??
Do you see me using the Day 1 votes against either of you right now? I'm Scum reading you both for separate reasons entirely.
Starting with Trigger's vote on Stan at #473
Vote count is: CornBro ( 2 ) v. Trigger ( 2 ) v. Fireblend ( 2 ) v. Stan ( 2)
Sawneeks votes Burb
Muffin votes Nin
Nin Votes Burb
Fire votes Nin
With 16 minutes left as of Squidy's post, Votes are now: Nin ( 3 ) v. Burbeting ( 2 ) v. CornBro ( 2 ) v. Trigger ( 2 ) v. Fireblend ( 2 )
Vere votes Fire
Muffin votes Fire
Day End. Fire ( 4 ) v CornBro ( 2 ) v. Trigger ( 2 ) v Nin ( 2 ) Burb ( 2 )
Only things that stick out to me is the sudden Nin surge last minute that's gets thrown up by Muffin only for him to switch off it last-minute with bandwagoning logic as he follows Monkey's read of Kits and Vere's Fire vote which read kinda opportunistic to me. Knowing Burb and Fire ended up being Town though means this only really makes sense if Muffin or Vere were trying to save Nin so if he ends up being Scum I'd probably look at either of them.
However, in the complete opposite direction it's entirely possible the End of Day candidates were all Town or Neutral, meaning Scum could have just sat on the sidelines and parked their votes elsewhere without really having to worry too much. This includes our two no votes, Rac and Isaac, and everyone who sat on people with only 1 vote: Oreo, Trigger, and CornBro. There's almost no reason to ever No Vote as Town since it's our main weapon at finding Scum so I don't understand why you wouldn't on a Day where it was discussed as to how important it was. Parking a vote off on someone who isn't even in the running kinda falls into the same thing since it's a vote that is, essentially, doing absolutely nothing. Trigger was on Stan who had some votes for a while before dropping off last minute so I'm not too worried there, but CornBro's and Oreo's votes are the ones that sit poorly with me. Oreo's was an OMGUS that just didn't go anywhere and CornBro suddenly got really concerned over low count posters and just parked it on Rac without doing much about it either.
so, tl;dr, I'd be a little more concerned about Vere/Muffin if Nin flips Scum and the gaggle of voters with votes that did nothing ( Rac, Isaac, CornBro, Oreo ) really need to step it up since I doubt all 3 Scum and the 1 Neutral are right there.
4. [m] Muffin1611 - So I noted already about the vote and I still stand by the fact that if Nin is Scum, Vere/Muffin are ones to look at for potentially trying to save him. HOWEVER, sans that vote, Muffin has just been really, really reserved so far. He's simply reacting more to things than being proactive about them and it strikes me as someone more willing to sit on the sidelines than solve the game. My vote is there now and I'd be willing to lynch him today.
6. [m] verelios - Here, posting, contributing....also defensive and shade throw-y, seems to like to attack whoever says anything scummy about him. Same thing what I said about Muffin applies here as well in regards to the Day 1 vote. I've got conflicting feelings here, I swap back and forth between Light Scum and Light Town a lot depending on the post. Wouldn't be against a lynch but it wouldn't be who I'd go after today.
tbh this is why I haven't jumped over yet despite really not trusting Oreo right now. I don't like that both Muffin AND Vere are there, but at the same time I don't think anyone is biting on a Muffin lynch today.
I think you raise a good point, LoC, because it's true the arsonist can't be NKed, and that does ruin the number scenarios.
But it puts us back at shooting into the dark. Trigger, why Vere and Muffin but not Nin?
I think it's a good lead. I'd be willing to look more at a Vere or Muffin lynch. Scum can't communicate, so I don't think that all of them ate votes for Firevlend.
It's the timing of their votes. I imagine scum is spread out amongst the votes, and I'm just mulling the idea that one of the later votes is scum trying to bandwagon.
i was actually reading the vote as frustrated town
if you didn't come back with the aggression i would've moved on
no i was just wondering why vere and not Oreo
that'd be a hell of a slip though
I'm not trying to solve the game, right.
I found something suspicious, prodded more to see if my suspicions could be dispelled by the answer, which didn't happen, and laid out my case why it's suspicious.
And it gets ignored -> You're not solving
Right.
I'm gonna go eat dinner. I'll let y'all's lowkey accusations pile up until then and I'll answer when I get back. But I want to point out that it's in scum's best interests for folks to come after me. It's not in town's. Silence the people trying to move the conversation. We already talked about this as a scum strategy to make this game even more unwinnable for town. If y'all are town and buying into that... welp.
Bloody hell, what's up with the end of day votes.
Here's where we stand. Town is clueless and needs direction so I'm willing to make a 1 to 1 trade. Just the tonic this game requires. I'm Sirris of the Sunless Realms and StanleyPalmtree is not aligned with town.
Lynch StanleyPalmtree, whose name does not have a capital 'T'.
VOTE: StanleyPalmtree
And thaaaaat escalated quickly.
Are you talking your posts beginning here and going for a few pages later? Because you started solving and going after someone AFTER I called you out on it, before that you were perfectly fine with sitting back and watching everything go on around you. Just because you changed your behavior when you got thrust into the spotlight doesn't suddenly make everything else go away.
About not following up on oreo, you're right, I should have done that. As you noticed I only made one quick post to CB about his vote reasoning when I popped in for a second. I wasn't really able to look over posts again timewise to give informed opinions. And as much as my answer to Trigger seems like an old tactic or something, it was a genuine concern to me.
I wasn't really able to look over posts again timewise to give informed opinions.
How? Make your case. Explain.Also, last thing regarding stuff from D2 I wanted to adress:
This is disingenious.
???More of you connecting us both together for a mislynch. And your scum reads are pretty much only because of the vote. So much for "my reasons to scumread you two are seperate entirely". The sole difference you say about us is that I supposedly sit on the sidelines while Vere throws shade on people. Doesn't seem like a strong difference to me.
Now this is you reading into things. I can't speak for anyone else. But you're making assumptions here about me and my play based on... one past game? Rather than based on what I'm saying, which was absolutely based in the timing of d1 votes. Which I said. Tunneling on oreo over what seems like a small thing to me isn't much to shake off my suspicion, but doesn't really grow it, either. But it means I'm less inclined to agree or disagree and more inclined to just watch.What makes this weird for me is that both monkey and Trigger seem to buy into it. From what I've seen of monkey so far, (partly LB2) I would expect her to give serious side-eye to somebody making such a connection without much behind it, that early in the game. But instead:
Again, I'm not really sure what you're arguing here. That I was not on board with you? It's not that I voted against your oreo vote but that I I didn't want to vote for it. I will address that in a moment.A relatively neutral question, and... not much else. Not much came from monkey about this supposed connection until it got to the end of the day and the votes where she suddenly used it to argue against one lynch option.
This, finally, makes more sense - but at the same time, when people aren't doing much, it's not particularly meaningful for me. Just something to note and again, to see how things develop.Which is...not the strongest argument. I agree that scum probably spread out their votes, but: Two of the scum team on the same person? Aren't you contradicting yourself here? I mean, you're arguing that there's a connection between me and Verelios. We were both on Fireblend. If we were scum, that means we weren't spread out at all.
Sorry for the long post, wanted to write this down since day end. It's a pattern I've been seeing and it seems a bit...manufactured to me.
???
they are literally different behaviors. (I don't agree with Sawneeks' assessment of you btw, but I am trying to show you why I'm not just falling in when you post).
yeah, probs. ¯\_(ツ_/¯ I never said I make good decisions.why
this is such WIFOM-y BS
I thought only on the days when we get info? If not, I echo this!Yo, who killed LoC?
Thought we were supposed to know the source of all kills.
Also this.Also going to echo FEP, who did you check Night 1?
This is disingenious.
So here's your breakdown of votes that links me and Vere, that you're supposedly not "using against me".
More of you connecting us both together for a mislynch. And your scum reads are pretty much only because of the vote. So much for "my reasons to scumread you two are seperate entirely". The sole difference you say about us is that I supposedly sit on the sidelines while Vere throws shade on people. Doesn't seem like a strong difference to me.
And here's you later agreeing that a lynch me and Vere are on can only be bad, because you linked us both, even if you pretend otherwise.
Now, all this alone wouldn't make me really suspicious.
Sorry for the long post, wanted to write this down since day end. It's a pattern I've been seeing and it seems a bit...manufactured to me.
I said why, I wasn't "perfectly fine with sitting back". I either didn't have time or was too worn out those first two days of D2 and only asked CB something quick when he gave a vote.
because i was curiousso why did you ask monkey that anyway?
Yes they are, but "not being proactive" and "throwing shade" are reads that I don't buy led to Saws vote at the end. They're just there. "Not being proactive" is something applying to many, and I'm sure shade got thrown around here and there as well by others than Verelios. What I was trying to say was, that the D1 vote looks like the sole actually justifying factor in those two scumreads.
*Goddamnit, Saws connection of us both, not vote
Which is why I said it's disingenious. I don't believe that Saw was scumreading both of us for different reasons. If she really did, she didn't post her actual reasons at least or she put that much stock into those two general behaviour parts, which seems weird to me.
Did CM really just come in, drop that bomb, and leave?
Sorry but I have to get ready for work. Will be checking the thread sporadically.
because i was curious
I'm not sure what isn't coming across here.
Yes, I think one or both of you could be Scum if Nin flips Scum for the Day 1 votes.
Yes, I also think both of you have done scummy things this game and I've voiced these thoughts already. These have nothing to do with the Day 1 votes and are observations I've made outside of it.
So, I see 2 people whom I don't particularly trust suddenly hop on to somebody else I don't trust - what do you think is going through my head at that point? 'boy that must make Vere/Muffin Town?' No, that makes me go 'oh god maybe I'm wrong' and hesitate to lynch Oreo since two people I suddenly scum lean on just jumped over to him.
.
I can get behind this, but you're shooting your load really quickly CM.Bloody hell, what's up with the end of day votes.
Here's where we stand. Town is clueless and needs direction so I'm willing to make a 1 to 1 trade. Just the tonic this game requires. I'm Sirris of the Sunless Realms and StanleyPalmtree is not aligned with town.
Lynch StanleyPalmtree, whose name does not have a capital 'T'.
VOTE: StanleyPalmtree
That's a ridiculous argument Saw and doesn't​ help you any. You've previously said that both scum leans are predicated on nin's flip so turning it around and using it as a barometer for who you can and want to vote is nothing more than a weak justification. What exactly is your agenda here, other than having a convenient excuse to third party pick.curious about what? monkey's reaction? the flip we didn't get?
*since two people I scum lean on suddenly jumped over to him.
bring it on, I'm drinking fine beers and plan to drink more fine beers, so this could get wacky.
We're down four? so majority is what, eight? seven? I am hesitant to vote until CM gets back regardless but I wanna keep an eye.
curious about what? monkey's reaction? the flip we didn't get?
That's a ridiculous argument Saw and doesn't​ help you any. You've previously said that both scum leans are predicated on nin's flip so turning it around and using it as a barometer for who you can and want to vote is nothing more than a weak justification. What exactly is your agenda here, other than having a convenient excuse to third party pick.
well if you want to stop a tie why not just vote oreo
i mean voting vere there essentially does the same thing anyways and if you switch over to oreo instead you completely stop a single person from tying the vote
why we got a scum, right?
I will pay in post count.Oh I'm sorry did I forget to mention there was a fine beer tax for playing in this game?
Why would I jump into a vote I didn't support? Why would I JUST vote to lynch anyone, anyone at all? Regardless of who else was on that vote.well if you want to stop a tie why not just vote oreo
i mean voting vere there essentially does the same thing anyways and if you switch over to oreo instead you completely stop a single person from tying the vote
YES, THAT WAS FOR THE VOTE AND BEFORE I SCUM READ YOU BOTH FOR OTHER REASONS NOT RELATED TO SAID VOTE
jesus christ forget i ever said anything about votes
What? No, I'm talking about what you said at Day Start:
we have no idea what Corn flipped so why are you assuming he's Scum?
No, that's not the most easy. Don't start playing the victim Monkey, you of all people should know that a person who's​ vocal at least has a foundation of some Town's belief and opportunity to argue back to whatever is said about them. A so called easy lynch is someone who has been inactive, someone who has made mostly fluff posts, someone who has been distracted, someone who makes mistakes that scum love to capitalize on for town cred. Those are the easy lynches. Someone who fights back is not because they can unravel scum, come on, I know you understand this.I'm deeply frustrated, yes.
Vere:
Here's what's easy. What's really easy. Picking apart the most vocal person, because they are the most vocal. And it happens so often in games when there's nothing else going on. And no, I'm not saying anyone who says anything against me is scum, but you're awfully determined to read into stuff I'm saying today. What I am saying is that it's not in anyone's best interest to come after me today. How would it be? Honestly? Do you legit think I'm scum? In this game, what possible reason would I have to work this hard if I was scum?
So...in other words you're convinced CB and me are scum? You've already made your mind up and have enlightened yourself to our alignment-- okay, disregarding me, what did CB do that was so telling to put him apart from Oreo? You tell me that.I have voted for people I've felt were scum. Yes, I thought CornBro was scummy. Yes, I think Vere is scummy. I posted on both. I think oreo could be, but I'm not convinced. See also Muffin, Sawneeks, and LoC (though I guess he wasn't unless that happened to be an arsonist kill). But my suspicion on Saw and LoC? Honestly, probably the same root that's making people come at me now. There's nothing else so you go for the people talking.
Already pre-empting the alignment numbers huh. You don't want to lead the charge? Then you shouldn't have muddied the waters yesterday. Yes, by unvoting corn and then voting him again, that's what I call manipulating the vote. Correct me if I'm wrong (and you will try).We don't know the alignment of the people who've died so far but from flavor I'm guessing CB was town. I'm pretty frustrated if we've managed to only lynch town so far and on such lackluster votes. I don't want to lead the charge. I've led both. I want other people in there, talking, debating, throwing out ideas. I don't particularly agree with Muffin's but hell, at least he's doing something.
Oh, okay, then just to refresh you, three of our wonderful town leaders, couldn't be more pristine if you mixed them with Ajax, turned out to be scum. And we allowed it because of thoughts like yours where we'd rather lynch anyone who isn't productive than look at who is.And no, I haven't read Pokemon mafia. I haven't read a lot of the old games yet.
No, this sounds wacky. I feel like you're trying to fit logical reasoning into an illogical hole, and coming up with reasons for WHY we could be scum rather than why you think we are. And it all started from that vote. You seem a little agitated about it too.YES, THAT WAS FOR THE VOTE AND BEFORE I SCUM READ YOU BOTH FOR OTHER REASONS NOT RELATED TO SAID VOTE
jesus christ forget i ever said anything about votes
What? No, I'm talking about what you said at Day Start:
we have no idea what Corn flipped so why are you assuming he's Scum?
Your face is disingenuous. :u
Cut some of this out to save space.
While we are fairly disagreeing on everything here, I actually do agree with you on Trigger there. If he agrees with me that the votes could be suspect I don't see why he doesn't push for Nin first since that's the only thing that makes the votes weird. Instead he trails back over to you two first and I don't really know why.
I will pay in post count.
Why would I jump into a vote I didn't support? Why would I JUST vote to lynch anyone, anyone at all? Regardless of who else was on that vote.
EMBRACE YOUR RAAAAAGE
^^^^to the power of answer the damn question
I called it a tax for a reason. the primary goal is the redistribution of fine beers. to me. All must pay.
Lol, Stan my man this is a game where roles are known beforehand. Only someone that hasn't been paying attention would think CM would say that if it wasn't true, especially when being counterclaimed is so easy....
i would like to say i disagree, but i dont think anyone is really just going to take my word for it huh?
No, that's not the most easy. Don't start playing the victim Monkey, you of all people should know that a person who's​ vocal at least has a foundation of some Town's belief and opportunity to argue back to whatever is said about them. A so called easy lynch is someone who has been inactive, someone who has made mostly fluff posts, someone who has been distracted, someone who makes mistakes that scum love to capitalize on for town cred. Those are the easy lynches. Someone who fights back is not because they can unravel scum, come on, I know you understand this.
So...in other words you're convinced CB and me are scum? You've already made your mind up and have enlightened yourself to our alignment-- okay, disregarding me, what did CB do that was so telling to put him apart from Oreo? You tell me that.
Already pre-empting the alignment numbers huh. You don't want to lead the charge? Then you shouldn't have muddied the waters yesterday. Yes, by unvoting corn and then voting him again, that's what I call manipulating the vote. Correct me if I'm wrong (and you will try).
Oh, okay, then just to refresh you, three of our wonderful town leaders, couldn't be more pristine if you mixed them with Ajax, turned out to be scum. And we allowed it because of thoughts like yours where we'd rather lynch anyone who isn't productive than look at who is.
Some mechanics thoughts and more math on the game. Appreciated, weirdly scarce of anything else, but appreciate the math
Push for No lynch turbo, adequate reason that we wouldn't get anything done regardless if it's a no lynch day but doesn't seem very interested in doing much else but math in the first place.
...I legit believe he made his list piggybacking off of the Page's current discussion. Also, no time for post analysis but more than enough time to create a probability line? Ok.
Gut reads, doesn't elaborate on what feelings he has.
I mean, usually when someone is making a guess they're inferring from information they've seen or how they've felt. Oreo doesn't convey any of this, he's doing the bare minimum to make sure he can plop a vote down later on and say 'See, See, I did have suspicions beforehand so my vote is supported'.
Right.
Vote: Oreomunsta
Are we playing them monkey games or...? Your response to a question is to Jedi mind force it back to me? Fine, I guess, there are some people I'm uneasy about, such as Oreo and Trigger.
Why would I jump into a vote I didn't support? Why would I JUST vote to lynch anyone, anyone at all? Regardless of who else was on that vote.
but changing your vote would've got oreo lynched, kinda counterproductive
anyways i would've been fine with this answer
The best I might do is switch to you - as I did - and let the vote happen if no one else makes a move.
For example, leads me to believe that you will willingly sabatoge town and go against our best interests, and that's regardless of your or the lynch targets alignment.I do not trust the votes on oreomunsta, who has been scum before and didn't play this way, and half the people I suspect are all together on that vote.
We're talking across each other Monkey and it's probably going to continue with circular logic until one of us gets exhausted. Let me say my conclusions first, I don't believe your assertion that you thought CB was the best lynch possible yesterday, I don't believe you fail to understand what was easy about it and I don't believe you aren't manufacturing a town image of scum hunting on the backs of town members.
This--
For example, leads me to believe that you will willingly sabatoge town and go against our best interests, and that's regardless of your or the lynch targets alignment.
wild