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UK Labour Leadership Crisis: Corbyn retained as leader by strong margin

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And this, from David Cowling:

Cppm1NzW8AQGyBD.jpg


That's why everyone wants Blair back!
 
D

Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
I'm surprised at John Smith's net satisfaction ratings. Best leader Labour has had in my lifetime imo.

He was seen as bungling the '92 opposition budget, and that would have been pretty fresh in the mind.
 
I think it would be best for all concerned if they did hire some more people, but as long as the penalties for running late (or no) trains are less than the cost of hiring new people, they won't. As is often the case, the biggest flaw is in the contracts agreed with the government that allow this sort of thing to happen in the first place. I don't think that's inherent to privatisation, but it does seem to happen a lot.

In other news...

http://www.corbynfacts.com/




Ok idiot.

I think I read it's £2.5k for every train that doesn't run, once you go over the limit of how many you're allowed before you get fined. However and this proves your point, the government earlier this year increased the allowance of cancelled trains they were allowed til fining - so who knows the cost!
 
He was seen as bungling the '92 opposition budget, and that would have been pretty fresh in the mind.

Ah, May 1993, you're right. I'd have thought the ERM farce would have helped, but maybe there was still resentment towards him that there was a tory government at all.
 

PJV3

Member
He was seen as bungling the '92 opposition budget, and that would have been pretty fresh in the mind.

I forgot about the tax bombshell, I remember people moaning about the 'one more heave' stuff but that was perhaps more an internal Labour party complaint than general sentiment in the country.
 

Empty

Member

worth quoting in full, because fucking hell
is corbyn electable?

Yes, he is. Since Jeremy Corbyn became leader in September last year, Labour has won every by-election, won key mayoral campaigns in Bristol and London, and increased its share of the vote in the local elections, matching Ed Miliband’s best result in 2012 under much less favourable conditions.

Labour is currently not doing well in the polls. This is because the party is very publicly divided. Sadly, some MPs and others opposed to Jeremy Corbyn have actively undermined not just his leadership, but the party’s credibility as a whole.

Before the recent attempt to remove Jeremy, we were neck and neck in the polls.

Jeremy Corbyn’s policies are overwhelmingly popular. Ending austerity, creating a million new jobs and building a million new homes, taking the railways into public ownership, tax justice, and reversing the privatisation of the NHS – all of these carry majority popular support.

The old way of doing politics has failed – triangulation and electioneering without a serious strategy to win power cost Labour the last two General elections. Labour lost three million votes between 1997 and 2010 and then went on to lose two general elections. Elections campaigning without building a movement that can win hearts and minds simply won’t do any more. Jeremy is determined that our party will become the greatest election force this country has ever seen; and as part of that strategy every Labour Party member has a role to play in winning the next election.

Only with a leadership that transforms our party and sets out to transform society, that empowers communities and that embraces a new kind of politics, can Labour return to power and retain relevance as the party of a decent, fair Britain.

so many lies and mis-direction it makes me yearn for the integrity of vote leave
 
worth quoting in full, because fucking hell


so many lies and mis-direction it makes me yearn for the integrity of vote leave

I think my favourite is...

"The old way of doing politics has failed – triangulation and electioneering without a serious strategy to win power cost Labour the last two General elections."

Uhuh.
 

PJV3

Member
I think my favourite is...

"The old way of doing politics has failed – triangulation and electioneering without a serious strategy to win power cost Labour the last two General elections."

Uhuh.

The problem I had with triangulation was the constant shift rightwards as the party reinforced that view in the country, instead of using compromise to shift the debate eventuallyleftwards.

Like the Libdems pretending to be conservative during the coalition, it just rots away the base of the party.
 

Empty

Member
I think my favourite is...

"The old way of doing politics has failed – triangulation and electioneering without a serious strategy to win power cost Labour the last two General elections."

Uhuh.

i enjoy the suggestion that the blair years were really an electoral failure because three million votes were lost over time, whereas that serial winner corbyn has won by-election after by-election (in safe seats)
 
NEC's won the appeal to stop new members voting in the election. On the plus side for Labour, they now won't have to repay millions in £25 membership. On the negative side, if Corbyn loses, it'll look like a fix which won't help at all.
 

Hazzuh

Member
RE: the NEC's dates freeze. While I agree it's a shambles it's my impression that a) the NEC had a small pro-Corbyn majority so they could have blocked it if they wanted to, b) there is no basis to suggest that pro-Corbyn members were unaware that it would be discussed. Ann Black (who was just re-elected after being endorsed by Momentum) said as such:

First, it is not true that papers covering the freeze date, the fee, the sign-up period for registered supporters and the suspension of most local meetings were sprung on the NEC on 12 July after some members had left. All papers were available half an hour before the start. Some of us read them, others didn’t. If more members had stayed we could at least have got a later cut-off date for voting in the leadership election.

So the Corbynista attacks on the NEC are misguided imo.
 

Jackpot

Banned
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/u...tories-theresa-may-electability-a7179021.html

Labour has 0 per cent chance of forming majority government at next election, says electoral report

Theresa May will likely gain a 90 seat majority at the next election, according to analysis of latest opinion polls

The statistical probably of Labour forming a majority government at the next election - to the nearest percentage point - is zero, while the most likely outcome on current showing is that the Conservatives will come back with an outright majority of 90, according to a new report.

The analysis by Electoral Calculus, based on statistics and opinion polls, offers a wildly different conclusion to the gut instincts of some of the people who bet on politics, who believe Jeremy Corbyn in with a chance of victory.

The Boundary Commission is currently examining how to reduce the number of MPs from its present level of 650 to 600 in time for the 2020 general election – though if Theresa May were to go for a snap election it would be fought on the current boundaries, which is one reason that she is likely to let the current Parliament run its full five year term.

Using modelling techniques, Electoral Calculus has also reckoned that there is 77 per cent probability of a majority Conservative government being elected in 2020, and a 21 per cent chance of the Conservatives being returned as part of a coalition government. Labour, they calculate, has a three per cent chance of being in a coalition government, while the probability of a majority Labour government is vanishingly small.

http://www.theguardian.com/politics...orbyn-proof-of-trotskyist-labour-infiltration

Corbyn’s allies blame the result on “GMB political officers close to Watson” and claimed the ballot question “Who do you think is best placed to lead the Labour party to a general election victory and serve as prime minister?” was a leading one, because it made reference to electability.

Former shadow chancellor Chris Leslie ridiculed that claim: “If you don’t think you can be considered as a potential future prime minister, then what sort of leadership are you talking about? This boils it right down to whether we just want to be some sort of protest movement.”
 
D

Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
The problem I had with triangulation was the constant shift rightwards as the party reinforced that view in the country, instead of using compromise to shift the debate eventuallyleftwards.

Like the Libdems pretending to be conservative during the coalition, it just rots away the base of the party.

Yeah, I think triangulation in the long term did some real damage. Blair always tried to stay between the Labour Party average and the Conservatives, but the Conservatives remained constant 'til Cameron while Labour drifted in Blair direction, so the overall spectrum just got pushed to the right permanently. That shapes how national discourse happens in turn, and I think overall hurt Labour more than it helped. Focus groups and constituency targeting have their purpose, as does knowing how to compromise, by triangulation purely for the purpose of selling yourself as a "the truth lies in the middle" kind of guy was not a (long term) winner.
 

Maledict

Member
Despite my praise for Blair's electability earlier, I think there's definite merit in the argument that by the half way point he had moved too far to the right as a constant reaction against the Labour Party. Reading throw the various diaries, and it seems that by the time of the Iraq war decision he had reached the point where if the Labour Party base supported something, he was automatically against it - and visa versa. So all the protests against Iraq convinced him he was right because to him it was all clause 4 again.

Of course, as crab outlines, in reality the labour base had moved right with him. But he never got out of the mindset that he was always at risk from the far left base.
 

EmiPrime

Member
Owen Smith on ISIS:

My view is that ultimately all solutions to these crises do come about through dialogue.

So eventually if we are to try and solve this, all of the actors do need to be involved. At the moment, Isil are clearly not interested in negotiating.

At some point, for us to resolve this, we will need to get people round the table.

Calling this man a clown barely scratches the surface.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QPGW9tjeWF0
 

Maledict

Member
What has he said here that is wrong? Name a single war that has not ended in negotiations.

Whilst it's probably a dumb thing to be saying right now - he is right. Unless we are planning to genocide part of the Middle East, at some point we will have to negotiate with some of these people. That's not to say we don't fight them now. That's not to say they aren't held accountable for their crimes, and punished appropriately. That's not to say there isn't justice and freedom for their victims.

But ultimately, ultimately, we will have to talk. Same as we did in Northern Ireland, despite the murders and bombings and targeting of civilians they engaged in. Because in the end that's the only way to bring peace - you can't kill every single person who opposes you.
 

Maledict

Member
The notion that you can somehow negotiate with ISIS and that they are somehow analogous in any way to the IRA is farcical.

What's the alternative? Are you honestly planning to kill thousands of people, some of whom will have been serving out of fear and terror?

I'm not saying go give them a hug. Right now they need crushing as soon as possible, to protect the people they are enslaving and murdering. But at some point we will have to sit on the other side of the negotiating table with people who are criminals and who were part of ISIS. That's just how this will end - it's how it always ends.
 
What's the alternative? Are you honestly planning to kill thousands of people, some of whom will have been serving out of fear and terror?

I'm not saying go give them a hug. Right now they need crushing as soon as possible, to protect the people they are enslaving and murdering. But at some point we will have to sit on the other side of the negotiating table with people who are criminals and who were part of ISIS. That's just how this will end - it's how it always ends.

In the Hague, maybe.
 
He's out of his depth, this is clear to everyone except him. Why the fuck were Eagle and Smith the only challengers?
Only ones stupid enough to do it.

What's the alternative? Are you honestly planning to kill thousands of people, some of whom will have been serving out of fear and terror?

I'm not saying go give them a hug. Right now they need crushing as soon as possible, to protect the people they are enslaving and murdering. But at some point we will have to sit on the other side of the negotiating table with people who are criminals and who were part of ISIS. That's just how this will end - it's how it always ends.
We might (fiercely) disagree on many matters, but this is quite likely true. Not very diferent from recognizing that there will be no long term Afghan solution that doesnt involve the Taliban.
 

EmiPrime

Member
What's the alternative? Are you honestly planning to kill thousands of people, some of whom will have been serving out of fear and terror?

I'm not saying go give them a hug. Right now they need crushing as soon as possible, to protect the people they are enslaving and murdering. But at some point we will have to sit on the other side of the negotiating table with people who are criminals and who were part of ISIS. That's just how this will end - it's how it always ends.

Those people aren't in charge and wouldn't be around a negotiating table so that idea falls apart.

In the Hague, maybe.

Boom.
 

Moosichu

Member
Those people aren't in charge and wouldn't be around a negotiating table so that idea falls apart.



Boom.

But they would be. If the fanatical leaders are taken out, ultimately you will be left talking to someone.

Look at the fall of Nazi Germany, despite the leaders being execute/fleeing/dying, the remaining Nazis eventually had to be engaged with in Talks.
 

Maledict

Member
i'm also not saying its a good move to be talking about this now. It isn't, politically - it's dumb. Its part of a silly swerve to the left he feels he has to do to compete with Jeremy but will make him totally unelectable to the greater population.

But even when the current leaders are killed, or put on trial at the Hague, in the end you *will* have to negotiate with people who were part of the regime. We had to do the same with Nazi Germany. We did it with Japan. It's not an ideological question - either you commit to 100% murdering of every person ever involve with the regime, or you at some point have to sit down opposite them. It sucks but that's how peace is achieved. Every conflict of the modern era has taught us that.
 

Walshicus

Member
The notion that you can somehow negotiate with ISIS and that they are somehow analogous in any way to the IRA is farcical.

To be fair, arguing that it's ever appropriate to fully dismiss the *possibility* of diplomatic solution to a problem is pretty moronic.
 

hodgy100

Member
This very well mean what Owen smith means, but he doesn't clarify , or doesn't get the chance to clarify, that so His opinion publicly has just become"we should talk to isis" which is clearly so far away from the current situation, even if ultimately it is what will happen.
 

EmiPrime

Member
But they would be. If the fanatical leaders are taken out, ultimately you will be left talking to someone.

Look at the fall of Nazi Germany, despite the leaders being execute/fleeing/dying, the remaining Nazis eventually had to be engaged with in Talks.

Smith drew an analogy to the NI peace process so that's not what he meant. The only "negotiating" we'd be doing with ISIS would be after completely dismantling them as an organisation and a military force. We'd be negotiating their surrender.

i'm also not saying its a good move to be talking about this now. It isn't, politically - it's dumb. Its part of a silly swerve to the left he feels he has to do to compete with Jeremy but will make him totally unelectable to the greater population.

The left has no appetite for negotiating with ISIS. He's finished.
 
What's the alternative? Are you honestly planning to kill thousands of people, some of whom will have been serving out of fear and terror?

Yup. Or, rather, the guys at the top (so that the ones serving out of fear and terror don't have to serve any more). I don't think it's really, genuinely, possible to have meaningful dialogue with people who steal children so they can sell them as sex slaves. This isn't the IRA, this isn't even Hezbollah or the PLO. These guys have a goal which goes beyond "nothing" and that's too much to give them - so where do you negotiate from there? There need to be two things happening to stop Isil, IMO:

1) Stop their funding, whether that's Turkey, Saudi Arabia, the Dark Net drug trafficking, child sex slave markets, whatever. Some of this will have around-the-table, negotiating aspects to it.

2) A lot of bullets in a lot of heads. I don't really care if it's from a Kurdish SVD, an American A10, British special forces or self immolation. Their goals are fundamentally incompatible with any form of justice that exists, both here and in the middle east. Like Corbyn, those motherfuckers have to go. Leave it so there's no one left to negotiate with.

Point #1 is a purely preventative measure to try to stop it happening again in the future.
 

Hazzuh

Member
Here is the transcript of both of their replies:

Victoria Derbyshire: Would you sit down with Assad, would you sit down with members of so-called Islamic State?

Corbyn: There has to be a political process. There already is a political process being conducted through the Geneva talks. That does involve yes, negotiations that involve the Assad regime, that’s obvious. It also, I suspect, brings in some kind of proximity talks or whatever. Owen and I both voted against the bombing of Syria because what we couldn’t see was any credible use of it or value to it, because what was then going to happen was there’s a plethora of people that are opposed to Assad, including the al-Nusra Brigade who are very close to al-Qaeda. I think that we have to support a serious political process and that serious political process has got to be redoubled.

VD: Would this process involve anyone from so-called Islamic State, yes or no?

JC: No, they’re not going to be around the table, no.

Owen Smith: My record is I’m someone who worked on the peace process in Northern Ireland for three years. I was part of the UK’s negotiating team which helped bring together the loyalist paramilitaries and the DUP in particular into the process alongside Sinn Fein. My view is that ultimately all solutions to these crises, these sorts of international crises, do come about through dialogue. So eventually if were to try and solve this all of the actors have to be involved. But at the moment Isil are clearly not interested in negotiating. At some point for us to resolve this we will need to get people around the table.

Not a good look at all.
 

Baybars

Banned
What has he said here that is wrong? Name a single war that has not ended in negotiations. (Just talking about the bit you quoted)

That's what people said too when the serbs were destroying sarajevo and kosovo. It led to massacre after culminating in the serbrenica massacre.

I am not suprised some people think negotiating with killers is good to go. There are some within GAF who think we should negotiate with bashar al assad inspite of this guy killing more arabs than israel itself.

Then again we all so how some folks wanted to negotiate with hitler too while he was busy gassing jews
 

Baybars

Banned
Yup. Or, rather, the guys at the top (so that the ones serving out of fear and terror don't have to serve any more). I don't think it's really, genuinely, possible to have meaningful dialogue with people who steal children so they can sell them as sex slaves. This isn't the IRA, this isn't even Hezbollah or the PLO. These guys have a goal which goes beyond "nothing" and that's too much to give them - so where do you negotiate from there? There need to be two things happening to stop Isil, IMO:

1) Stop their funding, whether that's Turkey, Saudi Arabia, the Dark Net drug trafficking, child sex slave markets, whatever. Some of this will have around-the-table, negotiating aspects to it.

2) A lot of bullets in a lot of heads. I don't really care if it's from a Kurdish SVD, an American A10, British special forces or self immolation. Their goals are fundamentally incompatible with any form of justice that exists, both here and in the middle east. Like Corbyn, those motherfuckers have to go. Leave it so there's no one left to negotiate with.

Point #1 is a purely preventative measure to try to stop it happening again in the future.


You do realise ISIS attacked the turks and the saudis themselves right?
 
Assad is a monster, but at least he's a rational state actor, for the most part. If you can make the alternative to whatever concessions and demands you're making worse than the concessions and demands, he'll bow (we just haven't done that). With Isil, any such worsening of conditions would make no difference, given their religious fervour and desire to literally die in the name of their faith. There are no circumstances in which reliable peace can be brought about so long as they're still alive (unlike Assad).

You do realise ISIS attacked the turks and the saudis themselves right?

Yes. So?
 

Real Hero

Member
'Corbyn’s team have seized on Smith’s comments on Islamic State during this morning’s debate, describing them as “hasty and ill-considered”.'

You would assume this would be the other way around
 
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