What's the relevance of this?
Uncharted 3 was as big as The Last of Us.
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NPD Sales Results for February 2016 [Up1: Fire Emblem]
- Thread starter Nirolak
- Start date
Awakening was very close to 2 million according to the bio of the singer for the japanese version of last year, so it's probably very close or passed it by now.
DriftingSpirit
Member
I think the biggest factors are PS4's install base, Uncharted Collection promotion last holiday, successful betas and the sure to be strong advertisement.
I think this is mostly irrelevant.
SnowFlakeCake
Member
No it certainly was not, UC3 did around 700k and TLOU close to a million first month. Of course that was 700k too many for UC3 but that's another story.
Not a clue what you're on about, but I'm happy for you.
I meant popularity and reputation. Unless there is somehow a hidden argument that reputation somehow has geographical borders or something.
How about your check the quote I used. Those words are in that quote so if you can't figure out what is meant then you suck at the English language and I am not happy for you because that's essential on GAF.Not a clue what you're on about, but I'm happy for you.
Remember Uncharted 3 released in November, and with 4 weeks including Black Friday.
So, is not impossible for Uncharted 4 sell less than Uncharted 3... but most likely it will.
Just don't underestimate The Division, this game is a monster.
Passed or not, it's close to 2 million more or less.
So, is not impossible for Uncharted 4 sell less than Uncharted 3... but most likely it will.
Just don't underestimate The Division, this game is a monster.
Passed or not, it's close to 2 million more or less.
Welfare
Member
DriftingSpirit
Member
What are your estimates for UC4?
CosmicQueso
Member
Put me in the camp of all console versions of Division selling significantly more month 1 than UC4. Probably won't even be close.
I have 9 friends that buy things digitally so nyah.
CosmicQueso
Member
We really are living in an awful time for sales discussion aren't we. Ugh.
Do you expect Uncharted to underperformance or The Division to sell absolutely insane?
Chobel
Member
Less than 700k for sure, probably around 550K.
igordennis
Member
Most likely this. Some of you might be underestimating just how big that game is gonna be. Console audiences are way too thirsty for games like that.
DriftingSpirit
Member
I mean, even Uncharted 2 sold 537,000 in 3 weeks... Do you really expect Uncharted 4 to sell about then same?
Maybe you think digital sales will be big?
Agree
CosmicQueso
Member
Right. I'd expect UC4 to have the best UC month 1 ever, but still be dwarfed. Could be wrong.
If that does happen, I hope Rex doesn't get himself perm'd.
I'm with you, i think The Division first month is gonna be literally insane. Should be close to the first month of Destiny on current gen.
ethomaz
Banned
I'm don't think a single platform of Division breaking 1m.
U4 will break 1 million.
PS. NPD.
Destiny didn't break 1m in a single platform.
Why would you expect such a low number?
CosmicQueso
Member
So, been thinking about the SF5 thing a bunch. Anyone else notice that the SF5 fanbase is using many of the same arguments the Halo 5 crowd used after its launch month numbers came out?
Couple things I take away from that is: 1) Everyone's people, whether Sony or MS fan, 2) Never number your game with a "5", 3) I don't think I've seen Halo 5 mentioned in this thread once.
I believe the gauntlet has been thrown, gentlepeople.
Couple things I take away from that is: 1) Everyone's people, whether Sony or MS fan, 2) Never number your game with a "5", 3) I don't think I've seen Halo 5 mentioned in this thread once.
I believe the gauntlet has been thrown, gentlepeople.
Giriath_89
Member
I think The Division having the bigger opening month is the safe bet. UC4 will be the biggest Uncharted launch because of the remaster collection, the open beta, great reviews and a big marketing push from Sony.
AncientDiety
Banned
That's way too low....you think it will do worse then uc3 and no better then infamous? No way. Heck last of us did 1 million...1 million is very possible for uc4.
Lion Heart
Banned
So basically Infamous SS.
ethomaz
Banned
My mistake Destiny PS4 broke 1m with bundles.
~0.8m without bundles
~1.1m with bundles
I believe The Division will do less than Destiny.
I wouldn't call 1.1m well over 1 million
Including bundle, the PS4 version was well over 1 million.
EDIT: You edited.
Here my predictions:
(PS4) Uncharted 4 - 900,000
(PS4) The Division - 900,000
(XBO) The Division - 800,000
Astral Dog
Member
Jesus Halo 5 sold less than Splatoon
Gunslinger
Member
Who here is brave enough to think that sfv will chart again next month?
hmm I know this is WW but It should do well in the US
http://blog.us.playstation.com/2016/03/01/new-release-date-for-uncharted-4-a-thiefs-end/
Accepting that the stuff you're into is not what the market is into is hard.
We've had several years of seeing cool games not selling and the same franchises dominating the year end sales and the shrinking of importance of consoles to the overall video game industry.
For years I've said the only thing one can do is to hope that publishers agree that a diversified portfolio is worth it and to enjoy the ride until it ends soonish. (Used to be soon, but the PS4 has pushed it a bit out for traditional packaged games IMO.)
Envious are the people whose taste align with the games that are created based on the chosen strategy of the huge publishers.
SnowFlakeCake
Member
That would be awful, my feeling is that 700k would be worst case scenario. More than anything, a marketing blitz can push any game as shown by the likes of Destiny that piece of shit. Sony have already pushed UC4 hard and it's only going to ramp up, not to Destiny levels of course but could easily see UC4 being the most money Sony have ever put into advertising a game.
If I'm honest, I think the game is going to ship 4 million by the end of month 1, this game has more going for it than any other title Sony have under their belt. Sony usually give PR for a game after about the first month so yep, 4 million month one shipped worldwide and 1 million sold during NPD launch month including bundles.
If the game ends up shit though, could not fucking care less then but I can't see that happening.
That sounded like nothing more than a throw away line unless Kaz is personally pressing the discs himself. Bollocks excuse but hey, it's a new one.
Sony thought if they just printed 500 copies they would be good. Come on, seems pretty clearly that is PR spin.
Chobel
Member
I'm basing my perdition on Amazon, Uncharted 4 isn't doing that hot in Amazon.
It's pretty obvious that was some bullshit PR excuse.
It's pretty obvious that was some bullshit PR excuse.
I don't think exclusives selling worse has anything to do with exclusives being less popular this gen, at least on PS and XB. It's just that there's a lot more third party games obviously, and a lot of the exclusives have their own individual issues. Halo was apparently in a franchise-wide rut, and Street Fighter's issues are well documented at this point. Street Fighter being exclusive wouldn't stop it from selling 500K. It being half-baked in a less popular genre kept it from selling well.
DriftingSpirit
Member
Well, as Chobel said, Uncharted is not that big in US. So, the excuse seems valid.
/s
Yeah. Demand is definitely high, but I have a hard time believing that it caught Sony with their pants down.
We're talking about ND's follow up to TLOU and arguably Sony's biggest franchise. You would think that Sony would more than prepared.
DriftingSpirit
Member
So, you all think they needed just two more weeks to tighten everything up?
Okay, now I know you're doing this on purpose!
Giriath_89
Member
Division PS4: 1.4m
UC4: 1.1m
UC4: 1.1m
TLOU did outsell UC3 by more than 200k the first month it came out, and I'm pretty it has higher LTD sales as well (pretty positive about this, unless UC3 was massively bundled in the US)
As far as popularity and reputation - I don't know that there's any real way to quantify this, but for me seeing the reaction to TLOU with things like the very fast (and successful) remastered edition, quick movie announcement, One Night Live, the awards it won both as an individual game and for Neil Druckmann (and others involved in the making of the game) and the fame it brought Neil, as well how massively popular it is on YouTube and the the streaming community in general...
I have no doubt in my mind that TLOU is more popular and well regarded by both gamers and especially the more casual crowd than Uncharted ever was, and that Naughty Dog is more popular and highly regarded for it
Psycho_Mantis
Banned
Cow Goes Moo
Member
I may be remembering wrong, but didn't rex reason something similar with hardline
it's really hard to quote you lol
I think it [uncharted] will do at least 800k
on an unrelated note, i think no man sky will do at least 400k
ThoughtsOfSpeaking
Banned
The relevance is there is a demand for a big budget AAA first party title that hasnt been fufilled since this time last year.
That can only help uncharted 4s sales. On the system there is nothing comparable in the pipeline or has come out recently.
And what is that based on?
And that's the bigger mistake you can make...
DriftingSpirit
Member
The general public could care less about whether something is first party or not. Heck, they don't even have a clue about first party in general.
Primethius
Banned
What's the reasoning for such low UC4 numbers?
Because it's May? Wouldn't that just be more on the hardware side of things or does software take a considerable hit too.
The idea that UC4 debuts to less then UC3 seems insane to me.
Because it's May? Wouldn't that just be more on the hardware side of things or does software take a considerable hit too.
The idea that UC4 debuts to less then UC3 seems insane to me.
ThoughtsOfSpeaking
Banned
What?
What other exclusive AAA title with even half of uncharteds appeal has launched in the past 12 months, much less first party?