as long as he does the whole song and dance of asking for forgiveness and finding God.

 

[giga]

She won't have sex till she is married though.

Republican chicks want dick just as much as any others. They just won't show it at thanksgiving dinner.

 

[Byakuya769]

You're not going to go into an evangelical bookstore and see literature on the "cult" of Catholicism. You will find it in droves on Mormonism, however. If this is surprising to you, you just don't know as much about evangelicals or the south as you think.

 

[Pie Lord]

I have a feeling that Newt's speech tonight is going to be something to behold, for good or ill.

 

[Jadedx]

But he would aggressively attack Obama and try to belittle him aka red meat for the base

The base will always vote for their party, but that kind of thing will turn off the independents, which is what matters most in the general elections. That's why I believe the gop can't win. The independents never really liked romney and they will hate newts corruption, racism, and hypocrisy.

 

[SpeedySwaf]

Perry, Gingrich, Santorum, and Huntsman are all not on Virginia's ballot.

...Right, so doesn't that mean that unless people vote in mass for Ron to spite Mitt, than Mitt has nearly all those votes? I think someone said it have 50?

 

[that1dude24]

I like how santorum's kid is trying to hide his smile, he's trying so hard to look professional.

 

[Servizio]

So, how did "Cain" do?

 

[Cloudy]

The base will always vote for their party, but that kind of thing will turn off the independents, which is what matters most in the general elections. That's why I believe the gop can't win. The independents never really liked romney and they will hate newts corruption, racism, and hypocrisy.

I don't think Newt and his supporters really give a shit. They just want to attack Obama and "prove" he's an intellectual lightweight

If Romney doesn't blow Newt out in Florida, this could get interesting. It's a closed primary too...

 

[elrechazado]

So, how did "Cain" do?

"cain"?

 

[Jackson50]

I have a feeling that Newt's speech tonight is going to be something to behold, for good or ill.

I can tolerate the sophomoric analysis most people are pushing. But I may ignore Newt's speech. Dude's going to be insufferable.

 

[Kud Dukan]

So, how did "Cain" do?

Well, I'm looking at the NYTimes website, and they have him at 1% with 3345 votes.

 

[Volimar]

So, how did "Cain" do?

Currently has 1% of the vote. Or you could say he's in 5th place if you want to make it seem like a closer race than it is.

 

[Servizio]

"cain"?

The whole Colbert thing?

 

[Vanillalite]

"cain"?

Colbert told everyone to write in Cain as their choice.

 

[Ecotic]

Whoa, Florida is winner-take-all. Whoever wins there will be a huge favorite.

 

[Pie Lord]

So, how did "Cain" do?

About 2%.

 

[ToxicAdam]

Whoa, Florida is winner-take-all. Whoever wins there will be a huge favorite.

Only half the delegates count. They have been punished for moving their primary up.

http://www.tampabay.com/news/politi...-punish-florida-gop-for-early-primary/1210160

Second-class hotel rooms. A poor view on the Republican National Convention floor in Tampa. A loss of VIP passes.

Florida Republicans had to swallow these penalties Wednesday when the Republican National Committee's rules panel approved the punishments because the state bucked the party by holding an early primary on Jan. 31.

Florida already lost half of its 100 delegates — the people who technically cast votes for the party nominee at the convention.

But from a media perspective, a Florida win is huge. A guy like Newt needs all the free coverage he can get.

 

[Volimar]

Whoa, Florida is winner-take-all. Whoever wins there will be a huge favorite.

Call me crazy, but I don't think Paul is going to do well in Florida. He's basically going to skip it and focus on smaller states.

 

[Servizio]

So, all the Huntsman votes.

 

[ToxicAdam]

Wow, SC turnout (could be) up 30 percent over 2008. Guess we know what part of the base is motivated.

Extrapolating from the returns so far suggests that the turnout in South Carolina is up something on the order of 30% from 2008, when it was 445,677. That may turn out not to be the case if the returns so far are from the heavy-voting precincts and so the extrapolation may be unduly high. But if turnout really is up, that is a big contrast from Iowa, where turnout was 3% over 2008 and New Hampshire, where it was up 4%.

http://campaign2012.washingtonexami...l/south-carolina-turnout-seems-sharply/327951

 

[Chichikov]

Ugh, I want to throw a regression analysis book at John King.
THOSE NUMBERS DON'T MEAN WHAT YOU THINK THEY DO!

 

[NihonTiger90]

Gingrich currently winning by 14.2 percent.

 

[Byakuya769]

Did Romney's collapse happen before or after Huntsman's endorsement? I want to build a narrative.

 

[Chichikov]

Gingrich currently winning by 14.2 percent.

Come on Newt!
Push it to 15 for easy Romney tax rate jokes.
You can do it, do it for twitter.

Edit: wait, "around 15%".
That will do pig, that will do.

 

[Invisible_Insane]

Wow, SC turnout (could be) up 30 percent over 2008. Guess we know what part of the base is motivated.

The part that's at war with the federal government?

 

[NihonTiger90]

Did Romney's collapse happen before or after Huntsman's endorsement? I want to build a narrative.

After. It was after the first debate.

 

[PhoenixDark]

MSNBC saying that Gingrich's big money supporters were basing their future support of his campaign on tonight's success. Sounds like they've been convinced to match Newt's 5m spending in Florida, meaning he'll have 10m available for ads in Florida

 

[Brinbe]

MSNBC saying that Gingrich's big money supporters were basing their future support of his campaign on tonight's success. Sounds like they've been convinced to match Newt's 5m spending in Florida, meaning he'll have 10m available for ads in Florida

Fantastic... these next 10 days are going to be amazing.

 

[The Librarian]

MSNBC saying that Gingrich's big money supporters were basing their future support of his campaign on tonight's success. Sounds like they've been convinced to match Newt's 5m spending in Florida, meaning he'll have 10m available for ads in Florida

Excellent.

Go Newt, go!

 

[Cloudy]

LOL

 

[Plinko]

For all those laughing about the Newt win, I'd hold that for now. Newt is a dangerous opponent for Obama right now. For some reason, he motivates the base HUGE. That's not good news.

 

[Volimar]

For all those laughing about the Newt win, I'd hold that for now. Newt is a dangerous opponent for Obama right now. For some reason, he motivates the base HUGE. That's not good news.

Newt Gingrich. For those of you that miss Cheney.

 

[NihonTiger90]

Romney has won two counties tonight: Charleston County (Charleston) and Richland County (Columbia). Gingrich is winning every other county.

 

[Cloudy]

For all those laughing about the Newt win, I'd hold that for now. Newt is a dangerous opponent for Obama right now. For some reason, he motivates the base HUGE. That's not good news.

Yeah but he probably motivates independents to vote for Obama!

 

[titiklabingapat]

For all those laughing about the Newt win, I'd hold that for now. Newt is a dangerous opponent for Obama right now. For some reason, he motivates the base HUGE. That's not good news.

But the bases don't really decide the election. The independents do. Besides, the left dislikes Newt just as much as the right dislikes Obama, so having Newt will most likely motivate Obama's base.

 

[PhoenixDark]

For all those laughing about the Newt win, I'd hold that for now. Newt is a dangerous opponent for Obama right now. For some reason, he motivates the base HUGE. That's not good news.

And? The entire GOP base wouldn't stop Obama from riding to re-election thanks to 60%+ of the female and Hispanic votes against Gingrich.

Look at Gingrich's unfavorable numbers. He is unelectable.

 

[Brinbe]

Alright, Newt... Get out there, let's get on with this.

 

[Oblivion]

holy shit the newtser won

 

[Plinko]

And? The entire GOP base wouldn't stop Obama from riding to re-election thanks to 60%+ of the female and Hispanic votes against Gingrich.

Look at Gingrich's unfavorable numbers. He is unelectable.

I want to see Newt's likability numbers after this weekend, then I won't worry.