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PoliGAF Thread of PRESIDENT OBAMA Checkin' Off His List

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Pimpwerx said:
The culture of DC won't change much until we start voting idiots out.

I'm sorry, I didn't realize you were some kind of fucking genius. Why didn't anyone ever think of this before? If we just vote for any random person who happens to be running as a challenger when an incumbent doesn't deliver or throw our votes away on pointless third-party candidates I'm sure politicians will start to get the message and listen to their constituents! If only anyone had ever tried this before we wouldn't be in this mess.

...

There are a lot of things that one can do in addition to being certain to get to the polls and choosing the least worst option in every general election -- local advocacy, letter-writing, raising specific-issue outrage and starting or participating in advocacy groups, aggressively supporting superior candidates in primary elections, etc. -- and I avail myself of these options, but what I don't do is close my eyes and pretend that wasting my opportunity to vote is somehow going to magically transform the Democratic party into a progressive entity next time they take power all by itself, or give up.
 

Money

Banned
teruterubozu said:
Hmmmm. I heard Rush use that exact same phrase yesterday to describe the situation.

Its a pretty common phrase. However my political media consumption varies greatly. Everything from Bill Maher to Michael Savage.
Don't judge me
 

GaimeGuy

Volunteer Deputy Campaign Director, Obama for America '16
Y2Kev said:
I link this directly back to the stimulus. Obama and his team of jackasses got cute with the amount they asked for and now he pays for it.
This makes no sense. the stimulus had things like education and unemployment benefits gutted from the final bill, and tax cuts, which the republicans wanted, were made the largest portion of the bill, yet the bill was too liberal? This is bullshit.
 
GaimeGuy said:
This makes no sense. the stimulus had things like education and unemployment benefits gutted from the final bill, and tax cuts, which the republicans wanted, were made the largest portion of the bill, yet the bill was too liberal? This is bullshit.

I think he's saying they got cute and allowed the stimulus to be gutted, now we're paying the consequences
 

Pimpwerx

Member
charlequin said:
I'm sorry, I didn't realize you were some kind of fucking genius. Why didn't anyone ever think of this before? If we just vote for any random person who happens to be running as a challenger when an incumbent doesn't deliver or throw our votes away on pointless third-party candidates I'm sure politicians will start to get the message and listen to their constituents! If only anyone had ever tried this before we wouldn't be in this mess.

...

There are a lot of things that one can do in addition to being certain to get to the polls and choosing the least worst option in every general election -- local advocacy, letter-writing, raising specific-issue outrage and starting or participating in advocacy groups, aggressively supporting superior candidates in primary elections, etc. -- and I avail myself of these options, but what I don't do is close my eyes and pretend that wasting my opportunity to vote is somehow going to magically transform the Democratic party into a progressive entity next time they take power all by itself, or give up.
Who said give up, and what about voting for someone else is pointless? You have no principles. Don't get mad about, just accept it. PEACE.

EDIT: And while I found criticism like this stupid back when I posted heavily on the Gaming side, if you're gonna ignore the majority of a post, then don't ever comment about post quality. Not being a dick, but you're coming across a bit aggressive, yet you're whittling my posts down to a line or two. Not that I care if anyone even reads my posts (they do), but why even bother responding if most of what I say is irrelevant? *shrugs*
 
I see Empty Vessel is still spouting the "If only the Democrats had pushed for a more progressive/leftist bill" rhetoric. He keeps on forgetting that, no matter how much the Democrats would've pushed for one, it would not have swayed the Blue Dog Senators and Lieberman.

Money said:
BTW this is my first day on GAF, after a while of lurking!:D
Hi. I'm Dax. Welcome.
 
lol wut
Boston.com briefly put up this map of the final results of today's election -- some 8 hours before polls closed!

As you can see, over 2 million people voted, with Coakley eking out a 50-49 victory.

The map was fully interactive, so you could roll over and get town-by-town results -- above we show Coakley taking Cohasset 56-43.

They took the map down shortly after I pointed it out on Twitter. But not before we Phoenix troublemakers got the screen shots!

Now, if the final numbers end up matching these, the Republicans may really have reason to question the integrity of the process...

http://thephoenix.com/BLOGS/talking...n=Feed:+PHXTalkingPolitics+(Talking+Politics)
 

Y2Kev

TLG Fan Caretaker Est. 2009
GaimeGuy said:
This makes no sense. the stimulus had things like education and unemployment benefits gutted from the final bill, and tax cuts, which the republicans wanted, were made the largest portion of the bill, yet the bill was too liberal? This is bullshit.
No, the opposite. It probably should have been 50% larger with faster disbursement.

People are unhappy about the economy more than health care, I think.
 

gcubed

Member
GhaleonEB said:
Looked like they are testing their system with a dummy data set (though molded to what they hope happens) and some bozo sent it live for a moment.

teh scandalz

lol, if coakley wins you know its going to be a squeaker and be 50-49-1 i couldnt imagine the insanity
 

Particle Physicist

between a quark and a baryon
GhaleonEB said:
Looked like they are testing their system with a dummy data set (though molded to what they hope happens) and some bozo sent it live for a moment.

teh scandalz


Yeah.. but if Coakly squeaks out a win with similar numbers, Teabaggers will only get worse.
 

mckmas8808

Mckmaster uses MasterCard to buy Slave drives
Y2Kev said:
I link this directly back to the stimulus. Obama and his team of jackasses got cute with the amount they asked for and now he pays for it.


So he should have asked for more than he could have politically have gotten and as a result he would have gotten nothing. That would been better in your opinion?
 

JoeBoy101

Member
What's sad about this whole situation is that there are no exit polls for today or tonight. Not only will that making waiting difficult, but it may also mean there won't be measuring of the voting electorate on issues and what was important to them. :-(
 

GhaleonEB

Member
gcubed said:
lol, if coakley wins you know its going to be a squeaker and be 50-49-1 i couldnt imagine the insanity
We can only hope!

The funny part is, I was just coming to post that my final prediction for today is 50-49-1 for Coakley. :lol
 

Particle Physicist

between a quark and a baryon
JoeBoy101 said:
What's sad about this whole situation is that there are no exit polls for today or tonight. Not only will that making waiting difficult, but it may also mean there won't be measuring of the voting electorate on issues and what was important to them. :-(


Good point. Damn. I am so curious about it too.
 

Y2Kev

TLG Fan Caretaker Est. 2009
I think it's a bad idea to start with a figure that most economists think does not actually represent the gap between aggregate demand and output and compromise down from there. We saw the same thing with single payer being "off the table" from day 1.

I can't remember where I read it--it might have been from our own empty vessel-- but by starting with a compromised figure, we made the left push that figure and it became "leftist." There is no prominent voice of the radical left in government anymore. It's embarrassing. It means there's no cover for the centrist politicians to go to the left on anything.

Please don't come back at me with platitudes like "SOMETHING IS BETTER THAN NOTHING." I care about policy, not only politics. And for that I don't blame only Obama. But Larry Summers can get fucked.
 
I don't understand how just 1 year ago democrates had supermajority and a president with huge political capital and all this big talk and in just a few short months lose everything. Obama has made tons of mistakes from creating a poor economic team to trying to "save the real estate market' and the dems in congress are an absolute joke (except for Franken and a few others) Dem leadership has shown its incompetent and not ready for the primetime and are now going to get punished for it.

I still support Obama and his agenda but I can't blame people for being frustrated.
 

Hawkian

The Cryptarch's Bane
Money said:
Don't judge me

Welcome to GAF, where all your dreams come true :D

the dems in congress are an absolute joke (except for Franken

Damn. In America, a former comedian is the best example available of a serious politician in congress. And I agree, too... :lol
 
Pimpwerx said:
Who said give up, and what about voting for someone else is pointless?

Voting for a third-party candidate in a general election is often pointless because it represents a sacrifice of something as valuable as your democratic franchise for an empty and meaningless symbolic gesture. It exchanges the right to influence the process in reality for the right to withdraw your influence but say you voted for someone unelectable that shared exactly your principles. It is childish to accept only absolute victories or to withdraw from a process simply because one's own exact preferences cannot be quickly and easily realized through it.

I'd certainly prefer it not be this way, which is why I advocate for voting system reform among many other things, but that is the system we're working with and unless someone is actually advocating rebellion in order to replace that system forcibly with something else, that system is what's going to have to be used to change that.

You have no principles.

Because... I tell people to be active in the primary process and in advocating directly for the issues they believe in before holding your nose and doing the very best you can with the vote you have?

Not being a dick, but you're coming across a bit aggressive

Damn right I'm coming off a bit aggressive. I'm pretty fucking cranky about this election situation and if there's something that pisses me off, now and forever, it's people who claim to care about progressive policy but would prefer to maintain some kind of ideological purity rather than get a bit dirty but actually help usher those policies into existence. Our system is not set up to let people vote effectively without also voting tactically for individuals they don't entirely agree with, which means people who care about enacting policy change need to vote tactically for individuals they don't entirely agree with and then use other mechanisms on top of that to push their own agenda.

Anticitizen One said:
I still support Obama and his agenda but I can't blame people for being frustrated.

I can't either, but I'm sick after ten-plus years of leftists going full-bore nihilist on me at the drop of a hat.
 

Money

Banned
Anticitizen One said:
I don't understand how just 1 year ago democrates had supermajority and a president with huge political capital and all this big talk and in just a few short months lose everything. Obama has made tons of mistakes from creating a poor economic team to trying to "save the real estate market' and the dems in congress are an absolute joke (except for Franken and a few others) Dem leadership has shown its incompetent and not ready for the primetime and are now going to get punished for it.

I still support Obama and his agenda but I can't blame people for being frustrated.

Something as impactful and massive as healthcare, I believe they should take plenty of time to discuss it and work it out right, especially when my hard earned tax dollars are on the line. Unfortunately the more time you give it, the more time criticism has to fester, partisanship sets in, and any real dialogue for progress is moved to a red team/ blue team mentality. I don't think Democrats are weak for working hard and taking time at getting this bill though, although to many they appear that way.
 

ToxicAdam

Member
Anticitizen One said:
I don't understand how just 1 year ago democrates had supermajority and a president with huge political capital and all this big talk and in just a few short months lose everything. Obama has made tons of mistakes from creating a poor economic team to trying to "save the real estate market' and the dems in congress are an absolute joke (except for Franken and a few others) Dem leadership has shown its incompetent and not ready for the primetime and are now going to get punished for it.

I still support Obama and his agenda but I can't blame people for being frustrated.

Republicans had a similar, seemingly invincible, stranglehold in 2002-2003. Things change.
 
Anticitizen One said:
I don't understand how just 1 year ago democrates had supermajority and a president with huge political capital and all this big talk and in just a few short months lose everything. Obama has made tons of mistakes from creating a poor economic team to trying to "save the real estate market' and the dems in congress are an absolute joke (except for Franken and a few others) Dem leadership has shown its incompetent and not ready for the primetime and are now going to get punished for it.

I still support Obama and his agenda but I can't blame people for being frustrated.

They are 'losing everything' because no one is happy in a compromise. The left complains because it's not progressive enough and not enough is getting done and the right is rallying because things are becoming too progressive and too much is being done/this is not the country I grew up in!

Much of the left fails to see that there was never enough support to do all they wanted and if tried it would have ended up with an even worse basklash and the right surging even stronger. The problem is not Obama it's peoples give me everything I want and give it to me now mentality.
 

mckmas8808

Mckmaster uses MasterCard to buy Slave drives
Y2Kev said:
I think it's a bad idea to start with a figure that most economists think does not actually represent the gap between aggregate demand and output and compromise down from there. We saw the same thing with single payer being "off the table" from day 1.

I can't remember where I read it--it might have been from our own empty vessel-- but by starting with a compromised figure, we made the left push that figure and it became "leftist." There is no prominent voice of the radical left in government anymore. It's embarrassing. It means there's no cover for the centrist politicians to go to the left on anything.

Please don't come back at me with platitudes like "SOMETHING IS BETTER THAN NOTHING." I care about policy, not only politics. And for that I don't blame only Obama. But Larry Summers can get fucked.


Politics don't work like that. You can't come in with Single Payer on the table just to get wiped away 8 months later. What would happen is the whole health care reform debate would have been a joke and the teabaggers would have had a bigger fuss this August if single payer was really on the table.

The media would have went teabagger crazy, because they would have loved such a proposal to be put on the table.
 

GhaleonEB

Member
ChoklitReign said:
Should we be able to see the final vote count tonight?
We won't have a final count tonight, but if it's not very close, we'll know who won. But if it's close, it will come down to absentee ballots which can arrive up to a week after election day and still be counted.

Absentee ballots overwhelming favor Dems, even more than the general electorate. So if it's close, and absentees are not yet counted, advantage Coakley.

Oh the excitement!
 

JoeBoy101

Member
ChoklitReign said:
Should we be able to see the final vote count tonight?

Polls don't close until 8PM EST, and with no exit poll apparatus, I'm betting tomorrow at earliest. I hope I'm wrong though. Would love to get a result before my bed time.
 
Anticitizen One said:
I don't understand how just 1 year ago democrates had supermajority

wrong. A supermajority was only obtained after Franken won a recount (MONTHS after the election) and Arlen Specter switched parties to save his job. Even then you only get to 60 votes with the cooperation of Lieberman, who isn't a democrat, but independent.

and a president with huge political capital and all this big talk and in just a few short months lose everything.

this, I'll give you. a lot of the goodwill is gone.

Obama has made tons of mistakes from creating a poor economic team to trying to "save the real estate market'

Virtually nothing that's been done in terms of bank bailouts and TARP is to "save the real estate market", it's to keep your financial institutions (that is, your banks- investment and otherwise) from going insolvent and doing further damage to the economy.
 

Milabrega

Member
Hawkian said:
Damn. In America, a former comedian is the best example available of a serious politician in congress. And I agree, too... :lol

In America, a set of comedians are our best group of journalists too. We're proper fucked.
 

gcubed

Member
GhaleonEB said:
We won't have a final count tonight, but if it's not very close, we'll know who won. But if it's close, it will come down to absentee ballots which can arrive up to a week after election day and still be counted.

Absentee ballots overwhelming favor Dems, even more than the general electorate. So if it's close, and absentees are not yet counted, advantage Coakley.

Oh the excitement!

werent there some notes where the initial absentee ballots have been working out to be 5-1 Dem? If it stays close you wont have an answer for week, which gives enough time for healthcare to make it through, especially with CBO scoring sections being sent out already. That all depends on if dems want to take the hit for trying to "sneak it through"
 

mckmas8808

Mckmaster uses MasterCard to buy Slave drives
gcubed said:
werent there some notes where the initial absentee ballots have been working out to be 5-1 Dem? If it stays close you wont have an answer for week, which gives enough time for healthcare to make it through, especially with CBO scoring sections being sent out already. That all depends on if dems want to take the hit for trying to "sneak it through"


And the sad thing is the DEMs really wouldn't be sneaking it through. It would be done on their already slow schedule.

And everyone in the media will forget that the bill was going to pass later this month regardless of this race.
 

LosDaddie

Banned
empty vessel said:
But that's a very important point that runs against you. Had Democrats been energized to fight for the passage of a good, progressive bill, today's "likely voter" class would contain a lot more Democrats with favorable views of Obama. This reflects the disenchantment on the left with the Obama administration. It's not that people are voting against Obama. It's that people are staying home because they can't be bothered to fight for a conservative health care bill, i.e., because Obama and the Democrats gave them no reason to be a "likely voter."

Well said and I completely agree.
 

gcubed

Member
mckmas8808 said:
And the sad thing is the DEMs really wouldn't be sneaking it through. It would be done on their already slow schedule.

And everyone in the media will forget that the bill was going to pass later this month regardless of this race.

its most definitely a PR hit, and a minor one at that, especially in relation to the PR hit of not passing it at all now. While the "sneaking it through" will mostly go away in a few months, the inability to pass health care will haunt each and ever dem come november this year and 2012
 
Jason's Ultimatum said:
If you wanted to walk an hour just from one location to another, then sure.

I frequently (at least, during the warmer months) walk to the mall, movie theater, best buy, library, park, and sister-in-law's house from my house. These places vary from half hour to nearly 1 and a half hour walk, and I have no sidewalks for much of it, and the biggest hill in Seattle to deal with. I'll also frequently walk to the thai place, pizza place, and bar that are within a couple of blocks. If I'm not in a hurry, time outside is good for me. Plus, it's nice to go for a walk with the wife.

charlequin said:
EDIT: Sorry, that original response was pointlessly rude, I'm just cranky today. :lol The 60 vote hurdle is still going to exist for passing the Senate-House reconciled bill. The only real way for the Dems to get to a point where they can pass a bill with 51 votes is to actually eliminate the filibuster.

Which sadly, requires more than 51 votes to eliminate, yes?
 
Pimpwerx said:
Is this for me? I know I'm against the bill, but not sure about the MD other than MechanizedDeath is one of the nicks I used to use around here.

In the event it's for me, I'll just answer. I understand the word compromise, but given the policies passed under the previous administration (with or without Democratic control of Congress), I find it almost insulting to toss around that word, unless it's meant to describe the state of the party platform, which has been compromised. Simply put, given the numbers in Congress, the concept of compromise has been exaggerated to the point of capitulation.

Capitulation at this point is to pass nothing. The other side wishes to ignore problems. There is no problem with the environment, raising our smog standards = BAD FOR BUSINESS, any sort of health reform bill = BAD FOR BUSINESS.

What was done to the House bill to get ONE Republican on-board? Is one member of the opposing party what we consider "bipartisan" support? That, like the debate in general makes this entire endeavor seem like nothing more than an attempt to tick a checkbox in Obama's first term, no matter the cost. The argument that it's a moral victory doesn't hold water with me, since moral victories shouldn't hit my wallet. If HCR was this important that we'd welcome wolves into the henhouse, then maybe Obama should have got out in front and laid down his requirements for the bill to be satisfactory, instead of leaving Congress (lobbyists) to their own devices. If he did lay out his requirements, then his vaguery has been met with corresponding bullshit in the bill.

It's impossible to work with the other party, when the other party has made it impossible for you to work with them.

The Republicans have adopted the platform of, "If the Dems want it to happen, it must be bad."

It seems to be working, as seen by your posts.


1. I don't have coverage now, so I pay $0. $0 >>>>>> $X amount the Dems want to pretend the private insurers will give me. I'm in the healthy group still, so it's not like I'm the burden on the system, either, though I'm sure I'll hear cries of "playing chicken". Then again, I guess everyday I wake up, I'm actually "cheating death". It's all perspective, I guess.

When you are older you'll be a burden on the system, when you sign up for medicare. Hence, why the system is being viewed as "broke."

That is, unless you view yourself as perpetually lasting forever in a pristine healthy condition.

2. Cost controls seem ridiculous and almost haphazard. The main control seems to be the mandate. Boy, that's a winner. Throw us (uninsured) to the wolves we've intentionally avoided all these years, just to fund this watered-down plan.

Also, the excise tax seems like the "you can't have these benefits unless you can pay extra" tax. Basically, only the rich can have these plans. So now people who prioritize healthcare high in their budget seem to get hosed on the back end with a tax.

Would you rather we tax the people who purchase affordable plans, rather than people who buy excessive plans?

In any case, the tax could be a good thing in that it pushes many plans which exceed the threshold to lower their prices in order to stay out of the penalty box.

In any case, the amount of people who are scraping by who purchase single policy health insurance plans that are 8500 annually and 23000 or so for family at this juncture, isn't what I would consider a high amount.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but this is based on the countless articles Ghal and mckmas post. I facepalm everytime I read one, but it seems the consensus in this thread is that these are good measures. I disagree. I think direct competition with a cheap option is the best and simply smartest way of going about this. That would mean passing a more solid public option. That would require Congress having confidence in their own abilities to pass something that's not loaded down with pork and excess.

This would require having the votes for such measures. How can you get it, when by the very act of voting on a bill, you are assuring yourselves of losing at least 40% of the senate simply due to the fact that you have a (D) by your name. Hence, compromise.

3. Jobs won't recover that quickly. When they do, wages won't increase by much, if any. When people start getting back on their feet, an insurance mandate will kick in reducing their after-bill income. This is fine for people currently getting coverage from their employer (which I assume 90% of the people in this thread, that agree with the bill, have right now). Your costs won't change at all per year, and should (conceivably) go down. For me, this will add thousands in bills, even if I don't get sick. That or I can choose to get fined. But the point being, after taking care of this now, income is reduced. This is gonna be an albatross around the Dems' necks for a while, especially once it turns out the insurers didn't keep their word and found other ways to drive up costs to maintain their bottom lines.

Thousands in bills? Hyperbole much. You know, if it's that much of a hassle to buy health insurance you could get a government subsidy under the bill.

As for these new costs - what would they be?

I don't see any real way to add a new cost to purchasing health care on the front end that couldn't be classified as a "premium."

I don't think I'm being pessimistic either. The TARP was the same issue. A lot of common sense measures (like restrictions on bonuses and payments) were passed up because the market could control itself. There's already talk of an antitrust exemption that'll allow these insurers to keep their monopolies? It all just reads like bad (sloppy) policy, and the Dems are trying to ram it through on the belief that if it fails, Obama fails. Well, fine. So what if he fails? I'm not paying for his legacy. I'm not subsidizing his memoirs. I want laws that work for me, period. Screw the Democratic party if they lose control. What good is a party that can't get shit done anyway? Passing watered-down (heavily compromised) bills that still don't get opposition report is the definition of idiocy. Until I'm working in Congress, and need to protect my job, I'll continue to stand by principle, because these shmucks are supposed to be serving us, not lobbyists. PEACE.

Fair enough. I don't care about Obama's legacy. He's not who I would have elected, and he's not who I wanted to win the primary. However, I respect his approaches and think he has a better pulse on the problems of this country over the opposition. Sure, many of his bills are compromised and there are problems and exemptions riddled in many of them. However, in the present climate it's impossible to get anything done that isn't compromised so long as the Republicans continue to filibuster any thing which even has a trifling problem or fault that they see, and even if something seems acceptable, they'll still raise the spectre of a filibuster anyway.

Ultimately, I prefer a guy who recognizes that the problems that face our country, and is trying to fashion some sort of solution to them, rather than a group of people who seem to exist solely to ignore the problems we as a country are facing now.

I respect your cutthroat all or nothing approach, and that you are coming out directly, rather than couching it in, "What's best for America" speech. Still, I don't see it leading to much besides heartbreak and misery, because whoever is going to replace Obama is probably going to be much worse, if you are sticking with your guns and going green party.

Branduil said:
hurr durr so clever and original.

Funny Branduil, why didn't you post in this thread, rather than sending me this as a PM.


(Edited this post because I wasn't satisfied with my previous closing remarks.)
 

GhaleonEB

Member
gcubed said:
werent there some notes where the initial absentee ballots have been working out to be 5-1 Dem? If it stays close you wont have an answer for week, which gives enough time for healthcare to make it through, especially with CBO scoring sections being sent out already. That all depends on if dems want to take the hit for trying to "sneak it through"
Yup, that's what I was thinking of, 5-1 margin. Couldn't find a link to the article since I can't remember where it was from.
 
platypotamus said:
Which sadly, requires more than 51 votes to eliminate, yes?

Eliminating it "above board" would require 60 votes. Using the "nuclear option" would require fifty votes plus Joey B, plus a whole lot of careful finagling and probably a great deal of fallout.

Sirpopopop said:
Funny Branduil, why didn't you post in this thread, rather than sending me this as a PM.

Branduil negotiated a clause in his contract where he never has to post to the thread directly if he isn't expressing sarcastic shock that another poster values reproductive rights or thinks gay people are human.
 

mckmas8808

Mckmaster uses MasterCard to buy Slave drives
BOSTON -Republicans looked for an upset and Democrats fought to hang onto a Senate seat long in their column Tuesday as voters turned out in strong numbers despite bad weather to pick a successor for the late Sen. Edward Kennedy.
The GOP voiced increasing confidence that Scott Brown, previously a relatively obscure state lawmaker, could win a razor-thin race that Democrat Martha Coakley seemed certain to win a few weeks ago.

Election officials in Boston said the turnout was more than twice the participation rate in the December party primaries. And a line of cars, at one point, was stretched for nearly a half-mile from a gymnasium at North Andover High School, the polling place for a community of about 30,000 about a half-hour north of Boston. Some drivers turned around in exasperation.

Speaking to reporters after she voted, Coakley voiced confidence she would win, saying "we've been working every day."
"Every game has its own dynamics," she said. "We'll know tonight what the results are."
Brown, who drove his pickup truck to a polling place to vote, played down the import of becoming the 41st Republican vote to uphold a filibuster, telling reporters, "It would make everybody the 41st senator, and it would bring fairness and discussion back to the equation." He that should he win, he hoped Democrats controlling the state's election apparatus "would do the right thing and certify me as quickly as possible."

But he also dismissed polls showing a swell of support for him. "I've never been a big poll person," Brown said. "I'm up in some, I'm down in some. And we'll see what happens, 8:01 (p.m.)."
Voters faced backups at some polling stations, and Secretary of State William Galvin says he expected from 1.6 million to 2.2 million people to vote — a spread of between 40 percent and 55 percent of registered voters.

A light snow started falling steadily shortly after the polls opened north of Boston, covering roads and sidewalks with a slippery coating. Some voters in Haverhill, about 35 miles north of Boston, grumbled as they navigated snow banks and thick slush to get to the polls. National Weather Service meteorologist Charlie Foley called it "kind of an annoyance."


In Washington, senior White House adviser David Axelrod said the White House expects Coakley to win. Axelrod said Obama, who campaigned with Coakley Sunday in Boston and cut a last-minute ad, did everything he could to help.
"I think the White House did everything we were asked to do," Axelrod told reporters. "Had we been asked earlier, we would have responded earlier. But we responded in a timely fashion when we were asked."

The swift rise of Brown has spooked Democrats who had considered the seat one of their most reliable. Kennedy, who died in August, held the post for 47 years. The last time Massachusetts elected a Republican to the U.S. Senate was 1972.
A Suffolk University survey taken Saturday and Sunday showed Brown with double-digit leads in three communities the poll identified as bellwethers: Gardner, Fitchburg and Peabody. But internal statewide polls for both sides showed a dead heat.
A third candidate, Joseph L. Kennedy, a Libertarian running as an independent, said he's been bombarded with e-mails from Brown supporters urging him to drop out and endorse the Republican. Kennedy, who was polling in the single digits and is no relation to the late senator, said he's staying in.

http://news.aol.com/article/coakley-brown-cast-votes-in-tight-mass/859842?cid=12

So if the election really does get 40-55% of the registered voters to actually vote, who does this favor?
 
charlequin said:
Eliminating it "above board" would require 60 votes. Using the "nuclear option" would require fifty votes plus Joey B, plus a whole lot of careful finagling and probably a great deal of fallout.

Damn it charlequin, you've got my anti-fillibuster glands drooling again. They had gone dry for a couple weeks there.
 

GhaleonEB

Member
charlequin said:
Eliminating it "above board" would require 60 votes. Using the "nuclear option" would require fifty votes plus Joey B, plus a whole lot of careful finagling and probably a great deal of fallout.
To expand that, I think there are three "options" (two aren't really viable ones):

Change the Senate rules through regular order. Requires 67 votes.

Pass a bill (such as Harkin) which changes the filibuster rules. Requires 60 votes (for the filibuster).

Nuclear option. 50 votes + Joey B.

The last is the only one that will ever happen. So it's a question of how long we'll let the place burn down before deciding that a small group of arsonists shouldn't control the fire department.
 

JoeBoy101

Member
LosDaddie said:
Well said and I completely agree.

But the problem with this position is it assumes that voter population in Mass. is fairly well distributed or even slightly in Democrats' favor. MA is heavily democratic voters and Brown simply cannot be voted into office, or even make it a close race, by an energized republican base and a few independents. Demographics says he has to pull in most to all of his basis, the independents have to break in his direction heavily, and he has to not just have democrats stay home, but peel off some democrat votes as well. All the while in one of the bluest states in the US. There's more than 'staying home because the health care bill wasn't single-payer enough' here.

I think it has alot more to do with the candidates than the issues themselves. MA loves personalities (e.g. See 'Kennedys') and Brown simply has more than Coakley does, regardless of the issues.
 
Somehow, I had gottten confused and thought that the nuclear option was the 67 vote option, which had me wondering why people thought that they could ever get it to pass.
 
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