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Back to the Center, Democrats (NYT Op-ed)

The Dems won't win by being Republican lite. If people want what the GOP are offering, then that's what they'll vote for.

The Dems need a charismatic candidate with a good message and strategy. Shifting to the right just gives you what the GOP would have given you.

Dems need to be able to win without the need of a charismatic candidate. Because we're probably not going to be able to find 1 of those president plus the ones needed for swing senate seats plus the ones needed for swing house seats plus the ones needed for governorships. Republicans are winning because they can win on policy even when their candidate is a complete dickhead. Democrats need to change/fix that.
 
I really like the take that Democrats shouldn't focus on trans issues.

What state was ground zero for trans issues thanks to the "bathroom bill"?

Who won that race?
 

Kthulhu

Member
Dems need to be able to win without the need of a charismatic candidate. Because we're probably not going to be able to find 1 of those president plus the ones needed for swing senate seats plus the ones needed for swing house seats plus the ones needed for governorships. Republicans are winning because they can win on policy even when their candidate is a complete dickhead. Democrats need to change/fix that.

I was mainly referring to the presidency. Senate and House are a whole different ballgame.
 

RDreamer

Member
Dems need to be able to win without the need of a charismatic candidate. Because we're probably not going to be able to find 1 of those president plus the ones needed for swing senate seats plus the ones needed for swing house seats plus the ones needed for governorships. Republicans are winning because they can win on policy even when their candidate is a complete dickhead. Democrats need to change/fix that.

Republicans don't win on policy. They don't have a policy. Look at what they're doing for healthcare. They win on scare tactics, propaganda, and fear. They win by being the cynical party. They win because they have too many win conditions. They say government sucks so if they go in and ruin shit they can just shrug and say we told you so.

I really like the take that Democrats shouldn't focus on trans issues.

What state was ground zero for trans issues thanks to the "bathroom bill"?

Who won that race?

lol, yeah that was what I said in my first post. Like... where is this hot take even fucking coming from? Did Hillary even really talk about bathrooms that damned much or something?
 
I can't fucking stand centrism and moderates because of shit like this. America doesn't need to go back to the center of the American political spectrum. We're already too far right as it fucking is, and if I hear one more person blame identity politics I'm going to pull out their brain, as soon as I can find it with a fucking microscope.
 

aliengmr

Member
The biggest reason we're losing in many of those races (especially things like state legislature) is that we're really not paying attention to them, and Republicans are (and are putting money where their mouth is). Not because our message is off.

But what good is having the right message if the very people that message is supposed to attract aren't paying any attention?

The further left you go in this country, the fewer voters exist that you can count on to actually vote. Add to that the obsession with absolute purity and protest votes and the left becomes very risky to appeal to.

I don't agree that Democrats have to move to the center, but they may not have a choice unless voters can actually unite behind (and vote for) a common message.

Maybe 8 years of Trump and his shit policies will be what gets voters on the left to actually do something, because the message, regardless how right it is, isn't enough at this point.
 

entremet

Member
Just for reference, Bernie wrote an Op-ed last month on how Dems can win again as well.

https://mobile.nytimes.com/2017/06/...-how-democrats-can-stop-losing-elections.html

Way different take from Penn.

While Democrats should appeal to moderate Republicans who are disgusted with the Trump presidency, too many in our party cling to an overly cautious, centrist ideology. The party's main thrust must be to make politics relevant to those who have given up on democracy and bring millions of new voters into the political process. It must be prepared to take on the right-wing extremist ideology of the Koch brothers and the billionaire class, and fight for an economy and a government that work for all, not just the 1 percent.

Donald Trump wants to throw 23 million Americans off health insurance. Democrats must guarantee health care to all as a right, through a Medicare-for-all, single-payer program.
 

Dierce

Member
This is hilarious. Republicans are the most right wing party in the world, serious extremists, and the only option is for Democrats to move closer to their side? Those racists who keep voting for republicans will never vote for a democrat even if that democrat said exactly what they wanted to hear.
 
Dems need to be able to win without the need of a charismatic candidate. Because we're probably not going to be able to find 1 of those president plus the ones needed for swing senate seats plus the ones needed for swing house seats plus the ones needed for governorships. Republicans are winning because they can win on policy even when their candidate is a complete dickhead. Democrats need to change/fix that.

"Democrats fall in love, Republicans fall in line" is something Democrats tell themselves to avoid admitting that the GOP is simply far more competent at electoral politics than they are.

In reality, there's no fundamental difference between how left-of-center and right-of-center voters' brains work.
 

entremet

Member
This is hilarious. Republicans are the most right wing party in the world, serious extremists, and the only option is for Democrats to move closer to their side? Those racists who keep voting for republicans will never vote for a democrat even if that democrat said exactly what they wanted to hear.

Well for G20 nations, definitely. The American GOP sure are something lol
 
They need a candidate who the people like, period. Clearly people didn't like Hillary, as she had the lowest approval rating of any candidate in history (at least, since we have been taking census), except for Trump. The party should have never pushed for someone who had so much history and had no hope of changing peoples minds. They need to put the people who are likely to win on top, not the ones they want to win.

The most popular politician in the country, right now, is Bernie Sanders. If they model off of him, they could do much better. They see everything from a money perspective still, even after losing with twice the money.
 
Democrats <-----------|-------------------------------------------------->Republicans


The republicans are so far right that the "center" pulls you deep into republican territory.
 

Nepenthe

Member
The 2016 election wasn't a referendum on policy.

This.

We didn't lose because we had unpalatable policies.

We lost a culture war that favored white supremacy, fear of the other, and the freedom to be an asshole.

Republicans have the worse policy ideas. The fallout from the administration's shenanigans on a lot of his support is visible and obvious.

However, they're extremely good at making it seem like if you don't vote for the guy with an R next to his name, you're ushering in the apocalypse.

The only way I see to really counter this is with better messaging and canvassing- put out ads, e-mails, and calls that hammer Republicans on their sociopathy and hypocrisy while doing work in building bridges of empathy between centrists/independents and Democrats.

None of this means sacrificing your values.
Hell, Dems don't have much room to do that, because the minority backbone is here because of said values. Fuck over our basic rights for the white man's wallet, and you will slowly but surely lose us.
 

RDreamer

Member
"Democrats fall in love, Republicans fall in line" is something Democrats tell themselves to avoid admitting that the GOP is simply far more competent at electoral politics than they are.

I'm going to bring this up again because I really think it's true. Republicans are good at electoral politics because they have too many win conditions. Their argument is that government sucks, so if they get in and things get worse they can just say "Yeah government is terrible, we agree. Let's get rid of more of it." If they get in and somehow do something people like, then they win that way.
 

Kthulhu

Member
Democrats <-----------|-------------------------------------------------->Republicans


The republicans are so far right that the "center" pulls you deep into republican territory.

QFT

"Democrats fall in love, Republicans fall in line" is something Democrats tell themselves to avoid admitting that the GOP is simply far more competent at electoral politics than they are.

In reality, there's no fundamental difference between how left-of-center and right-of-center voters' brains work.

Yeah, they're both the dumbest part of the electorate.
 

Hari Seldon

Member
There is a nugget of truth to this. Maybe moving to the center is the wrong way to phrase it. But appeal to working class voters more than they have. "Its the economy, stupid." is more apt than ever. Instead of selling single payer healthcare as something to help out poor people, sell it as a big economic motivator allowing workers to quit their job and start up their own business. Don't let the Republicans out-populist them on easy targets like H1B Visa reform. And most importantly, if you want to appeal to the working class don't chose a pro-Wall Street candidate.
 

slit

Member
The path back to power for the Democratic Party today, as it was in the 1990s, is unquestionably to move to the center and reject the siren calls of the left

Yeah, this didn't really work in the 90's. True we had a Democratic president but it took the Iraq War for Dems to get back congress which wasn't until 2006. In fact that strategy pretty much cost Gore the election.
 
I really like the take that Democrats shouldn't focus on trans issues.

What state was ground zero for trans issues thanks to the "bathroom bill"?

Who won that race?

I always get a kick out of people implying that Democrats are wasting people's time with "bathrooms" when it was Republicans that decided to turn it into a political battle in the first place.

Trump being in the White House means that we should apparently stop standing up for LGBT being considered sexual predators.
 
Republicans win while promising the world while taking as much as they can from the people.

Democrats lose by promising nothing because they want to be realistic.

When you're campaigning, say you will fight to the death for the people who vote for you and they will vote for you even if what you are promising is unrealistic at the moment. If enough people get elected who promise the same shit you are, it just might be possible.
 

G.ZZZ

Member
America is too far gone in the right wing kool-aid propaganda. It's an unsalvageable mess and every day i get more shocked on how the state even actually work with how it treats its citizens.
 
This was written by Mark Penn, a Clinton campaign manager that basically told her to use Obama`s racial background as an attack in 2008. He is a DINO.
 

Mr.Mike

Member
The Democrats need to do away with this idea that they need to choose some wing of the party and that they can win without minorities, whites, gays, socialists, liberals, centrists and maybe even some Burkean conservatives and some libertarians. Essentially the notion that an election can be won by winning some ideological battle instead of building a coalition of people who don't want the current Republican party in power.
 

Cyframe

Member
My concern is this type of rhetoric further taking over the party. The authors of this are worthless but far too many of those who are on the left and democrats seem to be grasping at this type of thinking in the face of Trump's horrible admin.

Meanwhile, minorities don't have great accessibility to the polls due to the voting rights act being gutted. I wonder if that had an effect on people getting to the poll?

Giving a platform to people like Mark Penn further obfuscates Democratic messaging moving forward because Trump has many of us in a panic.
 

Balphon

Member
I tried to read this yesterday and couldn't get more than a third of the way through it.

I couldn't tell if the authors were disingenuous or just dense.
 
Just for reference, Bernie wrote an Op-ed last month on how Dems can win again as well.

https://mobile.nytimes.com/2017/06/...-how-democrats-can-stop-losing-elections.html

Way different take from Penn.
I agree with him here.

The party needs to go hard left and start unifying constituents with a critical theorist type identity that it's a grass roots party against a common enemy of the corporate oligarchs and 1%ers. Also include an attack against identity politics where democrats tell the accurate narrative that republicans are a racist white nazi party that is splitting America apart and depriving people of voting. Democrats let republicans get away with forming factions while the party tries to be this center left catch all with a murky agenda.
 
Reminder: Democrats have lost two nationwide popular votes in 30 years, 1988 and 2004.

And I'm reminded of the of the post someone had here a few days ago: the country has moved so far right that being 'moderate' now means compromising with racists/capitalists and absolutely ignoring progressives/socialists. How convenient.
 

Fuchsdh

Member
I genuinely think the economic center is what is killing democrats. Social issues are great at protests but they do not mobilize voters as much as their wallets do.

I tend to agree, insofar as the left's social issues are a lot harder to galvanize than the right's. Identity politics are easy to practice when it's basically "keep things the way they are" or only have to appeal to prejudiced, generally white, people.

But there's a lot I find sorta-right but wrongheaded in conclusions with the op-ed, especially in tying the idea that equality of opportunity has to be a center/center-right ideal. I haven't seen any Democrats actually articulate the difference and why that should be a goal, but that doesn't mean it's anathema to their positions, it's just a different outlook on how to achieve them.

I think going hard left is as dumb as the Republicans responding to their electoral failures by going hard right. Liberals can't play the same game and expect to win it. There's still a middle ground between "play for the center" and "cede all ground over to making racists happy" though. Dems have won the popular vote and are only more likely to as time goes on.

I agree with him here.

The party needs to go hard left and start unifying constituents with a critical theorist type identity that it's a grass roots party against a common enemy of the corporate oligarchs and 1%ers. Also include an attack against identity politics where democrats tell the accurate narrative that republicans are a racist white nazi party that is splitting America apart and depriving people of voting. Democrats let republicans get away with forming factions while the party tries to be this center left catch all with a murky agenda.

But the party is a center-left catchall. It encompasses every politically-engaged person left-of-center, and there's plenty of disagreement there. If you're arguing against the status quo you're always going to have a more fractured base of support.

The fundamental problem I see is that the arguments for swinging hard left are predicated on a chicken-or-egg scenario where you say that everyone who has not been politically engaged will suddenly jump on board because "going hard left" on everything (the details of that are?) is exactly what they want.

Young people couldn't be arsed to vote against Trump this election, so what would convince them to get to the polls? Trying to build a platform for a hopeful turnout seems ass-backwards rather than trying to win with the electorate you've got.
 
how about compromising by moving more to the left for once?

Trying to build a platform for a hopeful turnout seems ass-backwards rather than trying to win with the electorate you've got.

and yet the crystal ball poll perusing strategy where you only put effort in where the computer model says it will count was a failing one. the whole Dem strategy was to only play to the base and ignore the "lost causes". lost them the election. pursuing a losing strategy after seeing in lose in real time is dumb.
 
Only Americans think the Democrats were ever in the "left". Sure, left to the GOP but anything is left to the GOP's at times extreme-right. The Dems have been, at most, center-left.

For a true left wing party visit any country in western Europe. Or if you want failed extreme lefts go to Latin America.

The US doesnt have a true left wing party.
 

Mr.Mike

Member
how about compromising by moving more to the left for once?

Because parties aren't monoliths where you get together and decide that everyone in the party is going to adopt a certain ideology. Which is something you'd think the Democratic Party would have learned by now.
 
Democratic centrism has not produced adequate results or legislation that has properly addressed the massive transfer of wealth that has gone on over the past 40 years.

It has not brought an end to or significantly reduced mass incarceration or systematic racism

It hasn't not tackled the fact that young people can't get married, can't afford a home, can't get good paying jobs that can pay off student debt working their life times. Or can't afford crippling medical bills because they can't get good insurance plans.

We've seen the country shift from its largest employer being Ford, to Walmart. And even if they don't work at Walmart, odds are they work somewhere that treats employees more like Walmart does than employ something like Fordism.

Shit wages. No future. No hope.

Come up with a fucking plan to fix these things. Running on not making it worse like Republicans will means fuck all.

Do better or else young people will continue to fall off and be dissuaded from politics because they aren't doing shit for them.
 

Kthulhu

Member
The Democrats need to do away with this idea that they need to choose some wing of the party and that they can win without minorities, whites, gays, socialists, liberals, centrists and maybe even some Burkean conservatives and some libertarians. Essentially the notion that an election can be won by winning some ideological battle instead of building a coalition of people who don't want the current Republican party in power.

Spoilers: the people who don't want Trump in power are already Democrats. The GOP is fully behind him, or at least would never vote for a Democrat to replace him.
 

dabig2

Member
I'm going to bring this up again because I really think it's true. Republicans are good at electoral politics because they have too many win conditions. Their argument is that government sucks, so if they get in and things get worse they can just say "Yeah government is terrible, we agree. Let's get rid of more of it." If they get in and somehow do something people like, then they win that way.

Pretty much. And to expand on the "things get worse" part, to be more specific it's when they make things worse on purpose or refuse to fix something and then they blame the Dems and convince people that they never really needed the thing in the first place. And the more that thing helps people other than straight, white Christians then the easier it is to convince those folks to get rid of the thing.

Also, just posting this again because more people should read it as this hot take op-ed by the ever useless Penn is EXACTLY what the author says excoriates. Even after 40 years we're stuck in this ever loving spiral of what the author describes.

Two Santa Clauses or How The Republican Party Has Conned America for Thirty Years
Ronald Reagan was the first national Republican politician to suggest that he could cut taxes on rich people and businesses, that those tax cuts would cause them to take their surplus money and build factories or import large quantities of cheap stuff from low-labor countries, and that the more stuff there was supplying the economy the faster it would grow. George Herbert Walker Bush – like most Republicans of the time – was horrified. Ronald Reagan was suggesting "Voodoo Economics," said Bush in the primary campaign, and Wanniski's supply-side and Laffer's tax-cut theories would throw the nation into such deep debt that we'd ultimately crash into another Republican Great Depression.

But Wanniski had been doing his homework on how to sell supply-side economics. In 1976, he rolled out to the hard-right insiders in the Republican Party his "Two Santa Clauses" theory, which would enable the Republicans to take power in America for the next thirty years.

Democrats, he said, had been able to be "Santa Clauses" by giving people things from the largesse of the federal government. Republicans could do that, too – spending could actually increase. Plus, Republicans could be double Santa Clauses by cutting people's taxes! For working people it would only be a small token – a few hundred dollars a year on average – but would be heavily marketed. And for the rich it would amount to hundreds of billions of dollars in tax cuts.
The rich, in turn, would use that money to import or build more stuff to market, thus increasing supply and stimulating the economy. And that growth in the economy would mean that the people still paying taxes would pay more because they were earning more.

There was no way, Wanniski said, that the Democrats could ever win again. They'd have to be anti-Santas by raising taxes, or anti-Santas by cutting spending. Either one would lose them elections.
Reagan, Greenspan, Winniski, and Laffer took the federal budget deficit from under a trillion dollars in 1980 to almost three trillion by 1988, and back then a dollar could buy far more than it buys today. They and George HW Bush ran up more debt in eight years than every president in history, from George Washington to Jimmy Carter, combined. Surely this would both starve the beast and force the Democrats to make the politically suicidal move of becoming deficit hawks.

And that's just how it turned out. Bill Clinton, who had run on an FDR-like platform of a "new covenant" with the American people that would strengthen the institutions of the New Deal, strengthen labor, and institute a national health care system, found himself in a box. A few weeks before his inauguration, Alan Greenspan and Robert Rubin sat him down and told him the facts of life: he was going to have to raise taxes and cut the size of government. Clinton took their advice to heart, raised taxes, balanced the budget, and cut numerous programs, declaring an "end to welfare as we know it" and, in his second inaugural address, an "end to the era of big government." He was the anti-Santa Claus, and the result was an explosion of Republican wins across the country as Republican politicians campaigned on a platform of supply-side tax cuts and pork-rich spending increases.


Looking at the wreckage of the Democratic Party all around Clinton by 1999, Winniski wrote a gloating memo that said, in part: "We of course should be indebted to Art Laffer for all time for his Curve... But as the primary political theoretician of the supply-side camp, I began arguing for the 'Two Santa Claus Theory' in 1974. If the Democrats are going to play Santa Claus by promoting more spending, the Republicans can never beat them by promoting less spending. They have to promise tax cuts..."

Ed Crane, president of the Libertarian CATO Institute, noted in a memo that year: "When Jack Kemp, Newt Gingich, Vin Weber, Connie Mack and the rest discovered Jude Wanniski and Art Laffer, they thought they'd died and gone to heaven. In supply-side economics they found a philosophy that gave them a free pass out of the debate over the proper role of government. Just cut taxes and grow the economy: government will shrink as a percentage of GDP, even if you don't cut spending. That's why you rarely, if ever, heard Kemp or Gingrich call for spending cuts, much less the elimination of programs and departments."
 

Heshinsi

"playing" dumb? unpossible
LOL.

I just googled him and saw this take by Paste Magazine:






Oh I wasn't agreeing with the piece. But it's been getting a lot of play in the internet of late. See above.

All that shows me that Republican voters are fucking idiots. Republicans have ran the house and most states overwhelmingly for the last 23 years, and yet these voters keep voting them in expecting their lot in life to improve. There's no cure for stupid.
 

Jimothy

Member
I'm surprised at the all the vitriol this piece is getting on here, seeing as this is basically what GAF has been preaching in every Bernie-related thread since the election.
 

BriGuy

Member
Is there any evidence that this untapped, solid left voting bloc (who is just waiting for candidates that check all the right boxes) even exists?

I'm starting to wonder (and worry) that this country really is just that conservative at its core and there's only so much we can ask or expect of it.
 

Kuga

Member
I'm torn on this issue. We haven't had a true "left" candidate yet. Hillary and Obama, while certainly farther left than Republicans, are still center-to-right on economic issues and only swing left on social issues to the extent that they are "mainstream" safe.

The far left hasn't had an opportunity to prove that they can deliver elections (in American politics). Even Bernie's popularity, IMO had less to do with his politics than 2016 being a populist-driven election.

The centrist Democrats blundered away one of the most important elections in my lifetime and then proceeded to make excuses instead of taking a hard look at WHY they were stomped last year.

The current Democratic party has delivered nothing but hubris and failure so I'm all for changing up the status quo - if it can win elections. If we're pushing "far left" candidates that have a snowball's chance in hell of winning, why bother? Principles and moral high ground don't mean jack when you have zero power to prevent the enemy from destroying everything you've worked for.
 
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