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CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP POLL: Bush by 8

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Phoenix

Member
In the more important 'poll' of the electorate, Bush is still winning by a fairly significant margin. Its all up to the 'battleground states' at this point. That's where this election will be decided.
 
Phoenix said:
In the more important 'poll' of the electorate, Bush is still winning by a fairly significant margin. Its all up to the 'battleground states' at this point. That's where this election will be decided.

.
 

Memles

Member
This election race is a dead heat. There is no poll needed to point this out.

It will all come down to battlegrounds...and national polls don't represent this.
 

Matlock

Banned
Tenguman said:
I'm throwing my vote away.

bullwinkle.jpg



"Yes, he is."
 
Tenguman said:
I'm a Badnarik supporter.

3) Unbiased, moderate voters who own all the game systems may post any poll in which Ralph Nader has acheived a majority or plurality.

4) Progressive or reactionary posters supporting a third party candidate may post any poll in which Lyndon LaRouche has acheived a plurality or majority.

Neither Nader nor LaRouche are leading
 

Phoenix

Member
HalfPastNoon said:
well, yeah. for some reason, i thought you said landslide for bush..

graph.png

Unfortunately it won't matter if he get 271 or 350. The second he crosses 270, the game is over. I think this will be close, but sadly its not going to matter much unless the Kerry camp can start to ssway more voters in the bg states.
 
Phoenix said:
Unfortunately it won't matter if he get 271 or 350. The second he crosses 270, the game is over. I think this will be close, but sadly its not going to matter much unless the Kerry camp can start to ssway more voters in the bg states.

yea, i'm not arguing the 270 number. once u achieve it --ballgame! i just misread your initial post and thought u said "landslide for bush", so i just wanted to throw some charts in that proved it was different...
 
God, that Mary Cheney "controversy" was a brilliant political move. Reprehensible, despicable, but brilliant.

Honestly, I think no matter which way these polls swing they're ultimately inaccurate. They're just not taking into account the slew of newly registered (and might I add, incensed) voters across the country. They're what's going to decide this election. Not "undecideds," not the party's bases -- the pissed off newbies.


*Noel Coward Parody
 

DarienA

The black man everyone at Activision can agree on
God the fact that there is still such a REALLY good chance that Bush is going to win is crazy....
 

Makura

Member
N Coward Parody said:
God, that Mary Cheney "controversy" was a brilliant political move. Reprehensible, despicable, but brilliant.

What on earth are you talking about? The only political move made in regards to Mary Cheney was by the Kerry camp - they brought it on themselves. The Cheney's have every right to be outraged about the Kerry camp bringing up a private family matter on a large televised event - TWICE. It was very innapropriate and now the left is trying to spin it into some vast conspiracy. Where has common sense gone?
 

MIMIC

Banned
Makura said:
What on earth are you talking about? The Cheney's have every right to be outraged about the Kerry camp bringing up a private family matter on a large televised event - TWICE. It was very innapropriate and now the left is trying to spin it into some vast conspiracy. Where has common sense gone?

A "private family matter"????

:lol :lol :lol
 
Makura said:
What on earth are you talking about? The Cheney's have every right to be outraged about the Kerry camp bringing up a private family matter on a large televised event - TWICE. It was very innapropriate and now the left is trying to spin it into some vast conspiracy. Where has common sense gone?

Is being gay something bad enough to be hidden away as some "private family matter"?

Reading some of the responses to the controversy has me laughing...some people are acting like being gay is a bad thing. To me, the so-called "outing" is comparable to telling people about your opponent's daugher's occupation. This information is well known and it is nothing bad either.

Mary Cheney is a grown up woman who works in politics.. she's not 12 year old Chelsea. She's not a naive young child who needs daddy's protection.
 

Rorschach

Member
3) Unbiased, moderate voters who own all the game systems may post any poll in which Ralph Nader has acheived a majority or plurality.

4) Progressive or reactionary posters supporting a third party candidate may post any poll in which Lyndon LaRouche has acheived a plurality or majority.
:lol
 

Tenguman

Member
The whole mary thing really backfired on Kerry. I'm sure his goal was to shake up Bush's conservative base, but in the end I think it just made them more resolute :/

that seems to be a running theme in the kerry campaign though...backfires. Vietnam, bush NG records, lesbians

oh well, we'll see what happens. All I know is that the man who should win won't.
 
Tenguman said:
The whole mary thing really backfired on Kerry. His goal was to shake up Bush's conservative base, but in the end I think it just made them more resolute :/

KERRY: We're all God's children, Bob. And I think if you were to talk to Dick Cheney's daughter, who is a lesbian, she would tell you that she's being who she was, she's being who she was born as.

Split the conservative base? It was a pretty positive statement and it fits perfectly with my worldview.
 

xsarien

daedsiluap
eggplant said:
Is being gay something bad enough to be hidden away as some "private family matter"?

Reading some of the responses to the controversy has me laughing...some people are acting like being gay is a bad thing. To me, the so-called "outing" is comparable to telling people about your opponent's daugher's occupation. This information is well known and it is nothing bad either.

Mary Cheney is a grown up woman who works in politics.. she's not 12 year old Chelsea. She's not a naive young child who needs daddy's protection.

In addition, she's been "out" for several years, she brought herself into the campaign when she started working for the campaign, and the context in which Kerry brought up her up - while a bit below the belt - is important to notice: The President had just said that he "doesn't know" if homosexuality is a choice (which disgusted me because it really underscored his overall ignorance), and Kerry "broke" a rule by all but asking him if he thinks his VP's own daughter made that "choice".

Bush needs things thrown in his face, but as we've known for four years now, even then he tends to ignore whatever it is you're trying to say.
 

MacGuffin

Member
Makura said:
What on earth are you talking about? The only political move made in regards to Mary Cheney was by the Kerry camp - they brought it on themselves. The Cheney's have every right to be outraged about the Kerry camp bringing up a private family matter on a large televised event - TWICE. It was very innapropriate and now the left is trying to spin it into some vast conspiracy. Where has common sense gone?

Dude, Cheney spoke about his daughter's sexual preference, in a speech for this presidental election, well before Kerry ever brought it up. He should be pissed at himself or not get all pissed that someone else mentions it.
 

Tenguman

Member
eggplant said:
Split the conservative base? It was a pretty positive statement and it fits perfectly with my worldview.
oh come on......that statement could have been made without metioning Mary. Everyone knows the 3rd politcal debate is the debate where the candidates move back towards their base, and it's perfectly clear what Kerry wanted to do there. He deliberatly mentioned Mary to "remind" conservatives that the guy they're going to vote for has a VP who's daughter is gay.

Kerry is a smart guy, and he knew that this line would shake things up. I don't think he anticipated that it may backfire on him though. Or at least not as much as it may have done.
 

Alcibiades

Member
JScott said:
Dude, Cheney spoke about his daughter's sexual preference, in a speech for this presidental election, well before Kerry ever brought it up. He should be pissed at himself or not get all pissed that someone else mentions it.
Cheney was not giving a speech, he was responding to a question about his daughter.

Kerry was asked whether homosexuality was a choice, not about Dick Cheney's daughter.
 

Makura

Member
Respecting her for being a lesbian is not an attempt to split the conservative base, but going out of your way to mention it twice on two major televised events IS in my opinion. It came off as a political dirty trick and the Kerry camp or anyone else for that matter shouldn't be surprised at the reaction is caused.
 

xsarien

daedsiluap
efralope said:
Cheney was not giving a speech, he was responding to a question about his daughter.

Kerry was asked whether homosexuality was a choice, not about Dick Cheney's daughter.


You do realize there was a whole lot more to his answer than just "Cheney's daughter is gay," right?

(Right?)
 
Tenguman said:
oh come on......that statement could have been made without metioning Mary. Everyone knows the 3rd politcal debate is the debate where the candidates move back towards their base, and it's perfectly clear what Kerry wanted to do there. He deliberatly mentioned Mary to "remind" conservatives that the guy they're going to vote for has a VP who's daughter is gay.

Why would conservatives be against gay people? They profess to be only against homosexual acts, not homosexuals themselves. Not only that, any attempt against Bush's religious base would be of limited use because well... you know.
 

Baron Aloha

A Shining Example
Makura said:
What on earth are you talking about? The only political move made in regards to Mary Cheney was by the Kerry camp - they brought it on themselves. The Cheney's have every right to be outraged about the Kerry camp bringing up a private family matter on a large televised event - TWICE. It was very innapropriate and now the left is trying to spin it into some vast conspiracy. Where has common sense gone?

Sorry, but...no. This is a political move by the republicans. All Kerry did was mention her. Same as Edwards. Both had nothing but good things to say about the Cheney family I might add. Now the republicans are trying to make a controversy out of nothing. Where was this so called outrage a few weeks ago when Alan Keyes called Mary Cheney a sinner and a hedonist? Oh, thats right. He's a republican running against Barack Obama so that makes it okay. I forgot that the only person who isn't allowed to mention Mary Cheney is John Kerry.
 

Alcibiades

Member
Makura said:
Respecting her for being a lesbian is not an attempt to split the conservative base, but going out of your way to mention it twice on two major televised events IS in my opinion. It came off as a political dirty trick and the Kerry camp or anyone else for that matter shouldn't be surprised at the reaction is caused.
true, while I agree more with Kerry on the issue than with Bush (and more than Howard Dean than with either), Kerry and Edwards IMO just looked totally like they were making a political move during those mentions, especially Kerry, since he wasn't even debating Cheney, and really didn't have to give out names.

Why not mention Barney Franks, the Massachusettes congressman?

Was it a dirty political move? no, there's been much worse, though it seemed to me to be a purposeful political move...

Was it necessary at all? no, he could have just answered the question, and expanded without the mention, or mention someone he know personally (which would be more appropriate).
 
Makura said:
Respecting her for being a lesbian is not an attempt to split the conservative base, but going out of your way to mention it twice on two major televised events IS in my opinion. It came off as a political dirty trick and the Kerry camp or anyone else for that matter shouldn't be surprised at the reaction is caused.

Then why didn't Cheney get upset when Edwards brought her up?

Cheney's brought it up before, even recently:

"Asked his position on the subject at a town hall meeting in Davenport, Iowa, Cheney replied: "Lynne and I have a gay daughter, so it's an issue that our family is very familiar with. ... With respect to the question of relationships, my general view is that freedom means freedom for everyone. People ought to be able to free -- ought to be free to enter into any kind of relationship they want to."

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/c/a/2004/08/25/MNGHQ8DV6Q1.DTL

If he doesn't want her being brought up in debates then he shouldn't be doing it either. It's no longer private when you're making it public.
 

Tenguman

Member
eggplant said:
Why would conservatives be against gay people? They profess to be only against homosexual acts, not homosexuals themselves. Not only that, any attempt against Bush's religious base would be of limited use because well... you know.

If that's the case, then why would Kerry mention Mary at all? He could have used someone that had no connections to the candidates at all. But he specifically used Mary and there is a REASON for that. The reason? To say "oh by the way conservatives, Dick's daughter is gay"

Maybe it wouldn't have much effect on the conservative base, but I think it's pretty clear that Kerry thought it would in some way shake it up a little.
 

Makura

Member
JC10001 said:
Sorry, but...no. This is a political move by the republicans. All Kerry did was mention her. Same as Edwards. Both had nothing but good things to say about the Cheney family I might add. Now the republicans are trying to make a controversy out of nothing. Where was this so called outrage a few weeks ago when Alan Keyes called Mary Cheney a sinner and a hedonist? Oh, but thats right. He's a republican running against Barack Obama so that makes it okay. I forgot that the only person who isn't allowed to mention Mary Cheney is John Kerry.

Alan Keyes didn't do it in front of two large TV audianeces during two major televised debates. The comparison rings hollow. The only political move here is on the Kerry camps part.
 

Baron Aloha

A Shining Example
Makura said:
The comparison rings hollow.

If you say so Makura.

Tenguman said:
If that's the case, then why would Kerry mention Mary at all? He could have used someone that had no connections to the candidates at all. But he specifically used Mary and there is a REASON for that. The reason? To say "oh by the way conservatives, Dick's daughter is gay"

Maybe he just wanted to put a face on the issue? I don't see how this would split the conservative base at all. Everyone already knew she was gay. The conservatives are going to vote for Bush no matter what he does anyway.
 

Alcibiades

Member
SolidSnakex said:
Then why didn't Cheney get upset when Edwards brought her up?

Cheney's brought it up before, even recently:

"Asked his position on the subject at a town hall meeting in Davenport, Iowa, Cheney replied: "Lynne and I have a gay daughter, so it's an issue that our family is very familiar with. ... With respect to the question of relationships, my general view is that freedom means freedom for everyone. People ought to be able to free -- ought to be free to enter into any kind of relationship they want to."

http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/c/a/2004/08/25/MNGHQ8DV6Q1.DTL

If he doesn't want her being brought up in debates then he shouldn't be doing it either. It's no longer private when you're making it public.
he didn't give out her name though, and since it is his daughter, that's different from if he had brought up Gephardt's daughter or someone else...

Besides, it's not impossible to be both thankful that Edwards/Kerry hold those feeling towards their family (and thankful there are Americans that think that way), and be upset that "Mary Cheney is fair game" (as the Kerry/Edwards camp puts it) at the debates and is injected into statements maybe not wrongfully, but definitely unnecessarily...
 

Makura

Member
SolidSnakex said:
It's no longer private when you're making it public.

Indeed, but using it as a political device against your opponent isn't going to make you look very dignified
 
Tenguman said:
If that's the case, then why would Kerry mention Mary at all? He could have used someone that had no connections to the candidates at all. But he specifically used Mary and there is a REASON for that. The reason? To say "oh by the way conservatives, Dick's daughter is gay"

My take on this: To show Kerry's base and social moderates how far to the right the Republican party has gone. It's to accentuate the difference between the parties on the issue. He's saying, "look, the so-called 'compassionate conservative' candidate of 2000 isn't all that welcoming to minorities".


http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/chronicle/archive/2004/10/10/MNG0996S3R1.DTL
^^article on how the Bush administration's actions have turned off gay Republicans
 

Makura

Member
JC10001 said:
Maybe he just wanted to put a face on the issue?

I think that's a very real possiblity - in fact, watching the debate, that was my impression. Although it felt a little innappropriate because Edwards had already brought it up.

But I feel that Kerry or anyone else shouldn't be surprised that it came off to the Cheney family and others as a political move.

My guess is we probably wouldn't have even heard much about this from the Cheneys if minutes after the debate Kerry's campaign manager hadn't told Fox News that Mary Cheney was "fair game." Which no doubt confirmed any suspicion that it was a political move.
 
efralope said:
he didn't give out her name though, and since it is his daughter, that's different from if he had brought up Gephardt's daughter or someone else...

Besides, it's not impossible to be both thankful that Edwards/Kerry hold those feeling towards their family (and thankful there are Americans that think that way), and be upset that "Mary Cheney is fair game" (as the Kerry/Edwards camp puts it) at the debates and is injected into statements maybe not wrongfully, but definitely unnecessarily...

She's a Lesbian/Gay activist which is a public position. It's not like she keeps hidden, she's out there.

"But I feel that Kerry or anyone else shouldn't be surprised that it came off to the Cheney family and others as a political move."

He should be when Cheney thanked Edwards for the compliment when he spoke about his daughter.
 

Xellos

Member
I don't understand why the Marry Cheney thing is an issue at all. What's wrong with pointing out that she is a lesbian? It's not the first time her sexuality has been brought up in the context of politics. It's not as though Kerry insulted her or the Cheney family with that comment.
 
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