Plies
GAF's Nicest Lunch Thief and Nosiest Dildo Archeologist
In my weeb-tastic mind, I like to think that Japan would have thrived in isolation and eventually become a unique world power on their own.
However, I think this is a more realistic scenario had the Treaty of Kanagawa not been signed:
So, let's say the Shogunate in 1854 refuses Perry. Let's even say that the Americans shrug and go home for whatever reason, and we put a butterfly net in place to prevent anything immediately changing.
A few years later the Second Opium War is going to be fought, and that places not one but two well supplied European armies in the region, backed by a major fleet.
In this timeline, Japan is likely to be opened by Harry Parkes under the protection of the Royal Navy, or even falling into the hands of the French. Either scenario here would be disastrous, as the English and French have been proven to be poor long-term colonizers.
Am I spot on with my assessment?
However, I think this is a more realistic scenario had the Treaty of Kanagawa not been signed:
So, let's say the Shogunate in 1854 refuses Perry. Let's even say that the Americans shrug and go home for whatever reason, and we put a butterfly net in place to prevent anything immediately changing.
A few years later the Second Opium War is going to be fought, and that places not one but two well supplied European armies in the region, backed by a major fleet.
In this timeline, Japan is likely to be opened by Harry Parkes under the protection of the Royal Navy, or even falling into the hands of the French. Either scenario here would be disastrous, as the English and French have been proven to be poor long-term colonizers.
Am I spot on with my assessment?