Luap: Great book! Edmond Dantés is one of my favorite characters and an expert on Tolkien.
With regards to the argument that the difference was soil and different cotton seed strains, he does mention this:
And this after their great-grandparents were picking 200 pounds a day, with more difficult to pick bolls. Even if the bolls were improving during slavery - and I could believe that - it doesn't account for the improvement in production. If it did, we wouldn't have seen a massive drop-off in the production of pickers.
You listened to the audiobook, right? You should pick up the physical copy and look at the charts and tables. For instance, he indexes cotton production in 1820 at 100, and then shows the increase in production:
1790 - 54
1800 - 66
1810 - 81
1820 - 100
1830 - 123
1845 - 168
1850 - 187
1860 - 230
And during those same years, the price of cotton dropped from 191 in 1790 to 172 in 1800 to 100 in 1810 to 48 by 1860.
I don't think he was arguing that there were vast tracts of unpicked cotton (though presumably it happened from time to time that not all the cotton was picked for whatever reason), but simply that picking represented the part of cotton production that required the most labor and was therefore the place where cotton production was limited. It wasn't land; the land available was far larger than you could possibly have workers to pick. It wasn't the the processing; the processing had been removed as a bottleneck thanks to the invention of the cotton gin. I assume over the course of the sixty or so years that the pushing system was in effect, as slaves were tortured into greater efficiency, more and more cotton was produced. Baptist says at one point that in 1800, the slaves produced 1.4 million pounds of cotton - and in 1860 they harvested almost 2 billion pounds of it. This is obviously a combination of more cotton being planted, more slaves, and much better production.
I thought he demonstrated pretty well that the pushing system was key. Take out the pushing system and what happens to production? Well, we know that per worker production falls by at least half and that's assuming that there were no improvements in the cotton boll. And it probably means that less cotton is planted, since there's no reason to plant more than can be picked. Just compare the 66 in 1800 to the 230 in 1860, and ask what happens to the 2 billion pounds if the slaves in 1860 were picking like the slaves in 1800. Even if you generously assume that improvements in the cotton boll would have gotten them improvements in and of themselves, it couldn't account for a 3.5 times better production per person.
I feel like I'm talking in circles, tell me if you agree or if I'm missing your point
Oh, i agree with all that you said.
I am not really sure why I didnt think that slavers expanded their cotton fields without expanding their labor supply, but simply pushed that labor supply to pick more cotton. For some reason I thought they had huge tracts of land and they just didnt end up picking it all until the pushing system started really pushing...
I imagine that is why you were a bit confused on what I meant because my whole previous conception was pretty stupid.