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Media Create Sales: Week 42, 2014 (Oct 13 - Oct 19)

Atram

Member
I stretched it a little bit ;p
but I think PS4 will crash Wii U also in Japan, earlier than someone expected.

For sure it will happen but i don´t think before the End of 2015. The gap will be bigger after this Season at first.
 

Aostia

El Capitan Todd
For sure it will happen but i don´t think before the End of 2015. The gap will be bigger after this Season at first.

I keep seeing this, but to me the Wii U (and its bundles, and its Smash version) could really disappoint this incoming holidays...
 

Atram

Member
I keep seeing this, but to me the Wii U (and its bundles, and its Smash version) could really disappoint this incoming holidays...

i don´t know what to expect from the WiiU this holidays but i think it will sell more than the PS4.

next Season could be different if MGSV and FFXV will hit in that period. I was sure that the PS4 would catch up to the WiiU in mid 2015, but now....
 
If we take this week's differential, it will take like 400 weeks for the PS4 to exceed the Wii U.

Like... even if the Wii U stopped selling any units and the PS4 magically increased to 20K a week tomorrow it would still take 60 weeks.

It's not passing the Wii U in 2015. It may never pass the Wii U, as both are probably destined for terrible numbers.
 

Road

Member
Last reminder.

PREDICTION LEAGUE NOVEMBER 2014

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Oct 27 to Nov 30):

[ALL] Call of Duty Advanced Warfare (18 days) -
[ALL] Winning Eleven 2015 (18 days) -
[PS3+PSV] Dengeki Bunko Fighting Climax (18 days) -
[WIU] Captain Toad Treasure Tracker (18 days) -
[3DS] Pokemon OmegaRuby / AlphaSapphire (10 days) -
[PSV] Phantasy Star Nova (4 days) -
[3DS] Etrian Odyssey 2 Untold (4 days) -


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Deadline: October 1st 09:00 am (EST) (when Famitsu or Media Create first make their weekly sales public)
t1414587600z1.png



Only 300 PS4 Dragon Quest units up for pre-order... (at first).

$500 and with a download code for a game that will be released in four months.

300 units is an overshipment.

-------------------------------

Koei Tecmo earnings presentation: http://www.koeitecmo.co.jp/php/pdf/ird3_20141028.pdf

Shipment until Sep. 30 (Japan/Asia)
- Toukiden Kiwami: 200k
- Atelier Shallie: 80k
- Hyrule Warriors: Good sales worldwide
 
Koei Tecmo earnings presentation: http://www.koeitecmo.co.jp/php/pdf/ird3_20141028.pdf

Shipment until Sep. 30 (Japan/Asia)
- Toukiden Kiwami: 200k
- Atelier Shallie: 80k
- Hyrule Warriors: Good sales worldwide

FY14 Q2/H1 results

https://www.koeitecmo.co.jp/e/fh/FH_FY142Q.pdf
https://www.koeitecmo.co.jp/e/fh/FH_FY141Q.pdf (Q1)

Q2 ( July 1 - September 30 2014)

9.8 billion yen revenue (+9.4% vs 13 Q2)
2.8 billion yen net profit (+97% vs 13 Q2)

H1 (April 1 - September 30 2014)

16.1 billion yen revenue (+4.2% vs 13 H1)
4.2 billion yen net profit (+76.5% vs 13 H1)

Koei doing good.
 

AniHawk

Member
If we take this week's differential, it will take like 400 weeks for the PS4 to exceed the Wii U.

Like... even if the Wii U stopped selling any units and the PS4 magically increased to 20K a week tomorrow it would still take 60 weeks.

It's not passing the Wii U in 2015. It may never pass the Wii U, as both are probably destined for terrible numbers.

the ps4 will probably be on the market in 2019, selling 5k a week, and the wii u won't even be counted. it should pass the wii u at some point in 2016 when the wii u is selling 1k a week and the ps4 is doing around 20k. vita-centric developers will probably go ps4/mobile/pc. sega is probably a sign of things to come.
 
Almost forgot

PREDICTION LEAGUE NOVEMBER 2014

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Oct 27 to Nov 30):

[ALL] Call of Duty Advanced Warfare (18 days) - 250k
[ALL] Winning Eleven 2015 (18 days) - 200k
[PS3+PSV] Dengeki Bunko Fighting Climax (18 days) - 135k
[WIU] Captain Toad Treasure Tracker (18 days) - 70k
[3DS] Pokemon OmegaRuby / AlphaSapphire (10 days) - 2109k
[PSV] Phantasy Star Nova (4 days) - 250k
[3DS] Etrian Odyssey 2 Untold (4 days) - 80k
 

sörine

Banned
PREDICTION LEAGUE NOVEMBER 2014

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Oct 27 to Nov 30):

[ALL] Call of Duty Advanced Warfare (18 days) - 231,183
[ALL] Winning Eleven 2015 (18 days) - 211,458
[PS3+PSV] Dengeki Bunko Fighting Climax (18 days) - 79,943
[WIU] Captain Toad Treasure Tracker (18 days) - 83,569
[3DS] Pokemon OmegaRuby / AlphaSapphire (10 days) - 1,983,417
[PSV] Phantasy Star Nova (4 days) - 167,566
[3DS] Etrian Odyssey 2 Untold (4 days) -
88,456
 

Takao

Banned
So this was what Sony was saying that would get the Japanese to buy a PS4 during the holidays. I thought they meant an actual game >.>

you really expected that to be a game when we're in late october and we already know episode duscae is a type-0 pack-in
 

LOCK

Member
01/22  Lego Marvel Super Heroes
01/22  Far Cry4
01/29  Bladestorm
02/05  Bloodborne
02/05  Dragon Ball XenoVerse
02/19  God Eater 2 Rage Burst
02/19  Dead or Alive 5 LR
02/20  The Order1886
02/26  Dragon Quest Heroes
02/26  The Witcher 3
02/??  Earth Defence Force 4.1
03/12  Yakuza 0 
03/19  Final Fantasy Type-0 HD (+FF15 demo)
03/26  Disgaea5
03/26  Senran Kagura Estival Versus

I see a beat doc.
 

test_account

XP-39C²
People still care a great deal around these parts so I have to assume they do elsewhere.

Don't you remember when that Monster Hunter Frontier game was announced for Vita? So many people here had reverse meltdowns until they realized what it was.
Do you have any link to those meltdowns?
 

Eolz

Member
PREDICTION LEAGUE NOVEMBER 2014

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Oct 27 to Nov 30):

[ALL] Call of Duty Advanced Warfare (18 days) - 246k
[ALL] Winning Eleven 2015 (18 days) - 212k
[PS3+PSV] Dengeki Bunko Fighting Climax (18 days) - 68k
[WIU] Captain Toad Treasure Tracker (18 days) - 59k
[3DS] Pokemon OmegaRuby / AlphaSapphire (10 days) - 2010k
[PSV] Phantasy Star Nova (4 days) - 135k
[3DS] Etrian Odyssey 2 Untold (4 days) - 94k


Not really sure of my predictions this time...
 

Mpl90

Two copies sold? That's not a bomb guys, stop trolling!!!
PREDICTION LEAGUE NOVEMBER 2014

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Oct 27 to Nov 30):

[ALL] Call of Duty Advanced Warfare (18 days) - 229.108
[ALL] Winning Eleven 2015 (18 days) - 225.087
[PS3+PSV] Dengeki Bunko Fighting Climax (18 days) - 173.000
[WIU] Captain Toad Treasure Tracker (18 days) - 54.280
[3DS] Pokemon OmegaRuby / AlphaSapphire (10 days) - 2.111.376
[PSV] Phantasy Star Nova (4 days) - 104.900
[3DS] Etrian Odyssey 2 Untold (4 days) - 90.000
 
I don't think Q1 is going to be packed like the release schedule currently shows. I expect a lot of games will be delayed.

Delayed for reasons other than the game needing more time.
 

Takao

Banned
They said that in September and we already had a precedent: MH3G announced in September and released in December.

Morita said that after their notable TGS presentation, though. Once September was over it should've been clear he wasn't talking about a new game.
 

Scum

Junior Member
At what time do I get find out about QoL NintenDOS?

...

And what happened to the game that was supposed to help PS4 this holiday?
 

Road

Member
Koei Tecmo earnings Q&A: http://www.famitsu.com/news/201410/28064544.html#page02

There's a question about Hyrule Warriors' performance, where they answer that they can't outright say if it has surpassed the 500k goal because Nintendo is responsible for overseas publishing, but they mention Japanese sales were in line with what was expected but overseas sales are above expectations, so much so they can even hope for even higher sales outside Japan due to more shipments in the second half of the fiscal year.

-------------

Better do it now lest I forget tomorrow

PREDICTION LEAGUE NOVEMBER 2014

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Oct 27 to Nov 30):

[ALL] Call of Duty Advanced Warfare (18 days) - 199,999
[ALL] Winning Eleven 2015 (18 days) - 199,999
[PS3+PSV] Dengeki Bunko Fighting Climax (18 days) - 55,555
[WIU] Captain Toad Treasure Tracker (18 days) - 55,555
[3DS] Pokemon OmegaRuby / AlphaSapphire (10 days) - 1,999,999
[PSV] Phantasy Star Nova (4 days) - 199,999
[3DS] Etrian Odyssey 2 Untold (4 days) - 99,999
 
sörine;136329280 said:
Do you see MK8 clearing a million now that it's being bundled?


do you believe wii u won't sell 320k before the end of January to let MK8 becoming milion seller? Maybe even before the end of the year, it's clear that this winter holiday Nintendo is pushing Wii U (Smash, MK8 bundle, Amiboo) and not 3DS (Level 5 says thank you)
 

Scum

Junior Member
Koei Tecmo earnings Q&A: http://www.famitsu.com/news/201410/28064544.html#page02

There's a question about Hyrule Warriors' performance, where they answer that they can't outright say if it has surpassed the 500k goal because Nintendo is responsible for overseas publishing, but they mention Japanese sales were in line with what was expected but overseas sales are above expectations, so much so they can even hope for even higher sales outside Japan due to more shipments in the second half of the fiscal year.

Good for Koei. Hopefully they'll get the chance to make another one with more Nintendo characters, 'cos a "normal" DW title will be doomed.
 

ArtHands

Thinks buying more servers can fix a bad patch
I hope that means better working r/s between Koei and Nintendo here, which leads to more WIi U games.
 
I hope that means better working r/s between Koei and Nintendo here, which leads to more WIi U games.
I don't think there's anything wrong with the working relationship to begin with. If there was would HW even exist? TK will continue to put games on it that make sense to do, I doubt the working relationship is the issue.
 

jeremy1456

Junior Member
For sure it will happen but i don´t think before the End of 2015. The gap will be bigger after this Season at first.

Probably more like early 2017.

The PS4 might make up some of the gap in 2015, but will be destroyed in the holidays. Same goes for 2016 where the Wii U will outsell the PS4 during the holidays, but it won't be enough to make up for the beating during the rest of the year.

EDIT: and what do you mean the gap will only be bigger at first? Is the PS4 primarily going to outsell the Wii U with only its good intentions?
 

vinnygambini

Why are strippers at the U.N. bad when they're great at strip clubs???
Koei Tecmo earnings Q&A: http://www.famitsu.com/news/201410/28064544.html#page02

There's a question about Hyrule Warriors' performance, where they answer that they can't outright say if it has surpassed the 500k goal because Nintendo is responsible for overseas publishing, but they mention Japanese sales were in line with what was expected but overseas sales are above expectations, so much so they can even hope for even higher sales outside Japan due to more shipments in the second half of the fiscal year.

-------------

Thanks Road! Very kind of you! I was also pleasantly surprised from Hyrule Warrior's sales outside of Japan - 190k for USA in 11 days is great, especially for Wii U.

Hopefully Nintendo mentions the title in their Q2 report; I'm expecting 500k shipments, excluding Japan.
 

Jamix012

Member
Probably more like early 2017.

The PS4 might make up some of the gap in 2015, but will be destroyed in the holidays. Same goes for 2016 where the Wii U will outsell the PS4 during the holidays, but it won't be enough to make up for the beating during the rest of the year.

Eeeeeh. I'm with on on 2015. The Wii U will no doubt murder the PS4 around holiday time 2015 unless a surprise release like DQXI (lol) or FF15 comes around, but will the Wii U even be like...alive in holiday 2016? I have my doubts. The PS4 will still be sold by virtue of Sony still supporting it at least for the sake of the west but the Wii U might even be ramping up for a successor by then.
 

jeremy1456

Junior Member
Eeeeeh. I'm with on on 2015. The Wii U will no doubt murder the PS4 around holiday time 2015 unless a surprise release like DQXI (lol) or FF15 comes around, but will the Wii U even be like...alive in holiday 2016? I have my doubts. The PS4 will still be sold by virtue of Sony still supporting it at least for the sake of the west but the Wii U might even be ramping up for a successor by then.

Well what do we have on the PS4's side?

Have developers actually announced major games (at least bigger than Nintendo's first party efforts) for the system? Or are we going off of 'secret PS4 game?'

FFXV and Kingdom Hearts 3 will be major titles, but they're likely to not come out until late in the system's life. Anything other than those?
 

Jamix012

Member
Well what do we have on the PS4's side?

Have developers actually announced major games (at least bigger than Nintendo's first party efforts) for the system? Or are we going off of 'secret PS4 game?'

FFXV and Kingdom Hearts 3 will be major titles, but they're likely to not come out until late in the system's life. Anything other than those?

There's plenty of western support and there will be some first Sony party support inevitably. Neither of those equals big numbers in Japan, but by that point it's uncertain whether Nintendo will even be supporting the Wii U in a significant way by holiday 2016. It's not that I believe the PS4 will suddenly take off, but I'm doubtful the Wii U will even be getting 1 release a month at that point.
 
What's "late in the system's life"? 2017 or 2018?

It just seems a strange proposition that SE's Japanese development arm won't have any major console titles for the global market for 3 or 4 or 5 years after the launch of the new hardware cycle.

How exactly does it even stay in operation if it isn't releasing anything.
 

casiopao

Member
PREDICTION LEAGUE NOVEMBER 2014

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Oct 27 to Nov 30):

[ALL] Call of Duty Advanced Warfare (18 days) - 200k
[ALL] Winning Eleven 2015 (18 days) - 200k
[PS3+PSV] Dengeki Bunko Fighting Climax (18 days) - 120k
[WIU] Captain Toad Treasure Tracker (18 days) - 90k
[3DS] Pokemon OmegaRuby / AlphaSapphire (10 days) - 2.200.000
[PSV] Phantasy Star Nova (4 days) - 140k
[3DS] Etrian Odyssey 2 Untold (4 days) - 78k


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Deadline: October 1st 09:00 am (EST) (when Famitsu or Media Create first make their weekly sales public)
t1414587600z1.png

First time trying hope I do well.^_^
 

jmizzal

Member
Koei Tecmo earnings Q&A: http://www.famitsu.com/news/201410/28064544.html#page02

There's a question about Hyrule Warriors' performance, where they answer that they can't outright say if it has surpassed the 500k goal because Nintendo is responsible for overseas publishing, but they mention Japanese sales were in line with what was expected but overseas sales are above expectations, so much so they can even hope for even higher sales outside Japan due to more shipments in the second half of the fiscal year.

Very nice
 

ZSaberLink

Media Create Maven
Koei Tecmo earnings Q&A: http://www.famitsu.com/news/201410/28064544.html#page02

There's a question about Hyrule Warriors' performance, where they answer that they can't outright say if it has surpassed the 500k goal because Nintendo is responsible for overseas publishing, but they mention Japanese sales were in line with what was expected but overseas sales are above expectations, so much so they can even hope for even higher sales outside Japan due to more shipments in the second half of the fiscal year.

Good to hear!
 

DrWong

Member
[ALL] Call of Duty Advanced Warfare (18 days) - 204K
[ALL] Winning Eleven 2015 (18 days) - 197K
[PS3+PSV] Dengeki Bunko Fighting Climax (18 days) - 53K
[WIU] Captain Toad Treasure Tracker (18 days) - 87K
[3DS] Pokemon OmegaRuby / AlphaSapphire (10 days) - 2143K
[PSV] Phantasy Star Nova (4 days) - 189K
[3DS] Etrian Odyssey 2 Untold (4 days) - 91K
 

random25

Member
[ALL] Call of Duty Advanced Warfare (18 days) - 180,000
[ALL] Winning Eleven 2015 (18 days) - 200,000
[PS3+PSV] Dengeki Bunko Fighting Climax (18 days) - 80,000
[WIU] Captain Toad Treasure Tracker (18 days) - 200,000
[3DS] Pokemon OmegaRuby / AlphaSapphire (10 days) - 2,100,000
[PSV] Phantasy Star Nova (4 days) - 120,000
[3DS] Etrian Odyssey 2 Untold (4 days) - 90,000
 

Guymelef

Member
Hyperdimension Neptunia VII slated for spring 2015 in Japan
Read more at http://gematsu.com/2014/10/hyperdimension-neptunia-vii-slated-spring-2015-japan#HlUIx8WrYjKSkDQ4.99
 
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