• Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.

Wkd BO 0825-2717 - Guys & doll cut dancer off at knees, Hawkeye & Wanda team up meh

‘Close Encounters’ Reissue Is The Only Thursday Preview As Exhibitors Brace For A Brutal Labor Day Weekend

Lionsgate’s action comedy The Hitman’s Bodyguard will earn the No. 1 slot easily with $10M over four-days this weekend, the only summer pic to hold the top spot for three weekends in a row this season. However, there’s no competition! Last night, the Ryan Reynolds-Samuel L. Jackson pic drew $1M at 3,377 locations for a two week running cume of $44.7M.

The only title to preview was Sony’s 4K re-release of Steven Spielberg’s Oscar-winning 1977 sci-fi epic Close Encounters of the Third Kind which drew $95K at 809 locations that started at 7PM.
...
Close Encounters will be playing at 901 locations, which includes 444 premium large format screens, and industry estimates figure that the Spielberg classic will make around $3M.

Imax will be playing Marvel TV’s pilot Inhumans at 393 sites; weekend estimates on title are also around $2M for four-days.
 

DMczaf

Member
China's Version of Nolan History

DIoE_UHUwAANbtj.jpg


China didn't release TDK due to the HK scene
 
So wait, predictions are that Close Encounters is going to beat Inhumans by a mil already?

Back to wondering whether Inhumans will actually cross 1mil total.
 

kswiston

Member
Tracking for Kingsman 2 is 40-45M

Tracking for Ninjango is 35-40M

Edit: Sony is also heading a remake of The Crow now.
 

berzeli

Banned
In Paramount is doomed news:
boxoffice.com has Suburbicon at a $45 million total, which is $5 million under the temp figure I've had it at for my "worst year for Paramount in the 2000s" calculations.

In Paramount might not be doomed news:
boxoffice.com raised their mother! total by 33% to $36 million. Which still isn't great.
 

kswiston

Member
Starring the son of Brandon Lee...

Bronson Lee

I don't know if I would want to continue that family legacy.

Edit: boxoffice.com upped their IT forecast to $70M. We should finally start seeing some interesting predictions next week though. Like their initial prediction for Ragnarok.
 
I have contributed my $8 CDN to Marvel's Inhumans - The IMAX Experience.

It's nice to feel like I'm such a big part of a small cause.
 

berzeli

Banned
This is the first I've even heard of "Suburbicon"

Jesus.
It's scripted by the Coens, starring Matt Damon, and Clooney is helming it, not saying that you should have seen the trailer or know the plot or anything but you should have heard it being mentioned.

Unless Paramount overspent on it, $45 million (most of it coming from white people ages 35 and up) is about where it should be.
mother! at $36m seems low though no?
They might raise it again, Paramount did some weird non-promotion of it for a while so it didn't have a profile.
Then again, It releases the week before.

I think a lot will depend on how it's received in Venice.
 

enigmatic_alex44

Whenever a game uses "middleware," I expect mediocrity. Just see how poor TLOU looks.
Is "Wind River" any good? Like, see it at the theater good?

I was hoping to go to the theater this long weekend and it's the only well reviewed movie playing I haven't seen ("starring Jeremy Renner" doesn't exactly motivate).
 
Deadline updated their article.

Out of the fresh limited crop, Imax’s presentation of the Marvel TV pilot Inhumans looks to be the best as of this minute with an estimated $2.3M at 393 sites over FSSM.

Close Encounters is playing at 901 locations, which includes 444 premium large format screens, and industry estimates currently figure that the Spielberg classic will make $2.1M in four days after a $585K start today.
 
Is "Wind River" any good? Like, see it at the theater good?

I was hoping to go to the theater this long weekend and it's the only well reviewed movie playing I haven't seen ("starring Jeremy Renner" doesn't exactly motivate).

If you've seen Sicario and Hell or High Water, it's kind of a combination of the two (and if not then check them out).

It's a pretty harrowing drama that manages to have some levity when it needs it. It's prettu good, I'd recommend it.

And hey, Jeremy Renner's pretty good when some major studio isn't trying to force him down our throats as the next big action star.
 

Miles X

Member
Judging by BoxOffice, IT looks to have the biggest open and lifetime over the fall season. Upgraded to $70m OW there.

IT continues to trend in unprecedented territory for a horror release. Social media footprints — even with restrictive search strings due to the generic film title — have been noticeably stronger than The Conjuring, Annabelle, and Insidious: Chapter 2. All signs point to a true event horror film.
 

enigmatic_alex44

Whenever a game uses "middleware," I expect mediocrity. Just see how poor TLOU looks.
If you've seen Sicario and Hell or High Water, it's kind of a combination of the two (and if not then check them out).

It's a pretty harrowing drama that manages to have some levity when it needs it. It's prettu good, I'd recommend it.

And hey, Jeremy Renner's pretty good when some major studio isn't trying to force him down our throats as the next big action star.

Wow, thanks.

Sicario was good and Hell or High Water was excellent, so that's some high praise. Looks like I may see WR this weekend.

(also, Renner is okay but he's not leading man material, as that awful Bourne movie proved)
 

Miles X

Member
Wonder how the high expecations of IT will pan out overseas. It seems pretty popular here in the UK. Conjuring universe has done much better internationally, but then films like Insideous and Sinister did 50/50 domestic/international. Not sure what you can really compare IT to ....

Conjuring - $137/$180
Conjuring 2 - $102/$218
Annabelle - $84/$174
Creation - $81/$139*

If IT reaches $175 domestic, maybe $500m WW is possible!
 

kswiston

Member
So the top Friday film is expected to come in just over $2M, and maybe 2-3 others will break $1M today. There's a chance that Thursday previews for the Last Jedi will top the entire Top 12 this weekend.

People who want to get in on the IT contest still have about 30 hours to do so. I will post the aggregated predictions in the new thread.

It looks like you guys range from $1 to $100M

Not that my guess counts, but I will stick with my method from the Spider-Man contest and say $1 over I am Legend's opening weekend of $77,211,321
 

berzeli

Banned
Eh, fuck it let's go with $72 million for IT.

That might be a bit high, but it has good buzz and you should never underestimate horror films.
The Aronofsky movie is already coming out in two weeks? What? Seriously?
And this is why the initial estimate was sub $30 million.

Paramount really need to hope for excellent Venice (and Toronto) word of mouth. I have no idea what they were doing with it, wasn't there some talk of it only receiving trailers with no footage at one point?
 

p2535748

Member
It's scripted by the Coens, starring Matt Damon, and Clooney is helming it, not saying that you should have seen the trailer or know the plot or anything but you should have heard it being mentioned.

Unless Paramount overspent on it, $45 million (most of it coming from white people ages 35 and up) is about where it should be.

It's based on a script from 1986. I love the Coens, but the track record of stuff they wrote but did not direct coupled with the fact that they've left this on the shelf for 30 years doesn't exactly fill me with confidence.
 
It's scripted by the Coens, starring Matt Damon, and Clooney is helming it, not saying that you should have seen the trailer or know the plot or anything but you should have heard it being mentioned.

100% bupkes. I didn't even know it was a movie until you just said something.

Crazy.
 

berzeli

Banned
It's based on a script from 1986. I love the Coens, but the track record of stuff they wrote but did not direct coupled with the fact that they've left this on the shelf for 30 years doesn't exactly fill me with confidence.
Clooney has reworked it, and he's probably the best of the recent batch of actors turned directors. So it has that going for it.
Also Bridge of Spies was based on a Coens' script.
100% bupkes. I didn't even know it was a movie until you just said something.

Crazy.
lol, that $45 million prediction might be a best case scenario then.
The realistic range for the film starts at about The Informant!-The Men Who Stare at Goats (i.e. ~$33 million). If it does less than that...

But you know, it's not like Paramount is doing a great job of selling the film. The trailer is fine but takes like a minute before it starts selling the concept of the film the trailer just changes tone completely after that point and gets closer to what I think the film is aiming for. (and the first 10-15 seconds are just bad and shouldn't be in the first trailer)
Doesn't help that the poster is pretty bland.
 
Top Bottom