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[Connificent]

But Starfield has over 10 million players!

 

[Jaybe]

I massively underestimated Hogwarts Legacy

Results:

Winner: Hogwarts Legacy (22 million+)

Source: CEO reveals 2023 sales for Hogwarts

‘Hogwarts Legacy’ Sold 22 Million Copies in 2023: Warner Bros. Discovery Games Boss Talks Year’s Top-Selling Title and What’s Next (EXCLUSIVE)

"Hogwarts Legacy" crossed 22 million copies sold by the end of 2023, with approximately 2 million of those units selling during the holiday season.

variety.com

2nd: The Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom (20.8 million)

Source: Aug 2, 2024 Nintendo business update

Sales-Age - Nintendo Q1 FY 24/25 Earnings Release: Hardware 2.10m LTD 143.42m. PM:TTYD 1.76m, LM2HD 1.19m

https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/finance/hard_soft/index.html The remake of Paper Mario: The Thousand Year Door was the best selling game of Q1 Nintendo's earnings release for the 1st quarter of the fiscal year ending March 31st 2025 has been published, this covers the three month period...

www.neogaf.com

3rd: Marvel's Spider-man 2 (11 million or so)

Source: May 2024 update by Sony
https://www.pushsquare.com/news/2024/05/marvels-spider-man-2-swings-11-million-sales-as-sony-calls-ps5-exclusive-a-great-success#:~:text=Sales-,Marvel's%20Spider%2DMan%202%20Swings%2011%20Million%20Sales%20as%20Sony,it%20catch%20the%20first%20game%3F&text=According%20to%20Sony's%20latest%20financial,rather%20impressive%2011%20million%20sales.

4th: Starfield (3 million estimated)

While Microsoft has not provided sales figures for Starfield, Warner CEO revealed Mortal Kombat 1 to have sold 3 million globally by the end of November 2023. MK1 sold more than Starfield by then and Starfield hasn't charted the top 20 since.

Mortal Kombat 1 Has Sold 3 Million Units

The fighter reached a new milestone after Warner Bros. Discovery CEO David Zaslav confirmed nearly 3 million sold last November.

gamingbolt.com

All will sell well but BOTW2 will be king. I think it will release along with the Switch 2 and be compatible with Switch 1. Regardless, they will build it in a way that Switch 2 benefits it such as dynamic resolution scaling, and it will get a bump with the new hardware. Over 20 million.

Starfield will do plenty but is on Game Pass and isn't on PlayStation. Doubt it cracks 12 mil first year. Could be a buggy boring mess for all we know with a microtransaction store menu included to add extra offence. I highly doubt it will be locked to game pass but… I bet someone at Microsoft has considered making it game pass only to drive subscription numbers up.

Spiderman will be a big hit. But it will be the third game of that formula and I think a bit of been there done that sets in with these. I'm sure HFW is still a ways off HZD sales as an example. Spiderman 2 hits a ceiling at 15 million, PC included, in its first 3 years.

Harry Potter… I wish it success. If it's good, I'll buy a copy. Sales wise, They botched missing Christmas and having a less cluttered holiday season. Probably doesn't crack 10 million definitely not 12.

 

[Kabelly]

The things I was reading about the Harry Potter game before release was baffling.

"gamers don't overlap with harry potter yada yada " like Harry Potter hasn't had pretty popular games before. An open world Harry Potter with a full Hogwarts to explore is just simple money. They just had to do it right at the right time with the right tech. I think they did a great job for being a toys to life dev before.

 

[poppabk]

MK1 sold more than Starfield by then and Starfield hasn't charted the top 20 since.

Where is this coming from?

 

[Jaybe]

Where is this coming from?

November 2023 Circana

 

[Robb]

I think StarField will sell the most over time

 

[SmokedMeat]

Zelda on one platform was narrowly beaten by Hogwarts, which is on three.

Nintendo is a powerhouse.

 

[Mr Reasonable]

Zelda on one platform was narrowly beaten by Hogwarts, which is on three.

Nintendo is a powerhouse.

4? Pc/Xbox/Switch/PS (also, 2 consoles each for Xbox/PS)

 

[SmokedMeat]

4? Pc/Xbox/Switch/PS (also, 2 consoles each for Xbox/PS)

Completely forgot it was on Switch. That makes Zelda even more impressive.

 

[poppabk]

November 2023 Circana

That's US though, and assuming that MK and Starfield have equal popularity worldwide. Might be true - but FIFA 23 didn't sell a lot less than 3 million for example.

 

[RoboFu]

Backlash? Hurt sales?

Dude, it was among the three fastest-selling first-party games in PlayStation's history, only trailing behind Ragnarök and Helldivers II, while surpassing the sales of the original within a similar timeframe with half the consoles install base and without discounts. It was a massive, MASSIVE success.

Massive massive third place

I guess if you times it by 2 massive massives you can be up there with the others.

 

[SEGAvangelist]

Anyone else just vote like me?

 

[Jaybe]

That's US though, and assuming that MK and Starfield have equal popularity worldwide. Might be true - but FIFA 23 didn't sell a lot less than 3 million for example.

unfortunately in absence of official numbers, what we are left with trying to triangulate based on other games. Another comparative is Dead Island 2, that just recently announced 3 million games sold as of May 2024. It sold worse than Starfield in US but better than Starfield in Europe.

Dead Island 2 Has Sold Over 3 Million Copies

The action-adventure title also had over seven million players on Game Pass. Dambuster Studios has…

gamingbolt.com

 

[IDKFA]

I picked Hogwarts because HP is such a massive franchise.

I'm not surprised by Starfield's low sales. A majority of people would have just played it on Gamepass.

 

[IFireflyl]

Edit: I am a moron who lacks reading comprehension.

 

[lughnasadh123]

This one has been fun to revisit.

 

[Griffon]

As usual, I was right.

 

[Zannegan]

I guess I never voted because I remember this poll, and I recall being pretty torn between HP and Zelda coming in first. I probably would have given the nod to Zelda though, given the hype and that it was following a 30+ million seller. Never bet against Potter.

I guess TotK could get a second wind with a Switch 2 port and end up woth more lifetime sales. Then again, so could HL, and on more platforms to boot.

EDIT: I also thought SM2 would be a much stronger contender given the IP.