April 2011 NPD Predictions - closes May 9

Frillen said:
The whole PSN breach was only known for a few days in April though wasn't it?
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Week and a half iirc.

NateDrake said:
Pachter: An up month (and up a lot) for NPD. 'Bout time. Good games make a difference.

From Greenberg: 54 million Xbox 360 consoles sold now world wide
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Should hit between 55-56M this quarter and somwhere over 14M for the fiscal year.
 
Its amazing how the 360 has turned it around. Last year it was fighting neck and neck with the PS3 for second place and now a year later it has taken over first place consistently.
 
Seda said:
Gamasutra relayed Xbox 360 games that are in the top 10.

Top ten games at U.S. retail for the month included Xbox 360 versions of Mortal Kombat, Portal 2, Crysis 2, Tiger Woods PGA Tour 12: The Masters and Michael Jackson: The Experience, according to NPD.

http://www.gamasutra.com/view/news/...l_Kinect_Portfolio_To_See_Big_2011_Boost.php?
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Back to the math class for you Gamasutra.

Microsoft pointed out that it's also "been the top selling console in the United States for 10 out of the last 11 months and is the best selling console in 2011."
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Going to be interesting to see how the Wii price drop impacts this run.
 
Seda said:
Gamasutra relayed Xbox 360 games that are in the top 10.

Top ten games at U.S. retail for the month included Xbox 360 versions of Mortal Kombat, Portal 2, Crysis 2, Tiger Woods PGA Tour 12: The Masters and Michael Jackson: The Experience, according to NPD.

http://www.gamasutra.com/view/news/...l_Kinect_Portfolio_To_See_Big_2011_Boost.php?
Click to expand...

I'm assuming they had at typo with the 267.

5 games in the individual chart. PS3 MK and portal 2 probably close enough in sales to also be in the top 10
 
Jtyettis said:
Back to the math class for you Gamasutra.
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Those are just the Xbox 360 titles that are included in the top ten.

I'm not sure if those are by old top ten rules (Top ten of individual skus) or new top ten rules (top ten by title).




Nvm I see what you were pointing out
 
Via: IndustryGamers
npdapril2011.png
 
Kagari said:
Since the 20th.

And with those $100 off coupons going out, that'll probably help to some extent.
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Pretty sure it was 25th or 26th. The breach happened from 17-19, but we didn't knew until a week later that it was a breach.
 
UberTag said:
His Portal 2 numbers seem way too high.
His Mortal Kombat numbers seem way too low.
Hardware numbers appear reasonable.
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Jtyettis said:
MK on top nice. Almost a little surprised it bested Portal 2. Still likes the old top ten way better.
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I knew Pachter's numbers were off.
Still think it's ridiculous that Pokemon Black & White aren't considered a single SKU. Likely would have cracked the Top 5 if they were.
 
top ten shaping up, although not the order at least the skus.

360:Mortal Kombat, Portal 2, Crysis 2, Tiger Woods PGA Tour 12: The Masters and Michael Jackson: The Experience

PS3 MK , Portal 2 more than likely.

Wii- Just dance 2. probably wii verson of clone wars

ds- pokemon
 
Dedication Through Light said:
So mortal komabt did more on PS3 than 360? Shocking.
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Not shocking at all, fighting games have had a higher percentage on PS3 and when you add in the extra content that usually what happens.

Shocking would be the PS3 version doing more in May.
 
Dedication Through Light said:
So mortal komabt did more on PS3 than 360? Shocking.
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Not really. PS3 love their fighting games.

I'd be awfully curious to know what's in first between Portal 2 X360 and Mortal Kombat PS3. It defies logic given the bundled PC version and the combined Top 10 rankings but I'd almost bet Portal 2 X360 sold better.
 
I told you guys.

And none of the games planned before the Fall will really boost the hardware unless Nintendo slashes the price hard.
 
Dedication Through Light said:
Well looks like Mr. Pachter called that one. I wonder if even the PSP sold more than it.
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Highly doubt it. While they did say that the PSP had some growth over April 2010, it only sold 65.5K in April 2010. It would need to gain more than triple its sales to match the rumored 3DS number of ~200k.
 
Jonsoncao said:
Totally forgot this

anyway I ll post my predictions

[360] 300k
[3DS] 200k
[NDS] 280k
[PS3] 250k
[WII] 210k
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my 360 and 3DS predictions are pretty close...oh well, I should set a Google calendar event for next month
 
April 2011 NeoGAF NPD Prediction Results

Units

1. Pachter - 116,000
2. demonturkey - 142,000
3. Hiro_Kunimi_80 - 161,000
4. Goldmund - 172,000
5. doicare - 176,000
5. Strike - 176,000
7. allan-bh - 179,000
8. Jesse2040 - 181,000
9. Elios83 - 216,000
10. rostocker - 242,000
11. mug - 246,000
12. Zero-Crescent - 255,000
13. starship - 286,000
14. siyrobbo - 290,000
15. Jokeropia - 305,000
16. SuperBanjo - 306,000
16. Megadragon15 - 306,000
18. Saiyar - 320,000
19. confuziz - 321,000
20. NeoUltima - 345,000
21. archnemesis - 350,000
22. rayner - 351,000
23. Rekwest - 361,000
24. scottnak - 363,000
25. Graphics Horse - 384,000
26. Averon - 385,000
27. Osuwari - 396,000
27. pitseleh - 396,000
27. Dedication Through Light - 396,000
30. GAF_Agg - 397,500
31. Road - 407,000
32. Gaborn - 414,000
33. Brakara - 421,000
34. Indyana - 426,000
35. Hammer24 - 431,000
35. jvm - 431,000
35. miladesn - 431,000
35. NateDrake - 431,000
39. Credo - 466,000
40. bakemono - 476,000
40. botticus - 476,000
42. Orgen - 480,000
43. SonicX_Zero - 481,000
44. Blitzzz - 486,000
45. perfectchaos007 - 501,000
46. DR2K - 516,000
47. andy_lhc - 526,000
48. donny2112 - 541,000
49. Ydahs - 592,000
50. dvolovets - 596,000
51. onQ123 - 616,000
52. kefka2030 - 637,000
53. uchihasasuke - 646,000
54. Aad - 681,000
55. antonz - 746,000
56. Scott32020 - 786,000


Points

Code: 
     April 2011                  Overall 2011 (Top 3/4 months)
1.   Pachter           106.23    Zero-Crescent       305.19
2.   demonturkey        98.19    Pachter             290.2
3.   Hiro_Kunimi_80     95.26    NeoUltima           280.49
4.   Goldmund           91.15    Jesse2040           263.59
5.   doicare            89.49    confuziz            259.38
6.   Strike             88.76    Road                258.75
7.   allan-bh           86.87    pitseleh            253.86
8.   Jesse2040          86.39    donny2112           250.14
9.   starship           82.09    Hiro_Kunimi_80      249.63
10.  Elios83            80.95    GhaleonEB           249.39
11.  rostocker          78.13    Goldmund            248.18
12.  mug                77.02    doicare             243.81
13.  Zero-Crescent      75.98    Saiyar              243.34
14.  siyrobbo           71.75    antonz              242.9
15.  NeoUltima          71.67    Strike              241.49
16.  Megadragon15       71.01    archnemesis         240.39
17.  SuperBanjo         70.69    Elios83             238.24
18.  Saiyar             69.86    Hammer24            238.09
19.  Jokeropia          69.42    Jonsoncao           237.77
20.  confuziz           69.14    rostocker           236.41
21.  rayner             67.09    Ydahs               236.16
22.  archnemesis        66.07    jamesinclair        234.74
23.  Rekwest            66.02    Indyana             234.72
24.  scottnak           65.49    Dr. Feel Good       233.78
25.  Blitzzz            64.74    kefka2030           233.65
26.  Graphics Horse     63.94    rayner              233.13
27.  Averon             63.24    SuperBanjo          232.89
28.  Osuwari            61.36    starship            230.45
29.  Dedication Through 61.23    botticus            229.99
30.  Brakara            60.89    AdventureRacing     228.42
31.  NateDrake          60.7     Megadragon15        227.9
32.  Road               60.54    scottnak            226.99
33.  pitseleh           60.09    skedar897           226.45
34.  jvm                59.8     SonicX_Zero         225
35.  Gaborn             59.11    Jokeropia           224.26
36.  Indyana            58.6     jvm                 223.23
37.  miladesn           58.28    Scott32020          220.47
38.  Hammer24           56.72    BLaZiN PRopHeT      220.25
39.  DR2K               55.4     bakemono            219.23
40.  Credo              55.23    Teetris             218.25
41.  Orgen              55.2     timetokill          215.65
42.  dvolovets          55.19    Gaborn              213.47
43.  SonicX_Zero        54.97    Osuwari             211.88
44.  bakemono           54.8     Kenka               211.51
45.  botticus           54.39    Dedication Through L205.69
46.  perfectchaos007    52.33    Orgen               204
47.  donny2112          50.88    perfectchaos007     203.03
48.  andy_lhc           48.81    Brakara             202.82
49.  Ydahs              45.19    Aad                 201.89
50.  kefka2030          43.7     andy_lhc            191.23

Congratulation, Michael Pachter/Wedbush Securities! :D
 
donny2112 said:
Post was at 8:03 EDT. Close, but just a smidgen late. :(



Sure. You would've been 9th by units (240K) and 11th by points (79.43).
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Arrgh. Would've been my best month. So unfair :(

I'm not blaming you, rules are rules, just sucks is all!
 
Dedication Through Light said:
59th - Jan
32nd - Feb
63rd - Mar

Wow, I really cant break the Top 30th mark and someone kicked me out of the Top 50, wow.
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29th - Apr

Yes I finally broke the Top 30! Im movin on up, and Im back in the top 50. I think I was just a bit high for every system.
 
Ha Pachter won a month, well what d'ya know.

Especially as i missed a month i'm going to pay more attention to my predicitions for the rest of year, can't have Pach finish above me :)
 
donny2112 said:
Post was at 8:03 EDT. Close, but just a smidgen late. :(



Sure. You would've been 9th by units (240K) and 11th by points (79.43).
Click to expand...

sadface...I thought I would overtake Patcher's 1st place, wouldn't I? :p
 
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