Althane said:
Except that it's a good probability that you aren't likely to sprout wings. It's also a VERY good probability that you're goign to die, and if it turns out that you were wrong.... well, depending on the God you end up facing, it could suck quite a bit.
Also, given the preference of Christianity to Judiasm, I'd say that the non-vindictive god works pretty well as a better recruiting tool. Then again, Christianity these days has gotten obsessed with the vindictive god again, so... yeah. The whole point of Jesus was that it wasn't a vindictive god, it was one that was forced to do these things, and wasn't terribly happy about it. Which is why he sent Jesus in the first place. Or something.
And S-wind, again, he doesn't have to find you, like I said, you're gonna die some time, and then you'll have to deal with him. =P
It's like being told by your parents that you're gonna get spanked after a party for acting up. It's coming, but it may be pretty far in the future.
Pascal's Wager.
::yawn::
I am going to die some time. I am willing to bet EVERYTHING that I
will die. Baring suicide, accident, disease, or foul play, it will probably in about 55 years, give or take.
After I die, there is the possibility that I'll have to deal with your god.
There's also the possibility that I will have to deal with the Flying Spaghetti Monster.
There's also the possibility that I will have to deal with the Invisible Pink Unicorn.
There's also the possibility that I will have to deal with Zeus.
There's also the possibility that I will have to deal with Woden.
There's also the possibility that I will have to deal with the god of the Aztecs.
There's also the possibility that I will have to deal with the god Sikhs.
There's also the possibility that I will have to deal with the gods of the Hindus.
There's also the possibility that I will have to deal with gods of the ancient Egyptians.
I consider all those possibilities very extremely unlikely. So unlikely that I live my life as if the chances of any one of them is ZERO.
Think about it.
There are an obscene number of gods that people on this planet believe in or have ever believed in. The odds people are correct about the existence of any of them are stupifyingly remote.
For each god, there is a set of characteristics that people ascribe to it (all powerful, all knowing, hates fags, punishes nonbelievers, like to have virgins sacrificed to him/her, wants you dead if you work on a certain day of the week, doesn't want you to eat pigs, wants all guys to chop off the end of their penises, wants women to cover their hair, wants guys to wear this little cap on their head, will make you sports team win if you just pray hard enough, etc. Never mind that fact that there isn't even agreement among believers in which characteristics are true and which ones aren't.
For the sake of making a point, let's say that ONE of the gods actually does exist. What are the odd that the believers who claim x, y, and z about said god? Again, it's stupifyingly remote.
So multiply the superlatively remote odds and any particular god actually existing with the extremely remote odds of anyone actually being correct in their claims about said god, and what do you get?
Nothing worth wasting any time on.
That's why Pascal's Wager is so inane. It only works (poorly) if you assume a vengeful god AND you assume that mere belief is sufficient to keep you out of the flaming shitter. As other posters have pointed out? What if it's not belief but other things that are actually required?