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NPD January 2013 Sales Results [Up7: Wii U 57K (CNET), Vita ~35K, PS3 201K]

BillyBats

Banned
Nothing is over! Nothing.

You just don't switch it off! It wasn't my console war! You asked me, I didn't ask you! And I did what I had to do to win! But core gamers wouldn't let us win! And I come back to the gaming world and I see all those fans at their forums, boycotting me, mocking me. Calling me Krillin and all kinds of vile crap! Who are they to protest me? Who are they? Unless they've been Wii and been there and know what the hell they're yelling about!

We were in this conference in LA and this kid comes up, this kid carrying a Wii U box. And he says "Game, please, game!" I said no. He kept askin', yeah, and Reggie said "Yeah." And I went to get a couple of combs, and the box was wired with an ultra high GPU, and he opened up the box, fucking blew his body all over the place. And he's laying there, he's fucking screaming. There's pieces of him all over me, just...like this, and I'm tryin' to pull him off, you know, my friend that's all over me! I've got blood and everything and I'm tryin' to hold him together! I'm puttin'... the guy's fuckin' insides keep coming out! And nobody would help! Nobody would help! He's saying, sayin' "I wanna go handheld! I wanna go handheld!" He keeps calling my name! "I wanna go handheld, Iwata! I wanna catch my Pokemon!" I said "With what? I can't find your fuckin' games! I can't find your games!"
AWESOME!
600full-first-blood-screenshot.jpg
 
....

so does this mean we'll get in-house Japanese developed DMC5 next time? because that will be sweet.

Capcom is in a very weird position with DMC right now.

On the one hand, DmC was a critical darling, but that didn't help it penetrate the market. All the efforts they went through to westernize and make accessible didn't translate in to sales. On the other hand, when Blue Castle made what was essentially Just Another Dead Rising, the game sold great and Capcom acquired them. So their executives must be looking at the data with furrowed brows, because on its face, none of it makes sense. They are just as likely to retire the series as they are to bring it back home.

To complicate things further, to "bring back" Devil May Cry would require Itsuno. Him acting as producer alone, using DmC as evidence, just doesn't do it. He needs to be elbow deep in the project. But Dragon's Dogma sold really well in Japan and not great elsewhere, so they're going to keep Itsuno on that sequel and he can't afford the time to be making a Devil May Cry 5 right now.

If I had to guess, I am betting Capcom has Ninja Theory go ahead with DmC2 for next-gen and try to placate fans by using the old Dante and doing something crazy like, I don't know, Dante/Vergil co-op.
 
So if/when Orbis and Durango fail to sell more in their first 3 months, will we have the same doom and gloom meme here on GAF?

I will state for whatever record people want to put it on, I do not think it is possible for XBox 3 and PS4 to do under 60k in their first three months. It will not happen.
 
So if/when Orbis and Durango fail to sell more in their first 3 months, will we have the same doom and gloom meme here on GAF?

This is such a disingenuous tactic. And aside from that, if the situation for Orbis or Durango looks this awful three months in, I'm sure you'll hear plenty about it.
 

clav

Member
Wow Vita.

Wasn't this the handheld supposed to trump 3DS because of specs and design?

On top of that the unit is sold at a loss.

Sony hurting.

PS4 may as well determine the value of the PlayStation brand and perhaps Sony as a whole. With Sony still busy trying to manage its own assets and selling off and axing projects (no longer competing for high-end HDTVs)/aged products (e.g. MiniDisc)/ property (land sold in NY), who knows if Sony will still exist in a decade.
 

1-D_FTW

Member
So if/when Orbis and Durango fail to sell more in their first 3 months, will we have the same doom and gloom meme here on GAF?

If there's no supply problems, units are on shelves, and they're pulling 11k a week? You better believe it. And it won't be a meme. People will be writing eulogies for consoles.
 

Duxxy3

Member
Nothing is over! Nothing.

You just don't switch it off! It wasn't my console war! You asked me, I didn't ask you! And I did what I had to do to win! But core gamers wouldn't let us win! And I come back to the gaming world and I see all those fans at their forums, boycotting me, mocking me. Calling me Krillin and all kinds of vile crap! Who are they to protest me? Who are they? Unless they've been Wii and been there and know what the hell they're yelling about!

We were in this conference in LA and this kid comes up, this kid carrying a Wii U box. And he says "Game, please, game!" I said no. He kept askin', yeah, and Reggie said "Yeah." And I went to get a couple of combs, and the box was wired with an ultra high GPU, and he opened up the box, fucking blew his body all over the place. And he's laying there, he's fucking screaming. There's pieces of him all over me, just...like this, and I'm tryin' to pull him off, you know, my friend that's all over me! I've got blood and everything and I'm tryin' to hold him together! I'm puttin'... the guy's fuckin' insides keep coming out! And nobody would help! Nobody would help! He's saying, sayin' "I wanna go handheld! I wanna go handheld!" He keeps calling my name! "I wanna go handheld, Iwata! I wanna catch my Pokemon!" I said "With what? I can't find your fuckin' games! I can't find your games!"

Neogaf should implement a like button just for this post.
 
So if/when Orbis and Durango fail to sell more in their first 3 months, will we have the same doom and gloom meme here on GAF?

If those consoles aren't in a state of shortage and have no releases, shoddy attempts at a launch, no marketing, consumer confusion and overpriced, then yes, I reckon we will.
 

jcm

Member
So if/when Orbis and Durango fail to sell more in their first 3 months, will we have the same doom and gloom meme here on GAF?

We had far more doom and gloom when the PS3 sold far more than this.

Neogaf should implement a like button just for this post.

Can you explain the joke to me? I understand it's parodying something, but I don't recognize the source.
 

test_account

XP-39C²
Wow Vita.

Wasn't this the handheld supposed to trump 3DS because of specs and design

On top of that the unit is sold at a loss.

Sony hurting.
Yep, but it had a lot to do with price parity as well. Once the Vita prices were announced, the Wifi model was priced at the same level as the 3DS was ($250). But before the Vita was announced, Nintendo dropped the 3DS price a lot, so we never got to see that senario (3DS and Vita both costing $249 and being on the market at the same time) play out, unfortunately, it would be interesting to see i think.
 

clav

Member
Yep, but it had a lot to do with price parity as well. Once the Vita prices were announced, the Wifi model was priced at the same level as the 3DS was ($250). But before the Vita was announced, Nintendo dropped the 3DS price a lot, so we never got to see that senario (3DS and Vita both costing $249 and being on the market at the same time) play out, unfortunately, it would be interesting to see i think.

I thought Vita was at the right price point, but it only exists because Sony is taking losses and is hoping customers will buy games.

If the PS4 goes for the same strategy, this may be the end of Sony.
 

RamzaIsCool

The Amiga Brotherhood
So if/when Orbis and Durango fail to sell more in their first 3 months, will we have the same doom and gloom meme here on GAF?

Depends, the total number doesn't really give a good indication of the health of the console. Especially with products that has early adopters and fans. That can skew the numbers in the early going. imo the trend is far more important at the start of the lifecycle.

For example, if two consoles would launch and have the following sales in itheir first 3 months.

Console A: 600k- 400k- 200k
Console B: 400k- 400k- 400k

They both sold the same number, but one of them should clearly worry about the future.
 
Yep, but it had a lot to do with price parity as well. Once the Vita prices were announced, the Wifi model was priced at the same level as the 3DS was ($250). But before the Vita was announced, Nintendo dropped the 3DS price a lot, so we never got to see that senario (3DS and Vita both costing $249 and being on the market at the same time) play out, unfortunately, it would be interesting to see i think.

Vita still needed the $20 memory card
 
Nintendo just promised a billion dollar operating profit next FY. Eating $100 a unit for 10M units consumes the entire billion.

Shortsighted shareholders, shortsighted management. A billion in profits this year in exchange for many billions loss of market share by generation's end.
 
Yeah, not all is lost yet. Wii U is going to be on a rocky road for the next few months, but I wouldn't count on Nintendo knee jerking and deviating from their plans quite yet. They have a lot of software planned for the 2H of 2013.

Also, its not as if all those systems were released into this moribund economy either. All the new hardware launches have sputtered post 2008 economic crash.

Right, like the iPad in 2010
 

TAS

Member
Anyways, the Wii U numbers for the month are terrible no if and buts about it. But the point is, it's still too early to be declaring its demise. Hell..three months in the GameCube was ahead of the PS2 for pete's sake. Things change and I have no doubt that this debacle has ignited a fire under Nintendo's ass.
 
Obviously if Nintendo keep the console on shelves and keep releasing games for it.

This will probably happen in all but the most catastrophic (under four million globally through 2014) scenarios.

Other people developing games for it? That seemingly won't happen in all but the most miraculous for Nintendo scenarios, which also involves catastrophic scenarios for Microsoft and Sony.
 
I will state for whatever record people want to put it on, I do not think it is possible for XBox 3 and PS4 to do under 60k in their first three months. It will not happen.

Yeah, it's quite possible that PS4 and/or Durango will underperform to some extent, but every major third party will be fully behind those platforms, and there's little reason to doubt that Sony/MS have done a much better job of preparing first-party development for the generational transition than Nintendo did.
 

test_account

XP-39C²
I thought Vita was at the right price point, but it only exists because Sony is taking losses and is hoping customers will buy games.

If the PS4 goes for the same strategy, this may be the end of Sony.
I dont think that it is confirmed that Sony takes a loss on the Vita. If they are, i would guess that it quite small, and they are probably making it in with the memorycard prices.


PS4 may as well determine the value of the PlayStation brand and perhaps Sony as a whole. With Sony still busy trying to manage its own assets and selling off and axing projects (no longer competing for high-end HDTVs)/aged products (e.g. MiniDisc)/ property (land sold in NY), who knows if Sony will still exist in a decade.
I forgot to answer to this earlier.

Didnt Kaz Hirai say kinda the opposite regarding HDTVs? I mean i've read that he said that Sony wont be competing for the cheaper priced models. MiniDisc was just recently taken out of production, probably because the market for it is basically dead. Now Sony has no expences around the Minidisc production anymore. Selling the property made them a big profit, and they will still have offices, but just rent instead i guess or buy somewhere else cheaper. I dont think these things will have any affect on Sony as a whole, especially not the MiniDisc (which is now out of production) and selling their New York headquarter for profit.


Vita still needed the $20 memory card
Sure (unless you buy a used one cheaper), but even with that, the prices between the 3DS and the Vita would be a lot more comparable (only $20 apart) to what they are now.
 

evangd007

Member
Software - every single multiplatform will look and work superbly to ps3/x360 versions serving as a reason to upgrade.

Cross-gen games looking slightly better won't drive hardware sales of the new consoles. It's to publishers advantage to make the launch period games cross-gen, but it severely hurts the uptake of new hardware.

If you don't believe me when I say "slightly better", do this: show your non-gaming friends a Watch Dogs gif and tell them its GTA V for Xbox 360. They will believe you.
 

clav

Member
Yeah, it's quite possible that PS4 and/or Durango will underperform to some extent, but every major third party will be fully behind those platforms, and there's little reason to doubt that Sony/MS have done a much better job of preparing first-party development for the generational transition than Nintendo did.

Think it has to do with Nintendo not knowing how to utilize shaders. Their Wind Waker HD project seems like a tech demo project that they want to practice using them.

2006/2007 was a tough transitional period for Japanese developers who were used to developing for the PS2.
I dont think that it is confirmed that Sony takes a loss on the Vita. If they are, i would guess that it quite small, and they are probably making it in with the memorycard prices.



I forgot to answer to this earlier.

Didnt Kaz Hirai say kinda the opposite regarding HDTVs? I mean i've read that he said that Sony wont be competing for the cheaper priced models. MiniDisc was just recently taken out of production. Selling the property made them a big profit, and they will still have offices, but just rent instead i guess or buy somewhere else cheaper. I dont think these things will have any affect on Sony as a whole, especially not the MiniDisc (which is now out of production) and selling their New York headquarter for profit.

Sure (unless you buy a used one cheaper), but even with that, the prices between the 3DS and the Vita would be a lot more comparable (only $20 apart) to what they are now.

Somehow I thought they were succumbing to the high-end market, but hm. I swear their recent public presentations showed that since Samsung/LG/Panasonic dominate the HDTV market (and Vizio for the middle/low-end market).

The Sony TV I bought back in 2007 still works, but I think I will need to look for one soon since this one is notorious for breaking down.
 

Hero

Member
Great read as always, jvm.

With the software lineup for February (more like lack of) and it being a 4 week month, sales will probably be in the 40K range there. March actually has some releases so maybe it will increase a bit then.

Nintendo's holiday lineup needs to be amazing if they want this system to survive.
 
Great read as always, jvm.

With the software lineup for February (more like lack of) and it being a 4 week month, sales will probably be in the 40K range there. March actually has some releases so maybe it will increase a bit then.

Nintendo's holiday lineup needs to be amazing if they want this system to survive.

Their spring and summer lineups need to be amazing if they want to survive. Their holiday lineup needs to be even better than that if they want to compete.
 

FourMyle

Member
So if/when Orbis and Durango fail to sell more in their first 3 months, will we have the same doom and gloom meme here on GAF?

oh my fucking lol. I would expect this post from my 10 year old nephew. You should probably rethink your emotional investment in multi billion dollar for-profit corporations.
 

Schnozberry

Member
oh my fucking lol. I would expect this post from my 10 year old nephew. You should probably rethink your emotional investment in multi billion dollar for-profit corporations.

It's very possible that Durango and Orbis don't sell a million units in 3 months. Neither the 360 or PS3 did.
 
Anyways, the Wii U numbers for the month are terrible no if and buts about it. But the point is, it's still too early to be declaring its demise. Hell..three months in the GameCube was ahead of the PS2 for pete's sake. Things change and I have no doubt that this debacle has ignited a fire under Nintendo's ass.

It isn't the point about just 3 months of sales, it's the whole fact that after just 3 months it did 57k. Not even close to any other consoles first January except the Dreamcast. And that was 500k units ahead of the WiiU at this point.
 

jmood88

Member
I must be the only one who thinks the WiiU will be a huge success. I believe a platforms success is determined by having a wide variaty of software offerings. Wii U is by design, very flexible and can offer lots of different types of games. When the content is there, in a about a year from now, sales will most surely pick up. Nintendo does have to make sure that atleast some third party ports are on the platform, or else it will be more difficult to build the momentum. But I still believe :)

How is it more flexible than any other system? Also, how will it be flexible once the new systems come out and it's woefully underpowered by comparison?
 

jcm

Member
Shortsighted shareholders, shortsighted management. A billion in profits this year in exchange for many billions loss of market share by generation's end.

I don't think you should blame the shareholders. I think you should blame the guy who said they were going to make a billion dollars this year. I don't know what the fuck he was thinking. There's just no upside to making a forecast like that. He handcuffed himself.
 
Or the 3DS and Vita. I was mistakenly under the impression we were discussing dedicated game machines.

If the recession was as bad as you are saying it is then the iPad would have flopped when the recession was far deeper. Discretionary luxury dollars are out there, the product just has to BE WORTH IT TO CONSUMERS.

Why do you think 360 and PS3 are still selling despite being old news? They are similarly priced to the Wii U. The consumer dollars are there to be had for products that are desirable.
 

elelunicy

Member
but DMC still mean something and can sell if they gave the fans what they want(instead of Ninja Theory reboot no one wanted)DMC is not Megaman.

The "fans" you are talking about only contribute a small portion of ther overall audience of DMC. DmC doing poorly is due to anything but those fans. The way I see it, a DMC5 could easily sell less than DmC.
 
I don't think you should blame the shareholders. I think you should blame the guy who said they were going to make a billion dollars this year. I don't know what the fuck he was thinking. There's just no upside to making a forecast like that. He handcuffed himself.
Maybe that's exactly what he was thinking. Iwata is a brilliant person but perhaps he's just out of ideas and wants to step down at this point.
 
The "fans" you are talking about only contribute a small portion of ther overall audience of DMC. DmC doing poorly is due to anything but those fans. The way I see it, a DMC5 could easily sell less than DmC.

In this, as in all things, context is king.

A DMC5 released for current gen consoles could and probably would sell less. Assuming there is no console apocalypse in the next few years (and I am not sure this is to be assumed completely), DMC5 would probably match DMC4 sales there.
 
Nintendo needs to drop the price.

Why is this not painfully obvious? Take a hit by incurring losses on the hardware front, but make up for it in the software they move from the increase in userbase resulting from the price drop. Nintendo cannot try to make a profit in both hardware and software right now.
 

Jomjom

Banned
I'm kind of glad this is happening to Nintendo. This will hopefully mean that Nintendo will be forced to innovate instead of tossing out the same old games over and over again. They need something along the lines of Mario Galaxy which brought something entirely new. None of this New Super Mario stuff which is anything but new.

55k tells me even the Nintendo fanboy is not that excited about the Nintendo rehashes anymore.
 
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