On just about this date in 2000, Gallup reported that George Bush had a 13-point lead over Al Gore, 52% to 39%. This result was an obvious outlier with no apparent relation to what was happening in the campaign. The final Gallup poll had Bush winning by 2 points.
Phoenix said:In the more important 'poll' of the electorate, Bush is still winning by a fairly significant margin. Its all up to the 'battleground states' at this point. That's where this election will be decided.
HalfPastNoon said:???
www.electoral-vote.com
www.race2004.net
and cnn had bush around 278 electorates at last count...down from his 300 a few weeks beforehand..
HalfPastNoon said:???
www.electoral-vote.com
www.race2004.net
and cnn had bush around 278 electorates at last count...down from his 300 a few weeks beforehand..
Phoenix said:You only need 270 to win the electorate, and last time I was looking at the CNN numbers - bush had 283 which is a comfortable win.
Matlock said:
eggplant said:Apparently the mods are slacking off.
efralope said:is this poll outside the margin of error and are you a Kerry supporter?
Tenguman said:I'm a Badnarik supporter.
3) Unbiased, moderate voters who own all the game systems may post any poll in which Ralph Nader has acheived a majority or plurality.
4) Progressive or reactionary posters supporting a third party candidate may post any poll in which Lyndon LaRouche has acheived a plurality or majority.
HalfPastNoon said:well, yeah. for some reason, i thought you said landslide for bush..
Phoenix said:Unfortunately it won't matter if he get 271 or 350. The second he crosses 270, the game is over. I think this will be close, but sadly its not going to matter much unless the Kerry camp can start to ssway more voters in the bg states.
N Coward Parody said:God, that Mary Cheney "controversy" was a brilliant political move. Reprehensible, despicable, but brilliant.
Makura said:What on earth are you talking about? The Cheney's have every right to be outraged about the Kerry camp bringing up a private family matter on a large televised event - TWICE. It was very innapropriate and now the left is trying to spin it into some vast conspiracy. Where has common sense gone?
Makura said:What on earth are you talking about? The Cheney's have every right to be outraged about the Kerry camp bringing up a private family matter on a large televised event - TWICE. It was very innapropriate and now the left is trying to spin it into some vast conspiracy. Where has common sense gone?
:lol3) Unbiased, moderate voters who own all the game systems may post any poll in which Ralph Nader has acheived a majority or plurality.
4) Progressive or reactionary posters supporting a third party candidate may post any poll in which Lyndon LaRouche has acheived a plurality or majority.
Tenguman said:The whole mary thing really backfired on Kerry. His goal was to shake up Bush's conservative base, but in the end I think it just made them more resolute :/
KERRY: We're all God's children, Bob. And I think if you were to talk to Dick Cheney's daughter, who is a lesbian, she would tell you that she's being who she was, she's being who she was born as.
eggplant said:Is being gay something bad enough to be hidden away as some "private family matter"?
Reading some of the responses to the controversy has me laughing...some people are acting like being gay is a bad thing. To me, the so-called "outing" is comparable to telling people about your opponent's daugher's occupation. This information is well known and it is nothing bad either.
Mary Cheney is a grown up woman who works in politics.. she's not 12 year old Chelsea. She's not a naive young child who needs daddy's protection.
Makura said:What on earth are you talking about? The only political move made in regards to Mary Cheney was by the Kerry camp - they brought it on themselves. The Cheney's have every right to be outraged about the Kerry camp bringing up a private family matter on a large televised event - TWICE. It was very innapropriate and now the left is trying to spin it into some vast conspiracy. Where has common sense gone?
oh come on......that statement could have been made without metioning Mary. Everyone knows the 3rd politcal debate is the debate where the candidates move back towards their base, and it's perfectly clear what Kerry wanted to do there. He deliberatly mentioned Mary to "remind" conservatives that the guy they're going to vote for has a VP who's daughter is gay.eggplant said:Split the conservative base? It was a pretty positive statement and it fits perfectly with my worldview.
Cheney was not giving a speech, he was responding to a question about his daughter.JScott said:Dude, Cheney spoke about his daughter's sexual preference, in a speech for this presidental election, well before Kerry ever brought it up. He should be pissed at himself or not get all pissed that someone else mentions it.
efralope said:Cheney was not giving a speech, he was responding to a question about his daughter.
Kerry was asked whether homosexuality was a choice, not about Dick Cheney's daughter.
Tenguman said:oh come on......that statement could have been made without metioning Mary. Everyone knows the 3rd politcal debate is the debate where the candidates move back towards their base, and it's perfectly clear what Kerry wanted to do there. He deliberatly mentioned Mary to "remind" conservatives that the guy they're going to vote for has a VP who's daughter is gay.
Makura said:What on earth are you talking about? The only political move made in regards to Mary Cheney was by the Kerry camp - they brought it on themselves. The Cheney's have every right to be outraged about the Kerry camp bringing up a private family matter on a large televised event - TWICE. It was very innapropriate and now the left is trying to spin it into some vast conspiracy. Where has common sense gone?
true, while I agree more with Kerry on the issue than with Bush (and more than Howard Dean than with either), Kerry and Edwards IMO just looked totally like they were making a political move during those mentions, especially Kerry, since he wasn't even debating Cheney, and really didn't have to give out names.Makura said:Respecting her for being a lesbian is not an attempt to split the conservative base, but going out of your way to mention it twice on two major televised events IS in my opinion. It came off as a political dirty trick and the Kerry camp or anyone else for that matter shouldn't be surprised at the reaction is caused.
Makura said:Respecting her for being a lesbian is not an attempt to split the conservative base, but going out of your way to mention it twice on two major televised events IS in my opinion. It came off as a political dirty trick and the Kerry camp or anyone else for that matter shouldn't be surprised at the reaction is caused.
eggplant said:Why would conservatives be against gay people? They profess to be only against homosexual acts, not homosexuals themselves. Not only that, any attempt against Bush's religious base would be of limited use because well... you know.
JC10001 said:Sorry, but...no. This is a political move by the republicans. All Kerry did was mention her. Same as Edwards. Both had nothing but good things to say about the Cheney family I might add. Now the republicans are trying to make a controversy out of nothing. Where was this so called outrage a few weeks ago when Alan Keyes called Mary Cheney a sinner and a hedonist? Oh, but thats right. He's a republican running against Barack Obama so that makes it okay. I forgot that the only person who isn't allowed to mention Mary Cheney is John Kerry.
Makura said:The comparison rings hollow.
Tenguman said:If that's the case, then why would Kerry mention Mary at all? He could have used someone that had no connections to the candidates at all. But he specifically used Mary and there is a REASON for that. The reason? To say "oh by the way conservatives, Dick's daughter is gay"
he didn't give out her name though, and since it is his daughter, that's different from if he had brought up Gephardt's daughter or someone else...SolidSnakex said:Then why didn't Cheney get upset when Edwards brought her up?
Cheney's brought it up before, even recently:
"Asked his position on the subject at a town hall meeting in Davenport, Iowa, Cheney replied: "Lynne and I have a gay daughter, so it's an issue that our family is very familiar with. ... With respect to the question of relationships, my general view is that freedom means freedom for everyone. People ought to be able to free -- ought to be free to enter into any kind of relationship they want to."
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/c/a/2004/08/25/MNGHQ8DV6Q1.DTL
If he doesn't want her being brought up in debates then he shouldn't be doing it either. It's no longer private when you're making it public.
SolidSnakex said:It's no longer private when you're making it public.
Tenguman said:If that's the case, then why would Kerry mention Mary at all? He could have used someone that had no connections to the candidates at all. But he specifically used Mary and there is a REASON for that. The reason? To say "oh by the way conservatives, Dick's daughter is gay"
JC10001 said:Maybe he just wanted to put a face on the issue?
efralope said:he didn't give out her name though, and since it is his daughter, that's different from if he had brought up Gephardt's daughter or someone else...
Besides, it's not impossible to be both thankful that Edwards/Kerry hold those feeling towards their family (and thankful there are Americans that think that way), and be upset that "Mary Cheney is fair game" (as the Kerry/Edwards camp puts it) at the debates and is injected into statements maybe not wrongfully, but definitely unnecessarily...
SolidSnakex said:He should be when Cheney thanked Edwards for the compliment when he spoke about his daughter.
Tenguman said:But Edwards was a bit more graceful than Kerry's 'oh by the way' approach