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[berzeli]

Uh, so remember Suburbicon?
It's getting pretty mixed reviews coming in from Venice so far. It might not make it to $45 million.

So that is two down, and only mother! left from Venice. Here's my hot take on Paramount's future:

Downsizing reviewed well (90% RT), but I don't feel there is enough to go on yet to guess how it will play with audiences. The concept of the film is fairly out there, don't see it repeating something like Arrival's success.
Suburbicon, it could underperform with mixed reviews, but it still has a target audience. $45 million would be fine, under $30 million is probably failure territory.
mother! is a bit hamstrung since It is releasing the week before, potentially eating into mother!'s audience. Something not alleviated by what seems to be a poor marketing effort so far. Don't think it will break out, which it needs in order to save Paramount.
Daddy's Home 2 - It's probably going to be around Neighbors 2: Sorority Rising ($54 million) to Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2 ($71 million) which is not enough.

So yeah, the worst year for Paramount in the 2000s is probably happening.

 

[Gentleman Jack]

I don't know if it's a good or bad month for moviepass to be a thing.

It's a good month if you need to escape record breaking heat and just pick movies you can nap to.

 

[xXBetter Off DadXx]

I will finally get Killer Klowns 2.
Or Shakes the Clown 2.

BRO: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1979370/?ref_=nv_sr_2

 

[PhoncipleBone]

BRO: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1979370/?ref_=nv_sr_2

Original creators too. Hmm. They saw the Clown wave coming.

 

[Bronx-Man]

I don't know if it's a good or bad month for moviepass to be a thing.

I'd just wait until November/Dec. when Oscar season picks up. Plus Thor & Star Wars.

 

[Schlorgan]

Paramount Doom Watch

Time to get Justin Lin locked down for Star Trek movies.

 

[Bobby Roberts]

Time to get Justin Lin locked down for Star Trek movies.

Doesn't matter if Paramount can't sell the fucking things.

(they did Beyond so fucking dirty)

 

[Schlorgan]

Doesn't matter if Paramount can't sell the fucking things.

(they did Beyond so fucking dirty)

Just have him and Pegg adapt this comic set after Beyond.

It sells itself.

 

[kswiston]

Friday Studio Estimates

1) The Hitman's Bodyguard - $2.4M (-23%) - $48M total
2) Annabelle Creation - $1.8M (-28%) - $84M total
3) Wind River - $1.5M (+4%) - $14M total
4) Leap! - $1.1M (-34%) - $8M total
5) Logan Lucky - $1.1M (-22%) - $18M total
6) Dunkirk - $930k (-22%) - $176M total
7) Spider-Man Homecoming - $800k (-1%) - $321M total
8) Girls Trip - $585k (-26%) - $109M total
9) The Emoji Movie - $485M (-22%) - $78M total
10) Close Encounters - $470k

 

[hodayathink]

Wow, that's awful for a holiday weekend.

 

[GhaleonEB]

See Wind River, folks. It's brilliant.

 

[kswiston]

No one bothered to submit an official Friday Estimate for Inhumans yet, if you are wondering where it is.

 

[Pachimari]

Why?

For some odd reason I didn't feel like it. I think it was my anxiety kicking in to be honest.

But I am happy to have shared some of my coin with papa Feige.

 

[hodayathink]

So, I'm planning on using MoviePass for the first time this weekend and I'm trying to decide between Baby Driver, Wind River, or Logan L0ucky. Leaning towards Baby Driver since the other two should be in theaters for a little longer, giving me a chance to see them later.

For some odd reason I didn't feel like it. I think it was my anxiety kicking in to be honest.

But I am happy to have shared some of my coin with papa Feige.

Except Feige isn't involved in this at all. You just gave your money to Ike "personal friend of Trump" Perlmutter.

 

[Chamber]

430k for WW, still the most interesting thing at the box office.

 

[Pachimari]

Except Feige isn't involved in this at all. You just gave your money to Ike "personal friend of Trump" Perlmutter.

I know he is not involved. I'm just trying to make myself feel better for missing out on Inhumans lol.

 

[Bobby Roberts]

Close Encounters made the fuckin top 10.

Wow.

 

[GhaleonEB]

430k for WW, still the most interesting thing at the box office.

Dat 12% drop.

I think you're on WW as I was on Zootopia last year. :lol

 

[firelogic]

Gitesh has it at passing both this weekend but it'll be tighter with Iron Man 3, within a hair's breadth if it doesn't get there this weekend.

Oh right, I forgot it's a long weekend. Not too shabby, still pulling over a million this far into its run.

 

[Penguin]

430k for WW, still the most interesting thing at the box office.

Probably a slim chance, but does WW have enough in the tank to surpass inhumans this weekend?

 

[kswiston]

Probably a slim chance, but does WW have enough in the tank to surpass inhumans this weekend?

The chance looks like 100% if Deadline was close last night. Inhumans tanked.

 

[kswiston]

12 more hours to get in on the IT opening weekend prediction contest if you haven't already.

 

[Chamber]

Dat 12% drop.

I think you're on WW as I was on Zootopia last year. :lol

Checking the numbers for WW has become part of my morning routine, I don't know what I'm going to do when it's done.

 

[PhoncipleBone]

Checking the numbers for WW has become part of my morning routine, I don't know what I'm going to do when it's done.

Check home video sales for Valerian.

 

[Caode]

12 more hours to get in on the IT opening weekend prediction contest if you haven't already.

$82 million

 

[b&jy77VjiKn$#F]

Checking the numbers for WW has become part of my morning routine, I don't know what I'm going to do when it's done.

Don't worry, Justice League is out this November

 

[kswiston]

Is anyone still on the Justice League < BvS (domestically) bandwagon, or has Wonder Woman rekindled hope?

 

[Bronx-Man]

I'm keeping my fingers crossed that it can at least reach a 70% on RT.

Then again, I thought BvS could do the same...

 

[gamz]

12 more hours to get in on the IT opening weekend prediction contest if you haven't already.

In for 72m

 

[PhoncipleBone]

Is anyone still on the Justice League < BvS bandwagon, or has Wonder Woman rekindled hope?

Worldwide of domestic? I am thinking it will land somewhere really damn close on both fronts unless it is an absolute turd.

And still trying to think of how to punish DeathyBoy when JL fails to make as much as Avengers.

 

[kswiston]

And still trying to think of how to punish DeathyBoy when JL fails to make as much as Avengers.

Make him wear an "I stan for Inhumans" avatar.

 

[vinnygambini]

12 more hours to get in on the IT opening weekend prediction contest if you haven't already.

$78.2M

 

[PhoncipleBone]

Make him wear an "I stan for Inhumans" avatar.

Hmmm. An Inhumans avatar does sound good. Thank you for the suggestion. I still have months to plot.

 

[FTF]

Ok, looking into some tracking #s and the theater count, IT is going to be bigger than I thought. Upping my ow prediction to $76m.

I still think NFL hurts its Sun drop though.

 

[Biggest-Geek-Ever]

I can still see Justice League coming under BvS if the film is as much of a mess as its production.


Also, don't think it's been mentioned that Spider-Man: Homecoming will be within 200k of passing Suicide Squad after the long weekend.

 

[kswiston]

Ok, looking into some tracking #s and the theater count, IT is going to be bigger than I thought. Upping my ow prediction to $74m.

Go back and edit your original post if you haven't.

 

[FTF]

Go back and edit your original post if you haven't.

Thanks, edited my original post on the last page.

 

[Lifeline]

12 more hours to get in on the IT opening weekend prediction contest if you haven't already.

$69 million

 

[Saucycarpdog]

12 more hours to get in on the IT opening weekend prediction contest if you haven't already.

I'm sticking with my previous prediction.

I'm gonna be that guy.

$80+ million OW for IT.

 

[kswiston]

Also, don't think it's been mentioned that Spider-Man: Homecoming will be within 200k of passing Suicide Squad after the long weekend.

Homecoming is still looking good for $330M. Suicide Squad made another $4M after its 9th weekend of $1.9M. Homecoming should make close to $3M this weekend, plus whatever Monday brings in. Next weekend's drop will probably be steep (coming off a holiday, and having IT open), but there's not a ton for families (or teens who can't get into R-rated films) out there until Ninjago.

 

[Phamit]

12 more hours to get in on the IT opening weekend prediction contest if you haven't already.

$ 73.5 million

 

[Chamber]

Firmly in the camp of Justice League > Wonder Woman as far as the box office goes.

 

[Bobby Roberts]

Hmmm. An Inhumans avatar does sound good. Thank you for the suggestion. I still have months to plot.

 

[snap]

I'm sticking with my previous prediction.

really? that actually surprises me, the last time i saw it was relatively recently and in a post-transformers 4 light i started to wonder if that whole sequence was there to get chinese approval

IT:87M

audiences are THIRSTY and this will be the first movie moviepass people can go to (all three of them who have their cards already)

Spoiler

i'm one of those three

 

[kswiston]

Firmly in the camp of Justice League > Wonder Woman as far as the box office goes.

I am definitely in that camp worldwide.

I am leaning that way domestically, but if reviews are terrible again, I'd expect something closer to BvS. Maybe $350M.

 

[Penguin]

I'm going to go with 71.8 for IT

 

[PhoncipleBone]

In theater now for Close Encounters. Had to drive an hour to get here, and it's RPX. First time seeing something in this kinda auditorium. Should be good for $19 a ticket.

 

[Freeza Under The Shower]

Hmm, it's been a while since I've done this, but there's nothing to compete with really and WOM is positive, so...

85 million OW for IT, just to be above Bronson.

It's hard to estimate what would be realistic for a horror movie in today's America though. #COTUS

 

[Random Human]

IT for $76m.

 

[LordOfLore]

In theater now for Close Encounters. Had to drive an hour to get here, and it's RPX. First time seeing something in this kinda auditorium. Should be good for $19 a ticket.

Post impressions later!