Nintendo really had no other moves to keep going after 2011.
I strongly disagree. Nintendo went into "Gamecube mode" and began making (and sequel-ing, in the case of SMG2) games that were not the ones selling the most on Wii. They had plenty of moves. They simply decided not to pursue them either because of lack of talent or lack of ambition.
I mean they threw out another Wii sports,
Yeah and it sold insanely well. The issue is that Nintendo didn't follow up with Sports Resort. To explain, Nintendo came out with Wii Sports which a lot of people loved, and then the world asked "this is really cool! I wonder where it will go next?" In some cases, Nintendo's ideas bombed (Wii Music) but in other regards, the next step for motion controls was wildly successful (Mario Kart, Wii Fit). Wii Sports Resort was - objectively - a decent leap forward for motion controls, but what came after? Nothing. Nintendo had no mass-market game to expand upon the ideas of Sports Resort.
but for their other leading games other companies put out like 50 clones. Some argue they could have done SF and Fzero but how much would those have honestly sold?
Odd that you say such a thing. Most of the clones (especially the ones that sold well) came out within the first few years of the Wii's life. They didn't stop Sports Resort and Wii Party from selling incredibly well.
The ps4 is appealing to the types of people that purchased 80 odd million consoles in 8 years at the moment, thanks to its software focus. I find it highly suspect that anyone should claim it will sell to market segments that lead the ps1, ps2, Ds, Wii, etc to massive sales that vaulted them to the mass market successes they were.
This does not make sense to me. The "market segments" that led those consoles to success have remained, for the most part. They're just non-buyers at this point because current consoles are still too expensive for mass-market consumption (for economic reasons). The only thing stopping PS4 from reaching 100m would be either a near-total collapse of the console industry, in which case people may still flock to the PS4 since it will have the most games and people don't like to bet on a "loser" when things are rocky. Or, another thing that can stop PS4 from reaching 100m would be competition like we saw last gen between PS3, Wii, and 360. However, neither the X1 nor the Wii U are going to cut into PS4's sales to any significant degree.