For a company that wanted to win, where's my $299 SKU with Kinect and $199 Kinectless SKU? Where's the no Gold paywall for MP?
To me, my rational belief is that if MS were really attempting to do something insane, Sony of all people wouldn't take it lying down. They know, how potentially fatal a megaton XB1 exclusive will be. If MS were able to lay blank cheques for all that, I find it hard to believe that Sony wouldn't counter with something of their own, if only to maintain parity.
Any business, rationally, looks internally first to address their issues before working with external people on it, because relationships change as swiftly as the wind in businesses. I can believe MS dropping prices, I can believe MS signing multiple first-party exclusives, but suddenly going to the insane depths of exclusifying a major 3rd-party franchise at the scale of a megaton?
I find that hard to believe.