Official NH Primary Results Thread

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Cooter said:
Everyone here knows that if McCain can get past the whacked out religious right and get the nomination Hillary will lose the general. Please.

Why do you even care then? You're pretty conservative from your posting record. Were you suddenly going to vote for Obama?
 
jamesinclair said:
Looks to me like the independents assumed Obama would win and voted in the republican race

This is 100% what happened tonight. The same independents who responded to democratic pollsters that they would prefer Obama among the democrats heard it was going to be a blowout and went to ensure that Romney and Hucakboo wouldn't be they ultimate alternative.
 
BenjaminBirdie said:
The GOP race is wiiiiide open.
I honestly believe Romney has it sewn up. He's taken the delegate lead (I believe) and is going to used car salesman his way to the top.
 
Stoney Mason said:
I believe only the dems stripped Florida of its delegates. Not Republicans.

Btw, I never heard about what happened in Michigan. Did they strip Michigan of delegates too, or did the democrats move the date back while the reps kept the drastically bumped up date in place?
 
Andy787 said:
Who the fuck actually supports Hillary?

Why?

Christ. :/

If it's her versus any of the GOP, then count me in. She might be in office until I'm 34 or 38, and she might make some questionable (or downright angering) decisions in that term or two - but her Supreme Court nominees are going to be there when I'm in my fucking 50s or 60s, making decisions on causes I care about year after year after year after...

If it's controversial, it'll end-up before the Court. You know it.

But go ahead and throw your hissy fit. If she differs from Obama 4% of the time, the ***** isn't worth voting for, obviously. /s
 
Why do you even care then? You're pretty conservative from your posting record. Were you suddenly going to vote for Obama?

Because I trust Obama. How refreshing would it be once in my lifetime to not really care who wins because both are good people who I can trust.
 
Y2Kev said:
I honestly believe Romney has it sewn up. He's taken the delegate lead (I believe) and is going to used car salesman his way to the top.

Then the Dem's will win no matter what. I really don't think he can survive the scrutiny of more than half the country.
 
Juice said:
Btw, I never heard about what happened in Michigan. Did they strip Michigan of delegates too, or did the democrats move the date back while the reps kept the drastically bumped up date in place?

Stripped.
 
HylianTom said:
If it's her versus any of the GOP, then count me in. She might be in office until I'm 34 or 38, and she might make some questionable (or downright angering) decisions in that term or two - but her Supreme Court nominees are going to be there when I'm in my fucking 50s or 60s, making decisions on causes I care about year after year after year after...

If it's controversial, it'll end-up before the Court. You know it.

But go ahead and throw your hissy fit. If she differs from Obama 4% of the time, the ***** isn't worth voting for, obviously. /s
Good post.. totally agree.
 
MSNBC front page has the race tightened up again within 2% with 85% reporting.

If it stays that close, I believe Obama can spin this as a virtual tie and keep the hope alive that each individual state on Super Tuesday will evaluate the candidates separately. Obama already got the momentum he needed to tie up the national polls (which leading up to Iowa were still dramatically in Hillary's favor). If he can keep those numbers up there, he'll have a shot come Feb. 5th to keep pace and keep the race going.
 
Juice said:
MSNBC front page has the race tightened up again within 2% with 85% reporting.

If it stays that close, I believe Obama can spin this as a virtual tie and keep the hope alive that each individual state on Super Tuesday will evaluate the candidates separately. Obama already got the momentum he needed to tie up the national polls (which leading up to Iowa were still dramatically in Hillary's favor). If he can keep those numbers up there, he'll have a shot come Feb. 5th to keep pace and keep the race going.
And that momentum was based purely on polls. Which backfired. *sigh*
 
Cooter said:
Because I trust Obama. How refreshing would it be once in my lifetime to not really care who wins because both are good people who I can trust.

If you honestly believe that then more power to you. I don't agree of course but intelligent people are welcome to differing opinions. I'll still state nobody has any idea right now who the candidates will be on either side or who will win if certain people matchup with certain people.
 
Juice said:
MSNBC front page has the race tightened up again within 2% with 85% reporting.

If it stays that close, I believe Obama can spin this as a virtual tie and keep the hope alive that each individual state on Super Tuesday will evaluate the candidates separately. Obama already got the momentum he needed to tie up the national polls (which leading up to Iowa were still dramatically in Hillary's favor). If he can keep those numbers up there, he'll have a shot come Feb. 5th to keep pace and keep the race going.

He can easily do it, considering that the delegates are even. But ABC is riding the "Comeback" meme like a freight train. "Stunning victory," "Comeback Kid," etc.
 
Juice said:
This is 100% what happened tonight. The same independents who responded to democratic pollsters that they would prefer Obama among the democrats heard it was going to be a blowout and went to ensure that Romney and Hucakboo wouldn't be they ultimate alternative.

I sincerely doubt this happened in large enough numbers to effect the vote. If your an independent who wants Obama to win why would you give a fuck about ensuring a Romney loss? Having such a scumbag for an opponent in the general election would give Obama more of a chance to win not less.

Obama was defeated, flat out.
 
Cheebs said:
And that momentum was based purely on polls. Which backfired. *sigh*

We don't know what Hillary's victory is going to do to the national polls. If it stays even, then this race can continue to be fought state-by-state. If Obama starts sliding again, which I think is likely, we could see Hillary win back her inevitability-factor as she wraps up most of the Feb. 5th states than she otherwise would if the race was still perceived as competitive.
 
BenjaminBirdie said:
He can easily do it, considering that the delegates are even. But ABC is riding the "Comeback" meme like a freight train. "Stunning victory," "Comeback Kid," etc.
All the major sites are running on the comeback kid meme
 
Y2Kev said:
BenjaminBirdie said:
The GOP race is wiiiiide open
.
I honestly believe Romney has it sewn up. He's taken the delegate lead (I believe) and is going to used car salesman his way to the top.

I think flip-flop Mitt is too inconsistent, too sleazy, and too Mormon to win his party's nomination.
 
BenjaminBirdie said:
He can easily do it, considering that the delegates are even. But ABC is riding the "Comeback" meme like a freight train. "Stunning victory," "Comeback Kid," etc.

The media will look to create a narrative where ever possible because it is the easy way to report stories people care about.

They did the same thing after Iowa with Obama. Let's be realistic--the spotlight being off him is going to hurt, but I think he could be okay.

Edwards is a fucking dunce. He just couldn't stop washing Obama's balls during the debate.
 
Stoney Mason said:
If you honestly believe that then more power to you. I don't agree of course but intelligent people are welcome to differing opinions. I'll still state nobody has any idea right now who the candidates will be on either side or who will win if certain people matchup with certain people.

Of course I believe that. I wrote it. What don't you agree with? You don't think Obama and McCain are people who you can trust for the most part? Obama and McCain are both good people with good hearts. I don't think that is some major revelation.
 
Cheebs said:
All the major sites are running on the comeback kid meme

Because they were all running the "she is dead" meme yesterday. With that logic it is absolutely the correct approach for the narrative setting media we have in this country. You can't have it both ways.
 
Cheebs said:
All the major sites are running on the comeback kid meme

Well, I've always naively believed in the democratic process. If the party and the country really doesn't want what Obama is proposing, then that's that. I'm not going to pretend that I know what's best for the country if they don't actually want it.
 
Dreamfixx said:
All the left-leaning voters on here are scaring me with their anti-Hillary rhetoric. It's a no-brainer that Obama is preferable in many aspects to Hillary. But don't act like there's no difference between her and the Republicans. If she takes the nomination don't make this another 2000.
To me, it's Satan's manchowder(Giuliani, et al) to a far lesser evil(Ms. Clinton) to somebody who might actually not fall in the "evil" column at all(Obama).

I'd be very disappointed if Clinton won looking at Clinton/Obama, but I'd be vastly more disappointed if neither won.
 
tjhooker said:
Obama already had an uphill battle to win enough states on Super Tuesday even after his Iowa victory. To change that, he needed constant momentum going forward. This loss, even if it was a narrow one, shutdown almost all his momentum. He need hugh victories in SC and NV for him to even have a decent shot on Feb 5th. And that will probably not happen.

ok what am i missing here? as far i've seen, both of them are pretty much tied at this point. even if he loses South Carolina at all, it will be to Edwards with Hilary placing third. the rest are anyone's guess.
 
perfectchaos007 said:
Heres where the 12 delegates in NH went for the republicans

McCain 7
Romney 4
Huckabee 1


Im confused, I thought republican delegates went based on the proportion of votes?

Shouldnt it be:

McCain 5 (4 plus leftoevers for winning)
Romney 3
Huckabee 2
Gules 1
Paul 1
 
The more I think about it, I really think the entire nomination rides on Edwards. If he stays in it through Super Tuesday, he could very likely Nader Obama by splitting the anti-establishment vote. Worse, he commands more solid democrats versus Obama's overwhelming support by independents. In states that lock out independents, Edwards continued presence will certainly hurt Obama.

If he were to get out now, which his ego and lack of a fallback political career will prevent, he'd probably be handing the nomination to Obama.
 
Cooter said:
Of course I believe that. I wrote it. What don't you agree with? You don't think Obama and McCain are people who you can trust for the most part? Obama and McCain are both good people with good hearts. I don't think that is some major revelation.

I don't vote for good people with good hearts. That's a wife. Not the president. I vote for people who share my views on how the united states should be and whether they are able to accomplish that. Other people are free to vote however they choose. Also implicit in your proposal is the idea that I don't believe Hilary Clinton is either of those things which on a personal level I feel she is both.
 
tjhooker said:
Obama already had an uphill battle to win enough states on Super Tuesday even after his Iowa victory. To change that, he needed constant momentum going forward. This loss, even if it was a narrow one, shutdown almost all his momentum. He need hugh victories in SC and NV for him to even have a decent shot on Feb 5th. And that will probably not happen.
yet they both recieved 8 delegates. the democraitc party is splitting equal as Edwards slips more and more. Obama has the momentum to win, what he needs is for his grassroot support to not shrivel up and get lazy on him as that is what happened tonight.
 
v1cious said:
ok what am i missing here? as far i've seen, both of them are pretty much tied at this point. even if he loses South Carolina at all, it will be to Edwards with Hilary placing third. the rest are anyone's guess.
The one thing I would say is Clinton is strong in these other states
 
Juice said:
The more I think about it, I really think the entire nomination rides on Edwards. If he stays in it through Super Tuesday, he could very likely Nader Obama by splitting the anti-establishment vote. Worse, he commands more solid democrats versus Obama's overwhelming support by independents. In states that lock out independents, Edwards continued presence will certainly hurt Obama.

If he were to get out now, which his ego and lack of a fallback political career will prevent, he'd probably be handing the nomination to Obama.

But even if he stayed in, doesn't he give his delegates to whoever he wants when he drops out? I'm quite sure he'd give them to Obama.
 
If NH was a state I would go Wolf on it.

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HylianTom said:
If it's her versus any of the GOP, then count me in. She might be in office until I'm 34 or 38, and she might make some questionable (or downright angering) decisions in that term or two - but her Supreme Court nominees are going to be there when I'm in my fucking 50s or 60s, making decisions on causes I care about year after year after year after...

If it's controversial, it'll end-up before the Court. You know it.

But go ahead and throw your hissy fit. If she differs from Obama 4% of the time, the ***** isn't worth voting for, obviously. /s
+1

Ugh . . . the Supreme court has waaaay too many religious nutcakes like Scalia, Alito, and Thomas.
 
I'd be interested in a straw poll of Obama-loving GAFfers who would vote for McCain if it came down to a Hillary-McCain showdown in the general.

I think that Obama's magnetism could ultimately amplify a gender war where moderate-to-liberal male voters either refuse to show up or support McCain (I can't see them jumping the fence for any of the other reps) just to keep Hillary out.
 
Juice said:
The more I think about it, I really think the entire nomination rides on Edwards. If he stays in it through Super Tuesday, he could very likely Nader Obama by splitting the anti-establishment vote. Worse, he commands more solid democrats versus Obama's overwhelming support by independents. In states that lock out independents, Edwards continued presence will certainly hurt Obama.

If he were to get out now, which his ego and lack of a fallback political career will prevent, he'd probably be handing the nomination to Obama.

He might do it but only at the last minute.

Juice said:
I'd be interested in a straw poll of Obama-loving GAFfers who would vote for McCain if it came down to a Hillary-McCain showdown in the general.

I think that Obama's magnetism could ultimately amplify a gender war where moderate-to-liberal male voters either refuse to show up or support McCain (I can't see them jumping the fence for any of the other reps) just to keep Hillary out.

Hillary over any Republican.
 
Stoney Mason said:
Why do you even care then? You're pretty conservative from your posting record. Were you suddenly going to vote for Obama?

Are you serious? Did you just ask him why he cares about the political party opposite of his own views?
 
speculawyer said:
+1

Ugh . . . the Supreme court has waaaay too many religious nutcakes like Scalia, Alito, and Thomas.

It's the forgotten issue every four years. "There's no difference!" the Idiots cry.

Stevens was appointed by Ford in 1975. 32 years ago. Still sits on the bench. 86 years old.

These justices are sitting on the bench for a long fucking time, and as healthcare advances go further, it'll only get more significant.

Who do you want sitting on that bench, making decisions on crucial, controversial issues for 32 years? Hillary will be gone in less than a decade. She'll probably be dead while these folks still sit on the bench.

There's no difference? Bullshit.
 
kbear said:
Why don't they matter? I'm not really familiar with this

Because they moved their voting days ahead without permission from the DNC, so the DNC disqualified their delegates/votes.
 
Juice said:
I'd be interested in a straw poll of Obama-loving GAFfers who would vote for McCain if it came down to a Hillary-McCain showdown in the general.

I think that Obama's magnetism could ultimately amplify a gender war where moderate-to-liberal male voters either refuse to show up or support McCain (I can't see them jumping the fence for any of the other reps) just to keep Hillary out.

I'd probably have to vote for Hillary with Supreme Court nominations in mind.
 
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