Well, here's the thing: you're ignoring whatever the wolves did in your possibilities, which is actually kinda bothering me.
You're focusing on Swamped and the SK here, but none of this is really telling me why two of these factions at the same time got blocked.
Reason 1 in your list does that, I guess implying that the wolves killed MattyG.
Reason 2 doesn't explain what happened to the wolf kill.
Reason 3 doesn't explain what happened to the wolf kill.
Reason 4 doesn't explain what happened to Swamped's kill and the wolf kill.
Reason 5... well, I just don't agree with that at all.
That's right, I was thinking pre-role claim. I just think the same happening two Nights in a row? Eh, it's a possibility. Can't be disregarded, I guess.
Oh wait you actually did ask me a question
"Why should I trust you?"
That's a big question. If you like my reads, if you think I've been helpful to the town, if you think I've been trying to find scum. But of course, if you think my reads are super safe, I haven't been helpful to town, that my death tonight is preferable to anyone else, then you might not trust me all. The only thing I can say right now is I'll try to do better.
The assumption in 2 would be that the wolves duplicated with either Swamped or MattyG, 3 would assume that they also picked MattyG, reason 4 assumes that Swamped either picked a bulletproof target or commuter, and the wolves picked MattyG. I'm not really sure why you need me to spell this out, but there are other possibilities than a Jailer.
Alright, I gotcha now. Honestly, I don't like this "both killers targeted the same person" theory for N3. Burbeting has this going for N2 because of his Voyeur ability; the same happening for N3?
I still think it's a jailer, but I guess you and Burbeting are considering the "same target" theory, so I'm a bit less convinced by Swamped's target being jailed. Only a bit.
Kingkitty:
Would you rather lynch Rats or Time today?
Do you think the third kill during night 1 was by sk or a second scum KP?
What do you think Rats seems to be so sure he was targeted by Swamped last night, when Swamped stated that she was trying to target people who might be harder to lynch during day (aka. Not Rats, who had quite a lot suspicion yesterday)
Why do you think Flux seems to be so sure Swamped targeted Rats, when thinking about the above question?
Let's start with these. Others are okay to chime in too.
I guess it is time to put down a vote (if not the final vote). While I outlined my lingering thoughts towards Rats and Swamped vig, for now my vote will actually be on Timeaisis. I've posted my initial thoughts on why I think he gives me the bad feelings here on Day 3. Instead of voting for him to be deep fried on Day 3, I voted for Zipped instead, who also gave me bad feelings at the time. Time has done nothing incredibly scummy on Day 4, but nothing he has done really changed my stance on him either. This doesn't mean I won't vote for Rats ever but Swamped never 100 percent confirmed if Rats was her target. There's a chance that Time might have been the target instead since I think Swamped has been suspicious of him for a bit. If this is the truth, that obviously does not help ease my vibes. In fact, the possibility of him being the target adds on to my negative vibes, like an extra cheese slice to an already fatty burger. This vote could change if there's some more clear info. Hyper suggested that we keep votes evenly split between Time and Rats...but honestly that seems ripe for last minute anarchy and potential ties. Also, I know I promised I'd give a read on Quantum but currently I'm kinda tired, and lazy so I'll post that later.
vote: Timeaisis
The reason I am doubting a jailer is it just seems unlikely to have one and a doctor in the same game. I'd be less surprised by just two doctors. Purely setup spec though. I don't really have an explanation for last night, and there are too many variables too guess. Jailer is possible, I just doubt it.
Though I also doubt scum / sk targeted the Same person as the town vig.
Kingkitty:
Would you rather lynch Rats or Time today?
Do you think the third kill during night 1 was by sk or a second scum KP?
What do you think Rats seems to be so sure he was targeted by Swamped last night, when Swamped stated that she was trying to target people who might be harder to lynch during day (aka. Not Rats, who had quite a lot suspicion yesterday)
Why do you think Flux seems to be so sure Swamped targeted Rats, when thinking about the above question?
Let's start with these. Others are okay to chime in too.
+
If Rats and Time weren't on the hot picks today, who would you vote? Too many people are concentrating on these two way too much, in expanse of others.
Really? I stand corrected them.There was a jailer and a doctor in game 1.
Yeah, absolutely. How can we catch people in lies if they don't talk? I don't want to be lynching people for inactivity and getting lucky that one of them is a wolf. That's not really fun.
We need to hear more from these people, specifically their Top Wolves and their takes on the recent PR claims (Burb and me):
QuantumBro
Boo Boo'n
Trigger
Makai
Sawneeks (will give her a pass since she's catching up)
Dave (looks like he's getting back into things though!)
I strongly urge these people to put down a vote with some thought behind it.
Wait, no it doesn't. My brain it's dumb today geezThis clears rats. He's not scum.
Oh wow, look at all these role claims. I'm kinda feeling left out, so let's change that. I am a neutral CPR practicioner, which allows me to practice CPR on one person a night and save them from a kill if they were targeted. However, if they weren't targeted for a kill, they die because I am just that good at CPR. I win once I save three people from an early death. (I have one as of now)
My targets:
N1: Ultron (I didn't technically save him, I killed him and then batsnacks revived him.)
N2: *Splinter
N3: Rats Off To Ya (I'm guessing this is who Swamped tried to kill last night since I actually saved him.)
Explanation for pushing RNH's bluff:
Should be obvious by now, I wanted the name so I could CPR them during the night Plus letting town get taken hostage is a bad precedent to set for the day ahead.
Explanation for why I decided to reveal instead of continuing to keep silent for a few more days so I could win and celebrate my victory with medical grade cocaine:
Well I got a PM from Palmer when the day started alerting me that I had received a special gift during the night phase, a bomb!!! With this bomb, anyone who tries to target me for a kill gets blown up in the process along with me. So if the mafia's interested in a 1 for 1 trade tonight, come see me in my private practice next to the monster truck arena later tonight.
If I had to hypothesize on who the mafia is:
My suspects for today are all people who I feel went out of their way to ensure that RNH did not reveal the name, either by unvoting when the vote count reached 11 or posting multiple times that it was a bad idea. My logic might be flawed, but I feel the only person who should've been overtly concerned about the name being revealed is the person who visted RNH. With that said my suspects are (One of which is probably going to be my target tonight):
Kingkitty
Makai
Rats Off To Ya
Boo Boo 'n
With all that said, I'm going to stop typing. If anyone has any questions about anything I've said in this post, let me know.
Why?The second swamped reveals the name we need to turbo QB, no more talking.
The second swamped reveals the name we need to turbo QB, no more talking.
We have a claimed 3p killer he needs to be removed. Any further talking gives scum more info and gains town nothing. We can discuss theories tomorrow.Why?
We have a claimed 3p killer he needs to be removed. Any further talking gives scum more info and gains town nothing. We can discuss theories tomorrow.
Kingkitty:
Would you rather lynch Rats or Time today?
Do you think the third kill during night 1 was by sk or a second scum KP?
What do you think Rats seems to be so sure he was targeted by Swamped last night, when Swamped stated that she was trying to target people who might be harder to lynch during day (aka. Not Rats, who had quite a lot suspicion yesterday)
Why do you think Flux seems to be so sure Swamped targeted Rats, when thinking about the above question?
Let's start with these. Others are okay to chime in too.
Wait, no it doesn't. My brain it's dumb today geez
Palmer did say the game would be bloodier, though. Seems semi-possible.So where exactly would a bomb come from? I'm guessing Palmer doesn't just hand those out mid-game, so it must be tied to another role, so there's a bomb handing out role somewhere? Can't say I believe that.
WTF this game doesn't have many investigative roles I'm guessing, and scum are really weak to any investigative roles we may have
If Swamped targeted rats, it would be good for her to rc.
Except, you could constitute a threat to town...
But might be our only doctor now....
Oh wow, look at all these role claims. I'm kinda feeling left out, so let's change that. I am a neutral CPR practicioner, which allows me to practice CPR on one person a night and save them from a kill if they were targeted. However, if they weren't targeted for a kill, they die because I am just that good at CPR. I win once I save three people from an early death. (I have one as of now)
My targets:
N1: Ultron (I didn't technically save him, I killed him and then batsnacks revived him.)
N2: *Splinter
N3: Rats Off To Ya (I'm guessing this is who Swamped tried to kill last night since I actually saved him.)
Explanation for pushing RNH's bluff:
Should be obvious by now, I wanted the name so I could CPR them during the night Plus letting town get taken hostage is a bad precedent to set for the day ahead.
Explanation for why I decided to reveal instead of continuing to keep silent for a few more days so I could win and celebrate my victory with medical grade cocaine:
Well I got a PM from Palmer when the day started alerting me that I had received a special gift during the night phase, a bomb!!! With this bomb, anyone who tries to target me for a kill gets blown up in the process along with me. So if the mafia's interested in a 1 for 1 trade tonight, come see me in my private practice next to the monster truck arena later tonight.
If I had to hypothesize on who the mafia is:
My suspects for today are all people who I feel went out of their way to ensure that RNH did not reveal the name, either by unvoting when the vote count reached 11 or posting multiple times that it was a bad idea. My logic might be flawed, but I feel the only person who should've been overtly concerned about the name being revealed is the person who visted RNH. With that said my suspects are (One of which is probably going to be my target tonight):
Kingkitty
Makai
Rats Off To Ya
Boo Boo 'n
With all that said, I'm going to stop typing. If anyone has any questions about anything I've said in this post, let me know.
Palmer did say the game would be bloodier, though. Seems semi-possible.
Wtf it's wrong with you he has killed a top posting townie and prevented the kill off our vig.He's also another doctor. Focus on other possible scum.
Czar, btw, what's your opinion on Timeaisis?
Yes. I'm not kidding here guys it is extremely anti town not to turbo right now.err, should I deputise now then? I'm not in favour of an early day end, but if there's a chance of that happening.
Burb again is fine with everyone right?
Can you link the post?I would like hyper to Hammer in case it's a lynch bomb. He's claimed ordinary