NOTE: These points were written as I read the D2 pages on, so some of the talking points might be fairly LTTP now.
Time to do some D2 digging.
So I missed the part where BB claimed vanilla too. That means we had three vanilla claims during Day 1. The question is
would scum claim vanilla during D1? Scum Palmer still makes no sense doing it, and Dragonz and BB
well the only theory I can think of is scum goon claiming vanilla for the sake of it.
I am vanilla town yes in a role madness game im the unlucky one(dont know if there are more then just me) to be vanilla. Right now i think scum is setting me up by killing SexyFish who was one of the people voting on me, why do the job yourself when town is more then happy to do it for you.
This post reads very manufactured. Do you really think scum would waste an NK on one of the less active players of N1 just to frame you? Why wouldnt they have went for a more active player like hey_monkey instead? This post feels like artificial defence.
Other people called BB out of this too. I doubt if BB was scum, that the scum team NKd SexyFish just to support the agenda, but maybe BB tried to create it retroactively to make him seem more towny.
Yes im that fucking dumb, thank you.
This response post seems slightly aggressive, to say the least. Now, Ive used aggressiveness as scum tells in games before, but those havent seem to been been correct as usually as I would have hoped. But Ill still take a mental note about this.
Also I'm generally very irritated that other (possible) counter claims didn't happen when I requested them. This was why I asked for counter claims immediately, so we could hash it out if I was wrong in my assumption.
One more post to follow.
On the one hand I agree with this post Palmer made, but on the one hand it slightly rings alarm bells. Its basically reversed role fishing, scum could have hoped for any other vanillas to claim, so the scum could make sure they would be able to NK only power roles. But this is countered with the game being role madness, so I sligtly doubt a scum Palmer would have expected anyone, or maybe 1 at most, to counter claim him.
Natiko's reaction to your reveal makes me think she's another vanilla.
This kind of speculation only really helps scum, as described above.
I tried to switch before I saw BB ALSO claim that shit - or I'd have probably just stayed on him. But I don't trust Dragonz' sudden WAIT I'M ALSO VANILLA TOWN at all. The timing seemed super sketchy. I don't trust BB's either. But they also knew it would put them square in the spotlight so I don't think they're all scum. It's just figuring out who's who.
This made me thing about Dragonz claim and timing. The timing was late, and there are points supporting why scum would claim vanilla at that time. Maybe scum only has powers that seem very scummy, and so claiming them would make them look more dubious. Or maybe Dragonz wanted to cast extra shade on Palmer, another vote leader at the time. But then, if palmer would have flipped town vanilla, that would have made Dragonz look bit worse today, maybe? Unless town would decide that having 3 vanilla in a role madness game seems likely.
Essentially, during Pokemon Mafia as Scum I 'prod/joke-voted' for someone and could not find any other candidate I was comfortable with so I let that vote become a 'real' vote over time. Dragonz vote for me set off alarm bells that reminded me strongly of that, especially considering her 'joke vote turned real vote' didn't have any set beginning or end for when that transition occurred, just an after-the-fact explanation. It was just a half-hearted 'oh yeah that was there for pressure' when she never pressured me in any way when that vote was active. Felt a lot like trying to come up with an explanation for why she let the vote sit there for so long without doing anything about it. Also falls in line with the feelings I had regarding Natiko for most of Day 1; sitting back and just waiting for things to happen to react to, not going and trying to get those for yourself.
All good points about Dragonz.
While I am not certain, I am inclined to think that SexyFish was eliminated by a third party. It was probably either a vigilante or a Serial Killer. The wording Sophia used for Lifeline's ability being triggered is strangely specific: he was handed a Pineapple Pizza. If it was just flavor text, I would dismiss it, but that was in the highlight text. I'm not sure that non-mafia would use pineapple for their killing method.
Something about this post seems like dangerous thinking a little. The implications here are that the scum team somehow made Lifeline into a confirmed town, which doesnt seem like a likely power, unless Lifeline has something very specific going on with his role. Also, I think that there are valid reasons for scum to NK SexyFish.
Yes, I am vanilla town. The reason I did not counterclaim him is because I was, in fact, worried about the possibility of me being the ONLY vanilla, and the implications that could have for other PR's. It was discussed at length during the day phase, and I decided it would be best to withhold that info just in case, until I absolutely needed to claim.
If I am the only vanilla, then that means scum aren't going to target me, because they're gonna want to get actual PR's out of the way. They unfortunately know now that I'm not worth the kill.
I claimed because even though I don't have a power, I am still town, and I wanted to avoid the mislynch if possible.
This reasoning is broken. If you were worried about being the only Vanilla, then you would have thought that Palmer was being a liar. Lynch all Liars is generally a fairly good startegy.
I hold Swamped in too high regard to believe she didn't know what the vote count was at any point...
I feel that Launch is tunneling a little too much with this point. Its not impossible for swamped to not have known the vote count at that point, I have falled guilty of doing that once or twice too.
As I noted earlier, I didn't like the way Burbeting raised an accusation of forced interaction between BlackBuzzard and N, let me go in on his accusation for him, didn't follow up on his own accusation with any elaboration or any attempt to make use of the information he pressed for. He also just sat there while I misunderstood him, which doesn't look at all like he was trying to see if he could get information out of me (since he didn't build on any of it) and instead looks like he was trying to see if I would get myself into hot water (as I am prone to do).
Vote: Burbeting
This was a mistake on my part, really. I was at that time just waiting for Sawneeks to answer. You misunderstanding was unfortunate, but I didnt want to shoot it down, because I wanted to first see how Sawneeks would react to it. I think her reaction felt towny at that time, but I was on the wrong for not really explaining my stance better. Im sorry.
I mean you have to admit, 3 vanillas all revealing themselves on Day 1 is weird. At least 1 is lying.
The problem with this logic is that if all 3 were telling the truth, town would be effectively setting itself for a lynch chain lasting from D2 to D4 at worst case scenario. All possibilities have to be considered, or we might be losing lot of time.
Man, you guys are reading too much into the flavor, and honestly it's boring me
The
Honestly have no idea how this is helpful. Imagine you are creating a mafia game. It's highly unlikely that you'll go "Oooo Mafia flavour names should start with The and Town should start with That!". I think we are wasting time, and there are several things I would rather discuss:
1. Is it possible that one of Palmer, Dragonz or BB are lying? And not based on their flavor, but based on the reactions to Palmer's claim, or Natiko's suspicion.
2. Why did Oreo and Sky vote for each other on D1, and give terrible reasoning for them?
3. Where is Burbeting, and why are we not getting the quality town posts we usually get?
Agreement here. Trying to solve games using role PMs wordings is just lazy. And since Lifeline said his role PM starts with that, it seems like a moot point anyway. (And sorry swamped, I am here now).
Then do you think WAMD and BB are both scum? Their claims in theory look a lot worse than yours, there's something to be said for being the first to claim vanilla in a role madness game compared to, say, third.
No way are WAMD and BB both scum, unless the scum team decided to go super bold for no real reason, especially since both of the two claiming could have easily sabotaged the other (so like, BB claiming could have made Dragonz claim not be believed, or vice versa).
Nothing more to add to this trying to win by role PM scummying. Natiko, you are better than this.
My issue with them being scum comes from it being such a dumb thing for scum to claim D1.
Like they're totally fucked if they are caught doing anything now.
Speaking of which, if anyone has hard evidence from night actions to disprove them, I think it's worth claiming.
The only short term gain to their claims(if scum) is that it circumstantially contradicts the claim of the other top vote candidate(me), but even then it's a crapshoot on whether or not people would believe them over me.
I'd rather go for the people who voted me, and just watch how the vanilla claims perform.
A Ninja could potentially make this ordinary claim, and still be able to move during the night phases without a problem.
I knew from the start that I was vanilla. I never once considered that I may be the only one, or that someone would even bring up the possibility. When he mentioned it, I didn't truly realize it was a role madness game, so it was at that point that I decided to withhold the information until the need arises / Palmer did something especially shifty / one of us flipped. I figured that if someone were to come back with some HARD PROOF that he was lying or whatever, I could, at that point, come forward and counterclaim. I saw no point in doing it that early in the day, especially when it may put other PR's at risk.
Something about this post feels contradictory to the post quoted from Dragonz above. Theres not any direct consistency here in her motives
?
Seems like a believable claim for now. I personally hate millers (being casted in that role twice now), and I can see Natikos frustration about it. But you really should have claimed it immediately at the start of D1, its the optimal play for that role really. So keeping quiet about it until now casts some doubt.
Mostly. I've also been pondering over her justification..
Then there's this about 4 minutes before deadline.
That is just wildly inconsistent, I think. She's pondering over BB and 30, she claims she doesn't know what the vote count is, but jumps on WAMD at the last second. Bizarre.
Some good points made about Swamped. I still stand with her not knowing the vote count being a valid reason, but she was saying something completely contradictory just 4 minutes before deadline. Surely she would have stayed on top of the votes for that timespan?
My make a wish foundation wish is to lynch Dragonz.
Yeah, and from what i heard there's no cure, so don't waste a doc on me.
So wait. You withheld the poisoning information, and only said this after Blarg made a guess about it? You sound like you are sure you got poisoned, so why on earth did you stay quiet about it? What the fuck man.