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NPD Sales Results for August 2014 [Up4: PS4 #1, XB1 last week sales 2x last Jul week]

Can yall tell me why it wont? Looking at the sales it looks like its closing a gap. Not overall but just for the holidays. If it dont its gonna be real close. Closer than now for sure.

It's not closing the gap. In order to do that, the Xbone would have to outsell the PS4, which it hasn't done since December.

There is little indication that the Xbone will outsell the PS4 this holiday. It has a chance during November at least, but it's still no guarantee.

That's why I said Q4. And yes, I do. It's not out of the question to think that some people will buy both consoles. Just by the shear number of people with a PS4, it's not unreasonable to think at some point the numbers will drop while the X1 numbers will increase.

EDIT:

You can't say anything positive about the X1. It will never sell well because it's complete trash. lol.

You can drop the persecution complex.

And the bolded makes no sense. That might be the case 5 years from now, but we'll still be in the first year for both consoles. We are nowhere near saturation point for either, especially the PS4.
 

ZSaberLink

Media Create Maven
I had high expectations for MK8 legs. I was particularly disappointed with MK8's performance this month.

GTA V legs should be the baseline for an IP with such pull as MK8.

For example, Mario Kart: Double Dash sold 81.2K copies at the equivalent release month.


Mario Kart 8 is underperforming compared to Double Dash...that's a problem.

I'm assuming MK8's LTD so far is still higher than Double Dash's though right? I really do think the install base has to increase more to support Mario Kart's usual consistent sales. If I'm not mistaken, the GC had sold close to 4M by this point right? What was Double Dash's attach rate for example on the GC? If anything, August was the absolute worst month to buy a Wii U. The MK8 deals (and the MK8 bundle) just ended in July, and new bundles started arriving this month (3DWorld/Nintendo Land one and MK8/Nintendo Land one). So the hardware sales (especially with no games) being bad isn't too surprising (I was so pessimistic I predicted 45K).

Also how did the crossover compare to the Vita?


where's the updated GC/DC/WIU graph

....does the Wii U have anything besides Hyrule Warriors coming out next month?

Disney Infinity 2.0 the previous week.
 

donny2112

Member
the wii doesn't count becauseitit was not made for video gamers and the people who made games for it werent fans fo vidoe games themselves. so when the market left wholesale and never bought another vdieo game agan the market rteurned to normal which is basicaly what the ps2 was which is about 300k-400k a month. honenstly the new system are doing really good.

This is great. :)
 
Not sure about Wii U... they're mostly going to rely on Mario Kart to sell units this Christmas I'd guess. Multiplats are always the biggest sellers during the Holiday season. Madden, FIFA, NBA, Destiny, Far Cry, etc are gonna be on a lot of kids' christmas lists.

Yeah I didn't mean to include Wii U. Smash and Mario Kart will be the strongest influences this holiday I bet

I'm thinking Tearaway bad levels.

Yeah no unless you're not including bundled sales and then still no

Tearaway level bad is awfulohmygodlet'sneveractuallytalkaboutnumbersplease bad

SO bundled OR SO Retail Standalone will sell much much better than Tearaway in the US
 

JNA

Banned
It's a shame about Mario Kart 8. Although while I enjoy the game a lot, it is very bare bones. There is hardly any different modes for both single player and online/multiplayer and the ranking system is a bunch of balls. :(

MK8 needed a lot more content. And I'm not talking more tracks/karts.
 

Death2494

Member
ps2 sold 155m units. kind of besides the point, but worth mentioning since it's so unlikely to ever happen again.

the problem with the ps4 isn't that it's tapped out - it's that it experienced extremely frontloaded sales. even when the wii and ps2 reached the point where the ps4 ltd is right now, they were still selling up to double and more what the current market leader is doing. so the trajectory of the system over the next couple of years can't be based on the first very successful months, but more likely the more recent mediocre ones. will the ps4 hit 80m in five years? can it sell 14m a year until then? it's possible, but i don't know where those sales are going to be coming from.

Wait, what!? This has to be a joke post, right? Where are the cameras?
 
that was the mantra for the ps3 for at least a year. maybe it came to fruition eventually but if it did it was extremely slow-going.

Is different, if there's a year where we can see that last-gen transition to next-gen sales is this year. Last year you could get the last AC and CoD in last-gen consoles, there wasn't a need to "upgrade". You want to play the last AC and CoD (and eventually only next-gen releases)? Is time to get a a new console.

That's something bound to have an effect, how big? yet to see.
 
I'm assuming MK8's LTD so far is still higher than Double Dash's though right? I really do think the install base has to increase more to support Mario Kart's usual consistent sales. If I'm not mistaken, the GC had sold close to 4M by this point right? What was Double Dash's attach rate for example on the GC? If anything, August was the absolute worst month to buy a Wii U. The MK8 deals (and the MK8 bundle) just ended in July, and new bundles started arriving this month (3DWorld/Nintendo Land one and MK8/Nintendo Land one). So the hardware sales (especially with no games) being bad isn't too surprising (I was so pessimistic I predicted 45K).

Also how did the crossover compare to the Vita?




Disney Infinity 2.0 the previous week.


No. Double Dash sold 1.445 million in the equivalent period.


Attach Rate should be 21% for Double Dash...I agree, the Wii U's low installbase is definitely a problem.

But still...I expected more out of it given MK Wii and MK7.
 
It's not closing the gap. In order to do that, the Xbone would have to outsell the PS4, which it hasn't done since December.

There is little indication that the Xbone will outsell the PS4 this holiday. It has a chance during November at least, but it's still no guarantee.



You can drop the persecution complex.

And the bolded makes no sense. That might be the case 5 years from now, but we'll still be in the first year for both consoles. We are nowhere near saturation point for either, especially the PS4.
Its all no guarantee, just like it wont outsell it. Theres no guarantee.. just speculating like the rest of you guys.
 

crinale

Member
There’s a difference between “Xbone is closing the gap” and “Xbone is reducing the rate of increasing gap”. The gap is still increasing indeed.
 

ZSaberLink

Media Create Maven
sörine;129612176 said:
No, I'm saying Titanfall and Madden bundles don't cancel that out. Wii U has far more bundled software than Xbox One.


Yes the white 8GB basic launch system was the only one with no game bundle. They sold something like 15% versus the black 32GB deluxe with Nintendo Land. In early summer 2013 they were delisted and recalled because they sold so badly.

For Wii U it's been;

Basic 8GB with nothing (launch)
Deluxe 32GB with Nintendo Land (launch)
Deluxe 32GB with ZombiU + Nintendo Land (spring 2013)
Deluxe 32GB with Wind Waker HD (fall 2013)
Basic 8GB with Skylanders Swap Force + Nintendo Land (fall 2013)
Deluxe 32GB with NSMBU + NSLU (holiday 2013)
Deluxe 32GB with Mario Kart 8 (spring 2014)

And this month add

Deluxe 32GB with Mario Kart 8 & Nintendo Land (Walmart exclusive) (fall 2014)
Deluxe 32GB with Super Mario 3D World & Nintendo Land (fall 2014)
 

Hubble

Member
Ahh that's for this month not overall.

That gap grew even more.

The gap isn't that large considering the grand scheme of things. In June, the PS4 and XO gap was only around 475,000. This month it is only 30,000, which isn't huge. The gulf between both consoles isn't Mount Everest.

http://www.forbes.com/sites/erikkain/2014/07/18/npd-hardware-sales-numbers-leak-for-june-2014/

The year-to-date figures are also enlightening, with the Xbox One not trailing the PS4 quite as badly here in the US as it is worldwide:

PS4 – 1,577,000
XB1 – 1,101,000
 

AniHawk

Member
Well it did sell 80 million units.... those numbers didn't just happen magically.

it happened largely thanks to europe and other regions, as it didn't do half that in the us and japan combined. japan is essentially a non-factor now in the console realm, and the xbox one is doing seemingly pretty bad in parts of europe. so maybe it'll do about 14m a year spread out across mostly europe. i just don't know what would make sales in the us suddenly double year over year and more to make up for the gap.

that's just one console manufacturer though, and that's getting them to last gen sales in slightly faster time, which is fair to a market leader but unfair to any one company. even if you want to say the xbox one is the only other platform that matters right now, it's looking to massively underperform the 360, and that's a big problem.
 
Xbox One hasn't closed a gap since last November.
And here comes another NOVEMBER.

Im not sure whats the point of telling me when was the last time it closed a gap instead of talking about the possibility that it may close the gap. The failure to look at these things objectively is hurting in here. MS lineup of games this holiday is hands down (I dont care if they appeal to you or not) better than what sony has. Its not that hard to look from this point of view.
 

Ty4on

Member
It'll sell better on PS4, right?!? Right? Eventually people have to buy the game.......

I actually found Tearaway to be boring on Vita.

I've never tried it, but despite all the praise I never "got" it. I have plenty of times been able to buy it, but never pulled the trigger because no part of me wanted it or understood why it would be a fun game. I understand some really loved it though and it was nice to show off a unique Vita game :p
 

crinale

Member
And here comes another NOVEMBER.

Im not sure whats the point of telling me when was the last time it closed a gap instead of talking about the possibility that it may close the gap. The failure to look at these things objectively is hurting in here. MS lineup of games this holiday is hands down (I dont care if they appeal to you or not) better than what sony has. Its not that hard to look from this point of view.

But you did say it's closing gap, that it really hasn't. That doesn't sound objective at all either.
 
Its all no guarantee, just like it wont outsell it. Theres no guarantee.. just speculating like the rest of you guys.

You can speculate without making ridiculous statements, such as the one everyone quoted.

And here comes another NOVEMBER.

Im not sure whats the point of telling me when was the last time it closed a gap instead of talking about the possibility that it may close the gap. The failure to look at these things objectively is hurting in here. MS lineup of games this holiday is hands down (I dont care if they appeal to you or not) better than what sony has. Its not that hard to look from this point of view.

Irony.
 

NateDrake

Member
I've never tried it, but despite all the praise I never "got" it. I have plenty of times been able to buy it, but never pulled the trigger because no part of me wanted it or understood why it would be a fun game. I understand some really loved it though and it was nice to show off a unique Vita game :p

It does do some cool things with the rear touch-pad and touch-screen. I couldn't find the appeal of the game no matter how much I played it. Lacked charm to me. I waited and bought it when it was really cheap.
 
The gap isn't that large considering the grand scheme of things. In June, the PS4 and XO gap was only around 475,000. This month it is only 30,000, which isn't huge.

http://www.forbes.com/sites/erikkain/2014/07/18/npd-hardware-sales-numbers-leak-for-june-2014/

There's a factor to consider here, US was MS reign, they were (after Wii's premature death and Wii U failure) the king of consoles in US.

The surprising thing is not the margin (which is growing month after month, with possibly being considerably larger after next month), is the fact PS4 is having a gap over Xbone. And that the gap, even with MS efforts (lower price, NFL deal, etc...) is still growing.
 
The 476,000 number in that article is difference of the 2014 YTD between PS4 and XB1, not LTD difference

So then when is a good time period to finally judge?

A rational person is constantly adjusting their perception of the world based on new data so always

Well ok, i predict less than 120k standalone for October, i'm Nostradamus.

That's far more reasonable but still likely quite low
 
Can yall tell me why it wont? Looking at the sales it looks like its closing a gap. Not overall but just for the holidays. If it dont its gonna be real close. Closer than now for sure.

Closer in absolute terms, not in proportional ones. Sales of everything have dropped during the summer so of course it'll be closer if you just say 190-160=30, but if you compare it to say..February or March numbers as a percentage the gap has barely closed if it has at all.
 

Daviii

Member
The gap isn't that large considering the grand scheme of things. In June, the PS4 and XO gap was only around 475,000. This month it is only 30,000, which isn't huge

If PS4 has outsold XBOne every month how comes the gap is narrowing?

Maybe I misunderstood you.
 
But you did say it's closing gap, that it really hasn't. That doesn't sound objective at all either.
Closing the gap between monthly sales yea it is. I already said not overall. Regardless of last month or this months sales the evidence from this month show its possible it could top the PS4...and I guess it will do so holidays.
 

Hubble

Member
What the hell are you talking about?

The 475k gap is LTD June, not one month sales gap.

That is what I said in June..... And yes, it is substantial Sony has made a great turnaround in the U.S. In the end both consoles are doing well at this stage showing a lot of life in consoles.
 
The gap isn't that large considering the grand scheme of things. In June, the PS4 and XO gap was only around 475,000. This month it is only 30,000, which isn't huge. The gulf between both consoles isn't Mount Everest.

http://www.forbes.com/sites/erikkain/2014/07/18/npd-hardware-sales-numbers-leak-for-june-2014/

You do realize that the gap is now over 700k right? And that even if the PS4 sells only 1 more unit than the Xbox the gap still grows, you know that right?

I mean you are right that the disparity isn't that big in the scheme of things, but it's only growing larger with every month, making it progressively harder for Microsoft to catch up.
 

Chindogg

Member
At this point I think Wii U sales will stall out until the holidays. No one with disposable income wants to buy one who hasn't bought one yet. Traditionally they do better during the holidays.

That said, they really need something to keep the holiday push going well afterwards. Hopefully their game a month plan will actually do something for it, but I'm doubting it.

Xbox One is starting to look really in trouble. It won't hit Wii U numbers based on third parties alone but it's really going to hurt.

At this point Sony's got it this time. It's a really boring generation but its clear that the bulk of enthusiasts just wanted to play their perennial franchises that looked the best on the cheapest system. It just leaves such a bitter taste in my mouth that Madden continues to rock sales charts every year despite it being the laziest piece of software in gaming.
 
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