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Yahoo NFL Pick 'em

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he made one? i thought he only made the survival one, which is very different. though i could be wrong....
 
I just set my picks today(preliminary, but I can't imagine much will change my mind in the last two weeks of preseason) and I've got to say. I've never been less sure of a week's NFL picks, ever. The first week is usually tough, but I can't say I'm entirely comfortable with giving any game between 12 and 16 confidence points.

I have no idea who I'll go for in the survival game.
 
Eminem said:
yeah, this is a very tough opening week. in survival i went with the rams


I can't in good conscience ever go with the Rams in survival. Granted, "Pick whoever is playing the 9ers this week" worked fairly well last year, but I don't think they'll go 2-14 again(I don't think they'll go better than 4-12, but it's still poorer odds).

Even Pittsburgh is tough to pick because they generally start out badly. And I don't want to pick the Pats so early. At the moment, I'm leaning towards the Bengals...now I've got to go take a shower.
 
Archaix said:
I can't in good conscience ever go with the Rams in survival. Granted, "Pick whoever is playing the 9ers this week" worked fairly well last year, but I don't think they'll go 2-14 again(I don't think they'll go better than 4-12, but it's still poorer odds).

Even Pittsburgh is tough to pick because they generally start out badly. And I don't want to pick the Pats so early. At the moment, I'm leaning towards the Bengals...now I've got to go take a shower.

Even still, Jackson and Holt have looked real good this pre-season, and even the starting D wasn't in bad shape.

Fellow GAF football heads, the tickets are out and I have one in my hand. The pro-matchups are as follows:

Denver over Miami +6
Cinci over Cleveland +4
Buff over Houston +6
Pitt over Tenn +7
Wash over Chicago +6
Carolina over NO +7
Minn over Tampa +6
Jax over Seattle +3
KC over the Jets +3
NYG over the Cards +3
STL over SF +6
Detroit over GB +3 (:lol)
SD over Dal +4
Indy over Balt +3

I want to take four of them, which ones do you guys think are locks. I'm thinking Cinci over Cleveland, GB covering (I think they will easily win), Denver, and I am thinking of taking the under (33) between chicago and washington. What do you guys think!? Make me some money. :D
 
Bengals over Browns
Vikings over Bucs
Rams over 49ers
Broncos over Dolphins
Redskins over Bears






I went with Detroit in our pick 'em league. Just watch.
 
Hey Eminem, did you forget that you created one already? This is the one you posted on page 3 of the official NFL week one thread.

http://football.fantasysports.yahoo.com/pickem

Group ID#: 30328
Group Password: gaf


Anyways, I've tried joining the one you posted in this thread, but got an error because the group is full.

Edit: Currently 30 members in this group.
 
What's the O/U on the Jags/Seahawks game? If it's 26 or more I'd take the Under since it's going to be SUPER MESSY here.
 
Laguna X said:
Hey Eminem, did you forget that you created one already?


yeah, but this one uses confidence points. makes things a lot harder. the one in the official thread is more for just the regulars in that thread, so no one has to set up some complicated system like mig tried last year
 
Cerebral Palsy - 1
DMczaf - 10
Wellington - 4
FrenchMovietheme - 7

Above are the names and confidence points (out of 16) of people who picked Oakland over New England. Guess you couldn't understand the butterfly ballot. :lol
 
Matlock said:
Cerebral Palsy - 1
DMczaf - 10
Wellington - 4
FrenchMovietheme - 7

Above are the names and confidence points (out of 16) of people who picked Oakland over New England. Guess you couldn't understand the butterfly ballot. :lol

?

New England having lost Ty Law and Tedy Bruschi was not as attractive a pick to me as an Oakland team that had gained so much. Midway through the second I was feeling real good about my pick.

I'm assuming you picked the Pats, Mat? Why? Because they won the superbowl last year? Because their coaching staff (that is missing two key components from last year in Romeo Crennel and Charlie Weiss) is godly? Because your 'friends' did? The fact of the matter is, if you even saw the game, had the Raiders played the kind of D that they played late - the game would have been totally different.

I don't understand the butterfly ballot? Maybe you should shut the fuck up about a sport you still know very little about friend.
 
Wellington said:
?

New England having lost Ty Law and Tedy Bruschi was not as attractive a pick to me as an Oakland team that had gained so much. Midway through the second I was feeling real good about my pick.

I'm assuming you picked the Pats, Mat? Why? Because they won the superbowl last year? Because their coaching staff (that is missing two key components from last year in Romeo Crennel and Charlie Weiss) is godly? Because your 'friends' did? The fact of the matter is, if you even saw the game, had the Raiders played the kind of D that they played late - the game would have been totally different.

I don't understand the butterfly ballot? Maybe you should shut the fuck up about a sport you still know very little about friend.

Wow so defensive...

Raider gains were pretty much eliminated by the fact that Kerry Collins was the QB... that's the reality.

As for the Pats they lost the OC and the DC yes... but they still had most of the same players and the same head coach... and the system pretty much stayed the same, it's a system that a bunch of them have been playing on for awhile... so it's not like they got a whole bunch of new folks and had to develop new offensive and defensive systems... what they had in place was well known by the majority of the players and it already had been proven to work many times over...
 
Although the Pats are not quite the team they were last year, the advantage was still in their hands--Bill Belichick. Even though there were a couple of huge changes in the roster and staff, I sat back and thought to myself...Over the last few years, constant changes on the team hadn't really impeded progress.

On the other side of the ball, you have a team that, on paper, looks excellent. Lots of veterans with stats behind them. But...they don't really meld together well as a team. Is it the fault of Norv Turner mediocre coach extraordinaire? Is it the fault of the massive egos?

...who knows.

What I do know is that when I looked at the teams historically and stat-wise, and didn't just "follow my friends" (other than Bowser, all of the core GAF Sports Clique supported the Raiders, nice coincidence!), I came up with the conclusion that the Patriots were ultimately the stronger team with a much better chance of winning.

'course, last night was scary for a half, as the Raiders were playing at a level that reminded me more of the Vikings than anything else. They showed promise, I admit...but the second half came up, and things just turned back to the Pats. Collins remembered who he was, the defense cracked here and there, and the Pats pulled it out. Have to give props to the Oakland D and special teams, because they did some nice things here and there...but after their performance tonight, I seriously doubt they'll make a wild card spot, much less break .500.


P.S. Butterfly ballot is what lead to misvotes for Buchanon over Gore in Florida. Too old of a reference?

P.P.S. I don't care if I'm wrong the rest of the season, but jesus christ...picking Oakland over New England? That's an anomoly, further evidenced by nearly 90% of Yahoo fantasy sports users picking New England.
 
Darien: Yeah I know, I just really really hate Matlock. Hrm maybe hate is too weak of a word.

Matlock said:
Although the Pats are not quite the team they were last year, the advantage was still in their hands--Bill Belichick. Even though there were a couple of huge changes in the roster and staff, I sat back and thought to myself...Over the last few years, constant changes on the team hadn't really impeded progress.

On the other side of the ball, you have a team that, on paper, looks excellent. Lots of veterans with stats behind them. But...they don't really meld together well as a team. Is it the fault of Norv Turner mediocre coach extraordinaire? Is it the fault of the massive egos?

...who knows.

What I do know is that when I looked at the teams historically and stat-wise, and didn't just "follow my friends" (other than Bowser, all of the core GAF Sports Clique supported the Raiders, nice coincidence!), I came up with the conclusion that the Patriots were ultimately the stronger team with a much better chance of winning.

'course, last night was scary for a half, as the Raiders were playing at a level that reminded me more of the Vikings than anything else. They showed promise, I admit...but the second half came up, and things just turned back to the Pats. Collins remembered who he was, the defense cracked here and there, and the Pats pulled it out. Have to give props to the Oakland D and special teams, because they did some nice things here and there...but after their performance tonight, I seriously doubt they'll make a wild card spot, much less break .500.


P.S. Butterfly ballot is what lead to misvotes for Buchanon over Gore in Florida. Too old of a reference?

P.P.S. I don't care if I'm wrong the rest of the season, but jesus christ...picking Oakland over New England? That's an anomoly, further evidenced by nearly 90% of Yahoo fantasy sports users picking New England.

I know what the butterfly ballot is, twit. The only non-anecdotal thing in your entire post was that nearly 90% of Yahoo fantasy sports users picked NE to win it. We'll see how it goes the rest of the season. Maybe your "looking at teams historically and stat-wise" is something sports analysts should look into. As for me, in season opening games between two teams that have had as much off-season upheaval as these two, it's a crap shoot.
 
Matlock said:
Cerebral Palsy - 1
DMczaf - 10
Wellington - 4
FrenchMovietheme - 7

Above are the names and confidence points (out of 16) of people who picked Oakland over New England. Guess you couldn't understand the butterfly ballot. :lol

I went with Oakland because...

1) New offensive coordinator for the Pats
2) New defensive coordinator for the Pats
3) Half of the linebackers are new for the Pats
4) The Pats' run defense looked horrible in the preseason with starters
5) I figured Moss could pull a play or two out of his ass to win a close game
6) Oakland defense looked a lot better in the preseason
7) As much as I hate the Raiders, I AM FUCKING SICK OF THE PATS.

Not like I backed up my pick with 16 confidence points or something. I lost a whole two points in that pick. And if the Raiders defense actually showed up for the first half of the game it could have been very different. Anyway, I'm not losing sleep over the pick. A game that really could have went either way, and minimal points at stake.


p.s. fuck you
 
Cerebral Palsy said:
7) As much as I hate the Raiders, I AM FUCKING SICK OF THE PATS.

Not like I backed up my pick with 16 confidence points or something. I lost a whole two points in that pick. And if the Raiders defense actually showed up for the first half of the game it could have been very different. Anyway, I'm not losing sleep over the pick. A game that really could have went either way, and minimal points at stake.

I have to agree with point 7, and don't really look at you as much as the other (I admit, a 1 point thing is a fair assessment), but I'm more pointing towards those who threw away fair amounts of points on a game that was almost assured.
 
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