Pixars Finding Dory found an insane $9.2 million last night, which is a record Thursday for an animated feature. That bests the $6.2m earned last July by the starting at 6:00 pm preview screenings for Minions. That Illumination/Universal/Comcast Corp. blockbuster ended up with $115.7m on its debut weekend. If Finding Dory merely follows the same path (and earned 5.37% of its opening weekend on Thursday), it gets to $173m, which is just a bit bigger than the $121m (in 2D) debut weekend of Shrek the Third back in 2007.
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The Pixar sequel was indeed heavily anticipated, and the reviews are relatively strong, so either were looking an an incredibly frontloaded animated feature or were looking at another insanely huge Disney opening. This is 48% bigger than the previous record for an animated Thursday preview showing, and there is no real reason to presume that the film blew out its audience last night. This could be a monster debut, plain and simple.
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A Maleficent multiplier which still gets the film to $153 million for the weekend. Obviously, if it ends up being not frontloaded, were looking at a sky-high debut. A 4% figure gets it to $230 million, which is insane and probably not going to happen. But a 5% figure takes it to $184m. So what we can presume is that its playing more like a conventional blockbuster release as opposed to an animated feature. But still, a number like $9.2m for an animated film is mind boggling.
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Even a really frontloaded for a toon 8% gets the film to $116 million for the weekend (just above Minionss $115m debut), which I have to imagine is the worst case scenario at the moment. If it can get to $122m for the weekend, itll be the third-biggest animated debut even adjusted for inflation, behind Shrek 2 ($149m) and Shrek the Third ($151m).
There are even more statistics here. Looks like Shrek's nine year reign will finally be defeated by Pixar, which will receive the biggest animated film opening weekend for the first time since... Finding Nemo. It's like poetry. It rhymes.