Well, it's not like it's underperforming overseas, per se- it's probably going to be the third-biggest overseas gross ever. It's just that America loves it so exceedingly much that it's skewing the percentages. I'm pretty sure the original Star Wars theatrical release has a lot to do with that.
Wkd Box Office 1225-2715 - Star Wars never changes. 1B+ global BO for new record
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Well, it's not like it's underperforming overseas, per se- it's probably going to be the third-biggest overseas gross ever. It's just that America loves it so exceedingly much that it's skewing the percentages. I'm pretty sure the original Star Wars theatrical release has a lot to do with that.
This is stupid. I'm more concerned with the film in the hands of the next director
American audiences have been hammered with references to it for decades, not to mention EU stuff that is very US centric, also remember that "nerd culture" is a US thing, the rest of the world is ok with almost every blockbuster, Star Wars does very good overseas, it's not a super cultural phenomenon, but it's a great blockbuster, one of the biggest for sure.
BronsonLee
Member
You have TWO good people and two evil demons
Star Wars is doing comparable numbers (adjusting for size differences in each market) in the UK, Australia, and Canada, so maybe it's more of an English world thing.
It stinks that we will lose that 2 weekends over $150M stat if that's true.
That does happen to be the exact number I came up with for the weekend last Wednesday though. A softer Sunday than I predicted compensated for the slightly stronger Friday and Saturday.
I am going to guess about 30% average drops over the weekdays this week. That would be $107M, or just under $650M by the end of Dec 31st. That probably puts Avatar just out of reach by the end of Weekend 3 unless the weekdays are stronger than my estimate.
BronsonLee
Member
NOT A RECORD DOHOHOHOHOOO - Nikki Finke
Disney should just bump up the number and tell anyone that questions it to suck their mouse
I do understand that it does do very well worldwide. But I, certainly somewhat americanophile, as a European fail to see why it's doing so much (comparatively speaking) worse than in the US. Especially when comparing Star Wars to the superhero movies or even Transformers, which seem way more us-centric than Star Wars. Or am I just blinded by my perception of what would suit which audience? But why? I... I probably need an art historian to explain that one to me.
BronsonLee
Member
Star Wars is performing like Star Wars in the US and like a big blockbuster everywhere else.
That's the best explanation one can give.
That's the best explanation one can give.
Disney is known for not padding numbers. They let Gnomio and Juliet die at $99,967,670 domestic. Hercules was taken out of theatres less than $1M shy of the $100M PR barrier too.
BronsonLee
Member
Calm waterfall
Banned
While i don´t agree with that line, the remake does not have to be word for word or scene for scene identical. Most of the movie is similar to ANH, from plot to characters, to journey.
vinnygambini
Why are strippers at the U.N. bad when they're great at strip clubs???
Yeah, that's right, I forgot about Donauplex. I guess being far away from me and no OV put it off my radar.
And yes, all the "Real 3d" shows don't have too many bookings on the following days.
Revised estimates for The Big Short and Daddy's home are basically the same as yesterday. I'm still surprised that Daddy's Home made close to $39M last weekend. Granted I don't really watch much TV, but that's one of those films that I didn't even know existed until pretty close to release.
StopMakingSense
Member
Also, the USD is extremely strong at the moment compared to many currencies, due a few factors.
mckmas8808
Mckmaster uses MasterCard to buy Slave drives
At the minimum it's a sequel first and foremost.
Guileless
Temp Banned for Remedial Purposes
My theory: for a lot of us, the originals were released when we were kids, and then we got the toys, and we spent hours playing with the toys. This was long enough ago that home video game systems were rare and exotic, you had maybe 20 channels if you were lucky, and obviously there was no internet, so by default we played with Star Wars toys. That creates a very strong connection that probably isn't possible with entertainment options what they are now. Now we want to take our own kids.
mckmas8808
Mckmaster uses MasterCard to buy Slave drives
But also different in many of it's own ways.
Michael F. Assbender
Banned
I like this take on it.
Man, Point Break actually did better than I expected. I thought it would go the Victor Frankenstein route.
China probably telling them that the date is releasing on was the most immediate slot that they could accommodate for them.
What's the week over week drop without the Thursday previews? The daily excludes them but the weekly has it in the mix. Looks like it should be around 20%.
Around 22%.
SillyEskimo
Member
In The Heart of the Sea is an amazing bomb. It's not even playing in local theaters anymore, 3 weeks after release.
Only 34 foreign films can be shown per year, and January 9 is a month before Chinese New Years holiday (when local films dominate the box office bonanza)
half a moon
Banned
Not here either. Trololol
A brain fart on my part, as I misread the current 544 million domestic total as 454 million.
I've since revised my domestic gross to be ~ 680-740 million.
WW I've left it at less than 1.7 billion.
You are seriously doubling down?? It's going to be over 700 mil domestic by next week. Next week! You have no idea whatsoever what you are taking about here man.
It will be well over 600 mil before Friday and is on track to do another 100 million this upcoming weekend.
Your high end prediction will be over little over 3 weeks on the market.
I am completely baffled by this post. Doubling down after everyone explains why you are waaaaaaaaaay off. You are staking a high end for a movie that will be past that point 3 weeks into release. Wow.
half a moon
Banned
^lol
It's going to pass your revised prediction by next week.
Either this guy has no idea how box office numbers works or he thinks movies are only out for 3 weekends.
half a moon
Banned
That's a reality for in the heart of the sea lol
It will make more than a billion overseas. It's doubtful it will pass Titanic's overseas gross, though.
Less than 1.7 billion.
Star Wars is a cultural phenomena mostly concentrated in the West, specifically in NA.
Jurassic world, for instance, performed well WW because who doesn't like dinosaurs?
I watched Avatar in theatres 3 times.
All in 3D.
Can someone reverse this gif lol
God, I hated what Lucas did to the originals. Seriously WTF.
You do realize it's already outdoing Jurassic World overall for the countries it is in right? 1 billion is locked overseas. That is NOT in question for this film.
And your beyond insane domestic total that will be surpassed in less than a WEEK is literally impossible unless the world ends this week.
How are you still doubling down on your final total when the domestic high end of your prediction is going to be crushed in less than a week and the film you compare it to as being lesser it is doing better than it overseas overall.
I can't understand how so someone can be so stubborn when presented with evidence. It's like we are dealing with the Donald Trump of box office predictions here or something.
Where do you specifically see SW ending up in domestic totals?
I'll budge on domestic totals after this coming weeks performance, as I'm under the belief that SW hype will be exhausted now that we're in a post-holiday period.
WW I won't budge on, because I don't see a Space Opera having the type of legs or general appeal that dinosaurs do.
Bobby Roberts
Banned
Definitely north of 850. Probably north of 9.
Its going to beat Avatar domestically. That was pretty much done deal by last Wednesday.
Its going to beat Avatar domestically. That was pretty much done deal by last Wednesday.
BronsonLee
Member
*rolls up sleeves*
*punches everyone who tries to start Avatar vs Star Wars again*
*punches everyone who tries to start Avatar vs Star Wars again*
It will be well over 700 mil by this time next week. That is absolutely and 100% locked and that is only week three. 875 mil is the floor right now. I see a 930-940 mil domestic finish.
The average predictions range between 900-1 billion domestically of late.
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