• Hey Guest. Check out your NeoGAF Wrapped 2025 results here!

China vs Japan

China has valid reasons to be upset at Japan, given the brutal actions of the Imperial Japanese military when they invaded the country. Japan has occasionally apologized, but not consistently nor fully.

Right now, I don't think contemporary Japan would remotely contemplate attacking China by itself, outside of a wider conflict involving both Taiwan and the U.S. If that happens, all bets are off.
 
China should let off some steam, attack Russia... Nobody would lift a finger in that conflict. :messenger_relieved: :lollipop_tears_of_joy:

Edit: Well, perhaps Trump would. He seems to idolise that little russian dwarf.
 
Last edited:
US and other western powers should step up and declare solidarity with Japan ... but they probably won't.

CCP has always been a petulant and hypocritical bitch, and each time they try to save face they end up embarrassing themselves even more.

Time and again CCP has demonstrated why it was a huge mistake to be over reliant on China and their money and cheap labour.

George Glass (US Ambassador to Japan) has been putting out some good supportive messaging.







The Chinese Ambassador in Osaka's words were just beyond the pale. I'm shocked he hasn't been expelled from the country yet. Japan needs to give him the boot yesterday.
 
Last edited:
I don't support China at all but wouldn't a hot war obliterate both economies?

Yes, and would almost certainly harm the global economy as well as it would be a war between two of the biggest trading and manufacturing hubs on Earth.

This is why it'll always ever be saber rattling between the two.
 
China should let off some steam, attack Russia... Nobody would lift a finger in that conflict. :messenger_relieved: :lollipop_tears_of_joy:

Nobody would get involved directly, but world leaders would be scrambling to put a stop to it.

War would not just damage the Chinese economy, but again massively impact the global economy.

It would also be a war between two tyrannical governments who have nukes, which could easily get out of hand.
 
Last edited:
So if Japan will defend Taiwan from Xi Jinping (not China as a whole, china people can't give two shits about what their dictator wants and none of them would be asked if they want to start a war or not), then I've absolutely nothing against it. Freedom is not something you just get for doing absolutely fuckin' nothing (I learned that the hard way, but better late than never), it's something you must always fight for and protect during your life time all the time.
 
The propaganda art…



jnTT5d53gJ43asLS.jpeg
 
Dunno if anyone here is familiar with Arnaud Bertrand. He is one of the more refined China shills, has been peddling his geopolitical takes for a decade on Twitter / X, always taking an angle that presents China as strong, benevolent and rising, while the collective West is in decline.

So here he is predicting the economic pain that the Chinese boycott of tourism will bring to Japan



Looking at the real numbers, however, and without even considering that Japanese would welcome a reduction in Chinese tourists, the picture looks quite different.

Tourism in Japan accounts for 5.6% of GPD, rising recently due to higher international arrivals. However, the vast majority of spending still happens from domestic tourists, $181 billion. International tourists spend $56 billion, less than a third of that. And from that, Chinese Mainlanders make up 14.4%, trailing behind Taiwanese tourists (14.7%) in 2023. Though the proportion of Chinese spending will likely rise, it is still a far cry from 2019, when it stood at over 30%

2537803.png


2538388.png
 
the thing with Chinese tourist, especially majority of the ones that went via tour groups, are the ones that barely spend any money in there. cramping three or four people in a room. not going into any attractions that require them to pay. sharing a bowl of ramen between four people. the list goes on and on. they're only there to take pictures to post on their social media so they can show off to the people they know on there. I had deal with those kinds for 7 years in my last job and trust me when I say you're better off not having them.
 
Last edited:
Dunno if anyone here is familiar with Arnaud Bertrand. He is one of the more refined China shills, has been peddling his geopolitical takes for a decade on Twitter / X, always taking an angle that presents China as strong, benevolent and rising, while the collective West is in decline.

So here he is predicting the economic pain that the Chinese boycott of tourism will bring to Japan



Looking at the real numbers, however, and without even considering that Japanese would welcome a reduction in Chinese tourists, the picture looks quite different.

Tourism in Japan accounts for 5.6% of GPD, rising recently due to higher international arrivals. However, the vast majority of spending still happens from domestic tourists, $181 billion. International tourists spend $56 billion, less than a third of that. And from that, Chinese Mainlanders make up 14.4%, trailing behind Taiwanese tourists (14.7%) in 2023. Though the proportion of Chinese spending will likely rise, it is still a far cry from 2019, when it stood at over 30%

2537803.png


2538388.png

Surprising to see how low the current percentage of Chinese visitor revenue is considering that Tokyo and a few other hotspots are absolutely flooded to the gills with Chinese tourists.
 
To put things into perspective, one single company in Japan - Toyota - has around the same operating income (5.35 trillion Yen) than all foreign tourist spending combined.
 
Wonder what happens to PlayStation and their Chinese output if the two countries fall out and Japanese things are effectively forbidden. A quick pivot to PC releases?
 
Dunno if anyone here is familiar with Arnaud Bertrand. He is one of the more refined China shills, has been peddling his geopolitical takes for a decade on Twitter / X, always taking an angle that presents China as strong, benevolent and rising, while the collective West is in decline.

So here he is predicting the economic pain that the Chinese boycott of tourism will bring to Japan



Looking at the real numbers, however, and without even considering that Japanese would welcome a reduction in Chinese tourists, the picture looks quite different.

Tourism in Japan accounts for 5.6% of GPD, rising recently due to higher international arrivals. However, the vast majority of spending still happens from domestic tourists, $181 billion. International tourists spend $56 billion, less than a third of that. And from that, Chinese Mainlanders make up 14.4%, trailing behind Taiwanese tourists (14.7%) in 2023. Though the proportion of Chinese spending will likely rise, it is still a far cry from 2019, when it stood at over 30%

2537803.png


2538388.png


According to Japan's official numbers, spending from foreign travelers in 2024 was 8.1257 trillion Yen. 21.2% (or 1.72 trillion Yen) was from mainland China. Taiwanese travelers contributed 1.08 trillion Yen (13.4%). Japan's nominal GDP for 2024 was 609.29 trillion Yen. That means ALL spending from foreign travelers contributed 1.3%. China contributed 0.28%. Even if that completely disappeared, I think Japan is going to be just fine, especially when you consider the enormous downsides of mass tourism from China.
 
So if Japan will defend Taiwan from Xi Jinping (not China as a whole, china people can't give two shits about what their dictator wants and none of them would be asked if they want to start a war or not), then I've absolutely nothing against it. Freedom is not something you just get for doing absolutely fuckin' nothing (I learned that the hard way, but better late than never), it's something you must always fight for and protect during your life time all the time.
Not to go off on a tangent here, but I have to tell you I feel this urgency more now than ever. The foundation of the west is getting stress tested atm.
 
Last edited:
I know EU leaders would have you believe kind words, doing coke and bumming rent boys privately would solve every issue in the world but really Japan have to be strong through force alone. And their own force (not US dependent).
 


Absolutely unhinged, but it's insane that the UN charter has still not been updated, because it clearly technically allows for such action:

Article 53

  1. The Security Council shall, where appropriate, utilize such regional arrangements or agencies for enforcement action under its authority. But no enforcement action shall be taken under regional arrangements or by regional agencies without the authorization of the Security Council, with the exception of measures against any enemy state, as defined in paragraph 2 of this Article, provided for pursuant to Article 107 or in regional arrangements directed against renewal of aggressive policy on the part of any such state, until such time as the Organization may, on request of the Governments concerned, be charged with the responsibility for preventing further aggression by such a state.
  2. The term enemy state as used in paragraph 1 of this Article applies to any state which during the Second World War has been an enemy of any signatory of the present Charter.
 
Last edited:
Absolutely unhinged, but it's insane that the UN charter has still not been updated, because it clearly technically allows for such action:

Article 53

  1. The Security Council shall, where appropriate, utilize such regional arrangements or agencies for enforcement action under its authority. But no enforcement action shall be taken under regional arrangements or by regional agencies without the authorization of the Security Council, with the exception of measures against any enemy state, as defined in paragraph 2 of this Article, provided for pursuant to Article 107 or in regional arrangements directed against renewal of aggressive policy on the part of any such state, until such time as the Organization may, on request of the Governments concerned, be charged with the responsibility for preventing further aggression by such a state.
  2. The term enemy state as used in paragraph 1 of this Article applies to any state which during the Second World War has been an enemy of any signatory of the present Charter.
Leave Japan alone. They are the only ones that make quality stuff these days.

God help us all if Japan falls.
 
Taiwan stepping up cooperation with Japan



"Taiwan has lifted all regulations on food products from five Japanese prefectures, including Fukushima. #Taiwan and #Japan are reliable partners who help each other, good friends, and also neighbors. 🇹🇼❤️🇯🇵 #AlwaysHere"
 
Absolutely unhinged, but it's insane that the UN charter has still not been updated, because it clearly technically allows for such action:

Article 53

  1. The Security Council shall, where appropriate, utilize such regional arrangements or agencies for enforcement action under its authority. But no enforcement action shall be taken under regional arrangements or by regional agencies without the authorization of the Security Council, with the exception of measures against any enemy state, as defined in paragraph 2 of this Article, provided for pursuant to Article 107 or in regional arrangements directed against renewal of aggressive policy on the part of any such state, until such time as the Organization may, on request of the Governments concerned, be charged with the responsibility for preventing further aggression by such a state.
  2. The term enemy state as used in paragraph 1 of this Article applies to any state which during the Second World War has been an enemy of any signatory of the present Charter.
That's pretty fucked up but it does mean that any time the EU tries any shit the UK could just slap German or Italy free of charge.
 
The Chinese PLA would already have every US, SDF and allied base in the region dialled in. It's a safe assumption that China would hit those sites with waves of ballistic and cruise missiles, likely overwhelming any missile defence systems or units stationed there.

But China's first strike would need to be damn good, because the US and allied response would be devastating. China is surrounded by rivals and opportunists, and even the geography works against it. Everything China has built over the past half century, including the rapid industrialisation, the economic growth, the global integration and the infrastructure, would be systematically destroyed. The CCP knows this that's why they bark so loud and so frequently.

If China were to strike first like that, then the use of nukes is on the table (as in, to be considered).
 
If China were to strike first like that, then the use of nukes is on the table (as in, to be considered).

The use of nukes should never be on the table.

All it takes is for one nuke to fire and you have billions dead in under an hour.

China isn't going to do shit anyway. It's all dick waving. China going to war would absolutely destroy their economy. The CCP know this, which is why all they have are stern words. The world is far too economically connected for a world wide total war to happen.
 


Of all the countries China thought they could bully, it's hilarious they thought they could bully Japan

The historical enmity between those two nations would guarantee that Japan would absolutely not back down against China lmao
 
All it takes is for one nuke to fire and you have billions dead in under an hour.
Within an hour? Not a chance
Very generously you'd get maybe ~0.5 billion with everyone firing everything they can; wouldn't reach a billion even if launching absolutely everything in the stockpile (which isn't possible).
It's the fallout and nuclear winters that would kill billions over years.
 
This rides on the assumption that all involved parties will follow logical, self-preserving courses of action. History has repeatedly shown that humans do not always do this.

The only party to worry about here is China and a war would cripple their economy beyond repair. Additionally because China is so deeply tied to global trade, any war would also be economically catastrophic for Western countries.

I understand historically this wasn't the case and nations went to war for far less. However, today the world is economically connected. It's this connection to global trade that made China the powerhouse it is today. The CCP are not going to throw that away for total war.

If the CCP were tempted, they need only look at the state of Russia's economy after invading Ukraine. That is a war between two nations and the Russian economy is on the brink of collapse. A war with China against the west would be far, far more damaging.

It's all geopolitical dick waving. Nobody wants a war, certainly not China or the Western powers.
 
I really really recommend you guys to watch every single piece of content with Sarah Paine from the Naval War College.

It explains a lot about the history of the region, how the countries interacts there and their power dynamics.



 
Last edited:
If the Aussies and South Korea both also pledged support towards Taiwan, Japan and the US then China wouldn't do jack.
 
Last edited:
The use of nukes should never be on the table.

All it takes is for one nuke to fire and you have billions dead in under an hour.

China isn't going to do shit anyway. It's all dick waving. China going to war would absolutely destroy their economy. The CCP know this, which is why all they have are stern words. The world is far too economically connected for a world wide total war to happen.

The number of ships, from aircraft carriers and amphibious assault ships to requiring RORO ferries being constructed to a military standard (CCP military standard - but still higher than civilian), the size of their rocket forces, claims of hypersonic missiles, and even moving mock-ups of US carriers on bombing ranges in the Gobi Desert all points to a different direction.
 
Last edited:
Top Bottom