MGS3D is going to crater. There is literally zero buzz about the game whatsoever. I don't think it's likely that it can even sell 50k in the first week.
I agree with you, in fact I think that also 100K LTD would be bad for a MGS episode.
MGS3D is going to crater. There is literally zero buzz about the game whatsoever. I don't think it's likely that it can even sell 50k in the first week.
Did Capcom ever say how much they expected Asura's Wrath to sell or how many copies they planned on shipping?
PS3 is one price drop from catching up with Wii LTD!
3DS March lineup is gonna be good
(2012-03-01) Doraemon: Nobita and the Island of Miracles
(2012-03-01) Mario & Sonic at the London Olympic Games
(2012-03-08) Girls RPG Cinderella Life
(2012-03-08) Hatsune Miku and Future Stars Project Mirai
(2012-03-08) Metal Gear Solid Snake Eater 3D
(2012-03-15) If I Were in a Sealed Room With a Girl, I'd Probably XXX
(2012-03-22) Kid Icarus Uprising
(2012-03-22) Pac-Man Party 3D
(2012-03-29) Kingdom Hearts 3D Dream Drop Distance
What do you guys expect to be the best seller here? I guess KH3D should end up selling best, if Nintendo promotes it enough Kid Icarus second. But the rest?
Did Capcom ever say how much they expected Asura's Wrath to sell or how many copies they planned on shipping?
Love Plus is similar enough to Hatsune in fanbase and that had a 100k debut. I think 100k over its lifetime is under crediting it a bit thats all.
I expect KH3D >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Miku >> Uprising >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> *
PS2 x PS3 in 2007:how long will PSP > PSV last?
What do you guys expect to be the best seller here? I guess KH3D should end up selling best, if Nintendo promotes it enough Kid Icarus second. But the rest?
Looking at the chart it's clear as to why PSP is outsellig Vita; it's still getting plenty of new releases.
Maybe it was a mistake to release Vita in Japan over the west for the holidays. Especially with a Japanese market that's still happily snapping up PSP games.
Love Plus is similar enough to Hatsune in fanbase and that had a 100k debut. I think 100k over its lifetime is under crediting it a bit thats all.
Prediction time? (lifetime numbers)
Kingdom Hearts - 600k-700k
Hatsune Miku - 100k-150k
Mario & Sonic - 50k-80k
Kid Icarus - 100k-300k
Girls RPG - 5k-10k
Metal Gear Solid - 10k-20k
Goodbye my love.
PS2 x PS3 in 2007:
PS3 spikes, in order:
- Dynasty Warriors Gundam - 171k
- Hot Shots Golf 5 - 152k
- Dynasty Warriors 6 - 188k (followed by Winning Eleven 2008 - 141k - and holiday season)
Prediction time? (lifetime numbers)
Kingdom Hearts - 500k-600k
Hatsune Miku - 200k-300k
Mario & Sonic - 100k-200k
Kid Icarus - 100k-200k
Girls RPG - 50k-100k
Metal Gear Solid - 50k-100k
*shrugs*
That's about what I expect as well. I see KH3D possibly debuting at 350K
PS3 spikes, in order:
- Dynasty Warriors Gundam - 171k
Over 9000.
judging from what we know of Vita future lineup i have the feeling that this time around the sony portable will be living of western sales while struggling in japan... kinda like the opposite of what happened with the PSP...
we just have to wait and see how much the western market (and i mean devs and publishers) are willing to support a portable console.
This is why I think Vita has potential to still be big in the end like PS3 became.
Even though 3DS will be getting more support than Wii could ever muster up.
3DS has so throughly replaced the DS that it doesn't matter what system Pokémon comes out on; any system sales will be given to the 3DS anyways.
It could do over a million lifetime in Japan.
Failing to see how this could be reality.
If PS3 remains unimpeded for a few more years, maybe, but Wii U should start taking a good bit of that market and even PS4 would impede further PS3 increases. PS3 is essentially the *only* option for Japanese gamers wanting regular console game support. Give a better option, and the users will move. And well before it crosses Wii's LTD.
loweredexpectations.jpgThis is why I think Vita has potential to still be big in the end like PS3 became.
No, it really can't.
Not even with a final mix added to it?
Yeah, I guess it's still a bit high.
I expect at least 400k, very possibly more.
Not even with a final mix added to it?
Yeah, I guess it's still a bit high.
Well Birth by Sleep didn't do a million in Japan and it was released to massive PSP userbase. Don't know why KH 3D would suddenly sell more.
loweredexpectations.jpg
That's what everyone has been saying, anyway: if the Vita gets big games, it can not be a total failure.
Sora and Riku?
I wonder if it'll be hard to get Uprising day 1 in Japan without preordering...
I know userbase isn't the only factor, but 3DS will have less than a quarter the userbase DS had when 358/2 launched, and less than half the userbase PSP had when Birth by Sleep launched.That KH number would be terrible.
Well not terrible, but that's hardly higher than KH 358/2 Days.
Ventus/Vanitas/shut up Nomura is basically Sora.
Whelp, guess I'll be holding onto my 3DS for Japan support. 3DS outselling the Vita by an average of over 200K a month in slower months. I expect nearly every publisher to jump ship from the Vita to 3DS if this sales trend continues. Going to have to wait 3 years for Sony to get their act together again like it happened with the PSP and PS3.
I'd like Falcom to see the light and start using those 3DS kits. With more equalized media costs this time around, there's more incentive for them to go multiplatform and that 3DS base is going to look better and better as time goes on. All their old PC (Ys VI engine) and PSP games would make for good ports, even their Vita stuff so far looks like it'd translate pretty painlessly to 3DS.
MGS3D is going to crater. There is literally zero buzz about the game whatsoever. I don't think it's likely that it can even sell 50k in the first week.
So we're still waiting on Persona 4 Golden to save Vita?
I don't think anyone believes a port will save Vita.