Time to check my scorecard. Notes in italicized brackets:
So tomorrow I expect:
- One last character trailer for Smash
- One last push for OR/AS and Captain Toad, with possible demos (given that an OR/AS demo already exists in limited release)
- A push for the first two waves of Amiibo and details about integration with games that are not Smash
- Dates and details for upcoming Mario Kart and Hyrule Warriors DLC [Amiibo compatibility but no date for Hyrule Warriors]
- A reminder about Ultimate NES Remix and NES Remix Pack
- A reminder about holiday Wii U bundles (e.g. the 3DW + Nintendo Land bundle in NA)
- Upcoming Virtual Console releases, likely including DKC for NA [Duck Hunt]
- At least one unannounced eShop surprise available between now and January
- February/March release date for one or both of Yoshi's Woolly World and Mario Maker
- February/March release date for Monster Hunter 4 [no date; just Mario and Luigi rodents]
- New features (e.g. local multiplayer or single-player) detailed for Splatoon, with no specific release date
- Xenoblade X confirmed for the first half of 2015, with no specific date (it would surprise me, but the Soraya Saga RT instills confidence) [still undated; expect it in August-October]
The list above could easily fill half an hour.
Outside bets (pick one or two):
- Full release plan for Art Academy Wii U, including pricing for people with the existing sketchpad software
- Yokai Watch localization officially announced
- Code Name: STEAM confirmed for the first half of 2015 (or the first-party 3DS calendar will look very blank)
- Kirby and the Rainbow Curse confirmed for the first half of 2015
- January release date for Mario vs. Donkey Kong
- One unannounced full-priced retail game (for either system) with no release date in sight [Majora's Mask, dated for Spring]
- Fatal Frame localization confirmed
- N64 Virtual Console announced, with an initial offering of no more than three titles and a pricing/upgrade plan
Not happening: [5/5 correct]
- Any mention of the New 3DS or the Xenoblade port in NA/EU
- Information about SSB4 DLC
- Any acknowledgement of SMTxFE
- Any acknowledgement of Watch Dogs (really, why bother)
- Star Fox trailer (Zelda is an extreme long shot, but I really do not expect Star Fox)
This was the NA stream, by the way.
So nothing really caught me off guard: as I thought, Xenoblade X is not confirmed for the first half of 2015, Splatoon is taking Mario Kart 8's Q2 slot, and Kirby is the February game rather than Yoshi. Also, with both Majora's Mask and STEAM dated for the Spring, the first-party 3DS catalogue is completely accounted for between now and next E3. We can expect a New 3DS push by then, of course.
I didn't guess the Persona Q special edition 3DS or that the demo released today would be Sonic Boom 3DS, but I wasn't paying much attention to third parties. I missed the Pikmin animated films and demo, though we knew about those in advance and they were not hard to guess. Duck Hunt for the VC is something we should have seen coming when the last Smash trailer was saved for this Direct.
Conspicuous absences: OR/AS, NES Remix Pack, Yoshi's Woolly World (apart from a mention of Amiibo support), Mario Maker.
From what was and wasn't announced today, I think we can expect the next Direct in late January or early February. Then we will presumably hear a specific date for Kirby, a rough release window and Amiibo details for Yoshi and Mario Maker if they are still on track, an NA/EU release plan for the New 3DS that will be dated in conjunction with Monster Hunter 4, more 3DS localizations (think Yo-Kai Watch, Bravely Second, or FF Explorers), a possible third wave of Amiibo figures, and at least one teaser for something very far off like Zelda or a new major first-party title we haven't heard about yet.
Also, let me just say that Splatoon looks incredible. I wasn't fully interested in it when it was just an online multiplayer game, as my Internet connection is spotty and I don't play online very much, but the variety of mechanics on display in the latest trailer has sent it shooting up my shopping list.