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Twitter IPO on Thursday , $26 a share, raising $1.8 Billion.

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Ripclawe

Banned
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/twitter-prices-above-range-26-001310484.html

(Reuters) - Twitter Inc priced its initial public offering above its expected range to raise at least $1.8 billion, in a sign of strong investor demand for the most highly anticipated U.S. public float since Facebook Inc.

The microblogging network priced 70 million shares at $26, above the targeted range of $23 to $25, which had been raised once before.

The IPO values Twitter at $14.1 billion, with the potential to reach $14.4 billion if underwriters exercise an over-allotment option, as they are widely expected to.

If the full overallotment is exercised, Twitter could raise $2.1 billion, making it the second largest Internet offering in the U.S. behind Facebook's $16 billion IPO last year and ahead of Google Inc's 2004 IPO, according to Thomson Reuters data.

The focus now turns to how Twitter stock will fare on Thursday. Some analysts said they expect shares to experience a small pop during the first day. Twelve-month price targets on the stock range from $29 to $54.

Brian Wieser, an analyst at Pivotal Research Group who valued Twitter this week at $29 a share, said the stock appears to have strong institutional investor support and could easily close over $30 a share on its first day.

But he warned that trading could be volatile, given that Wall Street has struggled to value an unorthodox social media company with a newfangled business model.


"There's still so much uncertainty and it's so difficult to even identify how big the opportunity is," Wieser said. "Twitter will make Netflix look like General Electric as a bellwether of stability."

Investor enthusiasm for Twitter, which boasts 230 million users including heads of state and celebrities, is strong even though the microblogging network has never turned a profit.

Moshe Cohen, a professor at Columbia Business School in New York, said pressure on the company could quickly mount if shares lose steam out of the gate.

"Twitter, as a company with no expectations of making profits for several years, needs its investors to have faith," Cohen said. "If that stock starts to show some negative momentum from the beginning, it could last for a while."

Twitter, however, is listing amid the strongest market for U.S. IPOs since 2007, as equity markets soared and uncertainty around the U.S. debt ceiling has largely subsided for now.

A number of IPOs have doubled on their first day of trading, including Container Store Group, restaurant chain Potbelly Corp and software company Benefitfocus Inc.

Twitter hiked its target IPO price on Monday from an initial range of $17 to $20. All of the proceeds from the IPO will go directly to the company, with no insider selling taking place.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc, which led the Twitter IPO, tops the list of U.S. technology bookrunners this year with an 18.3 percent market share, up from 11 percent a year ago when it ranked fifth, according to Thomson Reuters data.

Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan Chase & Co also led the IPO.

AVOIDING FACEBOOK'S MISTAKES

Twitter has been focused on avoiding many of the pitfalls that plagued Facebook during its $16 billion IPO last May. The company priced shares more conservatively than Facebook did and chose to list on the New York Stock Exchange rather than the Nasdaq.

Facebook had increased both the number of shares and the price range just before its public debut, which contributed to a sustained decline in its share price. The shares took more than a year to recover to the $38 IPO price.

"Twitter did a good job putting together its message," said Tom Taulli, an independent IPO expert. "It wasn't about distractions, it was about having a great property and brand and a focus on the business...that wasn't necessarily the message when Facebook came out."


The high level of interest stoked by Twitter's road show spurred speculation in recent days that its bankers could raise the price again significantly higher than $25, but they ultimately did not.

"I'm glad they didn't take it up higher, as speculated," said Suntrust Robinson Humphries analyst Robert Peck. "It still provides enough upside for investors and provides a nice contrast to Facebook."

CHALLENGES REMAIN

Despite Twitter's successful IPO, some analysts have expressed concerns that Twitter's valuation is dependent on sustained user growth and a maturing advertising business - two factors that may never be realized.

Although the company has close to a quarter-billion-users, it lacks the ubiquity of Facebook or the "stickiness" factor that keeps people checking the No. 1 social network on a daily basis. A Reuters-Ipsos poll last month showed that 36 percent of people who signed up for a Twitter account say they do not use it.

Twitter, which has extensively courted large brand marketers, still generates relatively little revenue per user compared with Facebook, while the majority of its users are located outside the U.S. in countries such as Indonesia or Brazil, which are less lucrative digital advertising markets.

During its road show over the past week, Twitter executives had assured investors that they plan to wring more money out of its international user base and smaller businesses by expanding its self-serve advertising products and opening offices abroad.

But analysts say the company could encounter a slew of regulatory and policy hurdles in foreign countries as it expands.

Twitter said last month that its third-quarter revenue more than doubled to $168.6 million, but net losses widened to $64.6 million from $21.6 million a year earlier as costs ballooned.

Aside from aggressively growing its overseas sales presence, Twitter's expenditures will likely continue to rise.

Twitter disclosed Monday that it had received a letter from International Business Machines Corp accusing the social media company of infringing on at least three U.S. patents. Twitter's well-known intellectual property vulnerabilities could force the company to invest heavily in expanding its patent portfolio, similar to what Facebook has done since going public.

Twitter is set to trade on the New York Stock Exchange on Thursday under the ticker TWTR.
 
I'm interesting in the stock, but I'm still hesitant on their business model and future profitability. I think I'm going to wait for the initial dust and hype to settle, as it will probably come down (just like Facebook initially did). That's when I would buy
 

Damaniel

Banned
Overpriced stock based on a company with lots of 'mindshare' but no real source of revenue or hope of profit?

This site claiming that they're 'relaunching soon'?

It's like we're teleporting back to 1999 and the dot-com era all over again. We all know how that turned out the first time.

($26 a share is obscene. Show us a plan for profitability in the near future, Twitter!)
 

Arsenic

Member
Overpriced stock based on a company with lots of 'mindshare' but no real source of revenue or hope of profit?

This site claiming that they're 'relaunching soon'?

It's like we're teleporting back to 1999 and the dot-com era all over again. We all know how that turned out the first time.

($26 a share is obscene. Show us a plan for profitability in the near future, Twitter!)

I hope they bring back stickdeath.com
 
What sites are you using occasional-trader-gaf ?

Which site would you recommend if i want to buy tock (not especialy twitter) with a small budget with low operating costs ?
 

clav

Member
What sites are you using occasional-trader-gaf ?

Which site would you recommend if i want to buy tock (not especialy twitter) with a small budget with low operating costs ?

I don't actively trade, but I've read a lot about discount brokerages.

Scottrade since I suppose you want to just buy and hold and not trade more than 3 times/month or an year. Low minimum opening balance. Reasonable fees for passive traders.

Twitter doesn't make any money right now even though the userbase is growing. In contrast, Facebook can despite the negativity it gets from me and GAF.

A good service doesn't necessary translate to good stock.
 

codhand

Member
market maker is gonna pick the price of TWTR at some random time today, based on bids and asks,

market maker will sit there on a large quantity of a stock, so if an order is placed without enough offers, he can use his own stock to complete the order and vice versa if someone is looking to sell,

it's supposed to smooth out the market but it basically makes him rich, he controls the price
 
Yeah just like with Google I wish I would of had the money to throw at it from the jump.

I told my folks to pretty much put every penny into Google they had, and they would be rewarded but you know how that goes.
 

TheMan

Member
I'm surprised at the lack of neogaf neckbeard hype for this IPO compared to Facebook's debutante ball.
 

gutshot

Member
I'm surprised at the lack of neogaf neckbeard hype for this IPO compared to Facebook's debutante ball.

1. Facebook is a lot bigger than Twitter.
2. It's a social media company that everyone loves to hate.
3. The stock completely tanked on its first day
 

Suikoguy

I whinny my fervor lowly, for his length is not as great as those of the Hylian war stallions
That price is just hilarious.
 

Suikoguy

I whinny my fervor lowly, for his length is not as great as those of the Hylian war stallions
seems overpriced. Have they even shown how they intend to generate revenue and profit ?

That's the amusing thing, advertising can only be monetized so far, and data-mining is less valuable as most twitter profiles are public.
 

LordCanti

Member
It opened at 46? At least it didn't open at $26 and then double to where it is now; I'd have been sick with myself for not buying/flipping. I heard "Was $26 and is now $50" on the news earlier and nearly shat a brick.
 

clav

Member
It opened at 46? At least it didn't open at $26 and then double to where it is now; I'd have been sick with myself for not buying/flipping. I heard "Was $26 and is now $50" on the news earlier and nearly shat a brick.

Opened $45.10 yesterday.

Now for market correction.
 
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