Next gen starts when Naughty Dog says so. Believe.
I agree that Naughty Dog will wow us eventually.
Question is... is that all we're getting? Look at the developers/publishers that gave us visually amazing games in the past. Here are some examples:
Rocksteady: the Arkham games were gorgeous when they came out and yet that Suicide Squad game just looks uninspired..
Epic: remember when they were releasing Unreal tournament and Gears games with state of the graphics tech, now we just get Fortnite. woo!
Crytek: no need to mention Crysis but Crysis... also remember Ryse Son of Rome, one of the best looking launch titles of last-gen? Where the hell is Crytek now?!
Konami: I'm thinking forget Metal Gear Solid (it's gone guys and gals, let it die), but what about PES. Remember when they switched over the Fox engine and we were all like "oh shit PES actually looks good for once". They seem to given up on it in terms of the engine and its mechanics. Just milking it now as F2P bollocks.
Kojima: Death Stranding 1 yeah cool. Wouldn't say it was visually amazing but it looked good. Contrast that with the reveal for Death Stranding 2... sorry but it looks practically the same and yet I'm assuming it's next-gen exclusive? Did he spend all of his budget on the actors or something?
Bethesda: Seriously using the same fucking engine for Starfield.... still?
Ubisoft: Rainbow Six Siege looked pretty good when it came out (sure a downgrade from the reveal but still cool). Now we're getting... XDefiant or something? What the actual fuck?
I'm wondering.... have all the talented/ambitious/creative/visionary folks simply left the industry?