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Media Create Sales 5/28 - 6/3
- Thread starter cvxfreak
- Start date
Cheesemeister
Member
Kurosaki Ichigo said:
if we use X360 conversion of "out of every 5 person who downloaded demo on XBOX LIVE only one person decided to buy the software itself", then we can expect 20K+ purchaser of NGS. Will the figure significantly higher than 20K+ ? Anyone willing to predict 50K+ for NGS first week ?
SouthernDragon
Member
Cheesemeister said:
Now that's just mean.
viciouskillersquirrel
Member
Funny you should ask, since I only started lurking around March last year and didn't pay much attention as to who was saying what. Thus, most of the names were drowned out by the sheer force of Gahiggidy. Sadly, I think most of the crazier ones were hit repeatedly with the banhammer, so few in the Nintendo camp ever lasted long enough to attain the fanboy quotient of a Gahiggidy, Monorojo, Tabris or jimbo.apujanata said:
Which reminds me... where's Chibicyclist nowadays? He's not so much a crazy N-fan as much as an N-fan who also happens to be insane.
Two things I'd say about that.vicious_killer_squirrel said:
1. The scope was much smaller then, wasn't it? M-C threads with 20 replies?
2. Waving the occasional number around doesn't mean one understands trends or is following things closely.
Not to say that there were no Sony fans that knew their stuff deeply and well--I'm sure there were. But the vast majority? I strongly doubt it.
But then, perhaps I'm just projecting, as I can't say I personally have any deep understanding of the current trends.
I guess it boils down to this: I urge you not to underestimate the power of human ignorance.
apujanata said:
There is nothing else to play, those 100000 people will buy the game, along with 25000 idiots who don't know how to get internet on their PS3 to download the demo. :lol
Nah, I don't think 40-50k is out of reach. Anything more would be a bonus. Hopefully Call of Duty 3 won't steal some of the sales away :lol
m
Mr. Pointy
Member
I'm predicting ~75k sales for NGS and about 20k PS3 sold for that specific week.
Then they both drop off a cliff.
Then they both drop off a cliff.
nextgeneration
Member
Mr. Pointy said:
I wouldn't be surprised if this happened. I imagine Folklore/Folksoul will have a bigger impact on PS3 sales, though. We'll see, though....anyone know if Famitsu has reviewed this game yet? If it's a crappy game, then it's not going to do much to help PS3 sales...
Kurosaki Ichigo
Member
gamefront said:
It seems Sony has announced that they have 300.000 retailer orders (as in not reservations from customers) for Minna no Golf 5 at this point.
Kurosaki Ichigo said:
Source from Sinobi
http://ameblo.jp/sinobi/entry-10036315264.html
For comparison, the retailer order for Gundam Musou was 290,000.
Cosmonaut X
Member
Masklinn said:
We'll see. IIRC, Gundam Musou sold around 170,000 first week - a bit over half retailer orders - and went on to sell the rest of those initial orders over the next few weeks before dropping off the charts completely. It also bumped PS3 sales from 20,000-ish the week prior to approx. 46,000 the week of release. However, sales dropped back again the following week to 30,000-ish, then carried on downward over the next fortnight to 20,000-ish then sub-20k.
I would be very surprised if we saw a golfbump up to 40k+, but I dont think a bounce of some significance is out of the question. However, sustaining it is another matter - will it be enough to drag in an extra 10-20k per week who werent buying the PS3 beforehand? There are other significant PS3 titles out soon, but they seem to be more aimed at the audience who already own the PS3 so Im unsure whether they will affect hardware sales in any major way.
Moor-Angol
Banned
500k LTD for Minna5 are too optimistic at this point ?
Gundam Musou is 270k at end of April, according to Famitsu ...
Gundam Musou is 270k at end of April, according to Famitsu ...
titiklabingapat
Member
I can see the PS3 doing 20K for Golfbump, then a downward spiral again back to 9k. Minna no Golf is an established franchise and even though it's a "casual" game, it's sort of anticipated by alot of the Sony faithfuls who most likely already own a PS3.
Kurosaki Ichigo
Member
Hardware bump can also depend on a bundle (there was a Gundam Musou bundle afterall). Mingol is not a front-loaded seller, yes its very casual to the point of budget re-releases doing easily above 100k. PSP Mingol did something like 60k first week but crawled to 400k and a budget re-release pushed it above 500k.
So yes, it should crack 500k but maybe it'll take a while. Its not going to do like the last PS2 one at all though (Mingol4 first week = 475k).
So yes, it should crack 500k but maybe it'll take a while. Its not going to do like the last PS2 one at all though (Mingol4 first week = 475k).
Cosmonaut X
Member
Moor-Angol said:
Yep. I appreciate the point about the PSP edition crawling to 500k+, but I think we're going to see drastically reduced sales for MnG on the PS3 - it's a casual game on a (currently) casual-unfriendly platform. It'd be interesting to be proved wrong, but I think this is going to be part of a pattern of previously successful franchises floundering on a console without the userbase and casual appeal of its predecessor.
test_account
XP-39C²
One thing i think is alittle wierd is that how the salenumbers stay stable, especially on PS3 and 360. Like how come that 360 got like 2k - 3k every week? I mean, how come that not 1k of these peopel bought it the last week so it was 4k one week and 1k the next week. Its going in a nice flow from week to week.
you called?psy18 said:
Koren said:Solid if not spectacularNot sure I'm very good at estimation, but I expect 30k-ish.
No, this will be a MiniBump. What you're asking won't happen until the SolidBump from MGS.
Clearly Sony needs to rush a game named SPECTACULAR into production *rapidly*. It's their only hope.
Cosmonaut X
Member
A PS3 remake of Xenon 2: MEGAblast, shurely?
Bum-bada-badum ---- bim-bada-badim... uh, uh, uh, aww-yeah!
Phife Dawg
Member
Isn't this part of a sales thread? Speculating on future sales.mabuza said:
So you thought RE4 Wii would sell at least 100.000 day one. I guess with MNG being the more popular series and not a port you'll predict at least 300.000 day one?
I predict 100.000 first week with PS3 selling 40.000.
JoshuaJSlone
Member
It'd have to have an attach rate nearly as good as Wii Sports or Wii Play, or giant legs.Moor-Angol said:
A) Maybe it does fluctuate from day to day. However, summing up 7 days would tend to even things out.test_account said:
B) *shrug* That's the way it is for almost any product. If the percentage of a total population wanting to buy product Z greatly shifts up or down from one week to the next, there probably must be a reason beyond random chance.
People expecting Minna Golf to do more for the PS3 than Gundam Musou did are crazy. Minna Golf is one of those typically 'casual' games that a lot of PS2 owners just happened to buy. I'm not saying it's impossible, but it's very unlikely that a lot of people were holding out purchasing a 600 dollar system for Minna Golf. Wii Sports is the new hotness anyway.
test_account
XP-39C²
JoshuaJSlone said:
Ye, that might be it, but wierd that the sale numbers are so even from week to week
Maybe its normal for products, i have no idea, i still find it alittle wierd tho hehe.Hero said:
In about 2 months we'll see whos crazy hehe
But i agree, Wii Sport's golf game might have had some impact on the market. We'll see =)Moor-Angol
Banned
C.T. said:
retail preorders and preorders are two different things