Republican Tax Cut Would Benefit Wealthy and Corporations Most, Report Finds
The report, which is the first detailed assessment of the plans financial impact, found that the average tax bill for all income groups would decline by $1,600, or 2.1 percent, in 2018. The biggest decrease would go to those with incomes above $730,000, who would see their after-tax incomes rise by an average of 8.5 percent, or about $129,000.
Those in the middle quintile with incomes averaging $66,960 would see their after-tax income rise by 1.2 percent or about $660.
The breakdown is based on the framework released by the Big Six group of Republican lawmakers and administration officials this week, which did not include many details that could change the distributional impact. For instance, the plan called for an increase in the child tax credit but did not specify how much it would rise and whether it would be across income groups. The plan also opened the door for adding a fourth, higher tax bracket for the richest Americans, which would also change the distributional impact if enacted.
Still, even with those changes, the report makes clear that the plan may not be the salve for the middle class that Mr. Trump has been pitching.
The plan would provide enormous benefits to corporate America, with a $2.6 billion cut in business taxes. Individual income tax revenue would actually increase by $470 billion, largely as a result of changes in personal deductions and exemptions as well as an increase in the bottom tax rate to 12 percent from 10 percent.
Tax collections would shift dramatically from businesses to individuals, said Eric Toder, co-director of the Tax Policy Center.
The loss of deductions would hit the upper middle class the most, and more than a third of the taxpayers who earn $150,000 to $300,000 could see their taxes go up next year, the report found. They would be hit particularly hard by the repeal of the state and local tax deduction.