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Blu-Ray Wins or Nothing Does

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Blimblim said:
IHMO, Blu-Ray (and HD DVD of course) will go the way of the Laser Disc. Niche format.


Why do I think this opinion would be different if the X360 shipped with a HD-DVD drive?
 
UMDs are selling pretty good and they can only be played on one expensive portable system with a small screen.

You honestly don't think, if PS3 were to sell 50+ million, that a lot of those people wont start buying Blu-Ray discs instead of normal DVD? Eventhough people are buying UMD discs that cost more than normal DVDs and can be played almost nowhere? I don't remember people asking for portable movies either.

If Hollywood plays their cards right and jam packs their Blu-Ray discs full of shit and get some cool packaging going on, those movies will sell. Dont fool yourselves. People aren't asking for it but they sure as hell will buy it if they have the means to play it.
 
Blimblim said:
IHMO, Blu-Ray (and HD DVD of course) will go the way of the Laser Disc. Niche format.
Do they need to be anything more than that for us to enjoy movies in HiDef?

Looks like some of you (btw, no necessarily you Blim) are more obsessed by who winz! than by being able to enjoy the higher quality of upcoming movies, or your old favourites.
 
Razoric said:
UMDs are selling pretty good and they can only be played on one expensive portable system with a small screen.
comparing lo-res portable toys & travel movies to high-end "home theater" (that has a very popular solution today ie. dvd) is apples & oranges.

Razoric said:
You honestly don't think, if PS3 were to sell 50+ million, that a lot of those people wont start buying Blu-Ray discs instead of normal DVD?
They won't be selling 50mil anytime soon and relative market share of PS3/BRD vs DVD players will be very, very, very low for several years. If BRD lingers ala laserdisc the studios will retreat and milk the cash cow DVD (as they tried to do VHS, etc)


What you failed to ask is... will BRD/HD-DVD make inroads against a DVD marketplace of $5.99 titles, Netflix and $12-15 new titles anytime soon. will studios release BRD exclusively or DVD's along with them. this isn't a rocket science if only you remove your personal desires from the equasion and think mass-market.
 
DVD's weren't cheap when they first came out if I recall.


People need to wake up to the fact that Blu-ray dumps all over DVD from a great height.

Buy a HDMI equipped HDTV NOW! ;)
 
I posted this in the other standards thread, but I think it's relevant here as well.

As of 2004, HDMI was installed in about three million television sets. A small fraction of the total. Hell, it's even a pretty lousy percentage of digital sets. HDMI's own predictions puts the tech installed in well under half the digital sets by 2006.
 
Does HDMI cost much to implement?

KLee?


I love the single cable hookup for both audio and video.

Less clutter behind the rack and there is alot of it at the moment. :(
 
AB 101 said:
DVD's weren't cheap when they first came out if I recall.

People need to wake up to the fact that Blu-ray dumps all over DVD from a great height.

Buy a HDMI equipped HDTV NOW! ;)
yah they were cheap (1/3 the price of lasers and less than alot of VHS which had a rental price window).

thanks for the advice but i have HDMI & have been watching HD movies for a while now. LOL.
 
We all know from the UMD's success that people will get a movie format if its on a gaming system that is high in demand. For this reason alone, Bluray will succeed...in America that is. Not sure about the rest of the world. People will like owning just one BRD for a TV season or have their favorite movies in HD for their new HDTVs, which are selling pretty well.

It will not fail. HD-DVD will probably fail.
 
I bet Blu-Ray's success will be dependent on PS3.

No one can refute that DVD's success was propelled (by however much of a degree) by PS2's success.
 
chinch said:
yah they were cheap (1/3 the price of lasers and less than alot of VHS which had a rental price window).

thanks for the advice but i have HDMI & have been watching HD movies for a while now. LOL.


Yeah, Laser Discs were certainly high price.

I had once thought about getting one then passed.

I recall VHS tapes being relatively cheap back in 2000.

I know because I once had a collection of some 200.
 
rental chains drive the market. if blockbuster doesnt feel like another total conversion like they already did within the past what...5 years? then BR aint going anywhere and DVD will remain.
 
Tabris said:
I bet Blu-Ray's success will be dependent on PS3.

No one can refute that DVD's success was propelled (by however much of a degree) by PS2's success.


PS2 may have not been a big boost for DVD sales, it certainly did not hurt either.

I had a early Toshiba DVD player which was my first one. Got it in 1999.

The PS2 was my 2nd player.


I buy more than I rent.

I may be in the minority here.


I figure it costs more for the wife and I to go to a movie than just buying the movie at Best Buy or somewhere.
 
I dont care who wins. All that matters to me is whats gonna be the cheapest Media to buy when the BR/HD DVD Burners starts rolling in. I dont want to be paying $20 per disc.
 
AB 101 said:
Does HDMI cost much to implement?

From which standpoint? I imagine television manufacturers could implement the standard fairly cheaply, but it doesn't look like even half of digital screens will have the proper connectors in place by Blu-Ray's first big push into the consumer space.

If you look at it from the consumer's angle, then yes, implementing Blu-Ray is going to cost you come serious change. Keep in mind that the overwhelming majority of consumers do not have a HDMI-ready set, or even a digital ready set ready to go. With the cost of the player, the media, and the television set, expenditures will be well over what many are prepared to spend in order to replace their current library.

I think this becomes more apparent when you factor in the unwashed masses, many of whom still claim they can't tell the difference between VHS and DVD, prefer "Full Screen" to wide, and think digital cable is cutting edge. Those people wait until Wally World has players that reach the $50.00 mark before putting their cassettes out on the garage sale table.
 
Tabris said:
I bet Blu-Ray's success will be dependent on PS3.

No one can refute that DVD's success was propelled (by however much of a degree) by PS2's success.
I'd say PS2/DVD had a more symbiotic relationship, they really pushed each other early on. Both would've been a guaranteed success without the other though... I'm not sure we can say the same for Bluray here.
 
Niche product? Guys what are you talking about? No way BR-DVD is going to be niche. It has 1080p with grate bitrate. 1080p ( 1080p/720p) = mass market in 10-15 years. There will be no mass consumer video device with higher resolution in a... LOTSa time.

BR is the next format. It just not starting as fast as DVD. But it will be there.
 
urk said:
I think this becomes more apparent when you factor in the unwashed masses, many of whom still claim they can't tell the difference between VHS and DVD, prefer "Full Screen" to wide, and think digital cable is cutting edge. Those people wait until Wally World has players that reach the $50.00 mark before putting their cassettes out on the garage sale table.



They need to get their fucking eyes checked if they can't tell the difference.

The difference is quite noticeable between Blu-ray and DD also.

I think they have it set in their mind so they do not have to justify the cost.


One reason why HD will not be standard until 2009. (Wasn't it originally 2006 or something?)

Will probably be many pissing and moaning about that too.
 
PS3 isn't meant to establish the BD line as a contender. It is the trojan horse. Sony's main focus has been recordability of the media. All drive speeds have been for recording speeds so far. They are probably aware that the transition is gonna be a tough one, so they will push it as a DVR/mass storage solution in the short-term, with the PS3 catering to the entertainment market. It will sell a lot more units than anything HD-DVD could hope for, so even as a niche market, they'll manage to sell a lot of BD movies. But it's not like the PS3 is gonna help vault BD sales past DVD sales or anything. Further down the line, I think they'll start to promote BD as a movie format after the PS3 has indoctrinated people into the library, and established some sort of market (no matter how small). Meanwhile, BD recorders should still have some demand as HD broadcast recorders at home. Just my opinion. PEACE.
 
Nightbringer said:
You are forgetting something important.

http://arstechnica.com/articles/paedia/hardware/next-gen-dvd.ars

Read the article, it seems that the BD-ROM is more expansive than the HD-DVD in the main root of the industry.

The article is quite biased and missing factual information: if you believe that many studios (not Sony owned) and industry players joined the Blu-Ray camp with HD-DVD costing to them less than 1/10th compared to Blu-Ray for EACH manufacturing line then you showed their succesful F.U.D. campaign.

As Klee noticed in another thread there are more hidden cost when upgrading a manufacturing plant from DVD technology to HD-DVD technology: about $1 Million for calibration fixes/upgrades.
 
Orin GA said:
I dont care who wins. All that matters to me is whats gonna be the cheapest Media to buy when the BR/HD DVD Burners starts rolling in. I dont want to be paying $20 per disc.


I feel the exact same way. Movies are great,but I won't pay an arm and a leg for what I'm already enjoying on a standard DVD player.
 
Gaming aside I feel that with Intel supporting the HD-DVD format. It would force all major PC companies and even Apple (Since they are switching to Intel) to use to format. This will cause a hiccup in Sony's plan. Plus if HD-DVD's are 19.99 and BR are 29.99 I think that will decide the winner as well.
 
I'm nothing but an anecdote,

But the only next gen media/video device I'll own will be one that's incorporated into my gaming hardware. At least, for the next several years anyways.

There are way too many "1080i", "DLP", "HDMI", "HD-DVD", "Blu-Ray", and other terms going around for me to feel any comfort in adopting newer technology.

I stay relatively informed in what's going on, but on the whole, there's still way too many choices and confusions to know what the general public will adopt or disregard.

For now, My 27'' Wega with Component Video will have to do. For now, it's wait and see...and I'll be waiting awhile.

(I just have to stay away from the TV section of Circuit City/BB tho...I almost bought a Toshiba DLP a couple of months ago on a whim)
 
Fight for Freeform said:
WHERE"S THAT FUCKING BARF EMOTICON?! WHERE!?

I dunno, for now it sucks, but eventually when receivers start having 3-4 HDMI slots it'll be hot. Imagine running both the video+audio into a single slot in the receiver for each system, dvd player, etc.. and then having the reciever run a single HDMI cable with a video signal only to the TV. Cuts down on wires a ton, with no loss of quality.
 
Ryudo said:
Sun's Java Virtual Machine technology will power the menus and multimedia features in the new format.

For fuck sake, cant this company just piss of with their shitty software ? Their VM is so bloated and resource intensive it should be illegal.


This comment is so stupid its not even funny. There are JVMs running in most of the phones on the planet running in less k than this thread consumes.
 
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