Here is an interesting article that goes into the reasons that the Manitoba election will matter to the rest of Canada.
It basically says that the federal NDP and CPC are both wounded after their crushing defeats in the October election and they need a win, the NDP more so.
Another issue is western alignment. Selinger's Manitoba is more aligned with Wynn's Ontario than the west. For example, Manitoba has joined Ontario's cap-and-trade carbon market and stayed out of the New West Partnership (reduces trade barriers between BC, AB and SK). Meanwhile, the Liberals and PCs promise to bring Manitoba into the New West Partnership. And the PCs will definitely fight Trudeau alongside Brad Wall on the environment. That is probably the biggest effect.
It basically says that the federal NDP and CPC are both wounded after their crushing defeats in the October election and they need a win, the NDP more so.
CBC said:A PC win would end a string of provincial and federal losses and provide a much-needed boost as the national Conservative leadership race gets underway.
"It's a way to start building the recovery of the party nationally," says Jaime Watt, a Conservative strategist who is not working on the Manitoba campaign.
"A loss in Manitoba is not devastating, but a win is super helpful."
Right now, only Saskatchewan is Conservative and only Alberta and Manitoba are NDP so they're just desperately fighting for scraps.CBC said:For the NDP the stakes are higher. Nine years of balanced budgets and consecutive electoral wins in Manitoba gave the New Democratic movement credibility that a socially progressive party could govern with financial responsibility.
"We don't see that many NDP governments pop up across the country, says University of Manitoba political scientist Paul Thomas.
"Now this seems to be a government destined to go down to defeat and perhaps a very serious political setback."
Another issue is western alignment. Selinger's Manitoba is more aligned with Wynn's Ontario than the west. For example, Manitoba has joined Ontario's cap-and-trade carbon market and stayed out of the New West Partnership (reduces trade barriers between BC, AB and SK). Meanwhile, the Liberals and PCs promise to bring Manitoba into the New West Partnership. And the PCs will definitely fight Trudeau alongside Brad Wall on the environment. That is probably the biggest effect.