• Hey Guest. Check out your NeoGAF Wrapped 2025 results here!

CES: PS3 Presented and Bluray Launch

Shogmaster said:
Not about the PS3 per se, but another curiosity about BR I want answered at CES is if that report I read a few weeks ago about Sony's BR head announcing MPEG2 as the defacto codec for BR movie playback is indeed true, because it's downright fucking STOOOPID if it's true. It basically negates the ENTIRE storage advantage BR has over HD-DVD for movies!! HD-DVD's 25GB of h.264/WM9/whatever the lastest greatest MEPG4 will actually be able to give you longer and better quality footage then BR disc giving you 50GB of MPEG2! This is one of the most curious announcements I've read about BR that I want answered ASAP.

MPEG2 video production is far more mature than MPEG4. It may surprise you to know that encoding video for DVD or next gen DVD requires more than just the push of a button. It is a many stage process involving experienced and trained video production professionals. You probably never saw the initial MPEG2 encodings on DVD but many were atrocious (looking worse than VHS) and the same will happen as studios adjust to MPEG4 tools.

So in fact Blu-Ray is a PERFECT match for HD video in MPEG2 - studios get to use a codec they are experts at handling now and they have the room to encode HD video with that codec. And us consumers get 1080p HD video in pristine quality.

Shogmaster said:
In contrast, how does those same advantages work out for BR over DVD?

1. huge jump in display resolution that you may or may not see depending on your TV.
2. absoultely no improvement in convinience.
3. a huge headache of compatibility problem to enjoy the full benefit of the format. No digital input on your HDTV with DHCP? You'll get 480p/540p and you'll like it mister! What, no HDTV at all? Then fuck off until you spend $3000+ for your lastest and greatest 1080p HDTV with HDMI.
4. Cheapest BR player is gonna be a $500 ish gaming console. You don't care about games? Then just pretend it's a BR DVD player that looks like a George Foreman grille and comes with a funny looking remote control.
5. HD-DVD says hello! Studios are all fucking confused how to best deal with this mess. Some are downright schizo over it.

No one can answer your questions. For every one you have - there are a thousand others. Who could have predicted that MP3 players would outsell portable CD players when there are literally BILLIONS of CDs out there. Yet consumers are willing to discard their CD collections and rebuy their albums in the sonically inferior MP3 format. This isn't an analogy - the point is the market is wholly unpredictable and asking and answering endless questions won't lead us to an answer any sooner.

We don't even know which format will succeed (HD-DVD or Blu-Ray) let alone whether the market is ready for HD or whether it even has to be ready in 2006. PS3 is a console that will be around for at least 10 years.
 
All this real time talk has got me thinking. Though, the MGS4 trailer shows that those visuals are POSSIBLE to have in-game on the PS3, the final game may still not look as good. Think about the Zelda spaceworld demo. Zelda: TP looks good, but not as good as the demo. Now, it makes that MGS4 trailer not seem all that impressive, anymore. :(
 
Oblivion said:
All this real time talk has got me thinking. Though, the MGS4 trailer shows that those visuals are POSSIBLE to have in-game on the PS3, the final game may still not look as good. Think about the Zelda spaceworld demo. Zelda: TP looks good, but not as good as the demo. Now, it makes that MGS4 trailer not seem all that impressive, anymore. :(

MGS4 demo was made in a few months on early dev kits, game will look hell alot better in 2 years time you can bet on that.
 
Oblivion said:
All this real time talk has got me thinking. Though, the MGS4 trailer shows that those visuals are POSSIBLE to have in-game on the PS3, the final game may still not look as good. Think about the Zelda spaceworld demo. Zelda: TP looks good, but not as good as the demo. Now, it makes that MGS4 trailer not seem all that impressive, anymore. :(

000234378.jpg
 
DSN2K said:
MGS4 demo was made in a few months on early dev kits, game will look hell alot better in 2 years time you can bet on that.

But the same could be said for Zelda, and it doesn't seem so.
 
Oblivion said:
But the same could be said for Zelda, and it doesn't seem so.

Except the Zelda spaceworld demo was not TP or any Zelda game in development. And why the hell 'the same could be said for Zelda'? It's a different franchise from a different team/publisher. There's no comparison there - just because one game developer NOT RELATED to kojima's team under-deliver with their games graphics doesn't mean kojima's team - WHICH HAS NOTHING TO DO WITH ZELDA OR EAD - will too. Just look at MGS2. You'd think people learned to shut up about this by now.
 
Oblivion said:
But the same could be said for Zelda, and it doesn't seem so.

I just read what the Zelda Spaceworld demo was and its inherently different then what you saw from Kojima. Also, I don't know how you made that link about MGS4 and Zelda Spaceworld Demo.

Kojima has done the same thing you see now with MGS2, that would be a more fitting comparision because he actually pulled through with the visuals.
 
Chrono said:
Except the Zelda spaceworld demo was not TP or any Zelda game in development.

I don't find that a legimate excuse.

However, if Kojima did say that the models and stuff will be the same in the final game, then I guess we should just believe him.
 
Rhindle, Stinkles, Shogmaster et cetera:

Why do j00 hate PLAYSTATION 3 so much?

Spoiling our fun, damn bastards.
 
Oblivion said:
I don't find that a legimate excuse.

However, if Kojima did say that the models and stuff will be the same in the final game, then I guess we should just believe him.

Well..he hasn't said everything will be the same. He's said it'll look better when its done (youl'll likely see the big improvement at E3). His team apparently went nuts over some new thing they added into it since TGS.
 
Chrono said:
Except the Zelda spaceworld demo was not TP or any Zelda game in development. And why the hell 'the same could be said for Zelda'? It's a different franchise from a different team/publisher. There's no comparison there - just because one game developer NOT RELATED to kojima's team under-deliver with their games graphics doesn't mean kojima's team - WHICH HAS NOTHING TO DO WITH ZELDA OR EAD - will too. Just look at MGS2. You'd think people learned to shut up about this by now.

I'm aware they're two different games by two different publishers. My fucking point was that both demos, MGS4 and Zelda, were real time, and not in-game. Which means they could pretty it up without having to worry about AI, sound and all that other shit in the way. Meaning the final result, when putting everything that a normal game has, AI, physics, etc. the graphics wouldn't be the same. That's why I made the comparison with the Zelda demo and TP, because if Nintendo could have done TP with as much visual flair as the demo, then why didn't they?

Kojima has done the same thing you see now with MGS2, that would be a more fitting comparision because he actually pulled through with the visuals.

Fair enough.
 
Shog, Sony did not say that MPEG2 was the defacto codec for all BRD movies, just that their studios will initially compress their HD movies using the more mature MPEG2 codec and a very high bit-rate since MPEG2 is supported by the format just as MPEG4 AVC High Provile and VC-1 are.

You are a company and are hell bent on using MPEG4 AVC High Profile ? Go ahead.
 
Shogmaster said:
Not about the PS3 per se, but another curiosity about BR I want answered at CES is if that report I read a few weeks ago about Sony's BR head announcing MPEG2 as the defacto codec for BR movie playback is indeed true, because it's downright fucking STOOOPID if it's true. It basically negates the ENTIRE storage advantage BR has over HD-DVD for movies!! HD-DVD's 25GB of h.264/WM9/whatever the lastest greatest MEPG4 will actually be able to give you longer and better quality footage then BR disc giving you 50GB of MPEG2! This is one of the most curious announcements I've read about BR that I want answered ASAP.
:lol
So HD-DVD never ever use MPEG2 even though it's one of the mandatory codecs, shock!
 
Oblivion said:
I'm aware they're two different games by two different publishers. My fucking point was that both demos, MGS4 and Zelda, were real time, and not in-game. Which means they could pretty it up without having to worry about AI, sound and all that other shit in the way.
Don't forget MGS4 demo was done on an inferior beta kit. Let's hope the extra 800Mhz CPU power and the extra 100Mhz GPU power granted in the real final PS3 are enough for AI, sound and all that other shit! :lol
 
monkeymagic said:
MPEG2 video production is far more mature than MPEG4. It may surprise you to know that encoding video for DVD or next gen DVD requires more than just the push of a button. It is a many stage process involving experienced and trained video production professionals. You probably never saw the initial MPEG2 encodings on DVD but many were atrocious (looking worse than VHS) and the same will happen as studios adjust to MPEG4 tools.

So in fact Blu-Ray is a PERFECT match for HD video in MPEG2 - studios get to use a codec they are experts at handling now and they have the room to encode HD video with that codec. And us consumers get 1080p HD video in pristine quality.

Or, another way of looking at it is that Sony and company is rushing out BR before everything (including high quality MPEG4 encoding tools) is ready just to have it coincide with PS3 launch. The market is not ready for the reasons I have stated, the content providers are not ready, and the consumers are not ready. But PS3 is ready, and HD-DVD is also nipping at the heels so let's just fucking launch it now is what it feels like to me.

No one can answer your questions. For every one you have - there are a thousand others. Who could have predicted that MP3 players would outsell portable CD players when there are literally BILLIONS of CDs out there. Yet consumers are willing to discard their CD collections and rebuy their albums in the sonically inferior MP3 format. This isn't an analogy - the point is the market is wholly unpredictable and asking and answering endless questions won't lead us to an answer any sooner.

Actually, your MP3 example stresses my point even more, and that point being about convinience. MP3 player gives you less quality than CD players, but at the end of the day, it's more convinient to carry one large capacity MP3 player at lower sonic quality than to carry a bulky discman and all the CDs that go with it. So the consumers have chosen. It's all about convinience.

There's absolutely no convinience you gain from going to BR from DVD. The biggest motivation for consumers adapting a new format, convinience, is none-existant here. Not only that, there are a bunch of costly hurdles before the consumer to fully enjoy the BR experience (for instance buying a HDTV set). Plus, many are right now perfectly content with their DVD and it's 480p output. Remember that article a few days back about how many new HDTV owners are actually watching HD content on their new boxes? Most didn't even know they were watching old SD content. Most had no idea.

We don't even know which format will succeed (HD-DVD or Blu-Ray) let alone whether the market is ready for HD or whether it even has to be ready in 2006. PS3 is a console that will be around for at least 10 years.

If I have my doubts about BR, then it goes triple for HD-DVD. It's like being a losing team in the special olympics. I have absolutely no interest nor care for how HD-DVD will do.
 
Shogmaster said:
Are you saying that Sony fucking prefers MPEG2 over the other choices?!? @_0


Its not so much a matter of preferences as it is the face VC1 and AVC HP authoring tools/software aren't ready yet.....

Sony has said MPEG2 will be used in *thier* titles in the short term...
 
Shog, I agree with many of your comments. I think convenience is a key factor in DVD acceptability.

But in regards to MPEG2 being used for initial movies, I don't see that as meaning its rushed to market. DVD wasn't rushed to market, but MPEG2 authoring was still in its infancy - there were some shockingly bad transfers in the early days. But these days most are very good.

I think if they play to the formats strength, and really push the HD video quality, it'll be noticable for people. DVDs are crippled by needing to support SD sets, which means high frequency filtering on the image, lowering the effective resolution quite a lot below the potential 480p. Your getting more like 640x360. Upping that to 1920x1080 is a *big* jump.

Yes, it'll be mostly noticeable on big screens, but people with 720p HD sets will also notice.

I know when I saw a demo of the Sony Ruby being fed 1080i onto about a 100" screen, it was completely amazing.
 
My bet is that what will be shown of the games built from the ground up on FINAL PS3 hardware will blow what has been shown for X360 so far out of the water. Just a feeling :)
 
I think PS3 will be launched around the end of 2006.. Cause.. We Europeans bought (well 'they', i imported) the PSP and we helped Sony alot to world domination ( :lol ).

So i guess we DESERVE the PS3 by the end of 2006? I hope Sony does NOT make the same move as with the PSP, otherwise we'll still buy it... ='(
 
Oblivion said:
All this real time talk has got me thinking. Though, the MGS4 trailer shows that those visuals are POSSIBLE to have in-game on the PS3, the final game may still not look as good. Think about the Zelda spaceworld demo. Zelda: TP looks good, but not as good as the demo. Now, it makes that MGS4 trailer not seem all that impressive, anymore. :(
Until you recall the history of the series. Nobody thought MGS2 would match the original trailer...but it exceeded it. People doubted MGS3...but it exceeded it. Hell, nobody expected ZOE2...but holy shit, it delivered.

I expect that MGS4 will look BETTER than the trailer we've seen.
 
Lo-Volt's boring response, take two!

CES in January, I can't wait to see how Sony screws non-HDMI owners and casuals with the CES-speak. I'm so worried about what happens to Blu-Ray playback on HD component, I don't even care anymore. As long as the games will work in high-definition through HD component cables on the PlayStation 3, right? I can live with 480P until I get a Blu-Ray home theater with HDMI (snuck through DVI-HDCP) and optical, right?

Right?
 
Shogmaster said:
Or, another way of looking at it is that Sony and company is rushing out BR before everything (including high quality MPEG4 encoding tools) is ready just to have it coincide with PS3 launch.

It's not just about the tools.

Good video encoding requires a lot of experience which authors did not have with MPEG2 when DVD first surfaced. They do now and that's what makes MPEG2 for initial Blu-Ray discs perfect.

All OTA HD broadcasts are MPEG2 so there is a wealth of experience in that arena.

I don't see it as a negative at all apart from the fact that it leaves less room for extras for initial titles - but these were always going to be barebones releases anyway. There will inevitably be special editions and 'superbit' editions following.
 
Was the Zelda Spaceworld demo real time? I thought it was made to spec.

It's funny now that I think about it, Nintendo's Spaceworld GC demo reel was the most mis-representative of all three consoles this gen heh.
 
Lo-Volt said:
Lo-Volt's boring response, take two!

CES in January, I can't wait to see how Sony screws non-HDMI owners and casuals with the CES-speak. I'm so worried about what happens to Blu-Ray playback on HD component, I don't even care anymore. As long as the games will work in high-definition through HD component cables on the PlayStation 3, right? I can live with 480P until I get a Blu-Ray home theater with HDMI (snuck through DVI-HDCP) and optical, right?

Right?


Its not Sony screwing you, its the MPAA. They will not allow HD via component. Thats a bluray requirement, just like its a HD-DVD requirement.

I expect games to work over component as there is no copy-protection issue - who wants a copy *video* of someone playing a game?
 
Shogmaster said:
Sony and the gang haven't decided on THE codec making it a free for all orgy amongst the BR space (can you imagine that scene at Best Buy for the unwitting bleeding edge consumers trying to figure out what disc is using what and what looks better that what even though they are all BR DVDs?)...
You're seriously reaching here. Very few are going to care about exactly what codec is being used on the disc as long as its compatible in their BD player (and as long as the manufacturer of the player is following BD-ROM specs, it will be). And its not as if settling on one codec guarantees anything specifically about the quality of the video on the disc, as Milhouse's Dune example eloquently illustrates.

...and all the convinience advantage of the format is non-existant over the previous format they are asking us to abandon.
Not true, and even a cursory examination of BD specs would tell you otherwise. The expanded storage on disc means that more SD quality material could be fit on one disc and there's plenty of pre-existing, non-HD video content that could benefit from that, compressing some multi-disc sets into fewer discs, Out-of-mux reading allowing video playback to continue while the player is asked to access some other content on disc, such as the menu system, which can then be overlayed on top of the video still playing, a JRE with network connectivity for more advanced applications than DVD can provide (eg. pull up an up-to-date bio/filmography of an actor or actress in the movie you're watching, where the films on the list may then be selectable so that you can stream the trailer )...etc.

In contrast, how does those same advantages work out for BR over DVD?

1. huge jump in display resolution that you may or may not see depending on your TV.
2. absoultely no improvement in convinience.
3. a huge headache of compatibility problem to enjoy the full benefit of the format. No digital input on your HDTV with DHCP? You'll get 480p/540p and you'll like it mister! What, no HDTV at all? Then fuck off until you spend $3000+ for your lastest and greatest 1080p HDTV with HDMI.
4. Cheapest BR player is gonna be a $500 ish gaming console. You don't care about games? Then just pretend it's a BR DVD player that looks like a George Foreman grille and comes with a funny looking remote control.
5. HD-DVD says hello! Studios are all fucking confused how to best deal with this mess. Some are downright schizo over it.
Eh, #5 is your most compelling concern. The others are fluff.
#2 I just addressed.

#1 & #3 really go together - these two are really about whether people can get the maximum video quality out of the disc with their TV setup and whether they really care, as long as its plug and play. In both DVD's and BD's case there are many people who likely have TVs which just aren't equipped to show them the best quality available on that disc. BD doesn't suddenly introduce a "compatability problem" that DVD didn't have because people can still plug the player into the back of their set and still get playback of what's on the disc. Getting the most out of DVD playback has been just as dependent on higher level TV specs for its time (i.e. widescreen aspect ratio, component inputs, support for proscan) and BD is no different.

#4 is revisionist in its attempt to somehow suggest that the dawn of the DVD era didn't have early adopters contending with expensive hardware and very limited libraries in comparison to what the de facto standard of the time, VHS, was able to offer.
 
Shogmaster said:
Are you saying that Sony fucking prefers MPEG2 over the other choices?!? @_0
at this time yes.

apparently sony studios have no tools in use to author bluray movies with other advanced codecs anyways.
 
SpokkX said:
will never happen, not in US and Europe..

I foresee a aug-november 2006 launch in the west world

As long as it launches in one territory by the end of Spring 2006 (which is as late as Early June, don't forget) then Sony will have kept to their schedule. Everything else is up in the air.

I still wouldn't bet on it either way, though.
 
Amir0x said:
As long as it launches in one territory by the end of Spring 2006 (which is as late as Early June, don't forget) then Sony will have kept to their schedule. Everything else is up in the air.

I still wouldn't bet on it either way, though.
they can launch in japan once the AACS license is finalized and they can build a few thousand a day. even if it launched with no games it will sell great! seems possible still within 6 months.

for USA they need major software support, 500-700k in stores however... much more daunting task and timeline. we'll know soon enough.
 
chinch said:
they can launch in japan once the AACS license is finalized and they can build a few thousand a day. even if it launched with no games it will sell great! seems possible still within 6 months.

for USA they need major software support, 500-700k in stores however... much more daunting task and timeline. we'll know soon enough.

i really don't think now is the time for Sony to be releasing a system with no games or only shitty ones.

My bet would be that Sony has something like Tekken Tag Tournament 2 ready, and then maybe one of the other first party games and the rest filler crap like Mahjong.

It'd still be a crappy launch, but I think they will have one big title for Japan. Not like that's a big prediction or anything though.
 
Amir0x said:
It'd still be a crappy launch, but I think they will have one big title for Japan. Not like that's a big prediction or anything though.

Gran Turismo 5 Prologue. :) It'd be a system seller even in demo form.

If Kaz is right and they really do have Warhawk and Lair lined up for the US launch, it looks like its going to be really good.
 
Amir0x said:
i really don't think now is the time for Sony to be releasing a system with no games or only shitty ones.

My bet would be that Sony has something like Tekken Tag Tournament 2 ready, and then maybe one of the other first party games and the rest filler crap like Mahjong.

It'd still be a crappy launch, but I think they will have one big title for Japan. Not like that's a big prediction or anything though.
Well, they should have all the 3rd party stuff MS had, plus new EA stuff. Warhawk, I-8, etc.

edit: shit, you're talking about Japan launch. Yeah, it won't be great, but speaking selfishly, all I care about is US launch, which will have what I mentioned - all of X360's 3rd-party/non-exclusives, heaps of EA support plus a few 1st-party titles like Warhawk (!!!), I-8, Heavenly Sword and maybe 1 or 2 more.

I've started a fund already. $20 a week goes into a jar that is sitting next to my PS2. I should have enough for PS3, necessary accessories and the AAA titles by US launch.
 
Solidsnakex said:
Gran Turismo 5 Prologue. It'd be a system seller even in demo form.

If Kaz is right and they really do have Warhawk and Lair lined up for the US launch, it looks like its going to be really good.

No waaaaaay are Japanese or US gamers gettin' even a whiff of Gran Turismo around launch, demo form or otherwise.

Warhawk and Lair for US launch would be pretty solid to look forward to. If they could squeeze I-8 in, then the launch could be competent provided the rest of the filler is there.

Guy LeDouche said:
Well, they should have all the 3rd party stuff MS had, plus new EA stuff.

Yeah I'm sure they give a shit about having EA filler at a Japanese launch :P

Edit: Oh, I see your edit. Heh. Acknowledged! I forgot about Heavenly Sword. Yeah, if they can get that around US launch too... then it'd be shapin' up. 'Cause they'd have some new properties, some old... all from fairly competent devs. I hope the development time was long enough to make products that don't completely suck and aren't totally feature sapped, though.
 
DCharlie said:
saying that,
It's amazing what they are getting out of the silent hill engine this late in the day.
Silent Hill engine?

rob the slob said:
Well some of the levels in PDZ, particularly the jungle level are really impressive and can definately hold its own against I-8.
Keep in mind that I-8 will most likely run at twice the framerate of PDZ and well, if that video is to be trusted, have anisotropic filtering.
 
I don't think I-8 will make the launch. Kaz mentioned that they had 3 games in development and then mentioned both Lair and Warhawk would be launch titles leaving I-8 out of it. That does leave SCEE and SCEJ open for additions to the launch. Heavenly Sword and Formula 1 seem like they'd be the most likely from SCEE if either were ready for launch. The only one from SCEJ would be Hot Shots Golf 5 I think. If they could get Minna no Golf 5 ready for the Japanese launch that'd be huge.
 
Amir0x said:
i really don't think now is the time for Sony to be releasing a system with no games or only shitty ones.

My bet would be that Sony has something like Tekken Tag Tournament 2 ready, and then maybe one of the other first party games and the rest filler crap like Mahjong.

It'd still be a crappy launch, but I think they will have one big title for Japan. Not like that's a big prediction or anything though.
i don't think now is the time either, for strictly GAMING standpoint but remember PS3 is also a entertainment device that will heavily feature and is intended to sell bluray media too. a blu-ray push in japan will help bluray sales for USA next xmas. so if you release a few "xbox live arcade" level games with the PS3 (late spring) and release some bluray movies you could get away with that in JPN to seed the market. they dont' need any Grade-A titles whatsoever to meet their timeline. yes it could backfire, but not in japan.

you need alot of consoles in hands to move the software anyways so instead of warehousing PS3s to release 500k in jpn (for a later date) i'm saying they could trickle them out as software is developed. Any A+ title would need to ship in USA also (next fall), so rushing them in summer would be silly anyways and possibly invite damage control issues.
 
chinch said:
i don't think now is the time either, for strictly GAMING standpoint but remember PS3 is also a entertainment device that will heavily feature and is intended to sell bluray media too. a blu-ray push in japan will help US bluray sales for usa next xmas. so if you release a few "xbox live arcade" level games with the PS3 (late spring) and release some bluray movies you could get away with that in JPN to seed the market. they dont' need any Grade-A titles whatsoever to meet their timeline. yes it could backfire, but not in japan.

you need alot of consoles in hands to move the software anyways so instead of warehousing PS3s to release 500k in jpn (for a later date) i'm saying they could trickle them out as software is developed. Any A+ title would need to ship in USA also (next fall), so rushing them in summer would be silly anyways and possibly invite damage control issues.

Whoa, you're suggesting what - a staggered, progressive launch over an extended time period? Oh man, that'd be terrible. You can't market that sort of thing. Sony would be off their rocker if they decided to go with something like that. They'd deserve to lose hard if they did that.
 
Why does everyone think there won't be any PS3 games ready for a Spring 2006 launch? Isn't it possible that Sony has told third parties to not worry about showcasing their games until they feel absolutely confident about them, as they don't feel they need the extra hype?

I mean, it's not as if all games are unveiled months before they come out. Look at Ridge Racer 6, it was fully unveiled at TGS, only 2 and a half months before launch. Considering Sony has MS on the ropes already, why overkill with a bunch of early game demos? Why not wait until Feb, when each game is 70-90% finished, and blow everyone away with games that truly look next gen?

I'm surprised no one seems to be thinking of this possibility. The PSP launch is a great example of why there is no real need to show launch games so early in advance, as they inherently suffer because they're launching on new hardware, and dev times are abnormally shorter.
 
Amir0x said:
Whoa, you're suggesting what - a staggered, progressive launch over an extended time period? Oh man, that'd be terrible. You can't market that sort of thing. Sony would be off their rocker if they decided to go with something like that. They'd deserve to lose hard if they did that.
i'm not suggesting it, i'm just saying it's a possible scenario if they insist on "SPRING" launch which has a primary design of introducing blu-ray and combating 360 converts (in the USA).

They will sell PS3 games over time, that is unencumbered.

Their HUGE risk however is bluray (adds significantly to manufacturing cost) and they need to get that going moreso than have a A+ Gaf approved game lineup. If blu-ray (movie software and standalone player sales) flounder next xmas in the USA with bad press it could hurt them for years. They know that and will do everything possible to avoid it, even if it has some short-term consequences.
 
kaching said:
You're seriously reaching here. Very few are going to care about exactly what codec is being used on the disc as long as its compatible in their BD player (and as long as the manufacturer of the player is following BD-ROM specs, it will be). And its not as if settling on one codec guarantees anything specifically about the quality of the video on the disc, as Milhouse's Dune example eloquently illustrates.

You're probably right about people not caring about the codec on the disc. But if the HD content on digital cable is any indication, I do agree with you hinting at the qualities of the various releases being all over the place. The same with various 720p WM9 movies I've got my hands on. Some are jaw dropping in difference over DVDs upscaled to 720p while others you can't hardly tell a difference.

Not true, and even a cursory examination of BD specs would tell you otherwise. The expanded storage on disc means that more SD quality material could be fit on one disc and there's plenty of pre-existing, non-HD video content that could benefit from that, compressing some multi-disc sets into fewer discs, Out-of-mux reading allowing video playback to continue while the player is asked to access some other content on disc, such as the menu system, which can then be overlayed on top of the video still playing, a JRE with network connectivity for more advanced applications than DVD can provide (eg. pull up an up-to-date bio/filmography of an actor or actress in the movie you're watching, where the films on the list may then be selectable so that you can stream the trailer )...etc.

No one in their right mind will invest in a BR player and a HDTV to watch SD content, especially when they probably have the SD version of that same content on DVD already (probably several times over). And with 25GB SL BR barely being able to do 3 hours of MPEG2 at high enough bitrates to make us go WOW on our HDTVs, a BR disc @ 1080p won't give you more content than a DVD disc @ 480i/p.

Said another way, a simple math tells me that even the DL BR @ 50GB (which most don't think will be available for the initial 12+ months) is only about 5.5 times the capacity over the DL DVD 9s, but 1080p which is over 2 million pixels per frame is over 6.5 times what 480p at around 300,000 pixels gives you. I personally believe that HD-DVD and BR are owefully inedequate in capacity to properly replace the DVD as the HD sucessor. The 100GB that HVD is promising seems much more adaquate and worth waiting the extra few years for.


h, #5 is your most compelling concern. The others are fluff.

I think #5 is fluff and the real meat is with #2 and others.

#2 I just addressed.

You've got to do better. :P

#1 & #3 really go together - these two are really about whether people can get the maximum video quality out of the disc with their TV setup and whether they really care, as long as its plug and play. In both DVD's and BD's case there are many people who likely have TVs which just aren't equipped to show them the best quality available on that disc. BD doesn't suddenly introduce a "compatability problem" that DVD didn't have because people can still plug the player into the back of their set and still get playback of what's on the disc. Getting the most out of DVD playback has been just as dependent on higher level TV specs for its time (i.e. widescreen aspect ratio, component inputs, support for proscan) and BD is no different.

The point is that majority of the affordable TVs that folks already had gave you 90% of the picture quality that DVD media provides. The high end folks have spent big bucks for that last 10%, which is always the case with such folks (like you and to a slightly lesser extent, myself). This is not the case with BR in that even if you've spent $5000 on an excellent HDTV with component and VGA input 3~5 years ago, it will A). only give you 720p or 1080i, and without a digital HDCP input, will be artificially limited to either 480p or 540p by the BR player. Even if got 720p from an analog HDTV through BR (which is looking quite unlikely), that's still less than 50% of pixels that BR media is suppose to provide.

#4 is revisionist in its attempt to somehow suggest that the dawn of the DVD era didn't have early adopters contending with expensive hardware and very limited libraries in comparison to what the de facto standard of the time, VHS, was able to offer.

Not at all. I remember those early days and it was definitely slim pickins compared to the wealth of content available today. But you'd have to agree that you'll see far less adult BR content in the beginning then adult DVDs titles we saw available back in 1998. And after all, it's the pr0n support that truly signifies the legitimate arrival of a format. :D I don't think I ever saw a pr0n LD! :lol

As for the players, the cost were high the first few months, but I saw $300 players shortly into X-mas season of 1998, which is within the first year of the launch. I don't expect that for BR players in the first or even second year.
 
Shogmaster said:
Said another way, a simple math tells me that even the DL BR @ 50GB (which most don't think will be available for the initial 12+ months) is only about 5.5 times the capacity over the DL DVD 9s, but 1080p which is over 2 million pixels per frame is over 6.5 times what 480p at around 300,000 pixels gives you. I personally believe that HD-DVD and BR are owefully inedequate in capacity to properly replace the DVD as the HD sucessor. The 100GB that HVD is promising seems much more adaquate and worth waiting the extra few years for.

90min OTA 1080p MPEG2 TS streams come in at 15-20GB with 5.1 audio.

Blu-Ray's 25-50GB is more than enough.
 
monkeymagic said:
90min OTA 1080p MPEG2 TS streams come in at 15-20GB with 5.1 audio.

Blu-Ray's 25-50GB is more than enough.

More than just sheer resolution, it's high bitrate that really counts. Just look at PBS 1080i broadcasts vs Discovery HD theater's 1080i broadcasts. It's night and day, especially in fast action scenes.

And at a high bitrate (40~80mb/sec) that would negate most of those awful macroblocking in action and subtle low lighting scenes, you can only fit 2.8 ~ 1.4 hours, on even 50GB BR.
 
monkeymagic said:
90min OTA 1080p MPEG2 TS streams come in at 15-20GB with 5.1 audio.

Blu-Ray's 25-50GB is more than enough.
Yes it is OFTEN enough for 90 minute movie with nothing else (and sound limited to DVD quality dts below laserdisc actually). Many HD native transport MPEG captures are 12-15GB range for movies that is true... but these are NOT reference videos as we expect from bluray. Why should audio not be improved in the nexgen format? 5.1 limited bitrate is not a panacea. For upscale, early adopters, unfortunately 25GB is gonna be limiting (and insufficient) when used with MPEG if you add any extras (and/or if you have a longer movie).

Keep in mind a leopard doesn't change it's spots and most DVDs (commercial releases DVD-9) have a 100-120 minute movies taking only 3-4 GB of space for the actual movie & soudntrack. You can rip most of these movieds down the movie to 3-5GB UNCOMPRESSED. it's not uncommon where the movie takes 1/3 the space (of a DVD-9) and CRAP fills 2/3 of the DVD. Install DVD Shrink and see for yourself!

all studios in Blu-ray camp are wanting to add extras so the 25GB space is probably gonna allow 10-15GB for the mainstream movie. THe discs are gonna be bloated quickly with fluff that is not the "movie". Hopefully longer titles will be few and far between until movies ship on 50-GB BRD platters AND studios will use discresion leaving out the fluff that early adopters can do without anyways (giving 20GB to the movie itself).

It should correct itself over time but it's something to watch and not ignore (unless you want to have "deluxe super edition bluray" version on the shelf 6 months after you purchased the first edition :)
 
Back to PS3 launch discussion-

Sony could release PS3 with a bunch of C grade titles and it'll still sell out for several months.
 
Top Bottom