GitarooMan
Member
I think 200 is likely, 250 max. 320 seems way too high.
Wkd Box Office Est. 039-1112 - Lorax punches Carter in his waxed & oiled thorax
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Only 1 of 4 Twilight films has reached $300 million domestically and it barely did so ($300,531,751). This is despite two of the films having an opening weekend of $135 million+. Hunger Games may hit $300 million but it's no guarantee if it sees drops like the Twilight franchise.
It's tracking over 100 million for opening weekend already, how is 300 mil not in play?
Hunger Games has more crossover appeal than Twilight. Teen girls are just as rabid about it and I know a lot more guys who have read Hunger Games than Twilight.
Only 3/8 Harry Potter films crossed $300 million domestically. It's not that easy.
Twilight:
New Moon:
Eclipse:
Breaking Dawn Part 1:
Aside from Eclipse, the movies sink like a stone after the front-loaded opening weekend.
I dunno, I think Hunger Games may have broader appeal than badly acted sparkly vampire x unrequited love-stricken wolf movies.
Tracking can be accurate for opening weekend. I would not be surprised if this hits $100 milion it's first weekend. However what happens after that? How front loaded will it be? Does it have legs?
Depends how good and well liked the movie is. Hunger Games has infinitely more appeal to men than Twilight so it's chances are good if it can pull them in.
Hunger Games is a tad different imo because the book and the movie are feeding off each other. It reminds me more of a Harry Potter scenario where one is creating interest in the other and it's hard to tell which is which.
If the movie is good, it will have the legs because interests continues to grow in addition to the anticipation of the fans. It is also male friendly.
If the movie is good, it will have the legs because interests continues to grow in addition to the anticipation of the fans. It is also male friendly.
Don't under estimate Cameron and Titanic.
You'd think these lessons would be learned by now.
Ask a teen girl when hunger games is out. Ask them when titanic is out. They will know the answer to one of these and it isn't titanic.
Hunger Games is on the same playing field as a franchise as Harry Potter and Twilight. Titanic is a rerelease
But 300 million worth?
The Lion King 3D grossed $94,242,001 domestically. I see Titanic easily topping that.
No, but that's not what you said. You said that HG will make more in April than Titanic. HG will have been out for 8 days before April, which will be ~50% of its box office.
Exactly how I see it. Hunger Games will gross more opening weekend domestically then Titanic will gross its entire domestic run
Messofanego
Banned
You see this picture? It is from a Hunger Games event for the movie. And not even a big one. It isn't the premeire or anything. Just a mall event in the mid-west for the film.
Count the number of boys there. I got 2.
Liquidsnake
Banned
This movie needed
Or
Or
ViewtifulJC
Banned
Ya know, I haven't seen John Carter(yet), but it seems everyone has been so eager to hate it. Even the POSITIVE reviews are like, "Eh, its not as fucking TERRIBLE as I thought it was gonna be...3/5". I read some pretty crazy, hateful stuff about it and its creators. Nikki Finke, in particular, was just brutal towards Stanton.
"To summarize: this flop is the result of a studio trying to indulge Pixar Of an arrogant director who ignored everybodys warnings that he was making a film too faithful to Edgar Rice Burroughss first novel in the Barsoom series A Princess of Mars Of the failure of Dick Cook, and Rich Ross, and Bob Iger to rein in Stantons excessive ego or pull the plug on the movies bloated budget Of really rotten marketing that failed to explain the significant or scope of the films Civil War-to-Mars story and character arcs and instead made the 3D movie look way as generic as its eventual title Disagree all you want, but Hollywood is telling me that competent marketing could have drawn in women with the love story, or attracted younger males who werent fanboys of the source material. Instead the campaign was as rigid and confusing as the movie itself, not to mention that Before Star Wars, Before Avatar tag line should have come at the start and not at the finish. But even more I think John Carter is a product of mogul wuss-ism as much as it is misplaced talent worship."
However good or bad this movie actually is, everybody decided to treat it like it was the new Ishtar right from the beginning. Seems a little unfair.
"To summarize: this flop is the result of a studio trying to indulge Pixar Of an arrogant director who ignored everybodys warnings that he was making a film too faithful to Edgar Rice Burroughss first novel in the Barsoom series A Princess of Mars Of the failure of Dick Cook, and Rich Ross, and Bob Iger to rein in Stantons excessive ego or pull the plug on the movies bloated budget Of really rotten marketing that failed to explain the significant or scope of the films Civil War-to-Mars story and character arcs and instead made the 3D movie look way as generic as its eventual title Disagree all you want, but Hollywood is telling me that competent marketing could have drawn in women with the love story, or attracted younger males who werent fanboys of the source material. Instead the campaign was as rigid and confusing as the movie itself, not to mention that Before Star Wars, Before Avatar tag line should have come at the start and not at the finish. But even more I think John Carter is a product of mogul wuss-ism as much as it is misplaced talent worship."
However good or bad this movie actually is, everybody decided to treat it like it was the new Ishtar right from the beginning. Seems a little unfair.
Agreed, my wife despises Twilight but is super hyped for Hunger Games as are the people at my work (I work in a college library)
I think its going to do pretty big numbers
crazy monkey
Banned
This movie needed
Or
True.
This movie needed
Or
It needed Sam Worthington? The most boring and generic action 'star' alive?
Everyone wanted to be able to write these stories. They drive hits and controversy. Big budget sci-fi swords-and-sandals movie? They were salivating over failure ages ago. Marketing sure as hell didn't help matters, but damn. The movie was doomed from all angles, aside from the actual quality of it.
SCULLIBUNDO
Banned
Nope. We're all talking about April numbers. You think HG is going to make more money than Titanic in April? Titanic is an April release and HG will most likely be very front loaded.
kame-sennin
Member
The word of mouth for the Hunger Games books was incredibly powerful (and transcended myopic demographic analysis). If the movie captures the appeal of the book, I would not underestimate it.
Meh, that's honestly neither here nor there. Who cares how much money HG makes in its second month. Still, I really wouldn't be surprised if still outgrossed Titanic in just April.
I also question the general audiences' desire for paying to watch Titanic yet again. There's no fanboy factor here like in other re-releases, either.
SCULLIBUNDO
Banned
April will be a fun month indeed.
The Hunger Games has potential to be absolutely massive. Seeing Cameron stans argue about this is ironic, because his movies have the same ingredients: romance, drama and action.
Cameron movies are also spectacular, so that's the one (big) hurdle THG needs to clear. If the movie meets expectations, I don't see how it will not annihilate everything in March and April.
I will be there for Titanic several times though. neverletgo.gif
Cameron movies are also spectacular, so that's the one (big) hurdle THG needs to clear. If the movie meets expectations, I don't see how it will not annihilate everything in March and April.
I will be there for Titanic several times though. neverletgo.gif
I was reading the post and that threw me off.
XiaNaphryz
LATIN, MATRIPEDICABUS, DO YOU SPEAK IT
If you're brave enough to venture over to the Pop-Gaf thread, you can try figure it out! ;P
Stalker + Fan. It comes from that Eminem song.
I think it was the way it was used that had me scratching my head. "Cameron stans" sounds a little weird.
SCULLIBUNDO
Banned
Get with the times pops.
Course Sculli marks out for Cameron so hard
Marks out for Cameron? What the fuck are you kids talking about these days? English motherfucker.
In 300 years, longafter hip-hop is gone, the adjective "Stan" and the expression "To Ether Someone" will remain. And people will read on Wikipedia about them. And I shall say: "I was there, when that became a thing!"
Yes, I will be 300 years old.
XiaNaphryz
LATIN, MATRIPEDICABUS, DO YOU SPEAK IT
Not a wrestling fan either I take it. Though that term has somewhat entered more into the mainstream lexicon over the years.
ViewtifulJC
Banned
Don't know what mark means?
whatamark.gif
whatamark.gif
Don't know what mark means?
fixed.
SCULLIBUNDO
Banned
I thought I was on your ignore list for ruining Naomie Harris' turn as James Bond?
ViewtifulJC
Banned
I calmed down a bit and realized you were a good guy even if you're still a douche for spoiling something like that in the open. I mean, FUCK, man
so uh
yaaay
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