Problem I have with Crimson still living:
Firstly, I believe that the Scums want to keep the Double-vote power alive. Some people in topic have said that the scum want to get rid of it, but I think they want to pass the power to other scums. Having double-power in their side means, that they would be able to use the doublevote at a possibly very important moment, like when town is at LYLO.
In the first night, Drop died. This was not really a gigantic surprise, and I still stand very surely with the fact that Cabot was guarding him, but scum strongman bypassed that guard. If we assume Batsnacks is telling the truth, he could have revived Drop, but went for Ultron instead (a stupid decision IMO). Crimson then became the Sheriff.
Now then, CrimsonFist has had the town-read from most of the game so far, and he has also the power of the sheriff. Timeaisis wrote that the scum wouldnt bother to target him, and I guess I could agree with it, if he was not seen as town by so many players. The Scums want to kill mostly sure town, and Crimson has fit the bill for the most so far, hasnt he?
For night 2, it was easy enough to see in hindsight, why Cabot was targeted. He had bread crumped a protective role, and he was deputized. I want to believe that this power of the deputy is the reason, why the scum decided to go for him. And yes, I believe the scum targeted him, with batsnacks as well. I want to almost say, that Im positively sure about this.
So then, Crimson didnt die N2, because the Scum decided to go for Cabot. Maybe they hoped that Crimson would be killed by some other killing force, who trusted cabot more than him, who knows? So I made the assumption, that the scum team would be sure to kill CrimsonFist, or even more likely, the next deputy, during the third night, just like Cabot had died. I even mentioned this yesterday:
However, come today, neither Crimson, or I, have died. Instead, MattyG is dead. Really, MattyG? As I said, it was not surprising that MattyG was targeted last night, but there were so much more valuable targets for the Scum team to go for!
- There is CrimsonFist, the town Sheriff, who had so far only deputized people who he had seen as town, and who was seen as town by many. If they killed Crimson, but left me alive, the scum might have tried to manipulate me to deputise one of their members.
- Me, the deputy. If my guess is correct that Cabot was primarily killed for being the deputy N2, I would have been N3 target for sure. Also, I have been seen as town by many.
However, the Scum decide to kill MattyG instead. This is just very, very odd movement from the scum team, MattyG had been a very low contributor to the game, and not really helping the town at all. Only thing he had going for was the soft-claim, but judging by how Makai/Dave were later heavily watched from the odd D1 softclaim/baker business, Matty would have later been a point of discussion for the town, a point that would have distracted us from the scumhunt.
So then, why leave me and Crimson alive, especially Crimson who seems to be widely seen as town AND has the doublevote? Assuming that the Scums want the doublevote power for themselves, and not completely eradicate it, this leads into questions. Why was Matty killed, out of all people?
Well, there is the possibility, that Crimson is scum, and that side already has the doublevote. As for letting me live, there is a real possibility that the scum team thought, that it would look suspicious, if deputies kept dying during the nights, yet the current sherrif just keeps on living. You know, to stir the pot?
What I am saying is, killing MattyG does not make sense to me, especially if CrimsonFist is town. Something really weird is going on here.
There is the possibility of another doctor, or switcher or blocker saving Crimson last night. I doubt that there is a switcher though, somehow I have the feeling that Palmer does not like that kind of role? (At least he disliked the scum switcher of mgs). Doctor clone could be a possibility, but I doubt it, blocker would be the best guess.
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I'm going to look at Rats off to ya! next.