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Bitcoin, Cryptocurrency, Blockchain, and You: Navigating the Future of Tech (a NeoGAF discussion thread)

6502

Member
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Aesius

Member
Is it theoretically possible for BTC to ever drop to $0?

At this point, what’s the lowest you guys could see it ever reaching, and would the low point likely coincide with an actual economic depression?
 

Chittagong

Gold Member
Is it theoretically possible for BTC to ever drop to $0?

At this point, what’s the lowest you guys could see it ever reaching, and would the low point likely coincide with an actual economic depression?

Sure it’s possible.I think the impact is mostly psychological, not directly financial. Banks wouldn’t do lending against crypto afaik, so most that would disappear is hot air.

Lot of crypto millionaires have been making their way to Channel Islands in the recent years. They offer a good case study on what the impact would be. Ostensibly they would have had to sell a lot of assets to afford to move there. Living there is expensive, so they would need to have sold enough crypto before the crash to cover the living expenses. If they haven’t and they lose their asset value, there will be fire sales of expens properties and sports cars.
 
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Ellery

Member
Is it theoretically possible for BTC to ever drop to $0?

At this point, what’s the lowest you guys could see it ever reaching, and would the low point likely coincide with an actual economic depression?

0$ would mean that it becomes a wasted useless relic of the past. It is actually possible compared to actual material things that have some sort of value in the real world, but something absolutely dramatic would need to happen for bitcoin to go to 0$.

In hindsight many people will be "yeah dude I totally told you X or Y is going to happen" and I can understand both sides of it. The ones hoping for a decentralized future and the other side thinking that Crypto is just a symptom of a hype world where speculation went completely out of control by the liquidity that was poured into the world by the central banks.

What we are seeing in 2022 seems like Crypto is neither an inflation resistant asset nor a hedge against economic/market downturns.

Whatever people are saying, including me, but also including rich people or crypto enthusiasts, nobody knows and is basically pure speculation or hope. If there is someone who is rich and powerful enough to know and have an actual chance to affect the crypto stock price then they certainly wouldn't share that with anyone.

TL;DR : Back to the actual question it is possible (yet extremely unlikely) that Bitcoin reaches 0$ in the somewhat foreseeable future. I'd expect any actual economic depression to coincide with a Crypto low point simply because of how liquidity works and people's mindset regarding investing in difficult times. But the reality is I don't know. Could be ATH 2 weeks from now or could be at 12000$.
 
Is it theoretically possible for BTC to ever drop to $0?

At this point, what’s the lowest you guys could see it ever reaching, and would the low point likely coincide with an actual economic depression?
Can't wait to see what happens if it drops below 20k. market is going wild right now.
 

Sophist

Member
Is it theoretically possible for BTC to ever drop to $0?

At this point, what’s the lowest you guys could see it ever reaching, and would the low point likely coincide with an actual economic depression?
Isn't Bitcoin an official currency in a few countries. I doubt it will ever fall to 0
 

thefool

Member
Is it theoretically possible for BTC to ever drop to $0?

At this point, what’s the lowest you guys could see it ever reaching, and would the low point likely coincide with an actual economic depression?

Theoretically, yes. For instance, if it was exploited.
By market movements, its improbable.
 

Hnjohngalt

Member
So i dropped $125 into Luna the past 24 hours for the hell of it. Wow! Was like losing at Blackjack in 4 hands. Damn. Now i cant even sell since its worth less than .01...... I feel for you all who lost on that gamble. Jesus its been rough the past 6 months. Im down to 1k from my initial 5k last year. If it weren't for bitcoin and certain Nfts i would be broke. Even stocks took a hit and down 40%... crazy stuff
 

Porcile

Member
So i dropped $125 into Luna the past 24 hours for the hell of it. Wow! Was like losing at Blackjack in 4 hands. Damn. Now i cant even sell since its worth less than .01...... I feel for you all who lost on that gamble. Jesus its been rough the past 6 months. Im down to 1k from my initial 5k last year. If it weren't for bitcoin and certain Nfts i would be broke. Even stocks took a hit and down 40%... crazy stuff

You might as well have walked into a casino that was burning down with everyone escaping for their lives, and put it all on red.
 

MadAnon

Member
So i dropped $125 into Luna the past 24 hours for the hell of it. Wow! Was like losing at Blackjack in 4 hands. Damn. Now i cant even sell since its worth less than .01...... I feel for you all who lost on that gamble. Jesus its been rough the past 6 months. Im down to 1k from my initial 5k last year. If it weren't for bitcoin and certain Nfts i would be broke. Even stocks took a hit and down 40%... crazy stuff
With that move you basically admitted that you have no idea what you are doing or what's even happening. Luna continuing to crash exponentially at that point was a 100% certainty and not a prediction. Do you even see what's happening with Luna supply? That's not even gambling, it's setting your money on fire for the hell of it.
 
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HoodWinked

Member
Ethereum Classic is losing less than Ethereum so far this year. In March Ethereum Classic started to rally and apparently because of the price increase miners also shifted over as it became more profitable, a sort of self feedback loop, unfortunately since then its given back all those gains. Anyways, lately all cryptos have been tanking but Ethereum classic is doing better than Ethereum. A possible scenario is as Ethereum moves to PoS, all the extra hash power will go somewhere maybe it will go to ETC but obviously ETC can't support that amount of hash rate as the value of the currency is too low. But maybe there's a chance that the value starts to go up and a frenzy happens.

Who knows maybe proof of work fizzles or another coin takes over. could be ETC, could be Ravencoin, could be Ergo.

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Smokken

Banned
Seeing the price increase over the last 10+ years, I'd say it's highly likely I'll be stinking rich within the next 5-10 years.....Like "fuck you" money rich.
 

Marvel14

Banned
As an economist I feel compelled to pick apart the "uses of crypto " section of the Op:

1. By being borderless and potentially accessible to anyone with a phone, cryptos can serve to bank the unbanked, of which there are over 2 billion people in the world currently.

'--> you have to be able to afford it which most unbanked won't be able to as the price of single units can be prohibitively high. It is also a poor store of value for savings because of its extreme price volatility. Overall it is a very shitty instrument for banking the unbanked. Specialist banks that understand credit abd savings risk of unbanked populations and who can develop targeted products for them would do a much better job.

2. Cryptos, despite their typical market volatility, can also be far more stable than some national fiat currencies,

--> being more stable than very unstable currencies is not a strong selling point. I suspect crypto is less stable than the top 10-20 national currencies at least. Hardly a ringing endorsement.

3. Can protect people in unstable nations like Venezuela from hyperinflation or arbitrary forfeiture.
--> Sure it can protect from malign government action on currency or assets you own. But who is protecting you from hackers and cyber thiefs with crypto? If a government steals from you most countries can seize assets of that country residing in their jurisdiction and at least partially compensate their citizens. Crypto has no jurisdiction so who's going to compensate you if you lose money through malfeasance?

4. They can also give people in developing nations unprecedented access to the world economy.
-> its unclear what crypto can do in terms of global economy access that paypal, Google pay etc cannot.

5. And, yes, millennials can also try to day trade it to get rich, and probably fail horribly but sometimes not and then they'll have a youtube channel about how smart they are.
-> it's no different than any other highly speculative assets in this regard.

5. Blockchains have the potential to disrupt many existing industries and technologies by eliminating the need for a middleman. Imagine a rideshare service without an Uber or Lyft running it, just rideshare operators and rideshare users, a token traded for rideshare use with a value established by market forces, and a blockchain to track transactions and identities with associated reviews. That's doable. Concert tickets that can't be scalped? Doable. Smart contracts (properly audited) can also eliminate the need for escrow, by finalizing a transaction between parties only when specific mutual conditions have been met. Money can be blockchain. Identity can be blockchain. Contracts can be blockchain. Titles and deeds. You get the idea
-> the problem is that often the middle man is what brings probity, accountability and consistency to market and legal transactions. Sure blockchain can circumvent harmful monopoly power but without accountability and jurisdiction what's stopping it from being abused to scam? How are we sure that we are not replacing price gouging with outright borderless, untraceable fraud?

I am still waiting for someone to succinctly and specifically explain what problem crypto really solves and how it is an unambiguous net positive.

I'm all ears if someone has this up their sleeve...
 

Porcile

Member
I'm all ears if someone has this up their sleeve...

No one has an answer. Just look at the OP. It was written 4 years and nothing has changed in regard to crypto. It's just a dumb vehicle for speculation, money laundering and MLM scams. It's pathetic how cultish it is. Doesn't matter how bad the situation the gets, or much the price of this garbage crashes, there is always some Redditor telling you how they know someone who made money even when the price literally tanks to 0.01% of its value in a single day. The suckers keep getting hooked in and that is exactly what people want.
 

MastaKiiLA

Member
Honestly, not really bothered by the collapse. I'll buy the dip. Interested to see where the floor is, because last year's highs aren't as high as this thing will go long-term.
 

MastaKiiLA

Member
LOL. Yeah, crypto is certainly the same as trading ETF's on the S&P 500.
I never said that. But last year's crypto spike was just the general public becoming aware of crypto. The economy isn't great, but that doesn't mean the interest in investing is gone. It's still there, and when we see the equities markets rebound, so will the crypto markets. And there's just more growth potential on the crypto side than the equities side. No one knows which way the market will go. Short-term, probably further down, but it could rebound overnight too. What I do know with a high level of certainty is that the blockchain is the future, and crypto's market cap will far exceed the highs of last year. I don't think we have to look further than a decade down the road for that. I'm probably being hugely conservative. Returns on crypto investments are going to outstrip stocks. But you have to be willing to accept the risk that crypto takes longer than expected to take off again, but it eventually will. Only invest what you're willing to lose.
 

Raven117

Member
I never said that. But last year's crypto spike was just the general public becoming aware of crypto. The economy isn't great, but that doesn't mean the interest in investing is gone. It's still there, and when we see the equities markets rebound, so will the crypto markets. And there's just more growth potential on the crypto side than the equities side. No one knows which way the market will go. Short-term, probably further down, but it could rebound overnight too. What I do know with a high level of certainty is that the blockchain is the future, and crypto's market cap will far exceed the highs of last year. I don't think we have to look further than a decade down the road for that. I'm probably being hugely conservative. Returns on crypto investments are going to outstrip stocks. But you have to be willing to accept the risk that crypto takes longer than expected to take off again, but it eventually will. Only invest what you're willing to lose.
Hey man, invest in whatever it is you want to invest in. Good luck.
 

chonga

Member
Incoming Recession
Not really sure what they're doing with over 6,100 employees to begin with. As an easy comparison that's way, way more per user than the likes of Netflix and they have a lot more business functions to serve than someone like Coinbase.

And if you want to keep it within the financial sector that's not too far off the likes of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

Wreaks of over-expansion.
 

MastaKiiLA

Member
Is there a reason that ADA is fighting the slump harder than even ETH? Between ADA and SOL, I'd have thought SOL had the brighter future (eventhough I prefer ADA's tech). But SOL is getting absolutely slaughtered, and ADA is tracking with BTC, percentage-wise. At least my holdings are down 50% for BTC and ADA, but SOL is down like 70%. Kinda nuts. Not large enough sums for me to regret selling before the freefall. I'll just hold and buy again when I think we've hit bottom.
 

Ironbunny

Member
Is there a reason that ADA is fighting the slump harder than even ETH? Between ADA and SOL, I'd have thought SOL had the brighter future (eventhough I prefer ADA's tech). But SOL is getting absolutely slaughtered, and ADA is tracking with BTC, percentage-wise. At least my holdings are down 50% for BTC and ADA, but SOL is down like 70%. Kinda nuts. Not large enough sums for me to regret selling before the freefall. I'll just hold and buy again when I think we've hit bottom.

Solana network has halted few times which has has caused some of it price down turn.
 

MastaKiiLA

Member
Solana network has halted few times which has has caused some of it price down turn.
Ah, okay. Was that due to liquidity concerns?

EDIT: Nevermind. I searched. That's somewhat concerning. I question the long-term viability of the coin, if this is not something they can't protect against in the future.
 
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Aggrotek

Member
Al the money I put into crypto was expendable and I don't even miss it. I'm just in it for the ride. A lot of people invested more than they could afford to lose and that's their own fault.
 

Sybrix

Member
Even FIAT investments suffer significant dips and Crypto is still worth investing in.

However, those who hail Crypto as some force for good against FIAT and claim it's immune from traditional economic impacts such as inflation and recession have been proved wrong completely.
 
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Porcile

Member
You cant go wrong buying crypto right now. You are either going to make a bit of cash if the price goes back up, or the whole thing will crash and burn, cypto dies and we can all be happy.
 
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