Assad is a monster, but at least he's a rational state actor, for the most part. If you can make the alternative to whatever concessions and demands you're making worse than the concessions and demands, he'll bow (we just haven't done that). With Isil, any such worsening of conditions would make no difference, given their religious fervour and desire to literally die in the name of their faith. There are no circumstances in which reliable peace can be brought about so long as they're still alive (unlike Assad).
Yes. So?
Rational state actor? You mean the guy who nouri al maliki accused of sending suicide bombers into iraq when american troops were present? The guy who okayed a campaign of ethnic cleansing against 70% percent of the population culminating in a sarin gas attack on suburb in his own capital? That guy? Please The only concession assad is willing to accept is to burn the entire country so his mafia family remains in power
As for isis, well unless you can prove the turks and the saudis are busy funding a group that has conducted terror runs in their own capitals, i suggest you keep up with the news
All this leadership election has shown is that there is no competent alternative to Corbyn. The party is totally doomed.
So essentially the typical Middle Eastern dictator then. He's still clearly the lesser evil to the extremist groups fighting against him. Despite all the terrible things he has done, his rule still brought relative peace and stability to the country. It's nice to have ideals that democracy can be so easily created and the power vacuum filled easily, but it's hard to argue that when Libya is now a failed state.
Yep. I'll vote for Smith and then resign my membership. It's over for now.
He's still clearly the lesser evil to the extremist groups fighting against him.
Rational state actor? You mean the guy who nouri al maliki accused of sending suicide bombers into iraq when american troops were present? The guy who okayed a campaign of ethnic cleansing against 70% percent of the population culminating in a sarin gas attack on suburb in his own capital? That guy? Please The only concession assad is willing to accept is to burn the entire country so his mafia family remains in power.
As for isis, well unless you can prove the turks and the saudis are busy funding a group that has conducted terror runs in their own capitals, i suggest you keep up with the news
I don't think you understand what "rational state actor" means. It doesn't mean "jolly nice guy" or "wonderful ally". The Nazi's were rational state actors. That's why, when their number was up, the war ended without having to murder everyone with a stiff arm and funny walk. I don't know where that point is with Assad's Syria, but it seems obvious to me that such a point exists, we simply don't have the will (or possibly the means) to arrive at it. This isn't the case with Isil, which is what differentiates them.
This really wasn't the point of what I was saying. Aside from anything, my references to Turkey were about the strong belief of border guards turning a blind eye to the smuggling of Oil over the border, sold by ISIS and Saudi Arabia referring to the potential funding via private donations in Saudi Arabia - but the specifics weren't really the point. The point was that ISIS can't print its own money, and so long as it requires outside participants in its economy then these are the people (whoever they are, whether they include Turkey and Saudi or not) are the people we need to be negotiating with, not ISIS themselves.
This country is fucked if this is all the opposition can muster. ISIS can never be reasoned with so the only solution to them are many, many bullets. The left is tired of this ISIS shit now, what makes Smith think they want to talk to them? The only way forward is to destroy the extremists and free those people living under them.
The up moment in syria was 2013 when assad used chemical weapons on women and children in Ghouta. If the leader of the free world was someone other than barack obama who had an eye on making a deal with the iranian regime which funds assad's war machine, america would have taken assad and his henchman back to the stone age. Alas, obama sold a nation of 22 million syrians and a glorious country filled with history to the iranians.
As for isis, the turks yes did turn a blind eye to their border because these guys was so desperate to take assad down they didnt bother looking who was doing what. When the realised that not every one was a humanitarian doctor, or NGO but foreign fighter hoping to join ISIS, then the turks wised up. By then it was too late. As for the donations, saudi private donations are divided into two. One for the aid agencies and one for fighting groups. The only extremist fighting group where private donations has been a boon for was Jabhat al nusra but that was during the early years of 2013. Once the kingdom blacklisted the group it was finished.
If the leader of the free world was someone other than barack obama who had an eye on making a deal with the iranian regime which funds assad's war machine, america would have taken assad and his henchman back to the stone age. Alas, obama sold a nation of 22 million syrians and a glorious country filled with history to the iranians..
If anyone hasn't seen Finkelstein's column in The Times today (paywall and that), it does a very, very convincing job of explaining why a moderate-split new Labour party would be fucked, electorally.
If anyone hasn't seen Finkelstein's column in The Times today (paywall and that), it does a very, very convincing job of explaining why a moderate-split new Labour party would be fucked, electorally.
Owen Smith: My view is that ultimately all solutions to these crises, these sorts of international crises, do come about through dialogue. So eventually if were to try and solve this all of the actors have to be involved. But at the moment Isil are clearly not interested in negotiating. At some point for us to resolve this we will need to get people around the table.
Ca't read the column but yes - first past the post, and the way Labours votes and seats are distributed makes any split doom for all involved. The UK simply doesn't have the same population demographics that makes Obama's coalition work in the USA - without the white, working class vote they are unelectable and a split won't help that.
Danny said:In his history of the Labour Party, Speak for Britain!, Martin Pugh argues convincingly that liberalism has always been only one strand of Labour, and not its most important one. From its earliest days a very large part of the party has been conservative on constitutional questions, culturally sentimental and nostalgic, cautious on issues of individual freedom, opposed to mass immigration, monarchist, nationalist, patriotic and militaristic.
.......
What is the electoral base of a straightforwardly liberal party? Labour voters least likely to be impressed by Corbyn are most likely to be hawkish on defence, tough on immigration and sympathetic to Brexit. There will be middle-class dissidents too, but smaller in number because many of those already vote Conservative and are likely to carry on doing so.
In the absence of a large Conservative defection, a liberal Labour party would struggle. If a liberal party decided, for instance, to be the party against Brexit and for free movement, how would it hold seats in the north, or indeed outside London?
What then of the prospects of a split that created a more traditional Labour party? Owen’s experience shows how hard it would be to make that succeed. It would require a very large proportion of Labour MPs to go with it, and to agree to a populist platform that many of them are nervous about. And even then it might struggle to win northern seats where party tradition is strong. One of the problems with traditionalist voters is that they are, well, traditionalist.
It's not really even based on technicalities like FPTP and vote distribution. It's more on the basis that... well, let me C + P:
Edit: NB, by "Owen" he means SDP founder David Owen.
He's out of his depth, this is clear to everyone except him. Why the fuck were Eagle and Smith the only challengers?
The actual candidates are biding their time until Corbyn loses the general election. Dan Jarvis will probably stand in a few years.
You are assuming Corbyn will step down if he loses a General Election.
In the latest "Corbyn is unelectable" news, Corbyn refuses to say he would honour article 5 of NATO
Obviously shouldn't be too surprising given this is what Corbyn always believed but it is yet another example of his total inability to compromise in order to win a bloody election.
Might deserve a new thread? I'm sure some americans would enjoy the comparison with Trump.
In the latest "Corbyn is unelectable" news, Corbyn refuses to say he would honour article 5 of NATO
Obviously shouldn't be too surprising given this is what Corbyn always believed but it is yet another example of his total inability to compromise in order to win a bloody election.
Might deserve a new thread? I'm sure some americans would enjoy the comparison with Trump.
Yep it's pure electoral suicide.The funny thing is that Corbyn saying that plays right into the Tory line of him being a threat to national security.
Good work, Jeremy. Good work.
You know you're clutching at straws when you're using a tweet with no quote as a source for news lol. So you have Corbyn who's apparently a threat to national security, yet we have a PM that without hesitation said that she would be prepared to launch a nuclear strike. Okay then..
It was literally just a journalist quoting what Corbyn said at a leadership husting, you can see the video here if you want.
Thanks! I did, and I can see how something like this could be used and spun quite easily. But I see a Russian invasion of a NATO member being highly unlikely. And the possibility of responding with military action would depend on the circumstances surrounding it as well I feel.
If Ukraine joins NATO this becomes a big deal and not some hypothetical.
If Ukraine joins NATO this becomes a big deal and not some hypothetical.Thanks! I did, and I can see how something like this could be used and spun quite easily. But I see a Russian invasion of a NATO member being highly unlikely. And the possibility of responding with military action would depend on the circumstances surrounding it as well I feel.
So essentially the typical Middle Eastern dictator then. He's still clearly the lesser evil to the extremist groups fighting against him. Despite all the terrible things he has done, his rule still brought relative peace and stability to the country. It's nice to have ideals that democracy can be so easily created and the power vacuum filled easily, but it's hard to argue that when Libya is now a failed state.
This country is fucked if this is all the opposition can muster. ISIS can never be reasoned with so the only solution to them are many, many bullets. The left is tired of this ISIS shit now, what makes Smith think they want to talk to them? The only way forward is to destroy the extremists and free those people living under them.
You are assuming Corbyn will step down if he loses a General Election.
True this may be optimistic thinking but if Theresa May increases her majority even Corbyn supporters must realise it isn't working.
https://www.buzzfeed.com/marielecon...ain-wasnt-full?utm_term=.bjnQdXMR2#.lyAdYyD7xBut Corbyn’s team appear to be sticking to the original story. Asked if is was true that the train wasn’t full, a spokesperson for Corbyn’s campaign told BuzzFeed News: “That’s a lie. It was full and he gave his seat up so a woman could sit down. Others were sat in the aisles too!”
"George Galloway on why Respect has deregistered itself: "because we support Corbyn's Labour Party"."
https://twitter.com/georgeeaton/status/767279691535376384
No you see because then it's the red Tories and the biased media that were the problem
Also because #traingate is obviously the thing that matters, here's him sitting in an unreserved seat on that train
SCANDAL
Bafflingly his team are standing by the story despite say, CCTV being there
https://www.buzzfeed.com/marielecon...ain-wasnt-full?utm_term=.bjnQdXMR2#.lyAdYyD7x
something something it's the coverup that gets you
That CCTV is inconclusive. The large seats on those trains make it impossible to see people who may be short or slumped down.
There's a rumour that he attended a party meeting of Labour's Liverpool Riverside local party recently and that he's attempting to get himself as the PPC for it when Rotherham wins the Metro Mayor position.
Labour is toast!