Royal_Flush
Member
This is the biggest clusterfuck I've seen in a long time.
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PART I: The Young Girl and the Sea
What happened so far?
D1:
- Exodu5 reads Enker as Scum and goes after him.
N1:
- Enker tries to visit Exodu5, but isn't receiving whatever he's supposed to receive. (If Enker isn't completely lying, that is)
D2:
- Exodu5 claims out of the blue target immunity with downside (he only mentions the not further specified downside after various people called bullshit on his claim)
- He thinks Scum targeted him and failed instead of our potential doctor or roleblocker having a lucky guess.
Enker's claim
Ok, let's break this down:
Except Exodu5, out of all people, who still thinks it made perfect sense:
What do we get out of it?
Two Town roleclaims, no new strong Scum suspects. Great.
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PART II: The Three Question Marks
What happened so far?
D1:
- Seath roleplays as that princess from enchanted (I forgot her name)
- Darryl goes after Seath
- both play as ususal (as far as I can tell)
- AbsolutBro seems (in my opinion) weirdly constrained compared to other games or even D2 this day.
D2:
- Darryl drops a Tinkerbell line towards Seath
- Seath claims Tinkerbell (Ordinary)
- Darryl plays way more friendly and agreeable than on D1
- Seath starts getting involved after his claim.
Two Wendys (Wendies?)
Anyway, next thing that happens is that AsolutBro comes along and counterclaims Wendy with some mysterious night action he wants to fire off N2:
Who to believe?
Well, here starts the difficult part. Darryl's whole claim is suspicious as fuck, but he has that Tinkerbell line. That's a pretty good piece of evidence for his claim.
There is however another (not that likely, but also far from impossible) possibility I didn't yet consider:
I guess that could just be really, really good bait (as he mentioned in a later post which for general confusion is quoted further above in my post), but it sounds really serious. And again, why would he attack his name plan or even drop the Tinkerbell line if he "knows" Seath doesn't know of his protector and assumes Seath has to keep his identity hidden? Posts already quoted above, but for reference:
And then, after AB counterclaimed, it starts getting ridiculous:
That's it for Darryl for now. Let's look at AbsolutBro. Apart from me on D1 noone ever really suspected him so far, so he has little to gain from a fake counterclaim. Especially since if we lynch Darryl and he turns out to really be Wendy, we have no option than to lynch AB on D3.
But then there are these huge, HUGE red flags in his posts that I actually can't really find in Darryl's posts:
And then there's Seath who dramatically changed his playstyle after his roleclaim and unusually clear states his alignment. I don't know how I would react in his situation but it kind of rubs me in a wrong way:
What do we get out of it?
I don't have the slightest clue. This whole situation makes zero sense, from any party involved, regardless of their alignment. Except everyone is telling the truth in which case I will get really angry at ynnny,
At the moment I'm inclined to believe Exodu5's version and would vote Darryl.
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PART III: The Leftovers
So again just a few unrelated comments as you should be used to by now:
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PART I: The Young Girl and the Sea
What happened so far?
D1:
- Exodu5 reads Enker as Scum and goes after him.
N1:
- Enker tries to visit Exodu5, but isn't receiving whatever he's supposed to receive. (If Enker isn't completely lying, that is)
D2:
- Exodu5 claims out of the blue target immunity with downside (he only mentions the not further specified downside after various people called bullshit on his claim)
- He thinks Scum targeted him and failed instead of our potential doctor or roleblocker having a lucky guess.
Enker's claim
Ok, let's break this down:
Enker misread (or at least acts as if he did) Exodu5's claim and thinks Exodu5 says he was visited by someone. That is not what he stated, tough. In addition: Why would Scum Exodu5 even care if Enker visited him. it's not like his visitors will be publicly announced or something. And even if, it still could just be the cop or something checking in.Hes a Watcher, most likely a Scum Watcher, and my special case. If you recall, he also claimed to be visited (a somewhat mysterious addition to the roleclam). Hes afraid I am the cop (nope, nor the Doctor) and wants to get rid of me before I out him (thus starting a bandwagon, which he was going to vote me out for yesterday), but I did visit him last night.
Except Exodu5 already tried to paint Enker as Scum D1, where nothing ever visited him. For some reason none of you see that and instead you mumble something about a thunderdome. Then AB and potentially a few others (sorry, I don't remember) stroll along and set the records straight.Why not claim Town Watcher? Because it would be hard to explain how I visited him but hes not dead otherwise. Hed have to claim a doctor visited too (to try and paint me as Scum). I will not role claim, because the people that have done so thus far have not done so in a Town-friendly way. Needless to say though, you can see why Id want to hide a little bit. Lionesses are pretty good at that.
Except Exodu5, out of all people, who still thinks it made perfect sense:
Exodu5 already was focused on Enker D1. Nothing changed. Exodu5 can't possibly know Enker is a PR on D1.Not really, actually. His claim makes sense. He's trying to figure out why I was so focused on him. His theory makes sense (despite being wrong), and his claims of having visiting me and nothing happening makes sense as well. I'm pretty sure he's town. My fault for being so focused on him. The only thing that puzzles me is why he revealed when there was pretty much no pressure on him.
What do we get out of it?
Two Town roleclaims, no new strong Scum suspects. Great.
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PART II: The Three Question Marks
What happened so far?
D1:
- Seath roleplays as that princess from enchanted (I forgot her name)
- Darryl goes after Seath
- both play as ususal (as far as I can tell)
- AbsolutBro seems (in my opinion) weirdly constrained compared to other games or even D2 this day.
D2:
- Darryl drops a Tinkerbell line towards Seath
- Seath claims Tinkerbell (Ordinary)
- Darryl plays way more friendly and agreeable than on D1
- Seath starts getting involved after his claim.
Two Wendys (Wendies?)
Let me paraphrase: Darryl (Town) knows that Seath (Town) is Tinkerbell. When Seath dies, he dies two but not the other way around; in fact Seath knows nothing about all this. "But", you may ask, "didn't Darryl do after Seath and complained about the swing towards Dusk Soldier?" Well, let's see what he has to say about this:I mean since Seath is going to come out and say he's Tinker Bell, I might as well just come out and say that I'm Wendy. I know Seath is Tinker Bell, it's in my role. We aren't lovers, this is a one-sided relationship.
Uh, you were going to safe Seath? Interesting:And yea, my constant Seath pressure was a gambit to see who would take the bait. Seeing who picks on the weak and easy targets is always my favorite way to hunt scum. Finding a weak target and making him appear weak and seeing who bandwagons tends to find scum a lot. I was going to save him with my claim if anything got too bad. That's why I am also leaning towards a Euphemism lynch, among others.
This was right before the Dusk Soldier train started. If I read the postnumbers in the votecount correctly, this put Seath on a tie for second position with Darryl himself (3 votes each) right behind Terrabyte (4 votes). A bit risky if you want to safe Seath, especially as Darryl names several other good targets in his post, don't you think?I'll believe this for now. No reason not to. I didn't actually profile Terra as scum, so if he's willing to vouch for Septimus then that's a thing
On the low hanging fruit category, we have Rynam, GC, Dusk Solider, Enker. There's also Freakinchair, Euphemism, Seath. Holy fuck. I have to leave for work so I can't stick around for the end of this. I might have a chance to check my phone but I dunno. I don't have time to look through these candidates. I guess based on his persona, I'd expect scummy Seath to act the way he is now. So I'm just going to vote with the gut today.
Vote: Seath
Anyway, next thing that happens is that AsolutBro comes along and counterclaims Wendy with some mysterious night action he wants to fire off N2:
I don't know if Scum didn't get a list of unused names, but I'm Wendy. I leave my PR to your imagination. If necessary, I'm willing to be voted out today to prove I am who I say I am, but I can just as easily prove you're lying when you flip. I find it hilarious you back Seath (who I'm still not even sure is scum or if this is just a bait post), but then try to turn on Terrabyte and Septimus again.
That said, I have offered to be voted out today to prove that I am both Town and Wendy. It's sort of an interesting predicament because if we choose not to vote out Darryl today, scum has to decide to either let me do whatever I do at night, or kill me at night and out Darryl for me.
Who to believe?
Well, here starts the difficult part. Darryl's whole claim is suspicious as fuck, but he has that Tinkerbell line. That's a pretty good piece of evidence for his claim.
There is however another (not that likely, but also far from impossible) possibility I didn't yet consider:
If you think this through, it actually makes sense on a conspiracy theory level: pressure Seath into a nameclaim today and then use the info gained on N1 as evidence for Township. Note how Darryl specifically attacks the false roleplay angle of Seath's D1 play:Ok, so Darryl dropped the breadcrumb "stop busting my bells if you're Tinker Bell". That's the only thing lending credence to his claim. If he's scum, it wouldn't be overly surprising that a scum role-inspector visited Seath last night (If I were scum, I think Seath would be my main target for role-inspection). I'm inclined to believe AbsolutBro over Darryl, in this case. Either way, if we guess wrong today, we at least get scum tomorrow, which isn't so bad.
This Dusk Soldier swing was incredible. Where were some of you guys? Did you guys miss this exchange?
Ultron87 claims he is Giselle. The one from Enchanted that Seath is heavily breadcrumbing himself to be.
1. Why would a scum fake Ultron87 counterclaim this?
2. Why would Seath pretend to be someone he isn't? It's provoked an unnecessary name claim already, and it could've done more damage than that if Ultron87 wasn't seasoned and knew how to handle that scenario.
Seath's Response:
[...]
What the fucking fuck?
Here are some delicious responses to this incredibly anti-town play from Seath's part:
[...]
Yea, he's done nothing other than the pretending to be someone else and forcing them to name claim part for no reason at all. Real good stuff here.
He was a bad choice? Why, exactly? Seath had such little pressure on him for what could've been himself being caught in scummy behavior. It was our best lead yesterday.
The worst part about Seath is that I don't sense any desire at all for him to actually want to play mafia traditionally. He's acting pretty much squarely in the neutral camp. I'd put the odds of him being a neutral at like 95%.
That said, this entire post has been formed before I've even looked at the 2nd day start. So I might reevaluate this. However, I didn't have a chance to post this the last day phase because of work and I want to say it now.
I guess that could just be really, really good bait (as he mentioned in a later post which for general confusion is quoted further above in my post), but it sounds really serious. And again, why would he attack his name plan or even drop the Tinkerbell line if he "knows" Seath doesn't know of his protector and assumes Seath has to keep his identity hidden? Posts already quoted above, but for reference:
We aren't lovers, this is a one-sided relationship.
[...]
I assumed we had to keep his role name hidden and I was on some secret mission to protect him
And then, after AB counterclaimed, it starts getting ridiculous:
I mean, if AB's role PM states that he is a young Wendy, ok. (Does it, AB?) But otherwise? No way!I am Wendy. Could there be two Wendy's? What does your flavor say about you? Mine actually implies that I'm old.
That's it for Darryl for now. Let's look at AbsolutBro. Apart from me on D1 noone ever really suspected him so far, so he has little to gain from a fake counterclaim. Especially since if we lynch Darryl and he turns out to really be Wendy, we have no option than to lynch AB on D3.
But then there are these huge, HUGE red flags in his posts that I actually can't really find in Darryl's posts:
Honestly, it didn't even occur to me. Usually if a lyncher role has a specific target, that target knows someone is after them. I don't have anything like that in my role description, though obviously that doesn't exclude the possibility.
Even if I die though, as long as town wins I still win.
He offers himself. I'm suspicious now. He doesn't want to lynch Darryl but someone else today? WT actual F?! So he can buy himself another day or what? If he was Scum that whole gambit didn't make much sense to begin with but once started the best way out clearly would be to get neither himself nor Darryl lynched.That said, I have offered to be voted out today to prove that I am both Town and Wendy. It's sort of an interesting predicament because if we choose not to vote out Darryl today, scum has to decide to either let me do whatever I do at night, or kill me at night and out Darryl for me.
And then there's Seath who dramatically changed his playstyle after his roleclaim and unusually clear states his alignment. I don't know how I would react in his situation but it kind of rubs me in a wrong way:
I'm Tinkerbell and I'm town aligned!!
I can't be recruited by scum...
How much more clear do I need to be??
But if you guys want to lynch me today then that is fine by me, but at least we should keep the discussion going.
I'm not afraid to be lynched today and finally prove to you all that I am Tinkerbell, town aligned.
What do we get out of it?
I don't have the slightest clue. This whole situation makes zero sense, from any party involved, regardless of their alignment. Except everyone is telling the truth in which case I will get really angry at ynnny,
At the moment I'm inclined to believe Exodu5's version and would vote Darryl.
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PART III: The Leftovers
So again just a few unrelated comments as you should be used to by now:
Darryl in all likelihood would know that there is someone after him. He didn't mention anything like this.AB could be a lyncher trying to kill Darryl. Says all the "oh I'm so selfless you can kill me first" stuff, but that's just a gambit to have us kill Darryl first and then bounce out of the game as a victor.
A Town flip of Seath does exactly nothing.You know, we could always verify one of these stories by lynching Seath, plus if the tinker Bell speculation is correct it'd be saving AB. Just a thought.
Hook is after Wendy, who doesn't know anyone is after her and Wendy tries to protect Tinkerbell from no apparent danger? Nah.The lyncher theory makes more sense the more I think on it.
Seath is indeed Tinkerbell, Darryl is indeed Wendy, and AB is neutral Captain Hook. Hook wants to get Wendy lynched, because the patriarchy. If we assume scum have safe names, Scum Darryl claiming Wendy makes no sense. He was in a good position with the town.
An every night commuter without strings attached is unkillable and therefor eit's impossible for a single Scum to win. All our commuters so far had restrictions like only operating on odd nights.Haven't we had commuters before? Multiple times? I mean, every night is certainly overboard, but it's not impossible. Do we know if Scum are also Princesses or are they possibly evil witches (ala Maleficent or Ursula)?