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[4Tran]

Avatar is designed for general audiences, not genre fans. There's a fair bit of vitriol over it, but that vitriol seems to be generally confined to geek audiences. This group is well represented on the internet, but it only represents a very small portion of Avatar's overall viewership.

For general viewers, the story and characters were only a small part of the draw. Avatar's main draw was Pandora itself, and I expect a similar appeal for Avatar 2. The only way the film will fall short of being a huge hit is if Cameron's visual imagination somehow fails, but I don't see that happening. That doesn't mean that Avatar 2 will necessarily make as much money as it's predecessor, but it will still extremely successful.

 

[CreepingFear]

why does star wars hype always work on me.... dammit!

Did you see Ratatouille? I think it's kind of like that scene with the food critic.

 

[Cheebo]

You know what this picture says to me? 2 billion worldwide at the boxoffice:

 

[BLACKLAC]

You know what this picture says to me? 2 billion worldwide at the boxoffice:

No chance with the baggage of the prequels weighing it down.

 

[CreepingFear]

No chance with the baggage of the prequels weighing it down.

It will have been 10 years since the last film when 7 comes out. I don't think that will hold it down. I don't know about 2 Billion though.

 

[TacticalFox88]

No chance with the baggage of the prequels weighing it down.

VII needs to be a SLAM DUNK quality wise.

If it's just merely average or "good", it's gonna sink like a rock after the first few weeks.

 

[AniHawk]

No chance with the baggage of the prequels weighing it down.

this will have a direct connection to the original trilogy going on with more of the original characters played by the original actors than just ian mcdiarmid.

 

[BLACKLAC]

It will have been 10 years since the last film when 7 comes out. I don't think that will hold it down. I don't know about 2 Billion though.

this will have a direct connection to the original trilogy going on with more of the original characters played by the original actors than just ian mcdiarmid.

And how many years since the last good SW? I'm not saying the prequels are going to cripple its box-office, hell if it's awesome it could hit Avengers 1 numbers. It just has too much going against it (time, new generation, lingering bad taste in mouth) for 2 Billion.

All bets are off for VIII though if VII is great.

 

[4Tran]

No chance with the baggage of the prequels weighing it down.

There is no real baggage for the Star Wars films: Revenge of the Sith made a lot of money, and it's generally well received by general audiences. What back lash exists on the internet only really applies to film geeks, and film geeks only represent a small portion of the potential audience.

If the Force Awakens doesn't make a lot of money, it will be either because the film isn't good enough, or because it doesn't connect with audiences very well. If you want to see a film series which is declining due to audience disfavor, look to the Transformer films. The latest one did relatively poorly domestically, and the films have declined there since the peak at Transformers 2. It's still doing okay worldwide because of China's boxoffice, but at least the audience disfavor is material.

 

[CreepingFear]

And how many years since the last good SW? I'm not saying the prequels are going to cripple its box-office, hell if it's awesome I expect Avengers 1 numbers. It just has too much going against it (time, new generation, lingering bad taste in mouth) for 2 Billion.

All bets are off for VIII though if VII is great.

Plus, think off the multiple generations of people seeing it. There are people my age(32) with children now that grew up on these films and will pass that love down.

 

[Cheebo]

No chance with the baggage of the prequels weighing it down.

Revenge of the Sith still made 800 million in 2005 (over a billion adjusted for inflated ticket prices) and this was well before the worldwide box office explosion AND despite coming very quickly after the poorly received TPM and AOTC.

Even if Force Awakens was awful it'd still surpass 1.5 billion just on the power of the franchise.

 

[AngmarsKing701]

when does Incredibles 2 hit? Because that's another one that has a shot at the top 5

 

[shinobi602]

1. Avengers: Age of Ultron
2. Avatar 2
3. Star Wars Episode VII
4. Batman vs Superman
5. Jurassic World

 

[TheKaeptain]

No chance with the baggage of the prequels weighing it down.

Here's the thing though. The majority of the people like the prequels because they see them as entertainment just like people find the Transformers films to be fun. The overly critical consensus is a very geek thing. Which is why you see it represented strongly on boards like NeoGaf or sites like Badass Digest. Revenge of the Sith is well liked with a lot of people. There is no real baggage when it comes to Star Wars.

 

[hodayathink]

when does Incredibles 2 hit? Because that's another one that has a shot at the top 5

They just announced they were working on that this year. If it comes out in the next 3 years, it would be at the very tail end of that time period. As it is, I'm thinking 2018 or so is probably likely.

 

[LaNaranja]

1. Avatar 2: Electric Boogaloo
2. Star Wars Episode 7
3. Avengers Age of Ultron
4. Captain America Civil War
5. Batman v Superman

There is no way in hell I am betting against Cameron. The film may not be as huge as the first one domestically but internationally it will be huge. Star Wars will also be huge. Ever since the first Star Wars came out the children of the world have found Star Wars cool and interesting. They have consistently had a presence on TV and toy aisles. It will be huge. Avengers Age of Ultron will likely be even bigger than the first, but how much bigger I'm not sure. Civil War has Iron Man (the worlds current favorite super hero) fighting Captain America. The trailers and posters will have people hyped to hell and back. Batman v Superman is Batman and Superman both on screen at the same time. It will undoubtably do well, and has the potential to be huge, maybe even bigger than Civil War and Avengers, if word of mouth is good.

Even if I am wrong, these five films without a doubt will make crazy monies.

 

[darkistheway]

The Force Awakens
Avatar 2
Avengers 2
Captain America 3
GotG 2

 

[SCULLIBUNDO]

5. Jurassic World

Between all the super hero and sci-fi movies I fully expect Jurassic World to do Jurrassic Park number with the 3d factored in. Chris Pratt coming off of GotG will help too.

4. Jurassic World $1B if good. $850M if it's average

I think Jurassic World could be huge as it will be the first major JP movie in this expanding worldwide movie market. If it's actually good, I definitely see it hitting a Bil.

5.) Jurassic World

4. Jurassic World

5. Jurassic World

Nothing set in stone yet, but these guys seem to be in good stead this weekend.

 

[Penguin]

How many people pegged Furious 7?

 

[Currygan]

Fast 8

Avengers 3

Star Wars

Avatar 2

Civil War

 

[SCULLIBUNDO]

Fast 8

Avengers 3

Star Wars

Avatar 2

Civil War

Voting closed, breh. You don't get the benefit of hindsight.

 

[YaGaMi]

How many people pegged Furious 7?

Don't think many saw that being the huge hit its become.

 

[SCULLIBUNDO]

Another trailer hit. Another case of sold out pre-booking theatres.

Let's take stock of the bets we've placed.

 

[hodayathink]

Came across this thread in my subs. Decided to look it up. Turns out none of the movies this year would have made the top 5 last year (Minions beat out Civil War by 6,000 dollars). So the top 5 for the past 2 years is, at the moment:

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens
2. Jurassic World
3. Furious 7
4. Avengers: Age of Ultron
5. Minions

With the 5 following them being the top 4 movies of this year and a movie that is considered by some a bomb:

• Captian America: Civil War
• Finding Dory
• Zootopia
• The Jungle Book
• Spectre

Batman vs. Superman is 11th, about 7,000 behind Spectre.