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May 7th | UK General Election 2015 OT - Please go vote!

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Cyd0nia

Banned
Oh yeah, those lines Labour were spouting that no one believed hence they lost the election. I'd love to know where they got that 1600 quid figure from.

Probably estimated from general weak wage increases, and from the many public service workers who've had three years or more of pay rises below inflation or no pay rises at all, including nursing staff restricted to 1% pay rises. Frozen pay and rising living costs makes you worse off. Not everyone or every area is worse off but there are certainly people who are.
 

cjp

Junior Member
Oh yeah, those lines Labour were spouting that no one believed hence they lost the election. I'd love to know where they got that 1600 quid figure from.

Wages grew by 5.8 per cent from £449 to £475, but RPI inflation inflation rose by almost 13 per cent in the same period, leaving real earnings down by just over 6 per cent: that’s £31 a week or £1,600 a year.

We can raise some objections to the way Labour has come up with these sums. The party has used RPI inflation, no doubt to give the highest possible figure for loss of earnings.

RPI is no longer used as an official measure of inflation by the ONS, and other ways of measuring inflation like CPI tend to be lower, giving Labour a less dramatic number.

Nevertheless, the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) backs the thrust of Labour’s calculation, saying it “does not give a misleading picture of the magnitude of falls in living standards likely seen during this period”.

http://blogs.channel4.com/factcheck/factcheck-poorer-2010/17549
 

kitch9

Banned
Probably estimated from general weak wage increases, and from the many public service workers who've had three years or more of pay rises below inflation or no pay rises at all, including nursing staff restricted to 1% pay rises. Frozen pay and rising living costs makes you worse off. Not everyone or every area is worse off but there are certainly people who are.

I'll tell you where they got it from.

Out their ass.

The IFS ripped it to shreds.

With regards public sector workers, would you rather have a pay raise, tax cut or are they both the same thing?
 
The IFS ripped it to shreds.
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cjp

Junior Member
I'll tell you where they got it from.

Out their ass.

The IFS ripped it to shreds.

With regards public sector workers, would you rather have a pay raise, tax cut or are they both the same thing?

Nevertheless, the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) backs the thrust of Labour’s calculation, saying it “does not give a misleading picture of the magnitude of falls in living standards likely seen during this period”.

Swing and a miss.
 
One of my younger sisters is severely autistic. She's approaching 30 and has the mental age of an eight year old. Under the Tories she's had physical help withdrawn, money to live on lowered, schemes to help her get out of the house ended, respite ended and been forced through the whole DLA-PIP clusterfuck. All of that support was replaced by a scheme where she gets to help make sandwiches for a token payment of less than a pound an hour. She hates it, but won't give it up because it's her only chance to do something that doesn't involve her immediate family and carers.

To those of you who voted Tory and are now fucking whining that you're being shamed, fucking good! You absolutely fucking should be! Any positive you manage to claw out of being governed by the Tories over the next five years is done at the expense of the poorest, most vulnerable people in your society, which makes you either ignorant of widely reported facts or outright complicit in evil.

errr what? Jesus get a grip, attacking people just because they voted for Conservatives.
 

Xun

Member
That is just not going to happen. Both Attle & Thatcher were able to move the centre of politics because of the events around them. With Attle's government it was a country in desperate need of rebuilding after WW2. Thatcher was able to because of the complete disaster of socialist Britain in the 70's. So unless something drastic happens, the political centre is not going to move, no matter who is Prime Minister.

Pushing left will only turn middle England even further away from Labour. At the end of the day, Labour have to take note that they haven't won an election in 40 years with anyone to the left of Tony Blair. Now that says alot
The fact Labour may become even more right winged is incredibly depressing.
 

Real Hero

Member
The fact Labour may become even more right winged is incredibly depressing.
Id love to see a Labour party that tried to persuade the electorate a more left wing government would be better for the country but that will probably take a long long time.and they need to win elections don't they? I'm extremely unsure what they need to do to tbh
 
Oh yeah, those lines Labour were spouting that no one believed hence they lost the election.

I only really read the Guardian and the BBC so the Guardian makes up my entire basis of what the political left thinks.
But I really think that the constant cry of crises, it's will all go to hell and belittling of their opponents doesn't do Labour and the left any good. People wouldn't have voted back the conservatives in if they weren't feeling optimistic and that things were improving. When you constantly cry wolf you won't be believed when you are right. If you constantly cry "cost of living crises" when people are feeling that things are improving then you can't expect people to believe you when you say you'll make things better, especially when you state that Labour didn't overspend before (I'm pretty sure Keynesian economics states to have a surplus in the boom times).
The same sort of tactic happened with Boris Johnson calling him a buffoon who would ruin the city and it just doesn't do any good. Now the guy s practically bulletproof.
Be afraid. Be very afraid
Unbelievable as it may seem, Boris Johnson has a real chance of being elected London mayor today. Zoe Williams and other Londoners imagine what it would be like if this bigoted, lying, Old Etonian buffoon got his hands on our diverse and liberal capital

Boris the jester, toff, serial liar and sociopath for mayor

It would be as much a disaster for Cameron's Tories as for Londoners if this buffoon got to run the great global city

David Cameron has just made his worst mistake. He will bitterly regret the day he encouraged Boris Johnson to stand as London's mayor. What does it say about the desperate state of the Conservatives that they will put up a clown to run a great global city?
 
There was a phone in on LBC earlier about, basically, how people have got negative reprisals - abuse etc - over social media for voting Conservative. Another guy said that he runs a local social group for people just to meet and chat (dunno where but he was clearly from the afro-carribean community) and about how so many people in the group sessions would say all these negative things about Tories but then one on one they'd say much more positive things.

Obviously this isn't a problem I suffer from. Bring on the haters!
 
It is truly depressing that there are people with seemingly more sympathy for the poor Conservative voters, so afraid to speak their true views in public for fear of those views being challenged by the left, than they have for those actually being marginalised and hugely impacted by the policies being put in place by the party.
 
It is truly depressing that there are people with seemingly more sympathy for the poor Conservative voters, so afraid to speak their true views in public for fear of those views being challenged by the left, than they have for those actually being marginalised and hugely impacted by the policies being put in place by the party.

They aren't mutually exclusive, but the political discourse being skewered to the point where some people feel like they're somehow at risk for voicing their (apparantly widespread - we aren't talking about fringe BNPers here) beliefs is worrying for everyone. Echo chambers, wherever and in whatever context they develop - give rise to false hope and the inability to internalise failings. The fact that this result was surprising to all of us is a bad thing. It shouldn't be a surprise, because that indicates some flaw in the political discourse.
 

kitch9

Banned
Look at what has happened to his sister, not saying he should post stuff like that here but a bit of understanding for people bearing the brunt wouldn't hurt.

Maybe if the rainy day fund didn't get spent in the boom things would have been easier.

I wish there was more long term planning on the UK budget but alas it won't.
 

nib95

Banned
Swing and a miss.

Lol. Debates with Kitch bring up some of the most anti intellectual shenanigans in any political thread. Half the time he outright disregards facts, figures and posts, other times he brings up magic dust facts of his own that when quizzed on, he can't be bothered to provide evidence for, and then other times his representation of such facts is so heavily skewed it makes no difference either way. Case in point his "ripped to shreds" account of IFS's breakdown, when in reality they've concluded it isn't misleading, and that they ultimately do back Labour's calculations.
 
D

Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
Lol. Debates with Kitch bring up some of the most anti intellectual shenanigans in any political thread. Half the time he outright disregards facts, figures and posts, other times he brings up magic dust facts of his own that when quizzed on, he can't be bothered to provide evidence for, and then other times his representation of such facts is so heavily skewed it makes no difference either way, case in point his "ripped to shreds" account of IFS's breakdown, when in reality they've concluded it isn't misleading, and that they ultimately do back it.

Don't forget all the "Here in Doncaster, I have to gut fifteen immigrants just to make it safe 'til tea-time" posts.
 

kitch9

Banned
We will have the What the right thinks is right act.

If it's wrong it will be changed. The current act has caused needless suffering on the very people it is supposed to protect.

Should we stick with something because it sounds go in theory but not in practice?
 

PJV3

Member
Tbf isn't that all laws? Or, at least, "what the government of the day thinks is right"? I mean, thats why they get elected, non?

Human rights are supposed to be above the political fray to some degree.

This one is being cooked up in response to citizens that are annoying the press and government. The original in response to totalitarian regimes, I know which one I prefer.

It may turn out fine
 

twobear

sputum-flecked apoplexy
They aren't mutually exclusive, but the political discourse being skewered to the point where some people feel like they're somehow at risk for voicing their (apparantly widespread - we aren't talking about fringe BNPers here) beliefs is worrying for everyone. Echo chambers, wherever and in whatever context they develop - give rise to false hope and the inability to internalise failings. The fact that this result was surprising to all of us is a bad thing. It shouldn't be a surprise, because that indicates some flaw in the political discourse.

Yes. Between the left-wing media, the left-wing government, and all the left-wing voters in the country, it's clear that there's absolutely a large chunk of the political discourse that is simply missing from public life. My heart breaks for the right-wing, it must be so difficult for them right now.
 

kitch9

Banned
Lol. Debates with Kitch bring up some of the most anti intellectual shenanigans in any political thread. Half the time he outright disregards facts, figures and posts, other times he brings up magic dust facts of his own that when quizzed on, he can't be bothered to provide evidence for, and then other times his representation of such facts is so heavily skewed it makes no difference either way, case in point his "ripped to shreds" account of IFS's breakdown, when in reality they've concluded it isn't misleading, and that they ultimately do back Labour's calculations.

I provided evidence, mine wasn't from 2 years ago either.

Crack on with the sanctimonious crusade though.

You fit in well.
 

nib95

Banned
I provided evidence, mine wasn't from 2 years ago either.

Crack on with the sanctimonious crusade though.

You fit in well.

Yea, evidence that doesn't support your conclusion or assessment, and instead does the exact opposite. There is no ripping to shreds here. All of them accept that the figure is accurate, IFS states that it is not misleading, but they also mention there's more to it depending on how you come up with the figures, the context behind it, and how it compares to those of the past (naturally post recession via Labour, things also took a dive).
 

twobear

sputum-flecked apoplexy
On a less snarky note, I actually do think that the Left has helped create problems like UKIP. If we had a sensible debate about immigration, I'm pretty sure that the Left could beat UKIP's borderline racist arguments. But instead the attitude is, 'if you even have any doubts about immigration, you're a racist'. Which is absurd. But that creates an echo-chamber for parties like UKIP to be the only people to be seen as 'serious' about the 'immigration problem'.

The left has a lot of problems, but I think the absolute worst thing it could do is concede even more ideology to the Tories and move further to the right. We need to go out and convince the public that progressive policies are good, and that we don't want some Eastern Bloc communism, but rather a society that does its best to avoid want and negligence.
 
Yes. Between the left-wing media, the left-wing government, and all the left-wing voters in the country, it's clear that there's absolutely a large chunk of the political discourse that is simply missing from public life. My heart breaks for the right-wing, it must be so difficult for them right now.

Yeah, yeah. I wasnt asking for sympathy. But they're all powerful elites, and it gives the impression that the people think one thing and all these "establishment" institutions think another. Obviously that's not good for anyone.
 

Tak3n

Banned
try to remember (as I see several posts slamming services being cut etc)

that a lot of this is local council cuts, the government does not force that
 

PJV3

Member
Maybe if the rainy day fund didn't get spent in the boom things would have been easier.

I wish there was more long term planning on the UK budget but alas it won't.

I'm not even thinking about Labour, tories or economics in this instance. All votes have impact, we own them and the consequences.

I was just saying it's understandable, unlike the normal political insults that get thrown around.
 

twobear

sputum-flecked apoplexy
The former home secretary Alan Johnson said on Saturday the next Labour leader must embrace the success of Blair, who led the party to three election victories. And the Blairite former culture minister Ben Bradshaw said the party and its next leader needed to “celebrate our entrepreneurs and wealth creators and not leave the impression they are part of the problem”.

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/may/09/alan-johnson-labour-aspirational-voters-tony-blair

Red flags already. 'Wealth creators' is the right-wing favourite's favourite buzzword. Two days after the election and they're already gearing up for a lurch to the right.
 

PJV3

Member
On a less snarky note, I actually do think that the Left has helped create problems like UKIP. If we had a sensible debate about immigration, I'm pretty sure that the Left could beat UKIP's borderline racist arguments. But instead the attitude is, 'if you even have any doubts about immigration, you're a racist'. Which is absurd. But that creates an echo-chamber for parties like UKIP to be the only people to be seen as 'serious' about the 'immigration problem'.

The left has a lot of problems, but I think the absolute worst thing it could do is concede even more ideology to the Tories and move further to the right. We need to go out and convince the public that progressive policies are good, and that we don't want some Eastern Bloc communism, but rather a society that does its best to avoid want and negligence.


I agree on that.

Take housing, we need to build homes but there's no control on the amount of people needing the housing. We could build a million and meanwhile another 300,000 people turn up on top of natural population growth.

The left is supposed to be about this sort of stuff.
 

Cyd0nia

Banned
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/may/09/alan-johnson-labour-aspirational-voters-tony-blair

Red flags already. 'Wealth creators' is the right-wing favourite's favourite buzzword. Two days after the election and they're already gearing up for a lurch to the right.

David Lammy appeared to suggest his bid for leadership (as mayor or leader) would be based on addressing the belief that Labour supports people who 'sit on their backside' -

Yes, I'm definitely expecting a rightward lurch. Which means they're not winning in Scotland again at the next election barre some serious drama north of the border. If they can't win in Scotland I don't think they can win power without coalition partners either.

I genuinely think we'll see riots again before this next term is over.
 

hohoXD123

Member
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/may/09/alan-johnson-labour-aspirational-voters-tony-blair

Red flags already. 'Wealth creators' is the right-wing favourite's favourite buzzword. Two days after the election and they're already gearing up for a lurch to the right.

Hope Labour don't start learning the wrong lessons here.


Trying to find where they support your point. Some quotes might help.
 

PJV3

Member
David Lammy appeared to suggest his bid for leadership (as mayor or leader) would be based on addressing the belief that Labour supports people who 'sit on their backside' -

Yes, I'm definitely expecting a rightward lurch. Which means they're not winning in Scotland again at the next election barre some serious drama north of the border. If they can't win in Scotland I don't think they can win power without coalition partners either.

I genuinely think we'll see riots again before this next term is over.

They should let Labour in Scotland become a separate party, Labour have a tough enough job in England.
 

kitch9

Banned
Yea, evidence that doesn't support your conclusion or assessment, and instead does the exact opposite. There is no ripping to shreds here. All of them accept that the figure is accurate, IFS states that it is not misleading, but they also mention there's more to it depending on how you come up with the figures, the context behind it, and how it compares to those of the past (naturally post recession via Labour, things also took a dive).

It states that as of now we are almost at pre crash levels although it dropped during the recession and dropped sharply when labour was in power which they conveniently forgot to mention.

Income tends to drop in a recession funnily enough.
 
D

Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
They should let Labour in Scotland become a separate party, Labour have a tough enough job in England.

Yes, the Labour Party absolutely needs to be separated. It's the only viable solution at this point; Scottish Labour can go left while English Labour goes right.
 

Goodlife

Member
It might have already been discussed on this thread (I've taken a bit of a break because I'm too miserable) so might have missed it, but have we discussed why it looks like Lib Dem supporters have gone across to the Tories?
Makes no sense to me
 

twobear

sputum-flecked apoplexy
I mean the SNP won by appealing to the left, but it's simply unthinkable and impossible that anyone could win by appealing to the left in England? Maybe I should move to Scotland...
 
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