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- adam parker, morgan stanley's chief u.s. equity strategist
I personally enjoy focusing on none of that
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- adam parker, morgan stanley's chief u.s. equity strategist
I personally enjoy focusing on none of that
I don't either for my retirement. But in my job I have to read a ton of analyses everyday about market sentiment and not enough about fundamentals. It's a scourge.I personally enjoy focusing on none of that
I don't either for my retirement. But in my job I have to read a ton of analyses everyday about market sentiment and not enough about fundamentals. It's a scourge.
No I don't pick stocks. I mostly look at hard macroeconomic indicators at work. But I also follow market actions and expectations, which is where I'm coming from here. Passive investing is popular, but definitely doesn't account for large parts of market flows.Are you a stock picker or a stock analyst of some sort? I have a hard time imaging that many of those people are passive index investors considering that the nature of the job requires them to believe that they can pick stocks.
Kinda curious how how that all works out in your mind.
Hi guys! I have some vested stock from my company and it pays pretty decent dividends. Its in the amount of 105 per share and I have about 55 shares. I was considering selling and moving it all to vanguard to fully fund my Roth for this year. My question is should I do that or just leave it? There is also an incentive to keep the stock by giving you a 3.5% extra percent every year during bonus time. I appreciate the feedback!
Hi guys! I have some vested stock from my company and it pays pretty decent dividends. Its in the amount of 105 per share and I have about 55 shares. I was considering selling and moving it all to vanguard to fully fund my Roth for this year. My question is should I do that or just leave it? There is also an incentive to keep the stock by giving you a 3.5% extra percent every year during bonus time. I appreciate the feedback!
Is there some sort of minimum amount of shares you need to get that 3.5% bonus? What percentage of your portfolio does your company stock take up? I mean, is it like 5% of your total investment portfolio or 25%? About how much is your average yearly bonus?
I doubt anyone in this thread will recommend holding company stock. If you get a match or incentive it might still be worth it to buy it depending on trading fees, but you don't want to hold it long term.
No minimum; just a maximum of up to your monthly salary which I am definitely nowhere near in attaining. This is kind of part of their bonus package where they award half as cash and half as stocks vesting 20% every year. Average yearly bonus is about 10K.
Certainly not as a general rule; it's almost always better to diversify. As Piecake was asking, the particulars really matter. It can make sense under the right situation.
I hold a fixed # of shares, but use them like I would a bond, because the dividend is very high. It's our "income" portion of the portfolio (currently helping to pay the house down quickly). We get shares at a discount and pay zero fees in the account. Otherwise, nope.
Ah, RSU's (restricted stock units). We get them as well, though they vest over 4 years vs. 5. Personally I treat them like incremental income and sell immediately upon vesting.
I'm still not clear how holding stock benefits you. Does that increase your bonus? Get you more stock? Etc.
The only benefit really is that I get more shares the following year so my bonus is ever so slightly increased. One day if i have enough stock it can be potentially equal up to a month salary but at this moment its only equal to about less than 10% of my salary. Current dividend is 78 cents per share.
My concern though is that maybe the dividends i am missing out could be potentially be higher than the one i am earning from my company because I am holding out for the potential promise of up to a month salary.
When a dividend is paid, several things can happen. The first of these is changes to the price of the security and various items tied to it. On the ex-dividend date, the stock price is adjusted downward by the amount of the dividend by the exchange on which the stock trades. For most dividends this is usually not observed amidst the up and down movements of a normal day's trading. It becomes easily apparent, however, on the ex-dividend dates for larger dividends, such as the $3 payment made by Microsoft in the fall of 2004, which caused shares to fall from $29.97 to $27.34.
The reason for the adjustment is that the amount paid out in dividends no longer belongs to the company and this is reflected by a reduction in the company's market cap. Instead, it belongs to the individual shareholders. For those purchasing shares after the ex-dividend date, they no longer have a claim to the dividend, so the exchange adjusts the price downward to reflect this fact.
Anyone have any good investing tips for after you max out your 401k... and make too much for an IRA?
The only benefit really is that I get more shares the following year so my bonus is ever so slightly increased. One day if i have enough stock it can be potentially equal up to a month salary but at this moment its only equal to about less than 10% of my salary. Current dividend is 78 cents per share.
My concern though is that maybe the dividends i am missing out could be potentially be higher than the one i am earning from my company because I am holding out for the potential promise of up to a month salary.
Anyone here use Fidelity? I just opened my 401K with them and I am looking for the fund assets similar to what the OP listed for his Vanguard ones and my company only offers 33 choices and I am not sure which ones are similar.
It looks like this is a list of all the ones they offer here (click on the Index tab)
https://www.fidelity.com/mutual-fun...79&gclid=CPGjh6iCmcwCFQhOMgodOWMHbA&gclsrc=ds
Sadly I only have around 10K to start investing in but start early and now better than later right?
Now, this doesnt take into account market psychology, but I am pretty sure that stocks with dividends and stocks without pay the investor the same overtime when you look at a lot of data. Someone can correct me if I am wrong.
I'm with Fidelity. Here is their index fund listing: https://www.fidelity.com/mutual-funds/fidelity-funds/why-index-funds
Total Market Index Fund = total US stock fund
Global ex U.S. Index Fund = international index
$10k is a good start!
I wouldn't be too focused on dividends.
http://www.investopedia.com/articles/stocks/07/dividend_implications.asp
Now, this doesnt take into account market psychology, but I am pretty sure that stocks with dividends and stocks without pay the investor the same overtime when you look at a lot of data. Someone can correct me if I am wrong.
Dividends are the sole reasons you invest. You think you're investing for gains in stock price, but you aren't. Those are mere abstractions over the only important thing: the share of the profits you expect -- the dividends. The higher you expect dividends to be into the far flung future, the more you're willing to pay for the stock (and the more someone else is willing to pay to buy it from you).
That said, I say dump the company stock as soon as you're eligible unless you just like to gamble. We don't get stock options at my current place of employment, it all goes into the 401K (the match and discretionary profit sharing). While it goes into a company stock fund in the account, we can move it immediately, and that is exactly what I do.
Thanks boss, unfortunately neither of those plans are offered through my employers 401K. Is it possible to take the 10K I have instead and invest it in a separate account using those two?
Dividends are the sole reasons you invest. You think you're investing for gains in stock price, but you aren't. Those are mere abstractions over the only important thing: the share of the profits you expect -- the dividends. The higher you expect dividends to be into the far flung future, the more you're willing to pay for the stock (and the more someone else is willing to pay to buy it from you). Even companies that aren't paying dividends presently are ultimately priced with that expectation in mind. (If you own a piece of a company that is never going to share profits with you, what exactly do you own? Nothing, that's what.)
I feel like you are discussing this in terms of theoretical abstractions. I certainly was not. I know that when I start selling my funds the vast majority of my earnings will come from the increase in stock price.
I honestly don't care how it increases in stock price. I care about the safest and best way to grow my money. If you are chasing dividends, meaning buying stocks now with high dividends and buying funds with high dividends even though they have higher expense ratios, then that certainly does not sound like the best and safest way to grow and increase money, which is what I was warning the poster against.
No, I'm not going to say go into a managed funds for any reason, and I'm not going to encourage anyone to hold onto a particular dividend paying stock. I'm on that highly diversified, low cost index fund strategy, same as you and most everyone in here. In other words, I get where you were going, just disagreeing about the mode of transportation (belittling dividends, and focusing on the stock price going down at the ex-dividend date, while not accounting for the fact that the stock price would have been pushed up in anticipation of that date).
The fact is that dividends are vitally important, but the other fact is they're also in the things we like to recommend -- index funds. You own parts of those funds, those funds own stocks, those stocks pay dividends. If you're in an S&P 500 index fund, you will outperform the actual index, because the index doesn't include and reflect the dividend yield. The average dividend yield of S&P stocks is around 2% (which is inclusive of stocks not presently paying dividends), so when the stock index gains 9% in a given year, your actual holdings will gain 11%. That's dividends at work.
tl;dr: Don't knock dividends for any reason ever, or I will hunt you down. Though if you want to make dividends part of your strategy, join us in the index funds.
Yes, for contributions outside of your employer 401k, open an IRA. Now you just need to decide between Roth and traditional.
https://www.fidelity.com/retirement-ira/ira-checklist
You can link your Fidelity NetBenefits account to it, and have a single login / combined view for all retirement accounts.
tl;dr: Don't knock dividends for any reason ever, or I will hunt you down. Though if you want to make dividends part of your strategy, join us in the index funds.
Among the graphs I keep, is one showing the total annual dividends since I graduated college and really began investing. That graph is getting pretty exciting, I tell you.Dividends are boring. fite me
Why does the stock market have to be at basically an all-time high when I have my 2015 IRA contributions ready to invest? GDI. Someone tank this shit for a day or two please.
Dividends are the sole reasons you invest. You think you're investing for gains in stock price, but you aren't. Those are mere abstractions over the only important thing: the share of the profits you expect -- the dividends. The higher you expect dividends to be into the far flung future, the more you're willing to pay for the stock (and the more someone else is willing to pay to buy it from you). Even companies that aren't paying dividends presently are ultimately priced with that expectation in mind. (If you own a piece of a company that is never going to share profits with you, what exactly do you own? Nothing, that's what.)
Thanks thats what I thought. These are the RSUs that have vested and I think I would like to move them out of my company stock as what everyone said. Thanks for all the advice!
As soon as trade window opens I will move them out. Like you Randolph in addition to RSUs, i also have those 401K profit sharing + match and those I also need to move out of my company's stock.
I currently have ~40k in a checking account with plans to purchase a house in 1-2 years. Any advice on a safe place to put this? Leave it in the checking?
I currently have ~40k in a checking account with plans to purchase a house in 1-2 years. Any advice on a safe place to put this? Leave it in the checking?
Probably a 1 or 2 year CD.
The system works without dividends. The companies just need to take the cash they would have distributed as the dividend and use it to initiate a stock buyback. This raises the price of the shares without an expectation of any future dividend. When the number of outstanding shares gets too low, you do a split and the cycle repeats.
This approach transfers money to the shareholders without having to get taxed as ordinary income, which is why dividends kind of suck for taxable accounts.
I currently have ~40k in a checking account with plans to purchase a house in 1-2 years. Any advice on a safe place to put this? Leave it in the checking?
Not entirely related to the thread, but you guys know stuff.
Is it fraud to transfer money from a joint account you have with a family member that is dying if they have outstanding debts?
I assume this is some sort of fraud, avoiding debt or whatever, but I am not sure.
I can't imagine so.
You have every legal right to take out money out of a joint account whenever you want. Now, the dying relatives creditors might track that down and claim that as asset that needs to be handed over.
No legal expertise at all, but that is how I imagine things might shake out.
Please don't forget capital gains tax!
I believe with RSU's you have to pay tax when you acquire them (as they are free money) but you may also be subject to capital gains tax.
If you hold a stock for less then a year you are taxed at your tax rate, compared to 15% if you hold them for over a year.
Least something to think about, might want to look into how RSU's work with capital gains and any other tax implications.
Please don't forget capital gains tax!
I believe with RSU's you have to pay tax when you acquire them (as they are free money) but you may also be subject to capital gains tax.
If you hold a stock for less then a year you are taxed at your tax rate, compared to 15% if you hold them for over a year.
Least something to think about, might want to look into how RSU's work with capital gains and any other tax implications.
Definitely look into how they are handled a time of vesting. As he said, there are actually two taxes to keep in mind - the initial income at time of receipt, and any gains (or losses) incurred when you sell the shares. Where I work, they are treated as incremental income and taxed at the same rate as pay, at vesting. So if my tax rate is 25% and 100 shares vest, I get 75. Selling at the time of receipt (vesting price) incurs no further taxes, so I sell right away. YMMVGood call on the tax! Ill only sell the shares i have that is over a year. Thanks again for the heads up!
Looking for some advice on whether or not to touch my IRA right now. I've been going back to school and about to enter the last 15 months where I will not be able to work much and the cost have gone up significantly. Since it's a 2nd degree program there is little finical aid available outside loans. The cost of school isn't the problem as much as rent in So Cal.
What I'm trying to figure out is if it is better to take unsubsidized federal loans or take money out of my rollover IRA. The loans are at just under 5% but interest will start accruing right away. With the IRA I will have to pay income tax but my income this year will be very low. I'm leaning towards using the IRA but not sure if there is something I'm not looking at right. Is there a way to figure out if the amount lost up front to income tax is less then accrued interest over say 8-10 years?
I currently have ~40k in a checking account with plans to purchase a house in 1-2 years. Any advice on a safe place to put this? Leave it in the checking?
No one has any insight on the math for this?
If the loans are 5%, consider taking them. Historical market returns are higher than that (10%), so the spread is going to work in your favor. You could park your IRA into either FSTVX or VTSAX (total market funds with Fidelity and Vanguard, respectively). The only thing is that the interest you would owe is guaranteed to accrue, whereas market returns over the short term are not. But that's the risk you take, but I'd personally take it.
Edit: Eh, you also said you would owe income tax on the IRA. I'm assuming it's a traditional IRA using deferred income? If so, take the loans.
Hey guys, I could do with some advice (based in the UK).
Recently lost my job, and 90% of the money I have left is going to pay off debts for the foreseeable future.
I'm a hardware technician by trade, but since I've moved to a cheaper area, I've found that there's no jobs here at all for people with my skills. I know it's not alot but I can afford to invest probably around £50 a month, and I'd really like to start thinking about my future for once. Also, 40 years old...feels bad man
What's the best way to invest my money ?
Not entirely related to the thread, but you guys know stuff.
Is it fraud to transfer money from a joint account you have with a family member that is dying if they have outstanding debts?
I assume this is some sort of fraud, avoiding debt or whatever, but I am not sure.
Good call on the tax! Ill only sell the shares i have that is over a year. Thanks again for the heads up!
Either way, it's profit being returned to shareholders (what you're paying for when you buy a stock), and I generally include that as a dividend for general discussion, though technically it does take a different avenue. Though as a correction, (qualified) dividends are taxed not as ordinary income, but at rates in line with capital gains. It would seem you're going to pay a capital gain either way, basically, though a dividend is more ironclad than the expectation of a gain in stock price at the conclusion of the buyback program (though that is certainly the expectation), so it's really a matter of when you pay it.
I don't have a strong opinion against stock buybacks, though it does seem that they take more heat in the general press than you might expect (some of which is entirely misplaced), and they haven't always been widely practiced and who knows if someday the government might tighten rules.
Thanks for everone's suggestion. I would like to sell my company stock when the trade window opens but just a question about taxes. I've never sold stocks before but I know that I was charged income tax already when my RSUs vested. In terms of capital gains tax, how would they charge for that? Would they sell my current shares at market close price then take out the taxes for capital gains? How would they know which one is eligible for long term capital gains tax rate vs which one is income tax rate. Ill give them a call later but just want to be prepared if I need some more follow up questions.