Support NeoGAF

[CFMOORE!]

I don't care as I'm so hyped for it. As long as it does well it's all good.

yeah, easily the one film i care most about this year. i love ridley and want the man to have a huge hit.

 

[SCULLIBUNDO]

I'm willing to bet Spiderman and Batman have more appeal world wide than The Hobbit does.

Can I make a bet with you too, Yamato?

I'll make a 6 month avatar bet with you that The Hobbit's worldwide take will outgross Spider-man's worldwide take.

 

[DMczaf]

I'm willing to bet Batman can beat up Spider-Man.

 

[TheKaeptain]

Can I make a bet with you too, Yamato?

I'll make a 6 month avatar bet with you that The Hobbit's worldwide take will outgross Spider-man's worldwide take.

Can't. That would betray my love and future wife Lee Min Jung.

 

[3N16MA]

I'm willing to bet Batman can beat up Spider-Man.

I bet Tony Stark gets more ass than Bruce Wayne.

 

[SCULLIBUNDO]

Can't. That would betray my love and future wife Lee Min Jung.

What's the matter, Yamato? You yella?

 

[TheKaeptain]

What's the matter, Yamato? You yella?

Sorry but I am not Marty Mcfly.

 

[Ninja Scooter]

All this talk of Batman and Spiderman is reminding me of this classic gem:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=retFJxRiUEo

 

[DMczaf]

All this talk of Batman and Spiderman is reminding me of this classic gem:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=retFJxRiUEo

"The police are on their way, Batman!" gets me everytime. It's like the ending of The Dark Knight, if Batman was still living in his parent's house....wait, he does.

 

[SCULLIBUNDO]

All this talk of Batman and Spiderman is reminding me of this classic gem:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=retFJxRiUEo

LOL! 'The police are on their way, Batman!'

"The police are on their way, Batman!" gets me everytime. It's like the ending of The Dark Knight, if Batman was still living in his parent's house....wait, he does.

I laughed.

 

[The Outsider]

All this talk of Batman and Spiderman is reminding me of this classic gem:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=retFJxRiUEo

I prefer this:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F7-TQdN40Dk

 

[TheKaeptain]

"The police are on their way, Batman!" gets me everytime. It's like the ending of The Dark Knight, if Batman was still living in his parent's house....wait, he does.

LMAO

 

[PhoenixDark]

All this talk of Batman and Spiderman is reminding me of this classic gem:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=retFJxRiUEo

"Why's he slapping, dad?"

 

[Emwitus]

Just watched hunger games and boy o boy. First movie i've ever slept in. The loud BOOM woke me up when the guys started dying. What a terrible movie, the ending kinda saved it...kinda.

 

[Edmond Dantès]

I'm willing to bet Spiderman and Batman have more appeal world wide than The Hobbit does.

You're underestimating the allure of the story of the third best selling novel of all time behind A Tale of Two Cities and LOTR. The Tolkien fanbase around the world is huge, even more so after the trilogy.

 

[Busty]

Ice Age might do a billion in WW BO.

Ice Age 4 will gross $1 billion WW.

I'd be more willing to be that Ice Age 4 would do a billion WW compared to Amazing Spiderman. The Ice Age movies do monster business internationally .

I think people are under-estimating TAS (The Amazing Spider-man for those asking what TAS/TSM stands for) and for good reason. Reboot, new actors, new story arc etc. IMO at the end of their BO runs, both Hobbit and TAS will be close.

I can't even begin to tell you how much of a disappointment this would be for WB if The Hobbit ends up in a 'photo finish' with TAS at the box office.

You're underestimating the allure of the story of the third best selling novel of all time behind A Tale of Two Cities and LOTR. The Tolkien fanbase around the world is huge, even more so after the trilogy.

I agree with this wholeheartedly. The LOTR fanbase, even now, are still rabid. The sales of all the LOTR box sets and Blu Ray special.... yadda-yadda-yadda prove this.

The Hobbit will be huge.

 

[vicissitudes]

Damn, 7 pages...it's like an NPD thread without all the bannings.

 

[G_Berry]

Just got back from watching the hunger games and I don't really understand the hype.

Maybe I'm just too old? I thought it was a bit shit.

 

[SCULLIBUNDO]

Just got back from watching the hunger games and I don't really understand the hype.

Maybe I'm just too old? I thought it was a bit shit.

Naw, the movie was garbage.

 

[Cheebo]

Domestic:
The Dark Knight Rises > The Hobbit > The Hunger Games > The Avengers > The Amazing Spider-Man

Worldwide:
The Hobbit > The Dark Knight Rises > The Avengers > The Amazing Spider-Man > The Hunger Games


Both Hobbit and DKR will do over 1 billion worldwide.

TDK will do about 450 domestic, Hobbit about 380, Hunger games about 310, Avengers about 275, Amazing Spider-Man about 250.

 

[Alrus]

Ice Age 4 will do really well worldwide but it'll "bomb" in the US just like Ice Age 3. 1 Billion worldwide might be a bit too much to ask for.

 

[Cheebo]

Ice Age 4 will do really well worldwide but it'll "bomb" in the US just like Ice Age 3. 1 Billion worldwide might be a bit too much to ask for.

Oh yeah I forgot about Ice Age, I'd put that in #3 worldwide ahead of Avengers then.

 

[Busty]

Ice Age 4 will do really well worldwide but it'll "bomb" in the US just like Ice Age 3. 1 Billion worldwide might be a bit too much to ask for.

A $196m gross is a bomb?

Worldwide:
The Hobbit > The Dark Knight Rises > The Avengers > Tyler Perry's The Marriage Counselor > The Hunger Games.

*folds arms*

.....Amazing Spider-Man about 250.

Personally I think that TAS may struggle to get anywhere near figure that but if it does do 250 in NA it will be interesting to see if Sony see that as a 'win' or not considering that Spidey is their biggest franchise.

 

[GTP_Daverytimes]

SP3 did very well OS (better than TDK). Spidy will do well OS while not being as big as a hit domestically.

That's exactly the argument i gave, TASM will no doubt rake in money overseas but am still not sure how well it will do in America.

 

[vicissitudes]

Domestic:
The Dark Knight Rises > The Hobbit > The Hunger Games > The Avengers > The Amazing Spider-Man

Worldwide:
The Hobbit > The Dark Knight Rises > The Avengers > The Amazing Spider-Man > The Hunger Games


Both Hobbit and DKR will do over 1 billion worldwide.

TDK will do about 450 domestic, Hobbit about 380, Hunger games about 310, Avengers about 275, Amazing Spider-Man about 250.

Pretty much agreed with the order, I think TDKR has a good chance of doing 500+ and Hobbit can do anywhere from 300-400. Also ASM might beat Avengers WW.

 

[Solo]

BTW Is Canada included when BOM mention domestic BO?

Yes. Domestic = North America. Canada only accounts for like 5% of the total, though.

 

[twinturbo2]

I'm looking on forecasts on Deadline. Mirror Mirror is slated to open at $20.8 million, Titanic 3D at about $30.5 million, American Reunion at a bit over $30 million, and Wrath of the Titans at over $40 million.

Talk amongst yourselves.

 

[Busty]

I'm looking on forecasts on Deadline. Mirror Mirror is slated to open at $20.8 million, Titanic 3D at about $30.5 million, American Reunion at a bit over $30 million, and Wrath of the Titans at over $40 million.

Talk amongst yourselves.

I have a feeling that Wrath of the Titans will do better than $40m between IMAX and 3D etc.

 

[Jokergrin]

Saw the movie, I thought it was mediocre.

Can't believe the BO on this thing. I suspect it must be the Harry Potter crowd migrating to a new series.

 

[GhaleonEB]

I'm looking on forecasts on Deadline. Mirror Mirror is slated to open at $20.8 million, Titanic 3D at about $30.5 million, American Reunion at a bit over $30 million, and Wrath of the Titans at over $40 million.

Talk amongst yourselves.

Will be interesting to see how front-loaded Titanic is. I suspect it will once again have good legs, though of course not what it did before.

 

[WrikaWrek]

I don't understand the thought process behind Wrath of the Titans. The first film was pretty shit, so they decided to get an even worse director and make the movie look even more shit, and even more like an xbox game.

 

[Busty]

I don't understand the thought process behind Wrath of the Titans. The first film was pretty shit, so they decided to get an even worse director and make the movie look even more shit, and even more like an xbox game.

Two words.

International. Markets.

 

[Meier]

I'm looking on forecasts on Deadline. Mirror Mirror is slated to open at $20.8 million, Titanic 3D at about $30.5 million, American Reunion at a bit over $30 million, and Wrath of the Titans at over $40 million.

Talk amongst yourselves.

American Reunion will do closer to $40 and Titanic closer to $45 IMO (with a fairly large ceiling). Titans will do $42-45.

 

[ShinAmano]

So...for Prometheus...why are they playing down (or not mentioning) the fact that it is the prequel to Alien?

I was at a party and no one knew it had anything to do with Alien, but when I mentioned it they got excited.

 

[WrikaWrek]

Two words.

International. Markets.

The first one only did a bit under 500 million worldwide. Terrible word of mouth isn't gonna help a sequel that already look so much shittier than the original.

edit: Titanic will do a 30 mill opening. Don't see any reason why it should suddenly do much more than what Lion King 3D did.

 

[Busty]

The first one only did a bit under 500 million worldwide. Terrible word of mouth isn't gonna help a sequel that already look so much shittier than the original.

Only? WHAT?!

Do you know how rare it is for a film to do those sorts of numbers?

 

[FairyD]

It's true, this is the sales thread of OT.

 

[Meier]

Harry Potter, TSM, Batman, Transformers, can be easily compared BO wise to LOTR.

This is somewhat misleading as the worldwide box office has increased in recent years and the LOTR trilogy was at the forefront of the recent explosion in consistent overseas revenues. I think The Hobbit will do $1.2-1.3 billion worldwide (coming in at #4 all time).

 

[WrikaWrek]

Only? WHAT?!

Do you know how rare it is for a film to do those sorts of numbers?

What I'm trying to say is, the movie didn't exactly crack a billion, and thus isn't immunized of any sort of bad word of mouth and shitty marketing.

 

[Kusagari]

What I'm trying to say is, the movie didn't exactly crack a billion, and thus isn't immunized of any sort of bad word of mouth and shitty marketing.

Bad word of mouth won't effect it overseas. I bet it makes more overseas than Clash, and it will still make over 100m in the US.

 

[BattleMonkey]

So...for Prometheus...why are they playing down (or not mentioning) the fact that it is the prequel to Alien?

I was at a party and no one knew it had anything to do with Alien, but when I mentioned it they got excited.

They were saying that it also really wan't a prequel but something that goes off in another direction.

 

[3N16MA]

69% drop for HG on Monday which is a larger drop than any Twilight film on it's 4th day. It grossed $10.8M which is around what the Twilight series does.

 

[Solo]

Second weekend will be REALLY interesting. Will it have a mega drop? Time will tell!

 

[Joe Shlabotnik]

So...for Prometheus...why are they playing down (or not mentioning) the fact that it is the prequel to Alien?

I was at a party and no one knew it had anything to do with Alien, but when I mentioned it they got excited.

It's kinda sorta a secret, but also just tangentially related, apparently. Probably difficult to not oversell the connection just by mentioning it.

 

[twinturbo2]

69% drop for HG on Monday which is a larger drop than any Twilight film on it's 4th day. It grossed $10.8M which is around what the Twilight series does.

Ouch. I hope it does $50 million week two. That would be good.

 

[G-Fex]

Naw, the movie was garbage.

I'm so happy you enjoyed it Sculli

 

[3N16MA]

The Avengers is going to have a $130M+ OW. I don't understand how some think it's going to open under $100M.

 

[SCULLIBUNDO]

The Avengers is going to have a $130M+ OW. I don't understand how some think it's going to open under $100M.

Obviously because Salmon Fishing in the Yemen will still be going strong.

 

[3N16MA]

Obviously because Salmon Fishing in the Yemen will still be going strong.

I always forget about the fishing.

 

[Sho_Nuff82]

What I'm trying to say is, the movie didn't exactly crack a billion, and thus isn't immunized of any sort of bad word of mouth and shitty marketing.

I think just saying "fuck it" to the source material and playing to the God of War crowd will make it more popular in the states, not less.