Eh, it'll be multiple years, or include a multi-year non-compete clause, or both.
I'm not saying he can't bide his time. I'd jump on this deal in a heartbeat if I were him.
Most of the deals tend to be for a year or two. That's plenty of time for him to secretly develop a concept while he waits to be released. He don't gotta tell Microsoft's he's working on a concept from the comfort of his newly purchased palatial mansion!
Your last few posts seem to have drifted into "Microsoft's only play is to fuck with everyone else" territory. I think you ended up concluding the real scenario though: it's not a bad business strategy.
They're not mutually exclusive. Microsoft's strategy IS to fuck Sony at any cost. To me, it makes a lot of sense why they continue to receive so much ire from gaming. That much is clear at this point. They view taking games out of Sony or Nintendo's console is the way to victory, versus cultivating their own first party studios and making their own hits.
But it's ALSO a good business strategy. If I were Microsoft, I could definitely see the intelligence behind it. Points people make frequently have a lot more nuance than people like giving them credit for. There's multifaceted aspects to people's viewpoints
In a time where games are incredibly expensive to make (and where the name on the box often matters more than what the game contains), buying or securing exclusivity deals for already successful IP is not a bad business strategy. Some people may carry "scorn" over such practices, but I doubt they are anything but the isolated minority that cares enough about how these deals go down. The average person probably isn't going to know or care. In the end it's just business conducts, so I can't find a reason for me to either boo or cheer them on. It goes without saying, of course, that these companies aren't in it to win the hearts of the isolated minority, but the wallets of the masses.
Even if Microsoft spent these supposed 2 billion on creating their own Minecraft, it still wouldn't become the next Minecraft.
Everything's an isolated minority right up until they keep looking at the market and continue to see the result of scorned gamers.
Some things are overblown, and again I think this is smart business and if I were them I'd pursue it. But at this point it is a little hard to be endeared to them as a gamer. I'm against, for example, Sony's exclusive DLC deal with Destiny. I'm against timed exclusivity periods. And I'm against shit like this, which servers simply to diminish gamers access to a franchise they have traditionally had access to everywhere (save Nintendo's console, but I'm sure that'd eventually come once the stars aligned if this deal was not made).
I'm an equal opportunity critic. The issue simply is Microsoft does this shit much more than their competitors, and it understandably angers many of the fans. Many consumers cannot purchase multiple consoles, these are expensive items. It's one thing to do it for a new franchise which you're investing in and which has no history elsewhere. For me, it's another when you start inhibiting access for series that are on legions of platforms and people have grown to expect that sort of access.
Again, nuanced viewpoint. You can see me criticizing Sony's Destiny year DLC exclusivity for another example of my perspective on this.
All of this is independent from whether I evaluate something is a good business deal or not. I can acknowledge I think this is a good business deal while simultaneously thinking it's a net negative for gamers.
King Tubby said:
There is almost certainly a non-compete clause specifically to avoid this kind of scenario.
There's no way Notch would sign something that would prevent him from permanently making any more games. It'd be more like a traditional clause, something like he can't make anything for a year or two after the deal is signed.
That's the only possible thing that would shock me - if Notch signed some deal that took him out of game development forever. From everything I've read and heard from Notch, that's not the type of guy he is. Notch enjoys making games.