What charts? I don't think any of the official sales charts track cheap download games?
I guess it might hit the top ten on the eShop charts on launch day, but we don't know if Nintendo is going to separate the Switch 1 and Switch 2 charts, and it'll have a lot more competition than there was on the Switch 1's launch day. That said, it'll probably be the cheapest piece of Switch 2 exclusive software at launch, so ... maybe?